Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino purchase would fall short of company investment criteria

An update at the bottom of this post, originally made yesterday, confirms a bid was made by SKC and rejected by Skyline.

A whisper out yesterday that Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX] looks set to buy up the half share in the Christchurch Casino they don't already own isn't news to me.

In a June 15 interview with SKC CEO Nigel Morrison he indicated that the company was interested in Australian casino assets should they fit their investment criteria and purchase price and he indicated the company had access to just over NZ $1 billion for any acquisition opportunities should they arise.

The Christchurch Casino was purchased by SKC in June 2004, off Aspinall (NZ) Limited, which held a 40.5% shareholding in Christchurch Casinos Limited. The purchase price was NZ$93.75 million and in October 2010 SKC bought an 8.6 % stake held by Invercargill businessman Louis Crimp's Southern Equities, to take their holding to near 50%. In 2008 SKC bought a 5.2% stake off their then business partner the Crowne Plaza Hotel, taking their ownership interest in Christchurch Casino to 45.7%. With the 8.6% stake then SKC control the company with a 54.3% stake.

The cost of the 8.6% stake is likely to be around the $20 million mark if the rumoured purchase price of $100-110 million for the remaining 47.5% stake in the Christchurch Casino is accurate (it says 50% in the article but this is incorrect) and by the same rationale the 5.2% stake would be worth around $14 million.

This puts the purchase value of first 54.3% share of the combined stake of Southern Equities and Aspinall at around $128 million, so the rumoured $120 million max for the remaining 47.5% stake that Skyline Enterprises [SKYLINE] holds looks good value by comparison.

Sky City management have a set investment criteria when assessing an asset purchase or business. It must return a net income on investment of at least 15% before shareholder moola is plunked down on the table.

Would the Christchurch Casino purchase meet that criteria?

Editda for FY 2010 for Christchurch was $6.89 million for their at the time 45.7% stake so with a full 100% stake the Editda would be around $15 million. Take out a 35% cut for income and other taxes and expenses and the Net Profit for a 100% stake is around $10 million.

With a combined estimated purchased price for the whole casino at around $250 million a $10 million net profit is a 4% net return on the purchase price.

Some of my figures are of course ball-park guesstimates based on some raw available data but I think they are roughly in the pitch.

My question to Nigel would be, if you are buying the rest of the Christchurch Casino, why are you not sticking to your stated investment criteria?


Disclosure: I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio

UPDATE - 10/11/10

SKYCITY is aware that there has been discussion and uncertainty as to whether it has made a proposal to Skyline Enterprises to acquire the 50% interest in Christchurch Casino which SKYCITY does not hold.
SKYCITY wishes to confirm that it has advised Skyline Enterprises of a cash offer that it is willing to make for its interest in Christchurch Casino.
The Board of Skyline Enterprises has rejected SKYCITY's approach.


Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster

Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit

Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum



c Share Investor 2010




1 comment:

Comment on Share Investor Stuff