Showing posts with label auckland international airport. Show all posts
Showing posts with label auckland international airport. Show all posts

Monday, May 18, 2009

Like a Kid in a Candy Store

I still have Auckland International Airport [AIA.NZ] on my mind from a month or so ago when I bought a few thousand more to add to my original 1000.

This has certainly been the case for me today with my new purchase but lets not get carried away. I have bought at a good price for me, my original foray into AIA being at $2.15 in November 2006. With dividends and tax credits included in that initial AIA purchase my cost price comes in at $1.88 per share. Today's purchase then is 18c per share lower than it was more than 2 years ago.

The main reason the stock is on my mind is that the share price on market closing today is below the $1.70 share price I paid back in April and I'm kinda getting excited again - as Warren Buffett famously likes to puts it, like a kind in a candy store - because it looks like the share price might fall even further!

At $1.66 closing and a $1.65 low today on $1.5 million of turnover it looks like the share price could go lower on a negative day on the DOW overnight.

The 52 week low for this stock is $1.56 and I will be paying close attention to the share price if market sentiment if negative this week for an opportunity to buy more.

How many?

Well, I'm looking for another 7000 shares to add to the Share Investor Portfolio to take it up to an even 10000.

I will stop there, because I do have a self imposed limit when it comes to buying anything.

Now I must add that I am average to useless at picking the market but I was happy to buy my initial 1000 shares at $2.15 and more than happy to buy at any price below that.

You can see why I am so exited huh?

Bring on those Mars Bars and M & Ms.



Recent Share Investor Reading



c Share Investor 2009





Monday, April 20, 2009

Im Buying: 2009

Close watchers of mine would have noted a renewed interest in Auckland International Airport [AIA.NZ] over the last few days. I have written a couple of articles (1 2 )on Auckland's near monopoly air services provider.

My interest has culminated today by buying a small additional shareholding of 2000 shares to add to my existing 1000. Cost NZ$1.70 per share.

I have taken my eye off the ball over the last few months with other commitments and it is not until you can sit down and look at the figures that you can start to make a case to spend more money in this turbulent investing environment.

Only yesterday did I write that I felt that collectively investors had seemed to reach some kind of investing "Tipping Point" where they have got thoroughly brassed off with all the gloom and focused on the more positive aspects of business and investing.

This has certainly been the case for me today with my new purchase but lets not get carried away. I have bought at a good price for me, my original foray into AIA being at $2.15 in November 2006. With dividends and tax credits included in that initial AIA purchase my cost price comes in at $1.88 per share. Today's purchase then is 18c per share lower than it was more than 2 years ago.

That is like a sale at Bricoes!

Readers may like to be reminded that Canadian and Arab investors were last year willing to pay more than twice today's closing price for a half share in the Airport before being stopped by Government legislation.

My wandering into the market today was the first time since July 2008 when I bought Hallenstein Glasson [HLG.NZ] and Postie Plus [PPG.NZ] shares.

No extra money went into the Share Investor Portfolio today, the $3400.00 plus $30 brokerage was funded from a part of this reporting seasons dividends.

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Discuss this topic @ Shareinvestor.net.nz

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Auckland Airport needs main focus on its core business

Auckland International Airport [AIA.NZ] looks like they are using a downturn in passenger numbers and therefore revenue to move away from their core business of airport services.

The downturn in passenger arrivals coincided with the release of a new strategy plan for Auckland Airport by Moutter, himself newly appointed to the job.

The previous management team had responded to the drivers of the day, which was strong and continuing passenger growth, said Moutter. But the dynamic had shifted, and there was huge uncertainty as to when that growth might return. "But if we hunker down and drop everything to the lowest cost base, then we won't be able to capitalise when growth triggers return," he said.

His new strategy concentrates far more on developing the substantial land holdings held by the company. Property, he says, is one area where the airport company had the highest hopes and greatest opportunity of surviving, and even thriving through the recession. Full Story ( Doc attachment)

Investors need to beware that when a company with a core business changes tack there can be problems with that change and all the associated financial fallout that entails-increased capital expenditure being just one of those fallout's.

Auckland Airport have done well in the past from operating an airport and that is where their business expertise principally lies.

Granted they are landlords for retail outlets that operate inside and outside their main airport buildings and revenue also comes from their large car parking facility. These areas of their business comprise 55% of their income but management need to keep in mind why those facilities are there and are successful in the first place - the foot traffic that comes from airport user and visitor foot traffic.

New Zealand listed businesses are littered with the failure of management moving outside their sphere of business experience. Recent examples include The Warehouse Group [WHS.NZ], Restaurant Brands [RBD.NZ], Telecom NZ [TEL.NZ] and Hallenstein Glasson [HLG.NZ] making moves into markets they didn't know well and their shareholders were materially affected by these poor decisions.

Don't get me wrong, you have to adapt to changing markets. Auckland Airport passenger numbers are currently falling, but this will not last and management simply cannot take their eye off the golden goose lest they be caught unaware when traffic numbers climb again.

The focus for the long term must be on planning for increases in airport facilities, for passengers, planes etc and driving demand for more airline business.

The other bolt on revenue streams, while clearly important, need to come second to the main business and driver of those other revenue streams, core airport facilities.

Disclosure I own AIA, WHS, and HLG shares

Auckland International Airport @ Share Investor

Marketwatch - Auckland International Airport
Why did you buy that stock: Auckland International Airport
Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?

Discuss this stock @ Shareinvestor.net.nz


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AIA Financial Data

As at 2:16 pm, 20 Apr (20 min delay)


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Friday, April 17, 2009

MarketWatch - Auckland International Airport




Auckland International Airport [AIA.NZ] is presently a well underrated stock, for a number of reasons. It, like every either stock on the NZX, is getting a pasting by nervous investors and post the merger hubbub the share price has tanked.

OK, I do own this stock but it is pretty immaterial really, I only own 1000 shares, so if you do rib me just make it a small ribbing if you would.

I bought my shares at $2.15 and at today's closing of $1.70 (I originally started this yesterday when AIA was at $1.64) it makes the company a cheap proposition. $1.56 is its 52 week low. (see 2 year chart above for details)

Just over a year ago they were fetching more than $3.60 due to competing bids to buy a share of the company.

Lets forget about the share price for a moment though, even though that is the main reason for this particular column.

For $1.70 per share what do you get?

* An essential monopoly with the ability to raise prices consistently above the rate of inflation.

* Add-on revenue streams from large retail areas inside and outside the port proper.

* Large tracts of undeveloped land surrounding the port.

* Consistent organic growth through increased passenger movements.

To add to this there has been a softening in National Government policy to allow assets like these an easier saleability to overseas interests; Previous Government regulation led the AIA sale to fall through.

In addition to the above point and politics again I'm afraid, with the imminent "super city" about to dawn on Auckland the question of airport shares being held by Auckland and Manakau City Councils will definitely come up again.

Regardless of the short and long term propositions that I have pointed out for owning this stock you will have to make your mind up whether you want to buy Auckland Airport stock but I rate it a buy at these price levels.

Auckland International Airport @ Share Investor

Why did you buy that stock: Auckland International Airport
Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?

Discuss this stock @ Shareinvestor.net.nz


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AIA Financial Data


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Saturday, September 20, 2008

Follow the Monopoly Board

One question an investor in the stockmarket might be asking themselves right now is just when should one start buying stocks again.

Warren Buffett used his massive multi billions in cash to buy an energy company, Constellation Energy yesterday for a bargain price and he seems to be the only person in the world buying things, except the US federal government buying up private debt to "stop the markets from crashing".

Clearly nobody knows just how long this credit purge is going to continue for but what we do know is that there is more bad news to come.

That would indicate to me that there is more downside risk for stocks to come.

As long as the purchase you make is one that you can afford to hold and not have to sell if you need the money then a good beaten down stock is definitely one worth taking an educated punt on.

If one uses the Monopoly Board type style of investing that Warren Buffett has been using over the last year, buying utilities and more shares in staple producing companies like Coca Cola and Kraft foods an investor would do well to purchase similar shares if they exist on the NZX.

So what would you buy and what is resilient in these times of economic uncertainly and market turmoil?

Any of our energy stocks would be a good buy, Trustpower Ltd [TPW] Contact Energy [CEN] and Vector Ltd [VCT] will all do well in an extended downturn.

A company that I own, Goodman Fielder [
GFF] is an Australasian food giant with great brands and a whole range of staple food items from breakfast to dinner and all the snacks in between that people are still going to buy.

Auckland International Airport [
AIA] which I also have a shareholding in, is another good monopoly that will do OK during a downturn and its shares are currently at multi-year lows.

Even Telecom New Zealand [
TEL] would be worth laying some money down at anything less than $2.50 and it is getting close to that price. Even during a deep recession people will still need to communicate.

While there are plenty of cheap stocks worth looking at, especially in retailing, transport and export sectors and they are worth buying for a long-term investment, these companies are going to find the going tough during the long recession we are going to face.

Look for companies with strong brands, monopoly or near monopoly positions in their markets and the ability to cuts costs without impacting too heavily on their business.

The power companies that I mentioned would probably be some of the best performers over the recession and market sentiment as it currently is, that is, it is crap, like Warren Buffett you might get a relative bargain.


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Friday, April 11, 2008

Why did you buy that stock ? [Auckland International Airport]

In this second of a series of columns about why I bought a particular stock for my portfolio, lets hover over Auckland International Airport[AIA.NZ] for a while a see what motivated me to buy.

Recent political interference involved over a possible Airport sale aside, there wasn't a lot negative about this company to speak of before I plunked down my dineros.

Perhaps a large requirement for capital expenditure in the short to medium term, to expand the business to meet growth expectations was the only thing that would keep the company taxiing down the runway, the rest looked blue sky to me.

Why did you buy that stock?

Why did you buy that stock? [Freightways Ltd]
Why did you buy that stock? [Kiwi Income Property Trust]
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]
Why did you buy that stock? [Briscoe Group]
Why did you buy that stock? [Fisher & Paykel Healthcare]
Why did you buy that stock? [Pumpkin Patch Ltd]
Why did you buy that stock? [Ryman Healthcare]
Why did you buy that stock? [Michael Hill International]
Why did you buy that stock? [Mainfreight]
Why did you buy that stock? [The Warehouse Group]
Why did you buy that stock? [Goodman Fielder]
Why did you buy that stock? [Auckland Airport]
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]

Discuss this stock @ Shareinvestor.net.nz

Again, like Sky City Entertainment [SKC.NZ] Auckland Airport stood out as a monopoly, protected in its position for the foreseeable future and it has that "moatability" that Warren Buffett talks about :

The competitive advantage that one company has over other companies in the same industry.
The wider the moat, the larger and more sustainable the competitive advantage. By having a well-known brand name, pricing power and a large portion of market demand, a company with a wide moat possesses characteristics that act as barriers against other companies wanting to enter into the industry.

Warren Buffett

Auckland Airport, because of its monopoly position, has the ability to raise prices well above the rate of inflation and does so within its division of different businesses. From car parking and retail rents, to landing and departure fees, regular price rises seem the order of the day.

The economic moat factor is the main reason I bought shares in the company, although there are a couple of others.

The history of passenger growth for the company is excellent and more could be expected, but not guaranteed, in the future if history is any measure of the company going forward.

The individual share purchase cost relative to the various financial ratios and measures of the business in comparison to international airports was also an attractive carrot.

Bids by The Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board and Dubai Aerospace Enterprise for a premium of over 60% of my purchase price is evidence of how cheap the shares were. In a relative sense anyway.

Now the question I must answer. Would I buy this stock again?

Again political interference aside, yes(I will go into this in another column but I don't want politics to enter here)

The affirmative answer is reinforced by the long term growth prospects and again the fact that the company is unlikely to be challenged in its monopoly position in its industry.

Auckland International Airport @ Share Investor

Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?

Related Links

AIA Financial Data


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c Share Investor 2008



Labour Vetoes voters' rights

From the Share Investor Blog today, in a unsurprising and but naked grab for votes in this 2008 election year, 50000 voters have just had their property rights trampled on because the Auckland Airport Merger with the Canadian Pension Plan Investment board has been turned down.

http://www.parliament.nz/NR/rdonlyres/2F9625A5-6D25-44B5-925E-D316DD5F5DF8/0/7801DavidParker.jpg
David Parker, Minister of a ship of
Fools.


Watch for the Poodle Party and its titular head Winston Peters come out waving the New Zealand Flag today. Its hard to keep a straight face though when he supports a government that has signed a "free trade" deal with China.

The politics of envy is alive and well in socialist, communist Aotearoa.


State Services Minister David Parker and Associate Finance Minister Clayton Cosgrove have vetoed the sale of Auckland International Airport[AIA]

After over a year of negotiations by two prospective parties, The Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board and Dubai Aeronautical Enterprise, all the time money and expertise that has gone into brokering a deal has been reduced to an international farce by the stroke of a socialist government pen.

The intervention has come at a time when markets are shaky and the economy is on a downturn and this added uncertainty has disappointed the market again and the 50000 odd voting age Mums and Dads who voted overwhelmingly in March to allow the CPPIB to buy their shares.

It is not hard to imagine what the CPPIB next move might be, but they have 3 options. Walk away completely, walk away while making a financial claim against the New Zealand Government, for their costs involved in axing a deal by retrospectively changing an overseas investment law, or push on in the courts to allow them to seal the deal.

The Auckland Airport would also have a claim for the millions of dollars of costs incurred for its shareholders because of the retrospective law.

NZ Herald's Auckland Airport merger coverage to date

The Battle for the Airport

Share Investor merger coverage to date

Latest Airport coverage
Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?

Disclosure: I own AIA shares

Auckland Airport deal vetoed by NZ Govt

State Services Minister David Parker and Associate Finance Minister Clayton Cosgrove have vetoed the sale of Auckland International Airport [AIA.NZ]

After over a year of negotiations by two prospective parties, The Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board and Dubai Aeronautical Enterprise, all the time money and expertise that has gone into brokering a deal has been reduced to an international farce by the stroke of a socialist government pen.

The intervention has come at a time when markets are shaky and the economy is on a downturn and this added uncertainty has disappointed the market again and the 50000 odd voting age Mums and Dads who voted overwhelmingly in March to allow the CPPIB to buy their shares.

It is not hard to imagine what the CPPIB next move might be, but they have 3 options. Walk away completely, walk away while making a financial claim against the New Zealand Government, for their costs involved in axing a deal by retrospectively changing an overseas investment law, or push on in the courts to allow them to seal the deal.

The Auckland Airport would also have a claim for the millions of dollars of costs incurred for its shareholders because of the retrospective law.

Disclosure: I own AIA shares


NZ Herald's Auckland Airport merger coverage to date

The Battle for the Airport



Auckland International Airport @ Share Investor

Latest Airport coverage
Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


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AIA Financial Data


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Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects

http://www.portfolio.com/images/feeds/news-markets/national-news/reuters/2008-02-25T042807Z_01_NOOTR_RTRIDSP_2_BUSINESS-AUCKLANDAIRPORT-OFFER-DC.jpg
A cynical move by Michael Cullen to gain votes in the 2008 Election by
blocking an Auckland Airport sale will have far reaching effects.




Michael Cullen's move today to put a stop to a partial sale of Auckland International Airport(AIA) to the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board(CPPIB) has more far reaching effects than putting the brakes on this deal.

Below is the piece of legislation that has been changed, in relation to the airport merger, and it is sufficiently vague enough to cause major uncertainty, for investors, domestic and international, and business in New Zealand.

"Whether the overseas investment will, or is likely to, assist New Zealand to maintain New Zealand control of strategically important infrastructure on sensitive land."


Who decides what is "strategically important" and on what basis do they apply the new legislation?

Is the Warehouse(WHS) a strategic asset?

Business and investors need certainty, you only have to look at current market conditions to figure that out, and the new legislation leaves everyone guessing.

This uncertainty, apart from the retrospective legislation passed today, and mooted tax changes, means that foreign investors will be thinking twice before looking at putting their capital in a country that treats foreign investors like Putin's communist Russia treated foreign oil companies over the last few years.

It also means that private property rights don't mean anything in this country anymore(just like in Putin's Russia) and with the stroke of a retrospective pen your property isn't really yours anymore.

I own Auckland Airport shares, they belong to me and nobody else and in a free country I should be able to do what the hell I want to do with them.

Contrary to Labour party spin the Airport isn't a state asset, it is privately owned, by many individual Kiwis and and some bigger institutions and the playing of the "we cant sell such a "strategic asset to a foreign buyer" card makes no sense because it is already owned by 40% of off shore investors.

It seems to me that Labour playing this card in election year will be appealing to the paranoia of those people who think the National party are going to sell "strategic assets" and Labour will try to get votes from it.

Cullen mentioned that other countries have similar laws to prevent strategic assets from "going overseas"-although you would have to have pretty big container to fit the Airport into it and ship it off- they may well do or not but their laws were in in place before any important deals were being negotiated and to change conditions of a deal as it is being done is like playing the shell game with a blindfold while on crack.

The immediate affects of Cullen's finger in your pie has been enormous. Billions of dollars have been lost from the capital value of Auckland Airport and therefore shareholder's pockets. The NZX's other companies plunged in value today because of the uncertainty that Cullen's pen stroke brought to the market.

Other companies who may be deemed "strategic" by Cullen and his communist misfits will be wringing their hands in the hope they wont be next. The listed power companies, ports and others will clearly be affected.

The interest still in the wings by Australia's Origin Energy for its sister company Contact Energy(CEN) would seriously be in doubt under the new criteria. Similarly other foreign companies will consider our country's barriers too hard to negotiate. Takeovers and mergers, an essential part of successful capitalism, will prove too cumbersome to consider.

As I have canvassed before in previous articles, Cullen's move now appears to be arrogant in the extreme. His party and lapdogs in crime, Winston "Baubles" Peter's NZ First, made their feelings clear when takeover talks were mooted with Dubai Aerospace Enterprise almost 9 months ago and they were staunchly against any sale.

To move now is unlawful(it was but they will change that law) immoral and is a clumsy attempt at gaining votes from voters who think capitalism is a dangerous thing.

The cost to CPPIB and Auckland Airport shareholders has been many millions-on top of the couple of billion in lost capital for Auckland Airport shareholders.

I have been a very impassioned advocate for not selling my shares over the last 9 months, because I could see the investment as a good long term one.

I was tempted, when news first broke of a sale all those months ago, to sell at the market price that day of around NZ$3.65 but decided not to. Now I think those people who sold were wise beyond any education one could buy.

Given the interference over the last few weeks I am now going to give two ticks for the deal, it may send a message to Labour what the real owners of this asset want to do with their property but I doubt whether Cullen will listen or care.

I know this deal isn't going to happen and have said so for many months now but the interference by politicians in private property issues has me questioning my holding in such a company mired in political dead weight and sticky fingers.

I sold my Port of Tauranga shares a few years back because I couldn't contend with local Auckland politicians and Winston Peters(again) interfering in merger proposals with Ports of Auckland. That deal was ended after months of expense for Port of Tauranga.

Business needs certainty in New Zealand, especially now as the proverbial is hitting the fan hard.

That means overseas investment is needed. Today's approach by by the extreme left wing business haters in Labour and NZ First has been another nail in the coffin for NZ INC because that much needed capital is going to dry up.

The move today is reminiscent of a much troubled National Government, led by Robert Muldoon, who in its final months, regulated and nationalised the life out of our economy and then went on to lose an election in 1984 in spectacular fashion.

Ironically it was Labour who then swept into power and with the wise direction from Roger Douglas transformed the economy into a far more sustainable one.

Sadly Douglas was stopped before he was finished, by the very same people who have foisted the current heavy burden on our economy today.

Only fools don't learn from history and surely Cullen, a Dr of History himself(not in business or economics) shouldn't be as foolish as he has been over the last few weeks.

We surely cant afford a repeat.

Related Share Investor reading

Fran O'Sullivan: Cullen's shock move hinders Airport bid
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
NZ Herald: Airport Deal not so sweet after tax break blocked
NZX Press Release: AIA directors recommend shareholders sell
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


Disclosure: I own AIA shares

c Share Investor & Political Animal 2008

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Labour Party tax move on Airport attack on property rights

Stand back because I'm gunna blow!!!



http://www.fourcorners.co.nz/content/images/92/400x400normal/118761.jpg
Michael Cullen's retrospective tax changes over the AIA sale
effectively removes shareholders property rights


Additional reading on this story - direct links to article

Stuff
NBR
Radio New Zealand

Bloomberg
Southland Times



The arrogance, the stupidity, lack of moral and legal right and communist sort of garbage Michael Cullen is up to by retrospectively changing tax law to grab even more of New Zealand citizens and Auckland International Airport(AIA) shareholders money from them is not surprising, because we saw it in 2006 when the Labour government changed law in hindsight to make the theft of taxpayer money by them legal.

What is surprising is that Cullen and his mates around the cabinet table haven figured out or don't care about( I suspect they just couldn't give a hoot) the repercussions of their move: for business as a whole in the future, individuals and specifically the 50000 odd New Zealanders with shares in the airport-especially in an election year! Its just mind boggling.

We all know Cullen and his socialist mates hate private property rights and clearly business because here he is again stomping his little legislative pen and clipboard all over these rights.

That is, people have a property right in the shares they own in the airport and they have a right to sell them to whomever they wish, under the current tax laws which exist. Retrospectively changing the tax laws just because you can isn't a sensible way to oversee business because business needs to be able to function with surety of the current laws in which they trade under. They no longer have that in this respect.

By becoming involved in a transaction between its private citizens in this way the Labour Party have effectively wasted the time of all the parties involved. CPPIB , Auckland Airport and the shareholders involved.

Millions of dollars have also been flushed down the bog, because it costs to do these large deals. In this case it has cost shareholders like me money. Lots of it.

The interfering has wiped hundreds of millions from the capital value of the airport- down 13.5% or 38c to NZ$2.45- and therefore shareholders wealth and given notice to other overseas companies thinking about buying businesses in New Zealand to think again-if the government doesn't want it sold they will simply regulate in some way to stop it. It isn't your business anymore if you don't have the ultimate say about what happens to it.

Now investors know that Cullen and his minor party supporters have been against this sale from the beginning, almost 1 year ago. Winston "baubles" Peters has spoken about this many times and so has Cullen, Both early in the sale saga.

My question to Cullen is then, if you were against this sale from the beginning then why didn't you move to stop it at its inception? He certainly knew about the "tax issues" with the airport amalgamation but chose to sit on this harebrained half arsed intention till the very last minute.

He has also been aware that the announcement made today would have been consequential to the sharemarket value of AIA and has kept it secret from the NZX, CEO Mark Weldon's office and therefore the shareholders invested in AIA, and so should have informed the market alot sooner and alot less clumsier than he has.

I wonder if Weldon will be giving the minister a "please explain" letter? Doubt it.

The Canadian Pension Plan Investment board say they will "push on" with the deal and were aware of IRD approval when making their bid. I'm sure they didn't factor in todays turbulence though.

Finally, pissing off 50000 mums and dads when you have been nuked in the polls, your leader is melting down, and in an election year just isn't very bright.


Related Share Investor reading

NZ Herald: Airport Deal not so sweet after tax break blocked
NZX Press Release: AIA directors recommend shareholders sell
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


Disclosure: I own AIA shares

c Share Investor & Political Animal 2008

Thursday, February 21, 2008

Auckland Airport profit stays grounded




Full NZX profit announcement for AIA
Update on CPPIB Bid
CPPIB response to payment of Interim DIV
NZ Herald report



I haven't got much to add to today's profit announcement by Auckland International Airport
(AIA) except to point out that the total revenue for the first half up 7.9 per cent to $NZ172.325 million, even though after tax profit was down by approximately 4% to $47.5 million for the half year and all other important figures for future performance and profitability are good.

Other important key performance factors from the half:


* Total passenger movements increased 4.9 per cent to 6,449,543.

*
Retail income was up 10.4 per cent.

* Car parking income, up 15.5 per cent.

* Rental income was 15.7 per cent higher.

One can also see from the stats below that AIA makes for a good long term investment.



Revenues (m)
EBITDA (m)
Operating margin(%)
Depreciation (m)
Amortisation (m)
EBIT (m)
Net profit before abnormals (m)
Net profit (m)
Income tax rate(%)
Net profit margin(%)
Employees (thousands)
Long term debt (m)
Shareholders equity (m)
Net Gearing (%)
Net Interest Cover (x)
Return on capital(%)
Return on equity(%)
Payout ratio(%)




Although profit has stalled recently, due mainly to increased capital expenditure on expansion of terminals, retail space and other airport upkeep, revenue and passenger numbers have increased well year by year.

When shareholders vote to accept or reject the Canadian Pension Plan Investment board offer they must look at todays and past profits and look at where the airport and therefore their investment might be in 10 years time.

The Airport is paying an increased dividend of 5.75c per share to use up imputation credits should the Canadian bid take off, so the offer by the CPPIB has been reduced by the dividend payout.

Further to the merger proposal, as of yesterday, CPPIB has advised that acceptances have been lodged for 81,422,529 shares, representing 6.66 per cent of the total shares in the company.

89,267,833 shareholder votes, representing 7.30 per cent of the total shares in the company, have also been received. Of the votes received to date, 57.62 per cent are against CPPIB acquiring a 40 per cent stake and 42.38 per cent are in favour of the offer.

Slowish going so far for the CPPIB but New Zealanders are notoriously mogadonish when making decisions and tend to leave these things to the last possible moment but shareholders still have until March 13 2008 to make up their minds.


https://ost.asbbank.co.nz/581DDC9B56D4715202EDE783905236E3/Research/GetChart.ashx?url=http://asbc.iguana2.com/asb/hist/NZSE/AIA/10y/1/line/30/60/linear/vol
c ASB Securities 2008

One can see from the 10 year chart that long term shareholders have been handsomely
rewarded. Generous dividends amounting to 55.1c over 10 years plus tax credits have been
paid.


Long term AIA management seem bullish about company prospects but short term drags related to "the global economy" and "global credit tightening" appear to be excuses used to defuse shareholders expectations should profit be stagnant in the coming year.


Related Share Investor reading

Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


Disclosure: I own AIA shares


c Share Investor 2008





Thursday, December 27, 2007

Share Investor: Best and Worst of 2007

Its the time of the year where I look back on the good, the bad and the ugly in the business world during 2007, with the Inaugural Share Investor best and worst of 2007.

While there was very little good about it; finance companies going bust, management spinning stories till investors got sick with dizziness and a sharemarket that failed to catch afire, some ugliness: Helen Clark and her mates increasing taxes again and not returning them till election year 2008, and few bright sparks, Micheal Hill glittering with gold by returning healthy gains for investors.

Enough verbal diarrhea.

Lets kick it off then with the biggest prick of the year.

Wanker of the year

Little Timmy Saunders and Origin/Contact Energy win this award for steadfastly refusing to step down the aforementioned Tim Saunders and other board members on Contact Energy's board for pursuing Origin's objectives rather than the wishes of Contact Energy shareholders who wanted him gone.

Arrogance and failure were the hallmarks of Saunders reign and his failure at the head of Feltex Carpets seemed to be of benefit for his reelection to the Contact Board at the end of 2007.


IPO Disasters

While there were a number of notable failures in 2007, Xero and Carmel Fisher's Marlin, the IPO that made the biggest headlines this year was Burger Fuel.

Burger Fuel had the highest hit count on this blog on Google so while it is a favourite subject, that doesn't make it a favourite for investors when they decided where they were going to put their cold hard cash this year.

The IPO was shooting for NZ$15 million but got less than a third of that.

The shares were issued at $1.00 and never sold for that figure and have continued to slumber in the 50-60c range, where they finished today at 59c.

It doesn't look promising for 2008, given the global credit crunch so best we all shut our eyes and wish the coming year away.


Leaders of the year

It is for a company that I have a shareholding in but I cant avoid name dropping it again.

Don Braid and Bruce Plested from Mainfreight control a company that is growing profits and sales globally while at the same time having a no nonsense approach to managing his people and his company.

He put the boot in during 2007 into the Labour Government for increasing business costs and interfering with private and public companies. Clearly not afraid of any possible political backlash, New Zealand business needs more no nonsense straight talkers like this dynamic duo.


Cant wait to see the back of you award

Head and shoulders above anyone would have to be Telecom's Teresa Gattung.

Presiding over a company that failed to plan for the future and is now counting the financial cost Gattung left with a hefty payday and never looked back on her years of shareholder destruction at the helm.

Restaurant Brand's Victoria Salmon finally got pushed and her emphasis on marketing and flash over service and substance had a marked affect on sales and profit at the restaurant operator.

Its current decline was somewhat slowed latter on in 2007 but it had nothing to do with new management, it was just another small upwards cycle until the next inevitable downward spiral.


Most battered sharemarket sector

While most NZX sectors got a hammering this year, head and shoulders above the rest, without a doubt, were the retailing stocks.

Battered by high mortgage rates, gas and electricity prices and new taxes, shoppers held off spending and only did so when enticed by increasing sales by retailers.

Retailer's margins were affected and competition by the likes of Hallensteins, Postie Plus, Pumpkin Patch, The Warehouse and others meant that share prices of these retailers sank like their store sales sticker prices.

Pumpkin Patch finished the year at around half its $4.95 high and others had more than 30% come off their market caps.


Losers of 2007

Investors in the myriad of finance companies that folded this year, putting well over a billion dollars of investors money at risk.

Investors ignored the risk or were advised to take the risk by "financial advisors" and were not given the required return for risk taken.

A lesson in investing that hopefully some can learn from.


Woolpullers prize

The prize for keeping its investors and the investor public at large out of the picture would have to go to management at Sky City Entertainment.

Its ability to string out takeover proceedings and its nonsensical market statements and erroneous time frames for deadlines is a skill worthy of David Copperfield, not the manager of a New Zealand blue chip.

Hopefully the new head, Nigel Morrison
, might be able to stop the boardroom table and investors heads from spinning in 2008.

Red tape award

The red tape award has to go to the Commerce Commission for first deciding to put the kybosh on the Warehouse takeover by Foodstuffs and Woolworths and then appealing the decision by the High Court to overrule that decision.

The commission have stretched out the whole process by more than a year and it looks likely shareholders will be none the wiser until well into 2008.


Conflict of interest prize

To large shareholders in Auckland Airport, Lloyd Morrison's Infratil, Auckland and Manukau city councils and their representatives on the board.

The conflicted board members are not serving other shareholders well and put their own conflicted interests before smaller shareholders.


Fairy tale award

For those in the Green Global warming religion whose adherence to fairy tales and junk science has cost New Zealand millions already in 2007 and is set to cost us billions in 2008 and for the NZX and Mark Weldon to latch onto it by starting up a "Carbon Trading" platform in 2008.


Thank you for 2007

If it wasn't for those connected with Sharetrader getting my old share investor forum site removed from its host in July because they were afraid of a little healthy competition, this blog wouldn't have been the success it has been in the latter half of 2007.

The competition has pushed me to expand and enabled a much more immediate and larger audience than before and at this rate of growth it will easily surpass sharetrader's audience by mid 2008.

Blogging really is the way and I want to thank Philip Mac Callister for his help there!


Disclosure


I  own shares in The Warehouse,Sky City,Auckland Airport, Mainfreight, Ryman, Fisher and Paykel Healthcare, Contact



 c Share Investor 2007