Thursday, September 10, 2009

Questions to Mainfreight's MD Don Braid

Due to the popularity of the Q & A this week with Nigel Morrison, CEO of Sky City Entertainment Group [SKC.NZ] I have decided to make these things a semi regular thing at the Share Investor Blog.

One individual I have always wanted to put some questions to is Mainfreight Ltd [MFT.NZ] Managing Director Don Braid.

I have requested his time and he has kindly obliged to answer your questions.

So, now is the chance dear readers to put some questions to Don.

You can submit them at the Share Investor Forum here or email them to me here and I will submit the best ones to Don.

Disclosure: I own MFT shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Mainfreight @ Share Investor

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Discuss this Company @ Share Investor Forum


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c Share Investor 2009

Sunday, September 6, 2009

Not so fast Davy Boy

Look at the result from Mighty River Power out this week, profit up by over 40% and retail customers up by over 30000 for the last year.

Contrast that with Contact Energy Ltd [CEN.NZ] FY 2009 profit release out in August. Profit down by more than 50% and retail customers lost, more than 40000.

Reason?

Well according to David Baldwin, CEO , it was "overconfidence" (see arrogance in the dictionary for possible explanation) that led to the spectacular drop in profit and associated loss of customers and reputation:

"There's a fair amount of reflection over what we've done in Contact and it has to be said hubris had been building up over several years."

The 45-year-old is urging his staff to re-adjust their thinking.

"If we assume that everything good that happens to us is all good luck then we won't carry that confidence [forward] and we'll start afresh." NZ Herald Sept 5 2009

Of course if you accept that arrogance is the reason for the slump in profit you would have to sheet the responsibility for that arrogant attitude down to the company leader/s, after all we know that company culture is fostered by its leadership right?

Well, apparently not. David was nice enough to share the responsibility for his muck up with his staff.

Weather plays an important part in company fortunes and boy oh boy meteorologically speaking David has had a bitch of a year with that.

Of course that is understandable, weather is crucial to running an electricity utility company and that is plain to the average Joe but I have rarely seen David blame the weather when it is in his company's favour, it seems to be down to his good management. Boy David has some great connections there - as opposed to the 40000 connection lost over the last 12 months.

Many of you reading this will be thinking, what is your problem Mr Rickard, any company can have a bad year?

Very true and there can be many reasons for a bad year, some of them out of leaderships hands but these reasons are universally known and should be accounted for when running a business.

The big problem that I have though with Origin Energy Ltd [ORG.ASX] appointed David Baldwin is that he and his board of directors were almost single-handedly responsible for Contact's bad year.

They raised electricity prices (probably validly) at a time when they doubled directors fees while in the same week having an expensive lunch at a posh restaurant on the shareholder tit. The shite then hit the fan and they waved bye bye to more than 40000 customers and what they had left of their reputation.

Very few individuals will put their hands up and criticise such a monumental stuff up and put the blame on where it lies, with David.

The piece that I quoted from in the NZ Herald was so soft soap I have to rub myself down (control your excitement) again with dettol just to feel clean again.

The fact that David and his board are still employed after their stuff up is hard enough to stomach but his PR exercise of apportioning blame to everyone else rather than solely on himself is a business slight of hand often used in New Zealand to bury ones mistakes as time passes and it should not be accepted by Contact Energy shareholders.

David, the board, his executives and the puppet masters at Origin Energy should be ashamed, but it is clear that they are not and that is the cutting part.


Contact @ Share Investor Blog


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c Share Investor 2009

Friday, September 4, 2009

Woolworths supermarket consolidation an indicator of a move on The Warehouse?

Just to get my mind off problems related to our 3 week old baby girl stranded in Bangkok I thought I would have a go at discussing The Warehouse Group [WHS.NZ] and its possible connection to the strong rumour over the weekend that Progressive, owner and operator of Foodtown, Countdown and Woolworths supermarkets is going to consolidate their 3 brands into their "low-cost" brand Countdown.

Apart from the fact that I don't think it is a clever idea to ditch two great brands I think this process could be significant in the ongoing battle between Foodstuffs and Woolworths Ltd [WOW.AU] - owner of progressive - for control over the Warehouse.

I will tell you why I think this.

In trying to make things less confusing for consumers, by consolidating brands and possibly saving money on admin and other business costs, Woolworth's Oz could be ready to make their play for the red sheds.

With one supermarket brand instead of three, that leaves room for another brand, like a general merchant such as the Warehouse to fill the brand void.

It is a little bit of a leap in thought I know but it makes alot of sense from a brand and business point of view.

There have been some interesting moves by Wesfarmers Ltd [WES.ASX] in OZ lately - Woolworths Oz main competitor - they are the owner of Coles supermarkets and other brands and they are consolidating their food offers to the cheaper end of town as well.

This consolidation towards the bargain end of retailing is a global phenomenon currently, as businesses react to the economic downturn. As The Warehouse is the largest non grocery retailer in New Zealand and consistently its cheapest, as such it would be a perfect fit for Woolworth's Oz bargain priced Countdown food brand.

There are also a number of Westfield Holdings Ltd [WSF.ASX] mall sites in the country with both a Foodtown and a Countdown and presumably there would be a space left empty in some towns for a different store to take its place.

Two distinct brands covering a massive product reach under one company.

Makes sense to me.

Please keep in mind I am a WHS shareholder.

The Warehouse Group @ Share Investor

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c Share Investor 2009