Showing posts with label Black Tuesday 1987. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Black Tuesday 1987. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Share Market Not Like it Was 30 Years Ago

Image result for 1987 stock market crash newspapers in new zealand herald
Looked for photo in the Herald but could only find this one. Picture tells a thousand words.

Share Investors Portfolio @ 17 Oct 2017


The question raised by most pundits this week is will the 1987 share market crash that happened in this country on the 20th October 1987 and in the rest of the world the day before happen again?

I would contend its not when it will happen because it will.

I don't pretend to know just when it will because I don't know.

Lets be clear, the reasons for the 87 crash were varied and wide - depending on who you talk to - but the reasons in this part of the world were a lot different to those in the Northern Hemisphere.

Here apart from anywhere in the world we were going through a vast transformation. 

Business was moving and becoming clearer and cleaner. Restrictions to all business were removed and we were at the centre of a global experiment which was being watched from Wall Street to Fleet St and then tried there in the 1990's and 2000's. 

NZ INC was closed one minute - under Rob Muldoon and then open the next day thanks to Roger Douglas.

Capital moved in from overseas then we were in the grip of a financial tsunami, the likes of which we hadn't seen before.

And what did people invest in?

Bugger all really.

Most of the businesses floated on the stock market at that time had very little to do with real business and those that were doing "good" business were taken along for the ride.

Unfortunately these good businesses were taken down on the 20th October 1987 along with the other ones that shouldn't have been listed in the first place.

Fast forward to today when we have restrictions and various rules around investing on the NZX - there are certainly not enough but its getting there.

The share market is a vastly different space to what it was 30 years ago.

We have companies that actually make money and for the ones that don't have yet it is in investors hands whether they stay or go. 

It is largely up to the investor how much risk they are will to take or make.

BUT and it is a healthy but. There has been risk as long as there has been 2 people willing to trade with each other.

Inherently there is greed and that is the key word and there is no way you will ever get around it.

As long as we have greed and avarice we can be assured that we will have another share market crash.

Just when?


Share Investors Portfolio @ 17 Oct 2017


Share Investor Reading

New Zealand Stockmarket: A History from beginning to present day. 
Stockmarket Education: How do you buy shares? 
Stockmarket Education: What is a Share? 

Stockmarket Education 

Stockmarket Dictionary 
Stockbrokers: What you should know before choosing one 
10 Basic questions to ask before investing 
How the Stockmarket works 
Understanding Risk 
Watch Your Risk Tolerance 
Stockmarket Education: What is a Share? 
What Moves the Stockmarket? 
7 Signs of Shareholder Friendly Management 
Financial Media For Investors 
Dividends in detail 

Related Links
 

NZX - How to Invest 





c Share Investor 2017






Sunday, May 2, 2010

Sunday Nostalgia: Video - Black Tuesday October 2007


Black Tuesday

On 20 October 1987 the news of share market falls on Wall street sparked a dramatic day of selling on the New Zealand market. The NZ market lost 60% of its value and has yet to recover 1987 pre-crash levels, while our cousin across the ditch, lost 42%.


Share prices reached an all-time high on 18 September 1987. The exchange had 309 listed companies, far more than ever before. From 1982, when the international bull market began, the New Zealand market rose about 600% (compared with 250% in the US and 400% in Australia). Spooked by a dramatic fall on Wall Street, the New Zealand stock market collapsed on 20 October, which became known as ‘Black Tuesday.’ Share values dropped by $5.7 billion – 4.3% – in four hours, as thousands of investors fled the market. Values halved over the next 10 months. In the following years, New Zealand’s recovery lagged far behind those of its chief trading partners. By 1993 only 140 companies remained listed.

Most broking firms drastically downsized and many fell over. To survive, many companies merged or were taken over – some by overseas firms. This boosted their capital and attracted more off-shore investors. By 1996 over half of New Zealand broking firms had overseas connections.

The NZX is now a much better run institution than it once was, but many of the same people from 20 years ago remain and many of the same ideas of short term gains continue to live in the minds of brokers and company analysts.

Share Investor Reading

New Zealand Stockmarket: A History from beginning to present day.
Stockmarket Education: How do you buy shares?
Stockmarket Education: What is a Share?

Stockmarket Education

Stockmarket Dictionary
Stockbrokers: What you should know before choosing one
10 Basic questions to ask before investing
How the Stockmarket works
Understanding Risk
Watch Your Risk Tolerance
Stockmarket Education: What is a Share?
What Moves the Stockmarket?
7 Signs of Shareholder Friendly Management
Financial Media For Investors
Dividends in detail

Related Links

NZX - How to Invest