Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Burger Fuel 2010 Full Year Profit Preview


Burger Fuel Worldwide [BFW.NZ] should be releasing its 2010 full year results soon, if not this week and BFW investors and the market as a whole will be looking for a vast improvement on the 2009 result.

A $700,000.00 loss on revenue of $8 million for last year should be pared back markedly given the fortunes of other fast food companies operating in New Zealand. McDonalds, Restaurant Brands Ltd [RBD.NZ], Subway and a whole host of other quick service restaurant icons have done well during the current recession as consumers have moved downmarket from eating out at more expensive food offers as wallets and budgets have been squeezed.

Look though for an impact on the bottomline because of expansion costs in the Middle East and a subsequent evaporation of cash in the bank as a result.

More capital could be needed for any further significant expansion and the 2007 prospectus indicated that most of the growth would come from growing store numbers rather than sales per unit.

BFW gets its revenue from a percentage cut (around 8%) of sales per store and on current form the company would need to at least double revenue from the current $8 million to start making a decent profit in the low seven figure range.

That sort of result depends on opening more stores and that means more capital needed to expand, even though it is a franchisee/franchisor model.

The company is coming up to its 3 year anniversary of being listed on the NZAX board and has yet to turn a profit or show any of the overwhelmingly positive promise for results that management shouted from the rooftops pre IPO.

The 2010 result will show us whether the company is closer to achieving that and it will give investors an opportunity to compare 3 years of financials to help get a more accurate view as to whether BFW is moving in that direction or in fact has the potential to do that sometime in the future.

BFW shares are currently priced at 39c and are rarely traded.


Footnote
: BFW are releasing their 2010 full year results Monday 14 June.



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