Thursday, August 7, 2008

A tale of three rising stocks


The market really seems to have forgotten the bad economic news, credit liquidity and recession in New Zealand over the last week or so.

No stocks more so than Sky City Entertainment [SKC] and Telecom NZ [TEL] and Fisher and Paykel Healthcare [FPH].

Sky City was up around 25% from its lows in the first week of July, Telecom has risen a similar percentage and Fisher more than 35% off its lows.

Telecom is a weird one, there is no material reason for its share price increase, perhaps the coming profit announcement,to be made Friday morning 8 Aug 2008(NZ time), got the overseas buyers scooping up shares for the dividend. Analysts expect around NZ$700 million for the full year 2008, but its 2009 profit of sub-$600 million will not excite the punters. Its long term outlook is not good.


Telecom Corporation of New Zeal (TEL.NZ)
Telecom NZ Chart.


Fisher and Paykel Healthcare started rising before the market as a whole did when the kiwi/US dollar cross started going in the company's favour. Every cent in decline against the US dollar means around NZ$ 2.5 million straight to the bottom line. The increase in share price is quite understandable then.


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corp (FPH.NZ)
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Chart
.

I actually intended to write this post just about Sky City Entertainment but got sidetracked as I often do. So here goes.

The rise in this stock started before the general market improvement as well. From a low of NZ$2.90 just four weeks ago to close at $3.62 today.

This stocks prospects haven't improved materially due to any known factors apart from the Aussie cross with the Kiwi dollar improving their Australian Casino returns back to their New Zealand currency base.

The new CEO Nigel Morrison, has a reputation for cutting corporate fat and he has done some already. Strikes last weekend from the Auckland Casino floor staff because of a 4% wage rise offer didn't move management to make a higher counter one to get them back.

A 25% rise might indicate a good profit result to the year ended June 30 2008, due Monday 25 August 2008 (NZ time). This sort of movement in price before such announcements is common with this stock on good news.

Insiders should be ashamed.

I think SKC has been oversold though, like many other listed NZX stocks have.

Having said that I still fail to understand the collective amnesia that seems to envelop the stockmarket when they forget the reasons why they sold over the last few months and are now buying stocks as their share prices go in an upwards trajectory, on higher volumes traded.

Go figure.

Disclosure I own FPH & SKC shares.


Related Share Investor Reading


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare

Why did you buy that stock? [Fisher & Paykel Healthcare]
Drinking and Trading
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks
Fisher & Paykel: A tale of two companies
FPH downgrade masks good performance

FPH Investor Relations


Sky City Entertainment

As recession bites, Sky City bites back

Sky City outlines a clear future plan
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Underperforming
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Telecom New Zealand

Telecom NZ faces a watershed period
Business Mis-management
Telecom New Zealand hangs up
Telecom NZ rewards ex CEO For Mediocrity
Business Gobbledygook a barrier to communication

Telecom Investor Centre - full profit announcement

2008 profit announcement - one page profit summary



Related Links
2008 SKC Interim Result
2008 Interim Report
2008 Interim Result Presentation
Media Release
NZX Announcement
Financial Statements
Result Briefing Webcast
2007 SKC Annual Result
2007 Annual Report
2007 Annual Result Presentation
Media Release
NZX Announcement
Financial Statements
Result Briefing Webcast


c Share Investor 2008