Monday, March 28, 2011

Share Price Alert: Fletcher Building Ltd 2



Give to those affected by the Christchurch Quake here

Fletcher Building Ltd [FBU.NZX] has risen considerably since its previous share price alert on Feb 28. From $8.63c on close of trade on February 26 the FBU share price is currently trading up 4c at $9.07 and up 49c or approx 6% in just over one month.

The stock has rise primarily on expectations that FBU will make bumper profits during 2012 on the back of the reconstruction of Christchurch post the February 22 earthquake.

The stock has risen by around 20% since the beginning of 2011 on news of a good 2011 full year result and the quake impetus.

The only question for investors is that just when the re-construction of Christchurch can begin and of course just when the income for that re-construction appears on company books.

An additional factor probably not taken into account by investors now piling into the stock is that how on earth the company will be able to handle significant amounts of rebuilding - estimated to be revenue of approx $2 billion per annum for 10 years - without first affecting revenue in other parts of the company and indeed whether the company has enough bums on seats, equipment and raw materials (in short their own business infrastructure) to be able to complete their task adequately of being the major constructor in the Christchurch rebuild.

While the current share price is breaking 3 year highs it appears that the market now sees this stock as a relative bargain if the Christchurch factor is entered into the equation.

Proceed with caution if you are interested in this company as initial share price movements could be the market overreacting to the Christchurch quake and subsequent trading could see some selling.

Disc I own FBU shares in the Share Investor Portfolio

Share Price Alert

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c Share Investor 2011

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