Friday, June 7, 2019

Contact Energy: Time to Sell



Contact Energy is a stock that we visited here around about 4 weeks ago.

It was under $7 and that has changed and done what I said it has gone and packed on about 8% to close at $7.50.

This has passed my comfort levels and I would rate it a sell.

It could go UP from these levels.

BUT I am keeping my shareholding as I said Im a long termer and I can think of no better place to park my money.

It's paying around 4.5 %.



CEN @ Share Investor


Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 13
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 12

Share Investor's 2019 Stock Picks

 2018 Share Investor Stock Picks
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 
11
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 10
Contact Energy: Buy Now!
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 8
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 7
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 6
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 5 
Contact Energy look set to gain customers
I'm Buying: Contact Energy Ltd
Share Investor Portfolio 2: Value @ 7 July 2011
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 4
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 5: Contact Energy Ltd
Origin Energy asset stripping Contact Energy
Stock of the Week - Reprise 4: Contact Energy Ltd
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Stock of the Week: Reprise 2 - Contact Energy
Stock of the Week: Reprise - Contact Energy 
Not so fast Davy Boy
Still Watching Contact Energy
Beam me up Davy
Stock of the Week: Contact Energy
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - June 2009
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - Jan 2009
Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Follow the Monopoly Board

Discuss this stock at Share Investor  






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Wednesday, May 8, 2019

Contact Energy: Buy Now!!!





No upgrade to the price merely a reiteration to get in and buy this, now.

Because if you have heard New Zealand is perched on the precipice of 1.5%pa OCR and CEN is set to benefit from that rate cut and others to come.

Pensioners if your reading this, get out of that term deposit and into some CEN shares. 

Get out and DYOR BUT you can go past this one.

Its earns 5% don't you know.

There's at least a 20'c dividend due in August.




CEN @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 13
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 12

Share Investor's 2019 Stock Picks

 2018 Share Investor Stock Picks
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 
11
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 10
Contact Energy: Buy Now!
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 8
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 7
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 6
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 5 
Contact Energy look set to gain customers
I'm Buying: Contact Energy Ltd
Share Investor Portfolio 2: Value @ 7 July 2011
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 4
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 5: Contact Energy Ltd
Origin Energy asset stripping Contact Energy
Stock of the Week - Reprise 4: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 3: Contact Energy Ltd
Long Term View: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week: Reprise 2 - Contact Energy
Stock of the Week: Reprise - Contact Energy 
Not so fast Davy Boy
Still Watching Contact Energy
Beam me up Davy
Stock of the Week: Contact Energy
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - June 2009
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - Jan 2009
Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Follow the Monopoly Board

Discuss this stock at Share Investor
  






c Share Investor 2019


Monday, April 15, 2019

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings: Winter Surprise?




Hallenstein Glasson last recommended here in Jan has taken the 20 net div off and retreated somewhat in its share price.

I cant work out what this share is going to do in terms of share price except to say ill give you some of my feelings on the matter if you were going to buy this company right now.

The all important US/kiwi cross is about the same, inventory is crisp and buying is on key.

What is not apparent, yet, is what the consumer is going to do, and how that will develop along with winter temps.

Hallensteins has been hurt before by mild winters, so what is needed by the group to get the ultimate shot is a good winter all over the country AND it has happened before.

So as far as the winter is going, well it is starting to look good. It is getting cooler than usual for this time of year - in Albany.

Where does that leave the share prince for an opening?

Well I am picking weakness - not unusual for this time of year - so a pull back to the early $4.20's wouldn't be a surprise and if there's anything unusual going on, HLG management will bluntly let us know, they always do.

Either way don't forget that this is the number 1 payer of divs on the NZX. Currently paying over 9 % pa net.

AND its showing a lot more buying interest over the last year - a lot.

Trade/Invest wisely.



Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor


Hallenstein Glasson: Buy
Hallenstein Glasson: What Do I Do?
Hallenstein Glasson: Sold By Days End?
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Group 




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Saturday, April 13, 2019

Right Now Its all about the Dividend

Image result for Right Now Its all about the Dividend

Well I am a simple guy.

Simple things follow me around.

A like simple cars, simple food, a simple place to lay my head, a simple woman (mmwwhh) and a simple place to park my money.

With the money thing in mind let me tell you it has been quite easy to do - I have gotten where i want to go and am living comfortably off on my dividends.

I have gotten to this point by working hard and buying stocks at the right prices at the right time and by keeping them forever.

You must never touch the source of the dividends. Never.

I had a life changing incident that happened over 7 years ago and this kind of coincided with the beginnings of bull runs - that still haven't ended - all around the planet and luckily matched my criteria for buying shares and I bought a lot.  

How did a bloke who has enjoyed a lot of his life, got divorced, got lawyers involved in his private life managed to be in the envious position of not having to work if he doesn't want to - I don't see that happening really - and is about to make a leap into the "unknown"? Well it was kind of "planned" that way.

Like most human beings I think i'm basically a lazy person. So everything from the age of 30 right up until I was a father in my 40's was working.

Really stepping into my investing life once again everything has been engineered or "planned" in that way. I always looked for good dividend paying stocks - after making a few pratfalls along the way - and over the years those have paid off big time. 

There has been much writing done throughout this blog about my style of investing but its basically buy a great company at the right price and keep your eyes on it.

I only own 8 companies on the NZX.

That sort of brings me back to right now.

You have to maintain that discipline, especially when you are paying a higher price -remember your money isn't going to get a better return than the stock market.

Right now, I don't see any other sort of investment that is going to return more money to you now than a great company on the NZX - and you can include other borses as well. There are still 1 or 2 companies around now that are paying good divs or will be in a good position to pay far higher divs in the future and I have some now!!

And until something goes uncontrollably wrong - like interest rates creep up. Little is going to happen. I say little because you can never be to sure whats around the corner.

AND of course 5 years down the track you will be saying what did that bloke say again?

Invest/trade wisely.




c Share Investor 2019











Saturday, March 30, 2019

Share Price Alert : Contact Energy 14




My pick for the 20 Feb was this one and its just about to pass the $7 mark - its @ $6.94c - which it is what I said was the mark to look at selling.

Which I have yesterday with a small portion.

BUT what I didn't count on was this, the continuation of the low, low interest rates that continue to haunt the globe - I don't agree with this but that is another story for another day.

Interest rates look to be on hold or indeed downwards. What do investors need and in fact what they did do this week? They bought stock on the NZX. Not just Contact Energy but many of the other energy retailers and anything else with a financial pulse. In fact the NZX finished the quarter on an all-time high.

My guess is that they will continue to buy this stock in particular because it has a return of just over 5% and looks set for a bigger return this Aug when they will report a big one, no doubt, along with a 20c DIV.

So even though I initially said now was a time to think of selling what happened this week to interest rates for me would add another 50c or so to bring my price to $7.50.

Get out at that price if you will or continue to hold, like me AND collect the DIVS.

AND remember these low interest rates are set to continue for at least 2 years.

Invest/trade wisely!!!



CEN @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 12

Share Investor's 2019 Stock Picks 
2018 Share Investor Stock Picks
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 11

Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 10
Contact Energy: Buy Now!
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 8
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 7
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 6
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 5 
Contact Energy look set to gain customers
I'm Buying: Contact Energy Ltd
Share Investor Portfolio 2: Value @ 7 July 2011
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 4
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 5: Contact Energy Ltd
Origin Energy asset stripping Contact Energy
Stock of the Week - Reprise 4: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 3: Contact Energy Ltd
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Stock of the Week: Reprise 2 - Contact Energy
Stock of the Week: Reprise - Contact Energy 
Not so fast Davy Boy
Still Watching Contact Energy
Beam me up Davy
Stock of the Week: Contact Energy
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - June 2009
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - Jan 2009
Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Follow the Monopoly Board

Discuss this stock at Share Investor  





c Share Investor 2019




Thursday, March 14, 2019

Arvida Group Ltd: When to Buy




You could be forgiven for thinking Arvida Group has been stuck in a holding pattern since June 2018 but you can take off the table about 5 cents because that is the DIV and your just about within the range of where its been trading. So there's been no movement since then.

According to Moaningstar - I know but others in the industry say its around the same - it has a net asset backing of $1.15c.

That's relatively important because in its short history of about 4 years the stock hasn't gone below $1.10 (except when it was finding its feet in the first year when it dipped to .79c) and is unlikely to unless we have another stockmarket rort like we had 10 years ago or the housing market over corrects - which I have said is happening right now. Just beware of that one caveat - because if it does explode expect this share will come right back to under $1.

Having said that it is still worth accumulating because Simplywallstreet has this share at a discounted cash flow value of $3.98.

Its also paying a reasonable DIV of just over 4.23% net and trades at a p.e. ratio of 7.26.

So with this stock you can see quite a few possibilities. Ranging from .79c to the $1.30's range.

BUT it is a stock worth buying you just have to watch it closely - which i have over the last many, many months.

I will add to my current holding AND will severely if it slips wildly.

Keep cool till after the stock market closes. 

Trade/invest wisely.




Related Reading

Share Investor 2019 Stock Picks



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Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: Questioning



There's no doubt about it it FPH is definitely way overpriced.

Whether that's a symptom of the lack of quality stocks on the New Zealand market or whether is because of the hot fire underneath the company - it has been doing gang busters for a number of years - it all depends where you come from.

It tacked on well over $1 about 2 weeks ago when it mentioned to the markets that all bets were off and that the legal stoush FPH was having with RMD - Resmed - was over worldwide, so it is very sensitive to this kind of info.

No doubt the coming results out this May will be good and you have to understand that this legal brouhaha that is now over brings $20m pa in cash straight to the bottom-line.

So I think there is opportunity here for some short term gain of at least $2 per share from here for you short termer's and for us long termer's their is scope to pick some of these up during its weaker times - like the US/kiwi dollar cross going the other way.

So if you want to get some of that money back from that errant lawyer, give this a go.

Trade/invest wisely.


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare @ Share Investor

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd: Where is it Going?
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Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd: The Time to Buy
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Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed takes market share from Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed kicking Fisher & Paykel Heathcares butt?
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Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
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Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: 2010 Full Year Profit rests on Foreign exchange movement
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Drinking and Trading
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks
Share Investor's 2009 stock picks
Fisher & Paykel: A tale of two companies
FPH downgrade masks good performance



Discuss Fisher & Paykel Healthcare @ Share Investor 





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Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Share Price Alert : Contact Energy 13



You could have forgotten about this share since I recommended it back in Nov 2016 for $4.40 and all the way up to now - Contact Energy.

I personally would stick another 50c on it. I say this because it really has had a good year and this is set to continue. With a hefty/increased cash-flow this reporting.

This is set to increase for the next couple of years as well as surprises to the upside and surprises to the downside. But capital expenditure is way down on prior years.

This kind of reflects in the climb of the stock from around the 6 dollar levels over the last few months and will propel it - i think to over $7- before the next round of profit announcements in August.

So if your in for a lazy 50 or 60c get in and buy.




CEN @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 12

Share Investor's 2019 Stock Picks 
2018 Share Investor Stock Picks
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 11
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 10
Contact Energy: Buy Now!
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 8
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 7
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 6
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 5 
Contact Energy look set to gain customers
I'm Buying: Contact Energy Ltd
Share Investor Portfolio 2: Value @ 7 July 2011
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 4
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 5: Contact Energy Ltd
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Stock of the Week - Reprise 4: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 3: Contact Energy Ltd
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Stock of the Week: Reprise 2 - Contact Energy
Stock of the Week: Reprise - Contact Energy 
Not so fast Davy Boy
Still Watching Contact Energy
Beam me up Davy
Stock of the Week: Contact Energy
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - June 2009
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - Jan 2009
Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Follow the Monopoly Board


Discuss this stock at Share Investor  






c Share Investor 2019