Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Goodman Fielder turning on the DRIP

Dividend Re-investment Plans or DRIPs are a way for a company to distribute profits to shareholders by allowing them to get shares in lieu of cash.


In the normal state of affairs when the economy is in a healthy state it is a good way to keep cash flow in the company to help run the day to day machinations of your company.

Many listed NZX companies have DRIP plans.

Goodman Fielder Ltd [GFF.NZ] has taken that opportunity today by issuing a DRIP offer to its shareholders.

One other company in the Share Investor Portfolio has a DRIP plan and that is Sky City Entertainment. [SKC.NZ] Its DRIP has been running for several years and was instituted at a time when the company found itself with a little cash flow problem due to poor management leading to a couple of awful profit results.

With Goodman Fielder issuing their DRIP intentions I wonder out loud as to whether a cash flow problem might be influencing their decision to make a DRIP available.

Several NZX companies are currently making plans to improve cash flow.

Fletcher Building Ltd [FBU.NZ] signalled the sale and leaseback of their Penrose head office this week and issued millions of dollars of capital notes while Fisher & Paykel Appliances[FPA.NZ] indicated yesterday that they are looking at a capital raising.

Many other companies have issued debt and others are now planning to to get themselves through the current economic crises through prudent and some imprudent means.

Freightways Ltd [FRE.NZ] cut their dividend for example even though their 2009 half-year profit rose slightly.

Goodman's DRIP is a good move to help during these hard times but nevertheless it does leave me with a slightly uneasy feeling.

* Disclosure: I own GFF, SKC, FRE, FBU shares.


Goodman Fielder @ Share Investor

Goodman Fielder to improve bottom line in 2009
Why did you buy that stock? Goodman Fielder
Goodman Fielder hit by high commodity prices
Goodman Fielder a Hedge against an economic slump
Goodman Fielder pie gets bigger


Goodman Fielder Financials

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c Share Investor 2009

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Cindy Kiro's stance on Youth Justice lacks punch

Cindy Kiro, the pointlessly useless Children's Commissioner has whipped herself into a lather (that has got to be illegal!) over Nationals plan to to something about some of our moronic, wasted youth by putting them in "boot camps".

Tougher, longer sentences have not deterred criminals and all the evidence suggests initiatives that are punitive, employ shock-tactics, or use corrective training as the basis for reforming young offenders are largely ineffective.

"The most effective ways of reforming child and youth offenders focus on addressing the issues in their lives rather than just dishing out punishment. Reform comes from teaching them new skills for addressing their problems. "The hype around escalating serious youth offending and alleged public concerns about unsafe communities is not supported by data. The figures have stayed quite steady for the past 10 years. voxy.co.nz


Ciro underplays the seriousness of the problem and ignores the fact that "tougher sentences" are not being applied at all, in fact quite often young offenders do not get punished or get made to takes responsibility at all and that is the problem we are talking about here.

Kiro's stance is yet more evidence that she is out of touch, ignorant of the facts and not doing her job properly.


c Political Animal 2009


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Promise of Bailout bad omen for taxpayers

Seems John Key is a socialist in drag:

Prime Minister John Key has signalled that the Government could step in as a last resort to prevent renowned whiteware maker Fisher & Paykel from collapsing. Stuff.co.nz

F& P have been ripping kiwis off for 75 years with overpriced poorly made whiteware and now taxpayers could be bailing it out because of its bad management.

This is something Labour would have contemplated so is clearly the wrong thing to do.

I own shares in Sky City Entertainment and they employ 5000 people, more than 3 times of those working at F & P.

Would they bail Sky City out?

No.

Dumb Johnny dumb, let the company fold. 


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c Political Animal 2009

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Monday, February 16, 2009

Fisher & Paykel Appliance's profit downgrade continues fine tradition

Today's poor trading update announcement for Fisher & Paykel Appliances [FPA.NZ] was really of no surprise to the market as a whole and to those insiders who traded the stock down over the last week because they knew this announcement was due soon.

There will be more bad sales updates to follow methinks because today's indication only covers the last few months of trading since the previous profit announcement at the end of 2008.

I wrote back in May 2007 the main reason why I see the company having problems and it ain't the recession or the exchange rate:

While the left of Lenin media and every two-bit polly and union rep have a go with their own wide of the mark opinion, blaming the F & P move on a high dollar and high costs the fact is that F & P have never been competitive but are now being forced to by the market reality of cheap well constructed and better designed appliances coming from the very places that Fishers are now moving to...Share Investor Blog 2007

I see today that John Bongard, Company CEO, is still blaming outside influences beyond his control. Sales are down but that shouldn't account for a halving in profit.

It is bad management of costs, poor product at high costs and a siege mentality to selling that still lingers from the days when the company wouldn't allow any other brands in a store if they sold their product.

Bongard continues that tradition accepting today that he wouldn't say no to a taxpayer handout if it was offered one.

Bongard needs to fall on his sword for poor management over his tenure and now would be a good time.

I wrote on January 21 that the company was "looking fair value" at $1.32 but countered that with a warning that appliance makers were going to be hit hard.

This is clearly going to continue for sometime and likely to get worse before it gets better and there could be another profit downgrade before the company profit announcement in May.

The opportunity presents itself now for savvy investors to buy a stake in the company for less than half the price it was less than a month ago.

Fisher & Paykel are contemplating a capital raising on a pro-rata basis which means that any existing shareholder will have a right to purchase x amount of securities when it begins so if you are looking to get a stake a dilutionary effect on the share price will likely happen so you could well get shares for less than today's closing price of NZ $0.65c , down 35c on the day.

Fisher & Paykel Appliances @ Share Investor

Fisher & Paykel Appliances looking fair value
Fisher & Paykel: A Tale of Two Companies
Fisher & Paykel Appliances: In a spin over nothing

Fisher & Paykel Appliances Financial data


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c Share Investor 2009