Thursday, February 21, 2013

NZ HERALD: Sky City and Herald answer back


SkyCity got special treatment in its pitch to build the international convention centre - but nothing which will get in the way of a formal deal being struck.

An investigation by the Office of the Auditor-General found the casino's promise to cover the $350 million cost of building the convention centre gave it a clear advantage over any other interested party.

It means the casino and executives can get back to negotiating over the casino's list of changes to the Gambling Act which it wants to trade for building the centre next to its Auckland headquarters. The casino has said it wants 300 more pokies, extra table games and an early extension to its exclusive licence.

While the report revealed SkyCity was treated "very differently" to other bidders, Prime Minister John Key said it "utterly refuted" allegations his Government had struck a "cosy deal" with SkyCity. He blamed officials for "a few procedural matters" but said there was "nothing of substance that would have changed any of the outcomes".

The process problems identified by Deputy Auditor-General Phillippa Smith emerged in the report from the time the Prime Minister - also Tourism Minister - became personally involved. In August 2009, Mr Key told officials to halt a scoping project on a convention centre proposal to "close off the SkyCity angle". He later explained he had a "broad awareness" SkyCity had development plans.

Mr Key's understanding of the casino's desire for development followed a meeting between himself and SkyCity executives although neither Mr Key or the casino "can recall the discussion" on May 14, 2009. There was also a later meeting between the casino and the Prime Minister's chief of staff Wayne Eagleson on June 17, 2009, at which development was discussed.

After the PM halted the scoping project, SkyCity met the PM's senior advisers in September 2009 who said they wanted changes to the Gambling Act which had previously stymied the casino's expansion plans by limiting the number of pokies and other games allowed.

Then Mr Key was briefed on options for the convention centre at a dinner with SkyCity board members and executives on November 4, 2009. He urged them to "think outside the box".
As the casino and Beehive moved closer together, Treasury began raising concerns about "process and probity".

Ms Smith said: "We have concerns about the apparent readiness of officials to support those discussions developing into more substantive negotiations without preparing to give advice on the Government's procedural obligations and options."

Warnings about process were conveyed to Mr Key in a briefing note on November 12, 2009.

In 2010, the Government began calling for an expression of interest from groups wanting the contract. At a meeting with officials, Mr Key said the SkyCity deal was "a good proposal".

However Ms Smith said the process "fell short of good practice in a number of respects". That included the fact ministers and officials continued to have contact with SkyCity to discuss its proposal.

Ms Smith said these meetings were "not appropriate" as it provided SkyCity with information other bidders did not receive. She also said the casino had the advantage in knowing the Government didn't plan on putting any money into the project, allowing it to shape its offer.

In September 2010, the casino put forward a list of changes to the law it wanted. It also said it wanted the Government to buy land from TVNZ to accommodate a large design for the centre.

SkyCity was announced as the preferred bidder in June 2011 with Mr Key promising changes to the Gambling Act would only come after a public submissions.

Greens co-leader Metiria Turei, who sparked the inquiry with a complaint, said the report was "hugely damning" and showed "the relationship with SkyCity was so cosy that the other proposers didn't stand a chance".

Labour leader David Shearer said: "This has had John Key's fingerprints all over it and it was a shonky deal and John Key is donkey-deep in it."

Project's boost to jobs, GDP in question

John Key announced SkyCity's selection as preferred bidder with the promise of 800 jobs on completion and 1000 jobs on construction.

The numbers contrasted with a government feasibility study which put construction jobs at 150 a year for five years - a total of 750. The number of people to be employed in the centre was also lower - between 318 and 479 jobs against 500 fulltime equivalents.

There is also question about the value of the deal to New Zealand, the Prime Minister initially saying it would increase GDP by $49 million. The Auditor-General's report stated a $72 million increase while Economic Development Minister Steven Joyce was last night saying $100 million.

The casino was refusing to comment yesterday as chief executive Nigel Morrison toured Australia with the company's half-year results. In a statement, he said he was looking forward to starting negotiations towards investing the $350 million "provided acceptable returns can be delivered on the total project".

Mr Morrison is known to have become frustrated with delays on the project, the $350 million saved for Auckland's centre recently spent in Australia, supported by both South Australia's Labor Government and Liberal opposition.

Alan Trotter, chief executive of Conventions NZ, said it had cleared the path for the deal to be struck. He said the report also revealed the Prime Minister's ability to strike deals which was to be admired. "There is no such deal as the perfect deal but it's a very pragmatic deal. The key element here is to start construction."
He said conventions of the size the centre would handle needed five to seven years' notice and marketing should begin the moment building started. The centre promised much for New Zealand and the inquiry had sent out ripples of uncertainty. "The Greens have a lot to answer for."

-David Fisher

How events unfolded

May 2009: Key meets SkyCity CEO. Key says changes to the Gambling Act did not come up.
July 2009: Ministry of Tourism and City Council complete convention centre feasibility study. Key briefed on findings and officials recommend developing business case. Officials later told of proposal being developed by SkyCity. Key tells officials to cease work and await SkyCity proposal.
September 2009: SkyCity, Ministry of Economic Development officials and Key's chief of staff discuss Gambling Act changes.
November 2009: Key has dinner with SkyCity board, discussing convention centre and possible changes to the Gambling Act.
March 2010: Cabinet decides to call for "expressions of interest" from other developers. Tender process begins two months later.
May 2011: Process closes. SkyCity, The Edge, Ngati Whatua, Infratil, and ASB Showgrounds respond.
June 2011: SkyCity wins with $350m bid. It requires no state funding but depends on changes to Gambling Act allowing more pokies and other concessions.
June 2012: Deputy Auditor- General Phillippa Smith announces investigation into tendering.
January 2013: Key sees draft report and is "not losing any sleep". The Herald reports SkyCity's plans to increase size of gaming floor.



Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor 

VIDEO - Sky City Entertainment Group : Parliamentary Question related to Convention Centre
Sky City to pay for National Convention Centre
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


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Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

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Shareinvestor 2013


Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 9

http://chart.bigcharts.com/custom/fairfax-com-nz/chart.asp?rnd=0.31297670214357143&style=2242&symb=CEN&size=1&type=64&time=1yr&freq=1dy&comp=&compidx=&ma=&maval=&lf=268435456&lf2=&lf3=&uf=16384&arrowdates=&arrowlegend=&country=NZ&sid=162856























Contact Energy Ltd [CEN.NZX has come off all-time lows of $4.60 as was trading in April of 2012 to trade in the last 4  months of between $5.00 and $5.40 so has been marking a little time until the concrete news of their half year till December 31 2012.

Their half till Dec 31 2012 was pretty spectacular so it looks like recent weakness is due to murmuring about the impending listings of State power companies.

It was trading at $5.08 yesterday, so any movement north, which I think it will do strongly, will give quite a good start. Shame about those who got out yesterday. 

At $5.08 per share, good things come to those who wait.



Share Price Alert Series

Contact Energy Ltd 8
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CEN @ Share Investor

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Discuss this stock at Share Investor Forum - Register free
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c Share Investor 2013

Monday, February 11, 2013

Sky City: 2012 Half Year - Analysis

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX].has just reported a profit of $66.3 million for the six months to December 31. 

Net profit fell to $66.3 million, in the six months ended December 31, from $78.8 million, or 13.7 cents a share, a year, including gaming GST, fell 1.4 per cent to $487.3 million.

Profit missed the $75.9 million forecast by First NZ Capital and SkyCity today gave a mixed outlook statement, saying there are "indications of growth returning in New Zealand" while the performance of Adelaide would be "broadly flat" through the remainder of the year and Darwin should show growth as it benefits from investment in Casinos on both sides of the Tasman.

The company said normalised full-year profit is expected to be about $140 million. In October it forecast profit of the $140 millions.
The shares, which are rated 'outperform' based on the consensus of analysts polled by Reuters, last traded at $4 and have gained 6.4 per cent this year.
The company lifted its interim dividend to 10 cents a share from 9 cents a year earlier, saying it reflected its new dividend policy of making an annual payment of not less than 20 cents and not less than 80 per cent of normalised profit and is a welcome addition to most investors portfolios - especially this one.

Normalised profit , which includes the theoretical win rate and excludes certain one-time costs and gains, fell 3.4 per cent to $74.4 million.
Food and beverage sales rose to $24.1 million from $23.1 million, hotels and conventions fell to $30 million from $36.9 million while revenue from the Sky Tower and parking fell to $10.4 million from $11.9 million.
SkyCity Auckland, the company's flagship facilities, recorded a 1.9 per cent decline in total revenue to $263.7 million. Of that, slot machine revenue fell 7.9 per cent to $108.6 million, revenue from local tables gained to $61.8 million from $60.5 million and international tables, normalised, climbed to $28.8 million from 18.6 million.
Gross gaming revenue at Adelaide edged up 0.4 per cent to A$74 million, while food, beverage and other sales slipped 4.5 per cent to $8.5 million, the future of the gaming group rests almost entirely on its refurbishment and major update.
SkyCity Darwin recorded a 12 per cent gain in gross gaming revenue to A$54.9 million, while food, beverage and hotel sales jumped 18 per cent to A$17.2 million, was the other star gaining again with revenue consistently climbing.
SkyCity Hamilton's gross gaming revenue rose 5 per cent to $23.2 million and food and beverage rose 2.3 per cent to $4.5 million. SkyCity Queenstown gross gaming revenue fell 2.9 per cent to $3.4 million while food and beverage sales rose to $600,000 from $500,000.
SkyCity remains willing to invest up to $350m in the New Zealand International Convention Centre, and following the pending release of the Auditor-General's report into the government's initial expressions of interest in the project the company hoped to re-engage with the government, he said.


Shares were down 7c to 3.93 on the news @ 11.42 am.

Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor 

VIDEO - Sky City Entertainment Group : Parliamentary Question related to Convention Centre
Sky City to pay for National Convention Centre
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


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Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
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Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
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Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
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Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
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Sky City receives takeover bid
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Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit

Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A    Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)
The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition) by Benjamin Graham
Buy new: $14.95 / Used from: $6.99
Usually ships in 24 hours



Shareinvestor 2013


Friday, February 8, 2013

Share Price Alert: Air New Zealand 2



Air New Zealand Ltd [AIR.NZX] is faltering.

Its share price has not been north of $1.50 for almost 6 YEARS !

It is well off its highs of over 3 bucks in 2007 and off its recent lows on news of Rob Fyfe leaving in January, announced September.

Its been doing more or less an even flypast since October and looks expensive right now.

If you are thinking of buying this stock (I must warn you again the stock is off 2007 highs) buy in the cents per share. It will be down there again soon.

Then it may well be worth buying, mind you the bailout from "THE GOVERMINT" is going to have some impact.

Watch this turkey, its expensive and you will eventually lose all your money or most of it. 

Tip, invest your shekels in Boeing... 



AIR @ Share Investor

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Discuss this stock at Share Investor Forum - Register free
Download AIR Company Reports








c Share Investor 2013