Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Share Investor's 2019 Stock Picks

Halle Berry<br>2018 Vanity Fair Oscar Party - Arrivals


Helping me out for next years stock picks is once again Halle Berry.

Its been a volatile year, my picks for the DOW and NZX are off by 5000 odd points for the DOW and almost 2000 odd points for the NZX. Not good at all.


Its been a year when the Share Investor Portfolio stood its ground, shot up to record highs and then foundered off to where it is today.


Nothing has changed.


We have no reason to sway from the 9 stocks in the portfolio.


In fact this author will be looking at increasing his stakes in all the stocks should they come down in price to an acceptable level.


So without further ado I will briefly list my stocks and the reasons why they should be picked for another year.




Sky City Entertainment Ltd


Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd is starting took look like a steal right now.

At present it is trading at $3.45.


Its presently looking at building up quality assets and ditching under-performing ones.


The payoff will be in the 2020-21 financial year.


Im hoping to get in again at $3.00 and under.




Mainfreight Ltd


Mainfreight Ltd is a company that has been on a roll during this year.

A positive one that led to a record profit reported on Nov 14

It is starting to lift in all areas in NZ and overseas.

Next year should cement their aim of being the biggest and the best listed company on the NZX.



Fisher & Paykel Healthcare 

After climbing to about $16.40c a couple of months ago this stock is currently trading at $12.50c so currently looks out of favour with the market.

So it could continue down.

It still has issues surrounding it such as legal action against/by itself and Resmed so some of that could be swirling around it.

My favourite stock.


Contact Energy Ltd

Contact Energy is going to have a giveaway in the 2019 year.

They are set to increase dividend payments by 15 - 25% depending on results.

The Feb 2019 result is tipped to look good because of the vagaries of the market setting records for the amount paid to wholesalers like Contact.


Auckland Airport Ltd

Auckland Airport Ltd will slow growth over the 2019 year but grow it will. 

It is this country's only Airport - of significance - and it will double its growth over the next 10 - 15 years. From the current 20m to over 40m passengers.

It is being battled currently by charges from the current Govt that it is overcharging for its facilities but i'm aware that what is going on behind the scenes will put that to bed. 

You might be able to get this one under 7 bucks, its been there before this year and I have no doubt it will fly under the radar at least once.


Ryman Healthcare 

Ryman Healthcare is my second favourite stock. 

Mainly because of the returns.

They are good.

AND they will continue again in 2019.

There's not much else to say expect them to grow again, in Australia and New Zealand.

And watch, this little puppy seems to be going out of fashion again.

You could perhaps get this one for below 10 bucks in 2019


Arivda

This one was bought for the long term. Like the one above, I've held Ryman for 13 years and I plan to hold this one forever.

Looks good, it is actually paying more than Ryman but you can get it cheaper.

Id stick my neck out and say you could get it for $1 - 1.10c. Its currently trading at $1.30c.


Hallensteins Glassons

Looking good at the moment just posted a quiet sort of 2018 meeting

Its currently trading at $4.20c so that is over a 10% annual return.

Its subject to ups and downs, currently down, for some reason.

Its open to wild swings of share price because there is a lot held back 'cause insiders hold  a lot of stock.

This stock isn't for everyone but it is for me because its provides income

The company has no debt and millions in the bank.


Conclusion

In a year of change next year - and what year isn't - you should be looking for stocks that you have researched. They maybe different stocks to the ones that I hold - hope you can share with me what you have researched.

The above are my stocks.

How will they perform next year?  I have a good idea that they will perform with small increases in some and big increases in others, FPH and MFT are 2 of the latter.

When i say perform i'm talking about profit results, they will not necessarily equate with the share price and that's were you make your money.

If the share price is being affected by outside influences, like people or brokers not interested in buying the stock then that is the time you swoop in.

Lets see what 2019 will bring.

Together. 





Share Investor's Annual Stock Picks

Share Investor's 2018 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2017 Stock Picks

Share Investor's 2014 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2013 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2012 Stock Picks 
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2010 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2008 Stock Picks



Broker Picks

Brokers 2014 Stock Picks
Brokers 2013 Stock Picks
Brokers 2012 Stock Picks
Brokers 2011 Stock Picks






Share Investor  2018








Saturday, December 1, 2018

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: A Chance to get this Relatively Cheap




Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd [FPH.NZX] share price has gone off the boil over the last few months. Down from a high of $16.50c to $13.20c on quite a bit of turnover yesterday.

To be fair even at $13.20c its still a bit expensive.

But is still considerably cheaper than at its highs - a full 20% cheaper.

Granted this share could/will come down in price further if there's anything significant that happens in the market.

This week it's profits were up and future profits look excellent.

I don't think you want to wait for as long as I did but you may want to wait a bit to plunge on in.

Remember it ain't a fire sale anymore - not in GFC territory - so your not going to get the bargains that i and many other people got BUT you may get the share for less than what it is selling for today.

Ill leave that up to you to decide. 





Fisher & Paykel Healthcare @ Share Investor

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd: Where is it Going?
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd:  Should I Buy Now?
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd: The Time to Buy
Share Investor's 2012 Stock Picks
Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed takes market share from Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed kicking Fisher & Paykel Heathcares butt?
Share Price Alert: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
I'm Buying: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's Total Returns: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare & the US Dollar
Mondrian Investment Partners take stake in Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: 2010 Full Year Profit rests on Foreign exchange movement
Long Term View: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Analysis - Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Schroder Investment Management takes big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare stake
Long VS Short: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare trades a curious tale

Why did you buy that stock? [Fisher & Paykel Healthcare]
Drinking and Trading
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks
Share Investor's 2009 stock picks
Fisher & Paykel: A tale of two companies
FPH downgrade masks good performance



Discuss Fisher & Paykel Healthcare @ Share Investor 



 














Thursday, November 29, 2018

Sunday, November 25, 2018

Sophia's first sticky, slimey, Video




Its sticky slimy and horrible.

Its slime. 

Yuck!!

But its Sophia Rickard's first video.

She does say there will be more.



c Sophia Rickard 2018



Saturday, November 24, 2018

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Tuesday, October 30, 2018

Sky City: Turmoil in Market Brings Bargains.




You can tell in reasonably excited when i get out and write something on this here blog.

The SKC share price is close to a 1 year low.

It could go lower but at current levels of payout its paying close to a 5.5% return.

At these levels it is a steal at current prices without taking into account the huge levels of building around Sky City in New Zealand and Australia, where they operate.

Im sticking this one here on my watch-list.

What i want to know was who was buying at $4.30 levels just a few months back? 




Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: The Americas Cup
Share Investor's 2016 Stock Picks
Sky City gets the 2nd deal
Sky City Expansion: Adelaide Spreads on the Riverbank
Sky City to pay for National Convention Centre
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council
Sky City Gaming: Morningstars look at Sky City's gaming
Share Investor's Total Returns: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Group
Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser



Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum





c Shareinvestor 2018








Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Mainfreight: $50 Bucks and Beyond

Image result for 50 buck note


I don't know about you but I have been watching the upwards trend in share price of Mainfreight Ltd with much interest, which is why I did one of these last year before the profit announcement in May 2017.

First of all its no surprise to me why its up.


Its well run, self critical and critical of others where its business is being affected and very few announcements to the market.


Lets have a look at some essential figs.



2018

*Net Reported Profit  112.22 mil
*Price Earnings Ratio (P/E) 17.27
*Earnings per Share (EPS) 112.24
*Net Tangible Assets per share 483.40c
*Total Net Div Paid  45c
*Div Yield 1.51%
*Market Cap 3,003,000,000


2017

*Net Reported Profit  88 mil

*Price Earnings Ratio (P/E) 23.29
*Earnings per Share (EPS) 96.24
*Net Tangible Assets per share 329.21c
*Total Net Div Paid  40c
*Div Yield 1.6%
*Market Cap 2,275,000,000



Source - Morningstar



It is currently trading at $29.92c and has closed as high as $31.10c last week and i expect it to trend upwards given the latest figures and the market sentiment that the next profit result out Nov 2018 will be a real doozy.

They - MFT - have finally got it right. They just have to stitch together the various branches tightly and not lose the momentum that they obviously have.

They are winning major new clients.

The only rider to all this going on is if we have a major slowdown in trading between nations.

Peace out.




Mainfreight @ Share Investor

Is Mainfreight Worth 30 Bucks a Share?
Is Mainfreight Worth 20 Bucks Plus a Share?
Share Price Alert: Mainfreight Ltd 2
Mainfreight's European Acquisition a Good Move
Share Price Alert: Mainfreight Ltd
Investing in the Stockmarket: Timing your Purchase
Stock of the Week: Mainfreight Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd: 2011 1st quarter Profit Analysis
VIDEO: Don Braid with Paul Homes on the Economy
Mainfreight Ltd: Full Year 2010 Profit Analysis
Long Term View: Mainfreight Ltd
Share Investor Interview: Mainfreight's MD Don Braid
Stock of the Week: Mainfreight Ltd
Questions to Mainfreight's MD Don Braid
I'm Buying: Mainfreight Management delivers the goods
Mainfreight Annual Report Packs a Punch
Analysis - Mainfreight Ltd: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Mainfreight VS KiwiRail: The Sequel
Long VS Short: Mainfreight Ltd
Why did you buy that stock? [Mainfreight Ltd]
Mainfreight 2008 Annual report worth reading
KiwiRail will cost Mainfreight
Mainfreight keeps on truckin
A rare breed
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks


Discuss MFT @ Shareinvestor 





Share Investor 2018