Friday, March 18, 2011

Roy Morgan Poll: 17 March 2011

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The Roy Morgan Poll out today shows the national juggernaut continues to steamroll Labour opposition.

This has continued a trend of polls since the 2008 election that have seen support for national remain at around or above 50% support - higher than their vote share for the 2009 election:

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has jumped 19 points to 133.5 with 59.5% (up 10%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 26% (down 9%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

At the same time support for John Key’s National-led Government is up 1% to 54.5%. Support for Prime Minister Key’s National Party is 52.5% (up 3.5%), the Maori Party 1.5% (down 1.5%), and ACT NZ 0.5% (down 1%).

Support for Opposition Parties is down 1% to 45.5% — Labour Party 32.5% (down 2.5%), Greens 8%, (unchanged), New Zealand First 4% (up 1%), Progressive Party 0.5% (up 0.5%) and others 0.5% (unchanged).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.

It will be difficult for Phil Goff and the Labour Party to win the 2011 Election on November 26 and he must be wondering what he has to do to gain some traction with the public he clearly has little resonance with.

It looks like a bloodbath for Labour come November.

The Roy Morgan Poll -March 17 2011

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  1. Don't think it's as bad for Labour as you make you. It's likely that the National vote share will slip, NZ first continues to track higher, ACT looks dead and the greens are very much safe.

    Whilst there is no doubt that the Nats will be by far the largest party, there is as much as a 35% chance we'll end up with hydra goverment of Labour, Greens & NZ first. Dreadful Prospect.

    If Winston gets over the line and the people of Epsom reject Mr Hide, it will happen

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  3. said...

    Dont think that will happen Anon, I picked the 2008 election as a big win for the Nats while everyone else was saying it would be close.

    Anecdotaly the same feelings are out there concerning backing for the Nats over the dire alternative of Phil Goff.

    The nats would have to really do something atrocious to lose.


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