Thursday, April 26, 2007

Restaurant Brands FY 2007




RESTAURANT BRANDS NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

Directors' Report to Shareholders for the Year ended 28 February 2007

Note: The company adopted International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in the current financial year. All prior year comparisons have been restated under IFRS to enable a clearer comparison.

Key Points

o Total sales for New Zealand operations were $293.6 million, up 1.7% on prior year with same store sales up 0.8%.

o Record sales for KFC at $182.7 million (up 7.1% on a same store basis) and Starbucks Coffee $31.3 million, (up 3.2% same store).

o Group Net Profit after Tax (excluding non trading items) was $6.5 million, down 47% on prior year, mainly due to a disappointing result for Pizza Hut.

o Sale of the Pizza Hut Victoria business has been largely completed with 27 stores sold to independent franchisees or closed as at balance date, five more stores settled subsequent to balance date, and sale and purchase agreements in place for most the remaining 18.

o Non trading charges of $14.4 million largely arising from exit costs and write downs on the Pizza Hut Victoria investment resulted in a reported Group Net Loss after Tax of $3.6 million.

o The KFC brand transformation continued its roll out with significant sales growth in 21 transformed or new stores and further stores planned or under construction for the new fiscal year.

o The KFC master franchise for New Zealand was renewed 9 months early with extra 10+10 year franchises for transformed stores.

o The final fully imputed dividend has been reduced to 3.0 cents per share pending improvements in the company's trading performance and cash flow position.

Group Operating Results

The 2006/7 year has been a difficult one for the company with a strong performance by the KFC business offset by a major deterioration in the trading position for the Pizza Hut businesses in New Zealand and Victoria.

Net Profit after Tax excluding non trading items was $6.5 million for the year compared to $12.3 million for the prior year. A $1.6 million improvement in KFC EBITDA was not sufficient to counteract a $6.8 million decline in Pizza Hut earnings in New Zealand.

Non-trading charges of $14.4 million mainly comprised $9.9 million in write offs and exit costs from the Pizza Hut Victoria investment, together with fixed asset write offs under the KFC transformation programme, Pizza Hut New Zealand impairment charges and costs arising from recent takeover activity.

Total sales were $318.7 million up 0.7% on prior while New Zealand operations sales were $293.6 million up 1.7%. Both KFC and Starbucks Coffee demonstrated solid sales growth, up 7.1% and 3.2% respectively on a same store basis, but Pizza Hut New Zealand sales dropped $9.4 million to $79.7 million for the year.

Store EBITDA for the year was down $8.1 million to $37.0 million largely on the back of the reduced Pizza Hut earnings.

Above store overheads (G&A costs) were reduced by 7.8% on prior year with some cost reductions in New Zealand and a downsizing of the Australian operations.

Depreciation charges were flat to prior year with increases from KFC transformation capex offset by cessation of a depreciation charge in Pizza Hut Victoria with the reclassification of the Australian business as held for sale.

Year end store numbers at 237 in New Zealand were two down on February 2006 following some Pizza Hut store closures. Twenty three stores are left in Australia at balance date, with 5 settling shortly after.

KFC

KFC operations continued to build strong sales and improving margins as the impact of the store transformation programme gathered momentum. Total sales of $182.7 million set a new record for the brand up 6.3% (7.1% same store) on the prior year. This was especially pleasing given the number of stores closed for transformation work and the removal of the delivery business from the last six stores.

Earnings were also up strongly, with EBITDA improving by $1.6 million (5.4%) to $31.2 million (17.1% of sales).

A further 11 stores were transformed over the year bringing total transformed store numbers to 21, nearly a quarter of the total network. Eight are scheduled for completion in the new fiscal year.

At 87, store numbers were down one on the prior year with two stores closing at lease end and one new store opening in Rototuna near Hamilton.

Pizza Hut New Zealand

A particularly difficult year for the Pizza Hut New Zealand business saw some significant reductions in sales volumes with consequent flow on effects to profitability. The impact of major competitor growth and aggressive pricing activity saw sales drop 10.5% to $79.7 million for the year (down 11.8% same store).

The impact of the drop in sales, together with cost increases, particularly in labour, saw margins suffer accordingly, with the brand producing an EBITDA result of $5.1 million for the year, $6.8 million down on prior year.

A number of new operational and marketing initiatives are underway to address the shortfall which will arrest this decline in the new financial year.

One store opened in the period, being Hobson Street in Auckland. A number of stores were relocated and delco stores built to replace red roof restaurants. As part of the announced strategy of progressively closing red roofs, four of these restaurants were closed over the year, bringing store numbers to 103.

Starbucks Coffee

With continued sales growth of 12.2% the Starbucks Coffee business produced total sales of $31.3 million for the year. Sales grew 3.2% on a same store basis.

The combined impact of higher labour costs and lower exchange rate last year meant that the brand was under some margin pressure. Starbucks EBITDA was $3.6 million, $0.3 million behind prior year. Some price increases and a weaker US dollar will assist in addressing this in the new year.

Three new stores were opened at Symonds Street and Sylvia Park in Auckland and Chartwell in Hamilton. This brought store numbers to 47 by year end.

Pizza Hut Victoria, Australia

Following the company's announcement in April 2006 of its intention to exit this business, there has been an active campaign to sell stores off to independent franchisees. This has proved to be a difficult and drawn out process in dealing with landlords, potential new franchisees and Yum! as franchisor.

Twenty-seven stores were sold or closed over the year with another five settling immediately after year end. The company has agreements for sale on twelve out of the remaining eighteen with full exit expected by the end of the calendar year.

As the sale process has proceeded, the business has incurred further losses, finishing the year with an EBITDA loss at $2.9 million. No further losses are anticipated to be incurred for this business in the new financial year.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet

The deterioration of the Pizza Hut trading position in both Australia and New Zealand has flowed through to a reduction in operating cash flows to $20.8 million from $28.2 million in the prior year.

The Company made net investments totaling $29.7 million in new stores, store upgrades and information technology over the year. Expenditure on KFC stores comprised more than half of the total invested, with franchise fees (mainly KFC franchise renewals) comprising another $2.9 million.

As a result, borrowing levels have increased over prior year with bank debt up to $48.6 million. New banking facilities of $70 million were put in place at year end to meet future requirements.

Accounting Policies

This is the Company's first annual report to shareholders to be completed under the International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS). Full details of material changes to accounting policies will be in the annual report and are published on the Company's website, www.restaurantbrands.co.nz.

Under the new accounting standards, the company no longer amortises goodwill. It has however reviewed the carrying value of goodwill for its Pizza Hut New Zealand investment on the basis of future estimated cash flows from the business and taken up an impairment of $1.1 million on the carrying value of its investment. The company has also recognized in the current year an estimated value for any future losses on the remaining stores in its Australian investment.

Franchise Renewals

The company renewed the KFC franchise for most of its stores in August 2006, nine months ahead of schedule. As part of these negotiations it secured an option to take a further 20 year franchise on its KFC transformed stores. A further number of Pizza Hut franchises become eligible for renewal in May 2007.

Board and Management

During the year, Mr Bill Falconer resigned as a director. The board records its thanks to Mr Falconer who had been chairman since the company was floated in 1997. Mr Ted van Arkel assumed the role of chairman in July 2006.

Sue Suckling was appointed to fill a casual vacancy in June 2006.

Vicki Salmon resigned as director and chief executive in March 2007. She too had been a director of the company from the beginning and the board also recognizes her contribution.


Dividend

Given the reduction in earnings in the past year and the associated adverse impact on cash flow, together with the significant capital commitments in the KFC transformation project and franchise renewal payments, the board has elected to reduce the final dividend to 3.0 cents per share. This brings the total dividend for the year to 5.5 cents.

The dividend will be paid on 29 June 2007 as fully imputed to all shareholders on the register as at 5pm, 15 June 2007. A supplementary dividend of 0.52941 cents per share will also be paid to overseas shareholders on that date.

The dividend reinvestment plan will remain suspended for this dividend.

Outlook

KFC is expected to continue to generate sales and margin growth at levels consistent with the current year. The company will continue to invest significant levels of capital in order to complete its store transformation programme.

Directors expect the Pizza Hut New Zealand business to see a recovery in both sales and margin, but this will take some time as new operational and marketing initiatives take effect. The progressive closure of a number of red roof stores will assist margins.

Starbucks Coffee will see continued sales growth and a margin improvement on prior year.

While the 2006/7 year was particularly difficult, the directors fully expect that the large number of changes being made to the Pizza Hut New Zealand business, coupled with the final exit from Victoria and the continuing positive momentum in KFC, will deliver a significant improvement in operational performance in 2007/8.


For more information contact:

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited
Ted van Arkel, Chairman or Grant Ellis, Company Secretary

Phone: (09) 525 8722


RESULTS FOR ANNOUNCEMENT TO THE MARKET
APPENDIX I (Rule 10.4)
PRELIMINARY FULL YEAR REPORT ANNOUNCEMENT
Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited
(Name of Listing Issuer)
For Full Year Ended 28 February 2007
(referred to in this report as the "current full year")

Preliminary Full year report on consolidated results (including the results for the previous corresponding full year) in accordance with Listing Rule 10.4.2.

This report has been prepared in a manner which complies with generally accepted accounting practice and gives a true and fair view of the matters to which the report relates and is based on audited financial statements. If the report is based on audited financial statements, any qualification made by the auditor is to be attached.

The Listed Issuer has a formally constituted Audit Committee of the Board of Directors.

Reporting Period 12 months to 28 February 2007
Previous Reporting Period 12 months to 28 February 2006

Amount (000s) Percentage change
Revenue from ordinary activities NZ$294,061 1.7%
Profit (loss) from ordinary activities after tax attributable to security holder. NZ$6,307 (55.2)%
Net profit (loss) attributable to security holders. NZ$(3,554) (168.4)%

Interim/Final Dividend Amount per security Imputed amount per security
NZ 3.0 cents NZ 1.477611 cents

Record Date 15 June 2007
Dividend Payment Date 29 June 2007

Comments The Company's Australian investment has been classified as a discontinued operation and a net deficit of NZ$9.861 million for this business recorded in the current financial year. The result from ordinary activities represents New Zealand operations only.


Restaurant Brands @ Share Investor

Finger Lick'n Good Management
Chart of the Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Long Term View: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Stock of Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Restaurant Brands: Buy or Sell ?
Pizza Hut sell-off provide opportunities all-round
Danny Diab & Restaurant Brands
2008-2009 KFC sales figures mislead investors
KFC Finally Flying
Starbuck's New Zealand Cup doesn't runneth over
RBD gives KFC a push
McDonald's playing chicken with KFC
Restaurant Brand's Pizza Hut faces increasing competition
RBD sales analysis
RBD saga continues: CEO leaves
The secret recipe is out
2007 FY profit analysis
Delivering increased profit in October 2007
No reason for optimism in latest sales figures

Discuss RBD @ Share Investor Forum



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c Share Investor 2007

Monday, March 19, 2007

RBD: The Secret Recipe is out



I was completely unaware of this:

It bought bankrupt Pizza Hut restaurants in Victoria and a new Australian competitor, Eagle Boys, in New Zealand.

The first buy - encouraged by Yum! and sweetened with A$3 million ($3.41 million) in marketing spending - has been a millstone for years and is only now being disposed of after months of wrangling with Yum!

It makes the purchase of Pizza Hut VIC an even worse folly than it turned out to be-although I was ever hopeful that RBD would get it right.

I just have to ask myself why didn't the market know about this "incentive" before or did i just miss this info when it came out?

Wouldn't one have to ask oneself, if one was a RBD board member: " the chain is bankrupt AND they are giving us a monetary incentive to buy it, shouldn't we question seriously why YUM would be this accommodating?"

Was it stupidity, naivety or just plain lack of business acumen that would led RBD along this path and to their close demise as a whole?

I would pick lack of business acumen. Knowing the figures, margins,royalties to YUM and other costs they should have known whether it was a goer right from the onset AND secondly the point where they should have known to let go, sooner as it turns out.

Just an important point about the margins, perhaps Diab's experience should have been viewed with more scrutiny:

Even a Restaurant Brands board member, Australian entrepreneur Danny Diab, says he's had no problems running his privately owned Pizza Hut franchises across the Tasman.

The differences between profit and loss for the business is that Diab's' PH don't have the extra layer of costs that RBD management bring to the table. Because margins are as thin as a Pizza Hut topping there is no room for fat at any level .

Of course Diab's hands-on running of his outlets, like Dominos' store owners, makes the difference in service and quality, although I would argue that DOM does it much better.

Cut management numbers and boost service levels, the first things I would do if I
was CEO.


Restaurant Brands @ Share Investor

Finger Lick'n Good Management
Chart of the Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Long Term View: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Stock of Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Restaurant Brands: Buy or Sell ?
Pizza Hut sell-off provide opportunities all-round
Danny Diab & Restaurant Brands
2008-2009 KFC sales figures mislead investors
KFC Finally Flying
Starbuck's New Zealand Cup doesn't runneth over
RBD gives KFC a push
McDonald's playing chicken with KFC
Restaurant Brand's Pizza Hut faces increasing competition
RBD sales analysis
RBD saga continues: CEO leaves
The secret recipe is out
2007 FY profit analysis
Delivering increased profit in October 2007
No reason for optimism in latest sales figures



Amazon


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c Share Investor 2007



Thursday, March 15, 2007

Restaurant Brands Saga Continues



So...Vicki Salmon has been swimming against the river of opinion for her to go and finally she has. Has it has taken her 10 years to decide that the fortunes of RBD are gradually in decline or has she milked enough moola as a director and CEO, 1.2M over the last 4 years and around the same for the previous 6 years, that she figured it was time to go.

I have been critical of her since her placement as head chef at RBD and she has more than lived up to my low expectations of her. Under her stewardship profit has declined more than under her predecessor and service levels and food quality at KFC and Pizza Hut have resembled a similar flight path much the same as the proverbial flightless bird the kiwi.

I made a comment about her flashy dress-sense at the time of her placement as CEO, calling her in effect a "Flash Harry" ; all image and little substance. Her continual emphasis on how stores looked and how marketing was done was continually being let down by the complete disregard to service and the customer experience.

Competitors in this hard fought industry have overtaken RBDs past dominance of the QSR sector and real sales and profit continue to slip.

Analysts and financial commentators continue to trumpet Vicki's' "success" in the turnaround of KFC's' fortunes. What bloody turnaround would that be? 5M dollars more sold than their best year, behind when inflation is taken into account by 25-30% and even further behind when one considers recent stats indicating very healthy increases in the fast food sector.

How bad does one have to be as a CEO to be given the rooster?

Sadly , Vicki leaving/being pushed ain't gonna cut it either. When you consider the poor calibre of management ,just below Vicki, at board level and then the detritus that makes up region, area and store managers then as a shareholder you would have to be worried that the management direction of RBD, will be, like the aforementioned Salmon, have RBDs' fortunes swimming weakly upstream.


Restaurant Brands @ Share Investor

Finger Lick'n Good Management
Chart of the Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Long Term View: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Stock of Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Restaurant Brands: Buy or Sell ?
Pizza Hut sell-off provide opportunities all-round
Danny Diab & Restaurant Brands
2008-2009 KFC sales figures mislead investors
KFC Finally Flying
Starbuck's New Zealand Cup doesn't runneth over
RBD gives KFC a push
McDonald's playing chicken with KFC
Restaurant Brand's Pizza Hut faces increasing competition
RBD sales analysis
RBD saga continues: CEO leaves
The secret recipe is out
2007 FY profit analysis
Delivering increased profit in October 2007
No reason for optimism in latest sales figures

Discuss RBD @ Share Investor Forum
Download RBD company reports


Amazon


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c Share Investor 2007

Thursday, March 8, 2007

Restaurant Brands 2007 Sales Analysis

The latest sales release from RBD can be described best as, same crap different year.

Lets have a closer look:


KFC


KFC ended the financial year with the highest total sales ever at $182.7m, an increase of 6.3 per cent over the prior year. Same store sales increased 7.1 per cent for the full year, the highest annual same store sales growth.


In pure dollar terms yes KFC is 5m ahead of sales figures of 2002 , less than a 3% increase but when you factor in inflation, at a generous figure to RBD of 3%, that increase in sales is more than wiped out in one year. Extrapolate that 3% out over 5 years and you can see KFC is still hurting badly. I'm being generous to KFC and disregarding increased wages, utilities, raw product costs.


"The transformation of KFC is clearly gaining momentum as we combine store revamps with some innovative new products and a successful promotional calendar," she said today.


Now where did I hear that word "transformation" before. Yes! it was on the cover of the 2000 annual report, That was the buzz word for the year-looks like it was Vicki's' idea because she has wheeled it out again this year.


Transformation, specifically related to KFC in the 2000 report:


"..transformation of KFC with the introduction of innovative burger and snack products and store upgrades..."


AND


"...the KFC brand has been re-inventing itself...the continued store upgrade...provide(s) customers with the excitement of a vibrant,fast moving brand..."


All sounds eerily familiar to today's statement.


Vicki has a focus on marketing even in her press releases, I cant wait for this years report for some new buzz words.


Watch KFC in the face of competition from other chicken chains, notably Red Rooster. KFC is now offering whole roast chickens, as RR has always done. I put the idea of providing roast chickens to the head of KFC 7 years ago but he told me it wasn't viable because of the costs involved-oh how times change.



Pizza Hut


Not much to be said really, the figures speak for themselves:


For the full year, total Pizza Hut New Zealand sales were down 10.5 per cent to $79.7m, with same store sales declining 11.8 per cent.


In the face of competition from Domino's, complacent RBD management have let this brand suffer so much the amount of dough in their pizzas can now be seen from space. I remember Vicki saying something like "...we are not worried about the competition..." when Domino's first came on the scene. Look at Domino's now, we have never been back to PH since Domino's opened and sales figures suggest alot of others have done the same.



Starbucks


Ironically this brand used to be the straggler, now sales are increasing and all looks good. Except it still operates at a loss because operating costs are too high. Rent of some of those CBD outlets of theirs is killing the very reason for them being in business.



Summary


The focus by Vicki and her troupe on style over substance-brand image is just that if there is trouble in the kitchen: high management cost, poor service. There was no mention, and there should be, of service levels and what they are doing to make them acceptable, so we can only assume by the service in front of house that they are doing a big fat nothing.


In the face of competition RBD is an immovable feast: complacent at best and slow to react . Witness the demolition of Pizza Hut by Domino's and then wonder what might happen to KFC in the face of a bigger Red Rooster or Church's Chicken of America(cover your eyes it ain't going to be pretty)


Looking through nearly ten years of RBD reports, one must come to the conclusion that RBD, while going up and down in fortune, as QSRs do, it keeps going further down when it is down and never quite reaching the previous peak when its fortunes are up.


The future does not look good and recent talk of takeover activity(doubtful according to todays spin) may only happen when the next valley RBD gets into is unable to be got out of by spending more shareholders money on a new marketing plan, when it is the S in QSR that is sadly missing from RBD management's secret recipe.



Restaurant Brands @ Share Investor


KFC finally flying

Starbuck's New Zealand Cup doesnt runneth over
RBD gives KFC a push
McDonalds playing chicken with KFC
Restaurant Brand's Pizza Hut faces increasing competition
RBD sales analysis
RBD saga continues: CEO leaves
The secret recipe is out
2007 FY profit analysis
Delivering increased profit in October 2007
No reason for optimism in latest sales figures






c Share Investor 2007