Thursday, April 30, 2009

Nicky Watson reveals her biggest Assets!

Nicky Watson was initially asked to compete in a competition where she was to walk, breathe, talk and think at the same time.

Unfortunately she got sick that particular day and could only do two of the above.

Well her sickness gave her the ability to show how truly talented she actually is.

You can see from the picture at left that all she has to offer is on display and just what a display it is!

Oh, just how beautiful those eyes are and oh that lovely blond hair.

It makes you wish you were a younger or richer man.

Oh how talented little Nicky is!





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Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Warren Buffett faithful ready for big Weekend in Omaha

A big thanks to those of you who contacted me over a doco to be made of Warren Buffett by the BBC around Berkshire Hathaway shareholders and the Berkshire 2009 Annual Meeting in Omaha Nebraska that kicks off this weekend.

I have had many replies, and none more so than the following one encapsulates the deep feeling and respect this great investor and thoroughly interesting man seems to capture from his many millions of followers, including myself:

"I understand you are looking for Berkshire shareholders. I have been a Berkshire shareholder since 2001.

I can say with some confidence that Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger are more important in my life than God! I am a university graduate and a Chartered Accountant. I have worked in businesses for over 25 years but any knowledge I have acquired from these experiences is like a pebble in ocean in comparison to what I have learned from Warren and Charlie.

If you study Berkshire and the people behind it you are tapping into a rich reservoir of knowledge and wisdom that has proved incredibly useful in the real world of business over a long period of time. The Berkshire values are very old fashioned and very simple. It is about taking the long term view, common sense, humility, rationality, hard work and prudence.

Much of what goes on in the world of business and politics looks absurd and grotesque when viewed through the Warren Buffett lens. Why are people so loyal to Warren Buffett and Berkshire? It is just pure Disney. Failing textile mill, Berkshire Hathaway, taken over by young investor Warren Buffett. Investment is a terrible mistake. Buffett uses the company as his investment vehicle choosing not to take a management fee from his fellow shareholders. Over time the company evolves into one of the largest and most respected companies in the world. Warren Buffett turns out to be the greatest investor ever and becomes the richest man on the planet. In the end it’s not about the money and Warren gives the bulk of his fortune to the children of Africa. Who would not want to be part of this?

Good luck with your documentary. It will be easy to make the shareholders look like crazy America cult members. I know the BBC will go deeper than that." Gareth, Northern Ireland.

What Buffett has to say this weekend will be covered by media from around the world and more than 35,000 people will be attending in person to get his pearls of investing wisdom sieved through a down home style of old fashioned hokiness and a wonderful sense of black humour.

The world will be watching closely for some explanation of his frenzied buying activities over the last year and also his view of economic conditions over the following 12 months and of course the years to come.

I will be watching closely and you can keep up to date on what is more commonly known as the "Woodstock for Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders" at Everything Warren Buffett.

Until then I highly recommend reading his 2008 Annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders published in February of this year. It will change your way of thinking about investing .

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Monday, April 27, 2009

Kirin bid for Lion Nathan undervalues brewer

So Kirin is making an offer for the rest of Lion Nathan Ltd PDF [LNN.NZ] that they don't already own. They are offering A $12.22 per share therefore valuing the company at about $A6.5 billion.

The LNN board is recommending the offer but are shareholders getting a fair deal?

Lets do a comparison of the recent buyout last year of Anheuser Busch by InBev. In that deal InBev bought its target for close to US $50 billion with valued the company at approx 15X EBITDA according to website Blogging Stocks.

The Kirin/Lion deal values Lion at 12.5 X EBITDA according to Michael Feller from the Business Spectator

"The price Kirin is offering effectively values Lion at $6.5 billion on an equity basis and $8.2 billion on enterprise value, as well as an FY09 consensus forecast EBITDA multiple around 12.5 times".

The EBITDA comparison then between the two deals shows an enormous gap in the prices paid for the two targets, with Kirin shelling out 20% less to take control of Lion than what InBev paid for Anheuser Busch last year.

If a comparable 15 X EBITDA figure was offered by Kirin then the per share price should be closer to $14.66 per share.

Figures aside the iconic status of both target brewers is very strong and there should be a premium for that.

Also the tough economic times we are currently facing show fully the benefits and therefore the value of having brewing assets-they do well during booms and better in recessions!

The long-term benefits of good brands must also be accounted for in this takeover price.

Clearly then, Lion shareholders are being seriously under represented by Lion Nathan management as they have agreed the price to be paid is sufficient and another higher offer must be made for control of the company.

Lets hope the independent report into the offer turns out to be a definite no at the current Kirin offer price.

Shareholders should reject the bid.


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Cullen bows out leaving a bloody mess behind

One of New Zealand's most destructive politicians in our history has his final day in Parliament today.

Michael Cullen presided over an economic boom which had its genesis in the 1980s and had not been seen for generations. He then taxed and spent the economy into such a hemorrhaging economic state it will take another generation to get back to real economic growth.

His legacy is a massive crumbling State service, bloated with civil servants with nothing constructive to do and as a result middle income families with high debt taxed to the hilt to pay for the whole thing!

A venal, nasty, arrogant incompetent evil socialist prick who never had a real job in his whole life - is there any other kind of socialist?

The post office is the perfect place for him to go.

I should have tripped him when I had the chance. 


c Political Animal 2009


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