Friday, August 12, 2011

Mainfreight Ltd: 1st Quarter to June 2011 Profit Review

Mainfreight Ltd [MFT.NZX] 1st quarter results to June 30 2011 have been nothing short of spectacular, even if you strip out the contribution from the Wim Bosman Group

Not only has the recent acquisition of Wim Bosman Group proven to be a winner but the company has also grown organically across most geographical areas of operation.

The company booked a net profit of $14.22 million for the first three months of the 2012 financial year; an increase of 109% on the previous year’s result of $6.82 million (excluding abnormals the increase was 115%). This was on revenue of $449.86 million up 43% from $315.25 million in the comparable quarter last year. Revenue excluding Wim Bosman contributions saw sales improve 5% to $331.04 million.

The fact that the company did so well during a global economic downturn is once again down to good cost controls and great management of the business from the top down to be able to grab the extra business that they have.

Key Points

* Net profit of $14.22 million for the first three months of the 2012 financial year, an increase of 109% on the previous year’s result of $6.82 million (excluding abnormals the increase was 115%)

*Revenue increased by 43% to $449.86 million, from $315.25 million in the comparative period last year. Excluding Wim Bosman contributions, sales improved 5% to $331.04 million.

* With the exception of Asian operations Mainfreight has experienced growth momentum for all their business operations.

* Wim Bosman Group acquisition proven a good fit in the first 3 months of inclusion within the Mainfreight group and management confident of building on the gains made for this quarter compared to the 2010 comparable period.

The company has given a nod to the market that this first quarter result is in line with their expectations and the commentary provided at the MFT AGM in late July.

July and August have continued to trade well and management expect the 2012 financial year to be an improvement on 2011.

You can not get much better than this.

9.8 out of 10

Disc I own MFT shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Mainfreight @ Share Investor

Read the MFT 2011 FY Profit Presentation

Mainfreight Ltd: Top returns for the last 10 years
Is Mainfreight Worth Ten Bucks a Share?
Share Price Alert: Mainfreight Ltd 2
Mainfreight's European Acquisition a Good Move
Share Price Alert: Mainfreight Ltd
Investing in the Stockmarket: Timing your Purchase
Stock of the Week: Mainfreight Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd: 2011 1st quarter Profit Analysis
VIDEO: Don Braid with Paul Homes on the Economy
Mainfreight Ltd: Full Year 2010 Profit Analysis
Long Term View: Mainfreight Ltd
Share Investor Interview: Mainfreight's MD Don Braid
Stock of the Week: Mainfreight Ltd
Questions to Mainfreight's MD Don Braid
I'm Buying: Mainfreight Management delivers the goods
Mainfreight Annual Report Packs a Punch
Analysis - Mainfreight Ltd: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Mainfreight VS KiwiRail: The Sequel
Long VS Short: Mainfreight Ltd
Why did you buy that stock? [Mainfreight Ltd]
Mainfreight 2008 Annual report worth reading
KiwiRail will cost Mainfreight
Mainfreight keeps on truckin
A rare breed
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks

Discuss MFT @ Share Investor Forum
Download Mainfreight Company Reports



From Fishpond.co.nz - Every Bastard Says No: The 42 Below Story


c Share Investor 2011


Thursday, August 11, 2011

Catch the Dead Cat!

As I mentioned on Facebook yesterday after Wednesday's (NZ time - Tuesday on the DOW))deadcat bounce we are likely to see a fall on markets Thursday or Friday.

What do we have this morning on the DOW?

Well, it is down and had not been positive at all. The DOW closed down 519 points or 4.42% wiping out all of yesterday's gains and then some. This is on news that several French banks could be close to collapse.

What will happen now?

Well, tomorrow is likely to be another down day and after that all bets are off except to say markets will still be choppy and ultra-sensitive to any bad news for the next few weeks.

It is always hard to time the markets but I am looking to buy at some stage but it is just picking the right moment. I am after 10000 or so Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd [FPH.NZX] shares to add to the Share Investor Portfolio and may look at other stocks if I am game.

My portfolio has been up and down (mostly down of course) like a cheap K' Rd hooker over the last 4 trading days and was down by around 10% over Monday and Tuesday after a 4% fall on Friday but up nearly 5 % yesterday. Down is the only way today.

My buy orders for FPH have mirrored the market. A first bid at $2.20, then down to $1.99, then another down to $1.80. I raised the bid to $2.15 for yesterday but will re-bid a few minutes from now back down to $1.99.

Even I am feeling the pressure and have to steal myself sometimes to remain calm and focus on fundamentals (based on business as usual with the larger financial macro theme at play of course) rather than my state of mind.

This bumpy economic ride and the consequent market volatility has more to play out yet and there will be more opportunities in the months and years ahead but the money I am using to pay for the FPH shares is getting about 2.5% in the bank and inflation is running at twice that.

Yep, greed and fear, greed and fear!

FPH is paying over 7.5% gross based on the current share price of $2.34.

Watch the market and be patient, like me....?

2011 Global Market Sell-off @ Share Investor

Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Hallenstein Glasson
Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
United States Debt Crises: Is Warren Buffett Nuts?
Share Price Alert: The Entire NZX
Share Investor Portfolio: Value @ 5 August 2011
Share Investor Portfolio 2: Value @ 5 August 2011

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare @ Share Investor

Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed takes market share from Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed kicking Fisher & Paykel Heathcares butt?
Share Price Alert: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
I'm Buying: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's Total Returns: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare & the US Dollar
Mondrian Investment Partners take stake in Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: 2010 Full Year Profit rests on Foreign exchange movement
Long Term View: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Analysis - Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Schroder Investment Management takes big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare stake
Long VS Short: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare trades a curious tale
Why did you buy that stock? [Fisher & Paykel Healthcare]
Drinking and Trading
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks
Fisher & Paykel: A tale of two companies
FPH downgrade masks good performance

Discuss FPH @ Share Investor Forum
Download FPH Company Reports

From Fishpond.co.nz

Every Bastard Says No: The 42 Below Story

Buy Every Bastard Says No - The 42 Below Story, by Geoff Ross & Justine Troy & more @ Fishpond.co.nz

Fishpond


c Share Investor 2011



Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd

http://chart.bigcharts.com/custom/fairfax-com-nz/chart.asp?rnd=0.28118657500309596&style=2242&symb=HLG&size=1&type=64&time=2yr&freq=1dy&comp=&compidx=&ma=&maval=&lf=268435456&lf2=&lf3=&uf=16384&arrowdates=&arrowlegend=&country=NZ&sid=162815

Quite frankly, and as I pointed out on Friday, the whole NZX is on sale and while people are losing money people like me are contemplating buying rather than selling. On fundamentals alone there are many NZX stocks that are looking way more attractive than they had been just 3 trading days ago.

Lets look at some specific stocks though and in the third of a new series to coincide with the current stockmarket sell-off, we will look at one of the brightest retail stocks of the Share Investor Portfolio -apart from Briscoe Group Ltd [BGR.NZX] - Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd [HLG.NZX]

The company has not indicated a forecast for the 2012 full year, instead focusing on possible lower margins for the coming reporting period in a May trading update , instead indicating 2011-12 will be a "challenging year". The 2011 half year result was down 16% on the 2010 HY and retail is not likely to improve significantly overall anytime soon. HLG has fared better than most retailers over the last 3 years of the economic slowdown.

During the big sell-off over the last 3 trading days the fundamentals for this stock are of course looking much better.

Lets have a look:

P/E 10.540
EPS $0.305
NTA $0.978
Gross Div Yield 13.796%

Over the last week the share price has dropped from $3.55c to finish trading yesterday at $3.21, which has exacerbated the drop from late May from around $4.20c a share. Drops of 10% & 24% respectively. This is back down to levels not seen since early of 2010 and well off the November 2010 high of $4.60.

Check out the nearly 14% gross yield!

Given that the big global market sell-off probably has more legs in it -even though there has been a dead cat bounce this morning on the DOW - investors would be wise to be a little patient before they jump in. HLG has been all over the place for a number of reasons over the last few years. Global market jitters, soft retail conditions and out of season weather have all had impacts on the company and its share price. The company is well managed though and they have traded through the depression of the 1930s and every other recession since and live to tell the tale.

Keep a close watch for the desperate sellers, the unpredictability of this market means some good opportunities for the patient.

If you were considering buying this stock before last weeks implosion, this week the GGMSO means you will be getting it on sale*.

*If you don't like some risk, stay at home and make yourself some milo and go to bed at 6.00pm.


Disc
I own HLG in the
Share Investor Portfolio



Global Market Sell-Off Stocks Series

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd


Share Price Alert Series

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 4
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 3
Port of Tauranga Ltd
Freightways Ltd 3
Goodman Fielder Ltd 2
Freightways Ltd 2
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Charlies Group Ltd
Fletcher Building Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd
Steel & Tube Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd
New Zealand Stock Exchange Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd 2
The Warehouse Group Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Fletcher Building Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Tourism Holdings
Goodman Fielder Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
NZ Refining Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Xero Ltd


Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Forum

Download HLG Company Reports
Download HLG Company History


Recommended Fishpond Reading

Crisis: One Central Bank Governor and the Global Financial Collapse

Buy The Intelligent Investor & more @ Fishpond.co.nz

Fishpond


c Share Investor 2011

Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd

 


Quite frankly, and as I pointed out on Friday, the whole NZX is on sale and while people are losing money people like me are contemplating buying rather than selling. On fundamentals alone there are many NZX stocks that are looking way more attractive than they had been just 3 trading days ago.

Lets look at some specific stocks though and in the second of a new series to coincide with the current stockmarket sell-off, we will look at one of the brightest parts of the Share Investor Portfolio, Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd [FPH.NZX]

The company has indicated net profit after tax to be in the range of NZ$62 million to NZ$76 million for the 2012 full year, and this is either even with the 2011 full year result or up substantially and this big swing is a result of a volatile currency - US/NZ cross rate.

Revenue in US dollars for the 2012 year. will be considerably up on the 2011 year.

During the big sell-off over the last 3 trading days the fundamentals for this stock are of course looking much better.

Lets have a look


P/E 22.660
EPS $0.102
NTA $0.592
Gross Div Yield 7.581%

Over the last week the share price has dropped from $2.55c to finish trading yesterday at $2.30, which has exacerbated the drop from mid June from around 3 bucks a share. Drops of 10% & 24% respectively. This is back down to levels not seen since January of 2009 (the last Great Global Market Sell-Off (GGMSO))but well off the early 2010 high of $3.60.

Given that the big global market sell-off probably has more legs in it -even though there has been a dead cat bounce this morning on the DOW - investors would be wise to be a little patient before they jump in. There has been historical support at these levels for FPH shares as noted above but the shares traded intra-day at $2.15 before bouncing back on a weaker NZ currency.

Keep a close watch for the desperate sellers, the unpredictability of this market and currency fluctuations means good opportunities for this stock.

If you were considering buying this stock before last weeks implosion, this week the GGMSO means you will be getting it on sale*.

*If you don't like some risk, stay at home and pat the cat instead.

Disc
I own FPH in the
Share Investor Portfolio



Global Market Sell-Off Stocks Series


Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare @ Share Investor


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd: Where is it Going?
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd:  Should I Buy Now?
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd: The Time to Buy
Share Investor's 2012 Stock Picks

Resmed takes market share from Fisher & Paykel Healthcare

Resmed kicking Fisher & Paykel Heathcares butt?
Share Price Alert: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
I'm Buying: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's Total Returns: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare & the US Dollar
Mondrian Investment Partners take stake in Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: 2010 Full Year Profit rests on Foreign exchange movement
Long Term View: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Analysis - Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Schroder Investment Management takes big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare stake Long VS Short: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare trades a curious tale
Why did you buy that stock? [Fisher & Paykel Healthcare]

Drinking and Trading
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks
Fisher & Paykel: A tale of two companies
FPH downgrade masks good performance

Discuss FPH @ Share Investor Forum
Download FPH Company Reports




c Share Investor 2011