Showing posts with label profit downgrade. Show all posts
Showing posts with label profit downgrade. Show all posts

Monday, June 8, 2009

MarketWatch: Contact Energy

Contact Energy Ltd [CEN.NZ] have come out with a profit warning this morning, lower than guidance made by the company in January 2009.

Profit for Contact’s 2009 full year is expected to be 30 –33 per cent less than the year ending 30 June 2008.

With the share price finishing at $NZ5.80 at market close on Friday there is going to be a good opportunity to get shares today a sale price - the market is going to savage Contact.

Keep in mind though that the market should have anticipated the downgrade as all the signs were there for a slight profit drop from Contacts own guidance in January 2009.

A great chance to stock up for this good long-term company.

Remember, it is still making a profit and will only continue to increase those profits over the long-term.

Related Share Investor Reading

Marketwatch: Contact Energy
Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Follow the Monopoly Board


Contact Energy Investor Info


Related Amazon Reading

The End of a Natural Monopoly: Deregulation and Competition in the Electric Power Industry
The End of a Natural Monopoly: Deregulation and Competition in the Electric Power Industry by Peter Grossman
Buy new: $180.00 / Used from: $156.60
Usually ships in 24 hours


c Share Investor 2009

Monday, February 16, 2009

Fisher & Paykel Appliance's profit downgrade continues fine tradition

Today's poor trading update announcement for Fisher & Paykel Appliances [FPA.NZ] was really of no surprise to the market as a whole and to those insiders who traded the stock down over the last week because they knew this announcement was due soon.

There will be more bad sales updates to follow methinks because today's indication only covers the last few months of trading since the previous profit announcement at the end of 2008.

I wrote back in May 2007 the main reason why I see the company having problems and it ain't the recession or the exchange rate:

While the left of Lenin media and every two-bit polly and union rep have a go with their own wide of the mark opinion, blaming the F & P move on a high dollar and high costs the fact is that F & P have never been competitive but are now being forced to by the market reality of cheap well constructed and better designed appliances coming from the very places that Fishers are now moving to...Share Investor Blog 2007

I see today that John Bongard, Company CEO, is still blaming outside influences beyond his control. Sales are down but that shouldn't account for a halving in profit.

It is bad management of costs, poor product at high costs and a siege mentality to selling that still lingers from the days when the company wouldn't allow any other brands in a store if they sold their product.

Bongard continues that tradition accepting today that he wouldn't say no to a taxpayer handout if it was offered one.

Bongard needs to fall on his sword for poor management over his tenure and now would be a good time.

I wrote on January 21 that the company was "looking fair value" at $1.32 but countered that with a warning that appliance makers were going to be hit hard.

This is clearly going to continue for sometime and likely to get worse before it gets better and there could be another profit downgrade before the company profit announcement in May.

The opportunity presents itself now for savvy investors to buy a stake in the company for less than half the price it was less than a month ago.

Fisher & Paykel are contemplating a capital raising on a pro-rata basis which means that any existing shareholder will have a right to purchase x amount of securities when it begins so if you are looking to get a stake a dilutionary effect on the share price will likely happen so you could well get shares for less than today's closing price of NZ $0.65c , down 35c on the day.

Fisher & Paykel Appliances @ Share Investor

Fisher & Paykel Appliances looking fair value
Fisher & Paykel: A Tale of Two Companies
Fisher & Paykel Appliances: In a spin over nothing

Fisher & Paykel Appliances Financial data


Related Amazon Reading


From Brand Vision to Brand Evaluation, Second Edition: The strategic process of growing and strengthening brands

From Brand Vision to Brand Evaluation, Second Edition: The strategic process of growing and strengthening brands by Leslie de Chernatony
Buy new: $46.22 / Used from: $37.99
Usually ships in 24 hours

c Share Investor 2009

Friday, June 27, 2008

MarketWatch: The Warehouse Group (UPDATE)

Time to poke a few investors pockets out there. If you are not already aware, The Warehouse Group [WHS.NZX] shares have taken a beating over the last few weeks and were at lows of NZ$4.19, down 32c at close of trading today.

The slide was on thin volume of just over 400,000 shares.

Today's share price slide was due to a profit downgrade and new guidance to the 27 July of a 10% drop in earnings to between NZ$84-88 million.

If you are a regular reader of this blog you will already know that The Warehouse is currently suspended in the throes of a possible buyout, with a bidding war from 2 prospective buyers on the cards, should an Appeal Court decision currently pending fall in favour of selling the company and its assets to a new owner- in this case Foodstuffs or Woolworth's Australia. [WOW:ASX]

To those who don't know, check out this blog and its further reading on the subject and make your mind up yourself.

There is talk of 8 bucks or more per share and there is clear serious short to medium money to be made and in the current market that is not to be passed up.

I know I usually witter on about long term portfolio purchases but I am not adverse to stocking up if there is a quick buck to be made as well.



Disclosure: I own WHS shares



The Warehouse Group @ Share Investor

Long vs Short: The Warehouse Group
Warehouse bidders ready to lay money down
The Warehouse set to cut lose "extra" impediment
The Warehouse sale could hinge on "Extra" decision
The case for The Warehouse without a buyer
Foodstuffs take their foot off the gas
Woolworths seek leave to appeal to Supreme Court
Warehouse appeal decision imminent
Warehouse decision a loser for all
Warehouse Court of appeal decision in Commerce Commission's favour
MARKETWATCH: The Warehouse
The Warehouse takeover saga continues
Why did you buy that stock? [The Warehouse]
History of Warehouse takeover players suggest a long winding road
Court of Appeal delays Warehouse bid
The Warehouse set for turbulent 2008
The Warehouse Court of Appeal case lay in "Extras" hands
WHS Court of Appeal case could be dismissed next week
Commerce Commission impacts on the Warehouse bottom line
The Warehouse in play
Outcomes of Commerce Commission decision
The fight for control begins soon

Share Investor Forum-Discuss this topic


Related Links

NZX WHS profit downgrade announcement

The Warehouse Financial Data


Related Amazon Reading


Essential Stock Picking Strategies: What Works on Wall Street

Essential Stock Picking Strategies: What Works on Wall Street by Daniel A. Strachman
Buy new: $29.95 / Used from: $5.04
Usually ships in 24 hours



c Share Investor 2008 & 2009