As a shareholder are you feeling generous towards the companies you have in your portfolio?
Whether you are or not you may have to make a choice to chase what could be good money after bad in 2009.
The dearth of cash and credit available from normal sources-like banks-to keep businesses running, especially during the current recession, is undoubtedly going to lead to some New Zealand listed companies putting out their caps to shareholders to enable them to keep trading over the difficult times to come.
There will be some capital raising through; debt raising via bond issues, rights/cash issues and or private placements with big institutions.
Usually the domain of start up companies and especially popular during the tech bubble of the late 1990s, the terms for rights issues and other forms of capital raising was relaxed by the NZX on November 26 2008 as an answer to the credit crunch.
Both rights issues and private placements dilute existing shareholders shareholdings and of course extra debt laden onto company balance sheets through alternative methods of capital raising will impact somewhere down the line.
I would favour a rights issue or private placement myself.
I could speculate here and name a few names that might be ready to pass the begging bowl around-I am not going to-but we can be fairly sure that any company with high to medium borrowings set to mature soon and without sufficient sales and or assets to allow themselves the ability to borrow off a bank is going to have to go to shareholders with the bowl.
Of course the length of time the recession plays out will mean more companies will need to avail themselves of shareholder cash or other methods of capital raising.
There is no guarantee of course that shareholders would be willing, or able, to take a further risk by contributing their hard-earned cash and this shareholder will certainly be wanting the bargain of the century before he plunks down further cash towards any company in the Share Investor Portfolio.
The million dollar question remains though and is a more than likely scenario. What happens if the cash isn't forthcoming?
Short of a mysterious benefactor, one of those struggling investment banks or an angel investor ready to take a big slice of the company, the answer is of course bankruptcy.
Time to get out the checkbook?
Recent Share Investor reading
Long vs Short: The Warehouse Group
February 2009 reporting season to headline a bad year
Share Investor's 2009 stock picks
Shareinvestorforum.com - Discuss this topic
Related links
NZX release on capital raising relaxation (PDF)
From Fishpond.co.nz
Buy Every Bastard Says No - The 42 Below Story, by Geoff Ross & Justine Troy & more @ Fishpond.co.nz
c Share Investor 2009
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Capital raising set to become popular in 2009
Posted by Share Investor at 5:36 PM 0 comments
Labels: capital raising, cash issue, rights issue
Monday, January 12, 2009
"Rag Heads" unite in hatred of the West.
Indeed, a formal enemy is all but superfluous to requirements. Bomb us, and we agonize over the "root causes." Decapitate us, and our politicians rush to the nearest mosque to declare that "Islam is a religion of peace." Issue bloodcurdling calls at Friday prayers to kill all the Jews and infidels, and we fret that it may cause a backlash against Muslims. Behead sodomites and mutilate female genitalia, and gay groups and feminist groups can't wait to march alongside you denouncing Bush and Blair. Murder a schoolful of children, and our scholars explain that to the "vast majority" of Muslims "jihad" is a harmless concept meaning "healthy-lifestyle low-fat granola bar." Thus the lopsided valse macabre of our times: the more the Islamists step on our toes, the more we waltz them gaily round the room.
America Alone: The End of the World As We Know It by Mark Steyn Buy new: $11.53 / Used from: $9.54 Usually ships in 24 hours |
Posted by Share Investor at 8:16 PM 1 comments
Labels: America Alone, Mark Steyn, muslim extremism
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Long vs Short: The Warehouse Group
In this third installment of the Long vs Short series I am once again going to take look at the chart comparisons for a stock from the Share Investor Portfolio and compare the 10 year return (above) to the turmoil of the last year with a 1 year return chart (bottom of post).
In this series I want to show the merits of investing, using charts, for the long-term vs short term gains or losses. I will use the longest available data to me for the long-term view and will compare against the NZX50.
My Portfolio |
| ||
Symbol | Price | Value | Earned |
$3.63 | $29040 | $-11760 | |
You own 8000 [WHS.NZ] shares
purchased at $5.10 [$40800] |
The third stock in the series will be The Warehouse Ltd [WHS.NZ] which I have held in this particular portfolio for 16 months, so the returns will clearly not be as good as the longer term companies in my portfolio and will mirror more closely the one year chart (see bottom of post) rather than the 10 year one, which shows a healthy 270% return.
After dividends and tax credits are taken into consideration, my 16 month return is minus 25% ( see small chart above)pretty much the same as the one year return indicated in the chart below and par for the course considering the current market depression.
The long-term hold proposition wins again with the 270% or annualised 27% return beating any other stock in my portfolio.
Shame I haven't held it for 10 years though.
Long vs Short series
Mainfreight Ltd
Sky City Entertainment
The Warehouse Group @ Share Investor
Warehouse bidders ready to lay money down
The Warehouse set to cut lose "extra" impediment
The Warehouse sale could hinge on "Extra" decision
The case for The Warehouse without a buyer
Foodstuffs take their foot off the gas
Woolworths seek leave to appeal to Supreme Court
Warehouse appeal decision imminent
Warehouse decision a loser for all
Warehouse Court of appeal decision in Commerce Commission's favour
MARKETWATCH: The Warehouse
The Warehouse takeover saga continues
Why did you buy that stock? [The Warehouse]
History of Warehouse takeover players suggest a long winding road
Court of Appeal delays Warehouse bid
The Warehouse set for turbulent 2008
The Warehouse Court of Appeal case lay in "Extras" hands
WHS Court of Appeal case could be dismissed next week
Commerce Commission impacts on the Warehouse bottom line
The Warehouse in play
Outcomes of Commerce Commission decision
The fight for control begins soon
Share Investor Forum-Discuss this topic
Related Links
The Warehouse Financial Data
Related Amazon reading
The Standard & Poor's Guide to Long-term Investing: 7 Keys to Building Wealth by Joseph Tigue
Buy new: $11.96 / Used from: $1.84
Usually ships in 24 hours
c Share Investor 2009
Posted by Share Investor at 12:01 AM 0 comments
Labels: Long vs Short, The Warehouse Group
Thursday, January 8, 2009
Pro murder protestors blinded by ignorance and hatred for the West
While rockets from mad Muslim Palestinians target innocent Israelis in schools, buses and their homes, ignorant fools such as John Minto and Keith Locke from the Green Party protest to support this sort of in discriminant killing and terrorist acts by picking on an innocent Israeli, Shahar Peer, a participant in the 2009 ASB Tennis Classic in Auckland, New Zealand.
Posted by Share Investor at 10:40 PM 2 comments
Labels: mad muslims, Palestinian Killers, Shahar Peer