Showing posts with label politics of business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics of business. Show all posts

Monday, February 14, 2011

The Case for State Asset Sales

Much has been written over the last month since the National Party announced its policy to partially sell State Electricity assets should they win the November 26 election and most of it the typical rantings of those commentators from the left and those politicians from the same place that are scaremongering for political gain.

If we look at the facts before us though, in terms of the economic fortunes of New Zealand we are in a dire situation.

These are the main points of the National Party Policy:

  • The Government would have to maintain a majority controlling stake by owning more than 50 per cent of the company.
  • New Zealand investors would have to be at the front of the queue for shareholdings, and we would have to be confident of widespread and substantial New Zealand share ownership.
  • The companies involved would have to present good opportunities for investors.
  • The capital freed up would have to be used on behalf of taxpayers to fund new public assets and thereby reduce the pressure on the Government to borrow.
  • The Government would have to be satisfied that industry-specific regulations adequately protected New Zealand consumers.

Very specific guidelines for a sale process that do not mention full sales.

We have very high debt levels, both personally and publicly and this debt is a heavy weight on out present and future economic stability.

We owe almost as much as we own and borrowing and interest costs are currently having a big impact on us, with the State borrowing NZ$300 million a week and individuals still borrowing and servicing their own debt.

This impact will have long term effects if we do not do anything to either pay down more debt, cut spending or drastically cut both. Nobody would attempt to do the latter, apart from the most rabid right wingers so we have to do something right?

Absolutely is the unequivocal answer.

While I would be happy to sell non-essential assets to the State like schools, hospitals, airlines, banks and many other under-performing state monopolies, the National Party are only considering selling partial minority stakes in 4 electricity companies to Mum and Dad investors -hardly a sell-down of the family silver!

The control of those assets remains in the hands of the State on behalf of all of us, so it shouldn't be a problem to the left who have championed the same sort of sell-down of Air New Zealand Ltd [AIR.NZX] that happened under Labour nearly 10 years ago, so the current opposition seems at the very least sour grapes that the left are not in power and at the most hypocritical to the extreme.

The proceeds from a sell down of 49% stakes in the 4 remaining state power companies should go to paying down debt, there are indications that Government want to use the cash freed up to buy other assets for the State but that would clearly be a mistake given the poor quality of management of State assets under any political party.

The sell-down will also encourage prospective small Mum and Dad investors to invest in good companies based in New Zealand rather than putting money into dead end stuff like term investments, private real estate or investing money overseas.

The vast proportion of Kiwisaver money and money invested in various New Zealand superannuation schemes is currently invested offshore and that clearly needs to change.

We need to invest in ourselves, promote a savings culture based on our own assets and the National Party proposal ticks all those positive boxes.

To scaremonger by saying this policy is one based on failed models of the 1980s and 1990s is simply that and is not based on fact at all but a political agenda and lack of economic education, business skills and a determination and political ethos that will have us stuck with the debt we have now for generations to come.

We need to take politics out of this and take a good hard look at the merits based on fact.


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Monday, September 27, 2010

Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid

For all intents and purposes the possibility of Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX] getting the go ahead from politicians for the right to build and operate a National Convention Centre with the benefit of taxpayer money and all the business that would bring to the SKC gaming floor is pretty much dead and buried.

I have easily come to this conclusion because over the last week Mayoral candidates John Banks and Len Brown have both come out and backed the new Auckland "Supercity" and its bid for a convention centre in and around the Aotea Centre.

The Sky City and council bids are 2 of 5 that are bidding to build the national Convention Centre, at a cost of around $400 million, but politics has taken over sense in the Mayoral race because it wouldn't be seen as "fair" to subsidise a company like SKC for them to build an asset that they would benefit from - after all it is a big bad casino!

The thing is though, any winner in the race to build a convention centre would get the benefit of the taxpayer subsidy so the issue of favouritism would only be one of Council vs private business and this argument was won by private business many decades ago. Private business always does it better.

The only other arguments that remain are which is the best site and what will be the running costs be.

I agree with the NZ Herald that the best convention site would be a central city one, so that rules out the the ASB Showgrounds bid at Greenlane. A Ngati Whatua proposal for Quay Park, alongside the Vector Arena, and an Infratil Ltd [IFT.NZX] bid for the Wynyard Quarter .

The Herald is wrong about picking the council development though.

Sky City is the most appropriate site in terms of its centrality to the city and its amenities.

It is close to all the best hotel rooms, including Sky's almost 1000 rooms and its 3000 carparks, close to the tourist area of the Viaduct harbour, close to the best restaurants in Auckland, central to most public transport routes and motorways and the easiest to develop because of the sites undeveloped nature.

The big plus though will be the ongoing subsidisation by Sky City for the running costs of the convention centre, which will run into many 10s of million per annum. Of course if the council bid wins, these costs will be bourne by the Auckland ratepayer and they are clearly substantial.

Convention Centres do not make money as a standalone businesses and the justification for them being built is that they "bring custom to the city and surrounding businesses". This is the main reason that both Sky City and the council want to build their respective convention centres.

In my opinion then, the best place for a National Convention Centre is at the Sky City Complex. It will cost the taxpayer and ratepayer less initially and the ongoing cost savings would be the biggest advantage. It is also is in the best most central site, that is probably the most recognised man made icon in Auckland from just about every part of the city.

It looks like the Auckland City Council bid is locked and loaded though and that is a missed opportunity that will cost Auckland ratepayers dearly for many more years to come.


Disclosure
: I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council


Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
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Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit

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c Share Investor 2010

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Xena Saves the Day: Back Down on Mining Turning Point in Economy

Ayiyiiyiyiyiyi !!! Xena and her elite acting mob roared and the politicians listened.

The decision not to open conservation land up to mining is a big loss to New Zealand Inc and a turning point in our long-term economic sustainability.

Hairy arm-pitted losers (HAPLs) like Lucy Lawless,Keisha Castle Hughes and Robyn Malcolm are not really the people we want to follow down the green path to loserville but nevertheless we apparently are.

New Zealand as a country is in a sad economic state and we needed a big boost to get our economy going again to help get it to some sort of sustainable level (in the true sense of the word not the greeny airy fairy meaning) so then progress and pay our bills on time and pay for some of the social spending that the HAPLs want us to spend on their fellow HAPLs.

Mining was one of the keys that would have led us back to something approaching prosperity. Every other country in the world mines its minerals to help pay their countries bills but we are going to be content as gormless hairy, smiling idiots at the bottom of the world with lovely green vistas but without the means to keep it in our own hands - is it any wonder why the Chinese can see an opportunity here, and good on them.

Lastly, to govern a country on the basis of which minority moron shouts the loudest (the majority of Kiwis who pay the majority of taxes want mining to help us out of the proverbial) is surely a recipe for meekness, mildness, bum stinging fence sitting and a future without a clear direction.

As I pointed out before the 2008 Election on Political Animal (which should be back soon with an explanation for its one year absence) John Key needed to make a stand on things, rather than make decisions based on political polls, because if he didn't then he would fall for anything.

Today he and his Government have apparently and we will be poorer as a result.

Greece is starting to look better everyday, at least it is warm.

See below for Lucy Lawless input on mining:




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Every Bastard Says No: The 42 Below Story

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Tuesday, March 16, 2010

The Lolly Scramble of Life

A brilliant post from Bruce Sheppard from the Stirring the Pot Blog just has to be commented on and included on my blog today:

If you want to understand human nature before the OSH, PC police, education and society in general have done with corrupting it, examine kids and a lolly scramble. Perhaps the real reason the OSH police don't like lolly scrambles is not because kids get hurt, but because it reminds kids what human nature is really about. Maybe they are the thought police from Orwell. And guess what? Real life resembles a lolly scramble. John, go to a kids lolly scramble and then look at the world as it is and you might find the flaw in your dream of a world of equals.

And parents, ignore the PC crap. Make sure every kid experiences a free for all lolly scramble at every opportunity. Tell the OSH people to go swim in an unfenced pool.

So imagine this: You are in a field with a whole lot of kids, keen and full of anticipation. On the four sides of the field there are the angels of opportunity the lolly throwers. And on the four corners of the field there are the watchers of activity, the policemen, the government, the regulators, call them what you will. Full article here.

Bruce's analogy of life being a lolly scramble is the perfect expression of how life actually is rather than how some would like it. It is hard, competitive "unfair" but it is life and it is the best way forward.

Any other constructed way of life - especially the current one pushed by the lefty interferers - is an inferior facsimile of life and eventually doomed to failure, with the consequent victims scattered like the dead ghosts of Stalin's wet dreams.

True Capitalism, the best way forward in business and something that I shout from the rooftops often is also the antidote to the lefts stealing from those that are hard working and resourceful.

Imagine the wealth we would all have if in the lolly scramble we didn't have half of the participants as government bureaucrats stealing 50% of all the lollies for themselves!

It aint sweet for some but a pure unadulterated calorie laded lolly scramble is what we need again to move us forward and take the bitterness of State sanctioned interference away.

That and a good rough game of bullrush.

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Saturday, October 6, 2007

Port of Tauranga: Port in a storm

In the wake of strikes this week at Ports of Auckland, POA, it seems owners of the now publicly owned port , Auckland Regional Holdings, ARH have refused to talk about the reasons why they put a buzz saw to the marriage between it and the Port of Tauranga Ltd [POT.NZ]

The Cameron Report, done by an investment banker, points to widespread efficiency gains from the tie up of the two ports. Efficiency gains would have resulted in more streamlined ports operations with bottom line benefits for customers.

Judith Bassett, ARH chair and ARC councilor has refused to release the report. Industry insiders say the possible gains were worth more than $50 million a year.

The Port of Tauranga is a much more efficient beast than POA and it seems jealousy over this and arguments that POT management wanted a bigger slice in the marriage because of their ports efficiencies may have sunk the merger.

As an outsider and ARC ratepayer myself one has to ask oneself what are ARC councilors hiding? It cant be good and clearly wont be released until after local elections in a week or so.

It probably wont be the end of port consolidation in the future between these two parties because it just makes financial sense to do so.

Ironically while POA's profit dived for 2007, POT's was up sharply.

Amazing what can happen to a company when it is abused by politicians.


POT @ Share Investor

Long Term View: Port Of Tauranga Ltd
Port in a storm
Ports of Auckland put a shot over competitor's bow

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c Share Investor 2007