Aug 17, 2008
National on track for gold (2:53) video
National is on track to win gold in this year's election despite recent unwelcome headlines.
Prime Minister Helen Clark has picked up support but is still trailing in National leader John Key's wake.
New Zealand First leader Winston Peters was caught up in the saga over receiving secret donations from wealthy businessmen.
And secret tapes hinted at leadership divisions and a secret agenda in the National Party.
But despite the drama, it doesn't seem to have hurt the party. National still has the support of more than half of all voters.
Labour has closed the gap a little, now on 37%. But Labour's gain is the Greens' loss. They are polling just 3.5%. The Maori Party sits just above 3%, New Zealand First is in deep trouble on 2.6% and United Future and the Act Party barely registered.
Continued
Colmar Brunton Poll: 20 July 2008
Colmar Brunton Poll: 22 June 2008
c Political Animal 2008
Sunday, August 17, 2008
Colmar Brunton Poll:17 August 2008
Posted by Share Investor at 10:42 PM 0 comments
National Party list out
The National Party list out this evening comprises yet more new MPs. This is in stark contrast to Labour's current motley crewe, which is comprised mainly of MPs from the 1980s.
Electorate
John Key
Helensville
Hon Bill English
Clutha-Southland
Gerry Brownlee
Ilam
Simon Power
Rangitikei
Hon Dr Nick Smith
Nelson
Hon Tony Ryall
Bay of Plenty
Judith Collins
Papakura
Hon Maurice Williamson
Pakuranga
David Carter
List
Anne Tolley
East Coast
Hon Murray McCully
East Coast Bays
Dr Hon Lockwood Smith
Rodney
Dr Wayne Mapp
North Shore
Chris Finlayson
Rongotai
Tim Groser
New Lynn
Steven Joyce
List
Hon Georgina Te Heuheu
List
Nathan Guy
Otaki
Lindsay Tisch
Waikato
Pansy Wong
Botany
John Carter
Northland
Phil Heatley
Whangarei
Dr Paul Hutchison
Hunua
Shane Ardern
Taranaki - King Country
Dr Richard Worth
Epsom
Hon Tau Henare
Te Atatu
Sandra Goudie
Coromandel
Eric Roy
Invercargill
Dr Jonathan Coleman
Northcote
Kate Wilkinson
Waimakariri
Chris Tremain
Napier
Chester Burrows
Whanganui
Craig Foss
Tukituki
Allan Peachey
Tamaki
Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga
Maungakiekie
Hekia Parata
Mana
Melissa Lee
List
Kanwal Bakshi
Manukau East
Jo Goodhew
Rangitata
Jacqui Dean
Waitaki
Paula Bennett
Waitakere
Chris Auchinvole
West Coast Tasman
Nicky Wagner
Christchurch Central
David Bennett
Hamilton East
Dr Jackie Blue
Mt Roskill
Katrina Shanks
Ohariu
Colin King
Kaikoura
Paul Quinn
Hutt South
Michael Woodhouse
Dunedin North
John Hayes
Wairarapa
Simon Bridges
Tauranga
Amy Adams
Selwyn
Louise Upston
Taupo
Todd McClay
Rotorua
Tim Macindoe
Hamilton West
Aaron Gilmore
Christchurch East
Nikki Kaye
Auckland Central
Dr Cam Calder
Manurewa
Dr Conway Powell
Dunedin South
Stephen Franks
Wellington Central
Marc Alexander
Wigram
Malcolm Plimmer
Palmerston North
Mita Harris
Mangere
Terry Heffernan
Port Hills
Ravi Musuku
Mt Albert
Jonathan Young
New Plymouth
Richard Whiteside
Rimutaka
Paul O'Brien
List
Youngshin Watkins
List
Hamuera Mitchell
List
Viv Gurrey
List
Dugald McLean
List
Simon O'Connor
List
Posted by Share Investor at 4:03 PM 0 comments
Labels: National Party list
Saturday, August 16, 2008
2008 Election outcome
Going by the latest political polls and the trend of others over the last year, it looks like National will get the bulk of the vote by far at the coming election. The poll trend of National being way ahead of Labour has continued in the two latest polls this weekend and is likely to be reinforced by a TV One Colmar Brunton Poll out tonight.
All the fear mongering and finger pointing over a "return to the 1990s and selling taxpayer assets" by Clark and her socialist misfits just hasn't helped them. Most of us can see past that as the lie that it is and a large bulk of voters are too young to remember the when New Zealand had to sell its assets to say afloat.
Don't count your chickens though if you are a National voter and hoping they will deservedly govern alone. Remember we have a bizarre voting system called MMP.
At current polls, if Labour was to get around 35% of the vote and National was down to about 50% the smaller parties that currently support Labour could get another Labour Minority government by a whisker and given what Ms Clark would have to bribe Winston, the Greens and the Maori Party with to get their support, New Zealand would be in for some even dodgier legislation passed than we have already seen over the last 9 years.
Labour are going to pull out the mother of all bribes shortly before the election so I think a close race is on the cards, with National having a slight edge.
Fairfax Nielson Poll: 16 August 2008
Roy Morgan Poll: 15 August 2008
c Political Animal 2008
Posted by Share Investor at 6:08 PM 0 comments
Labels: 2008 Election outcome, Political polls
Winnie the Blogger
Apparently Winston Peters has been blogging. Now I don't know if it is him that personally writes his blog but it certainly contains some of Winnie's hallmark victim mentality, invective and characteristic silliness and chips on both shoulders over his media coverage.
An excerpt from Winnie the Blogger as opposed to Winnie from Wonderland:
Winston Says...
…people ask “what’s up with New Zealand media?”…
It’s a good question.
In recent weeks, we have witnessed one of the most systematic and dirtiest smear campaigns in the history of New Zealand politics. And many media outlets and their journalists have been either wittingly or unwittingly complicit. The near hysteria with which some journalists and right-wing blog sites have written about these allegations and back-slapped each other is almost laughable. The fact remains that nothing outside the laws has occurred involving New Zealand First.
Many journalists have lost their perspective on these matters. At a time when the economy is very likely in recession, when we’ve had winter storm after winter storm, when petrol prices have soared, finance companies have collapsed, many families are struggling , the headlines have been full of slurs and downright lies about New Zealand First. Journalists need to get back in touch with what is truly important in this country.
Peters goes on to support his railing against mainstream media and "right wing blogs" by using tired old political hack Tom Frewen and the creator of Dilbert as support for his views against "foreign ownership" and media bias.
Same old shite, just a different day.
What we really need to know old wise one, who is funding your blog?
Related Political Animal reading
POLITICAL POLL: Peters gone in Tauranga
Don't let the bastard go
Winston Peters lost in Wonderland
Winston's big Baubles
Related Links
Winston's Blog
c Political Animal 2008
Posted by Share Investor at 5:42 PM 0 comments
Labels: Winston Peters Blogger