Showing posts with label low interest rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label low interest rates. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

It's all about the Return


Image result for investment returns in a inflation cartoons

It's all about the return.

After real estate, for better or for worse, the NO 2 investment is the stockmarket.

But what we have here is diff - I changed what I was going to talk about after a well earned nap.

We have interest rates at an ALL TIME LOW.

When you change something so fundamental - forget the reason why they "had" to change - to the structure of the economy you are going to get distortions.

In this case your going to get assets - and having a share is an asset - priced way ahead of where they actually should be.

But that's normal now.

So what I'm saying is.

Until this all comes crashing down - who knows it could be right now - then rightly or wrongly. And I would say wrongly. Your just going to get the housing market - sorry to Kirsty Merriman for this one - and the sharemarket will follow. Until the last 10th of a percentage point I fear is going to be wrung out of those.

So your Meridian Energy your Contact Energy everything with a return will get hammered up and up.

When do I get out? If your me I wouldn't be too concerned.

But what goes up eventually settles down to somewhere more manageable.

I leave the rest for up to you to decide.







c Share Investor 2019




Saturday, March 30, 2019

Share Price Alert : Contact Energy 14




My pick for the 20 Feb was this one and its just about to pass the $7 mark - its @ $6.94c - which it is what I said was the mark to look at selling.

Which I have yesterday with a small portion.

BUT what I didn't count on was this, the continuation of the low, low interest rates that continue to haunt the globe - I don't agree with this but that is another story for another day.

Interest rates look to be on hold or indeed downwards. What do investors need and in fact what they did do this week? They bought stock on the NZX. Not just Contact Energy but many of the other energy retailers and anything else with a financial pulse. In fact the NZX finished the quarter on an all-time high.

My guess is that they will continue to buy this stock in particular because it has a return of just over 5% and looks set for a bigger return this Aug when they will report a big one, no doubt, along with a 20c DIV.

So even though I initially said now was a time to think of selling what happened this week to interest rates for me would add another 50c or so to bring my price to $7.50.

Get out at that price if you will or continue to hold, like me AND collect the DIVS.

AND remember these low interest rates are set to continue for at least 2 years.

Invest/trade wisely!!!



CEN @ Share Investor

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c Share Investor 2019