Monday, April 8, 2013

Share Investor Portfolio: Value @ 8 April 2013

The Share Investor Portfolio  is well up on the previous posting made at the end of 2011.  

The amount of dividends is zero as they are now used for something else so wont be reported here. 


There are also approx $60,000.00 in tax credits earned from the portfolio since it began in late 2002.





My NZX and ASX Portfolio

$194,629.36 (64.82%)$300,281.43

New Zealand Securities

as at 17:30:00, Monday 08 April, 2013 (NZT)
Stock
Quantity
Total cost
Market price
Market value
Change
%

AIA
5,312$6,954.77 DR$2.905$15,431.36$8,476.59121.88%

ASBPB
10,000$6,607.00 DR$0.780$7,800.00$1,193.0018.06%

BGR
3,000$1,598.85 DR$2.500$7,500.00$5,901.15369.09%

CEN
9,200$44,892.00 DR$5.500$50,600.00$5,708.0012.71%

FBU
1,114$7,429.50 DR$8.650$9,636.10$2,206.6029.70%

FPH
20,000$41,816.50 DR$2.540$50,800.00$8,983.5021.48%

FRE
8,631$21,181.05 DR$4.430$38,235.33$17,054.2880.52%

HLG
1,000$1,156.21 DR$5.780$5,780.00$4,623.79399.91%

MFT
5,000$26,676.75 DR$11.250$56,250.00$29,573.25110.86%

MHI
10,000$5,920.06 DR$1.340$13,400.00$7,479.94126.35%

PPL
5,000$11,843.00 DR$1.160$5,800.00$6,043.0051.03%

RYM
5,000$8,553.74 DR$5.100$25,500.00$16,946.26198.12%

SKC
37,100$62,774.00 DR$4.180$155,078.00$92,304.00147.04%

WHS
15,000$52,878.00 DR$3.540$53,100.00$222.000.42%
64.82%
Total costMarket valueChange
$300,281.43 DR$494,910.79$194,629.36



Shareinvestor 2013



Share Price Alert: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd 5




Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd [FPH.NZX] is a stock that I haven't written much about for about 1 year apart from the stock picks series.

I re-mention it again because of a question I was asked 2 days ago. Is there a stock I would still buy to get a good return and that would provide capital growth.

My answer? Fisher & Paykel.

It is a stock that is still WAY under-priced and I last picked it at its all-time low of $1.85  in August of 2012 and it remains a bargain (keep in mind I have 20000, last bought in January 2012 )which I personally would buy all the way up to 3 dollars even. 

FPH is a well managed company with a good history of increasing profits and revenue based on their manufacture and sale of high end, well sought after medical products that have high margins and a reputation for cutting edge technology which more often than not beats its competition.

The only problem, if there is one, is that much of their business is done in US dollars and due to a weak US buck profits repatriated back to head office in New Zealand have been mostly static over the last 4 years and that will grow marginally in 2013.

The currency affect will always be there so investors just have to deal with this. The company have forward hedging in place this year any weakness expect a currency gain .

Revenue and profits have grown over the years and their new products, especially their sleep apnea range has a good foot in the door in an ever increasing American market with overweight patients knocking on their doctors doors for help. This will clearly increase revenues in the near and long-term future.

The share price has been trading in a tight range over the last 6 weeks between $2.50-$2.70 but has traded as low as $2.35 in February then briefly trading at $2.60 in December then all the way down to $1.85 in the aforementioned all-time low.

You maybe lucky and get it around $2.58 but I am picking a rise come this reporting season, (announced late May 2013), announced by the company itself  and tip a further rise.

I would buy now.


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare

Share Investor's 2013 Stock Picks
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd 4
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd 3
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd 2
Share Investor's 2012 Stock Picks
Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed takes market share from Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Resmed kicking Fisher & Paykel Heathcares butt?
Share Price Alert: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
I'm Buying: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's Total Returns: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare & the US Dollar
Mondrian Investment Partners take stake in Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: 2010 Full Year Profit rests on Foreign exchange movement
Long Term View: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Analysis - Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Schroder Investment Management takes big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare stake
Long VS Short: Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
Big Fisher & Paykel Healthcare trades a curious tale
Why did you buy that stock? [Fisher & Paykel Healthcare]
Drinking and Trading
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks
Fisher & Paykel: A tale of two companies
FPH downgrade masks good performance

Discuss FPH @ Share Investor Forum
Download FPH Company Reports


Share Price Alert Series


Contact Energy Ltd 7
Fletcher Building Ltd 5 
Auckland International Airport Ltd 
Kathmandu Holdings Ltd 2
Mainfreight Ltd 3
Fletcher Building Ltd 4
Fletcher Building Ltd 3
Port of Tauranga Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd 5
Ecoya Ltd
Contact Energy Ltd 4
The Warehouse Group Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd 3
Contact Energy Ltd 2
Xero Ltd 2
Pumpkin Patch Ltd 4
Pumpkin Patch Ltd 3
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 4
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 3
Port of Tauranga Ltd
Freightways Ltd 3
Goodman Fielder Ltd 2
Freightways Ltd 2
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Charlies Group Ltd
Fletcher Building Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd
Steel & Tube Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd
New Zealand Stock Exchange Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd 2
The Warehouse Group Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd 2
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Fletcher Building Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Tourism Holdings
Goodman Fielder Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
NZ Refining Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Xero Ltd 


Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A    Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)
The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition) by Benjamin Graham
Buy new: $14.95 / Used from: $6.99
Usually ships in 24 hours



Shareinvestor 2013


Thursday, March 21, 2013

Share Price Alert: Xero Ltd 4



Xero Ltd [XRO.NZX] is a company that I just cant take my eyes off.  How long can it keep going up and up, like a well, like a rocket.

It traded down at $11.25 today after going past the 10 buck mark late last week..


It surpasses several of my current portfolio MFT - Mainfreight LtdWHS - Warehouse Group Ltd ,MHI - Michael Hill International Ltd ,  FRE - Freightways Ltd , BGR - Briscoe Group Ltd PPL ,- Pumpkin Patch Ltd and these all make handsome profits.


None of the aforementioned are even close except for the often mentioned  MFT - Mainfreight Ltd  is currently trading at around $11.25c , itself making a net profit of around $65 million to March 31 2013.


The depth of buying shows little wavering, with some people on a well known share site even picking $20 per share and another skilled player boasting of over 1000% returns - good on him, we like making money but we like people to keep it.


You know it is time to start selling when people start talking like this.


NO share, cash, investment is worth it if it hasn't yet made money and I will spell it out, Xero Ltd [XRO.NZX] has not made any M-O-N-E-Y and  is far from reporting one any time soon. In fact its many years away.


Furthermore its revenue to March 31 of an expected $38.6m, meaning Xero is currently trading at a multiple of 36 times forecast revenues.


Now I have spoken to CEO Rod Drury on one occasion and while is a very smart cookie, he cannot yet make 10 dollars into $1000 or make his company make money no matter how good it is.


That is a worry, just how good the company is. There must be another company around run by some background nerd just itching with his index finger on go button. 


Then it is all go into the next big thing.



Xero Ltd @ Share Investor 


Share Price Alert: Xero Ltd 3

Xero: To those I haven't warned before
Do you still Love Xero?
Share Price Alert: Xero Ltd 2
Share Price Alert:Xero Ltd
Xero Ltd: 2011 HY Loss looking promising
From Xero to Hero?
Stock of the Day: Xero Ltd
Rod Drury ready for the long-haul with Xero
Share Investor Interview: Xero's Rod Drury
Xero Ltd: Download full Company Analysis
Rod Drury on Xero and Growing Business
Xero set for surprise to the Market?
Love Xero? 
Share Investor's 2010 Stock Picks
Stock of the Week: Xero Ltd

Discuss Xero @ Share Investor Forum

Download Xero Company Report
Listen to Rod Drury Interview




Shareinvestor 2013




Monday, March 18, 2013

Cyprus: Bailout Deepens but Can it Affect US

News of a forced bailout of Cypriot banks should come as good news to us over here.

Savers will be forced to pries open their accounts to the tune of 10%, ok if you are sniveling leftie who has contributed to the collapse but this leaves out the vast numbers of unemployed, students, teachers etc who also contributed.

This would best be avoided through an overall tax of 10% on individuals incomes for 2-3 years. That, way no individual could avoid it unless they were unemployed the full 3 years.

Of course this is bad news and unfair on all those who paid their own way, and continue to but life is unfair, I guess.

But the real consequences for us is that the same thing could happen here. Under our own Open Bank Resolution ,(RBS) (Brought to you by Leighton Smith and my mate at The Lost Soul blog)


" The OBR policy is designed to ensure that first losses are borne by the bank’s existing shareholders. In addition, a portion of depositors’ and other unsecured creditors’ funds will be frozen to bear any remaining losses. To the extent that these funds are not required to cover losses as more detailed assessment of the position of the bank is completed, these funds will be released to depositors. At a high level, this outcome replicates the outcome that would apply in the event that a failed bank was liquidated. The primary advantage of the OBR scheme, however, is that depositors would have access to a large proportion of their balances throughout the process. This contrasts with what would happen under a normal liquidation, where depositors might not have access to any of their funds for a significant period."


NO, no no.

Most people who put their money into bank accounts the buck stops at their accounts they are not, and do not participate in the banks profits, or in this case the banks (sort of - they are govts that are intervening on their own (govts) losses) losses.

In this case it is clearly wrong headed to do, would cause panic and would clearly be an election loser.

Will it happen here?

In theory yes but our banks are among the safest in the world  (read the august 2012 PWC report ) but should they really need to they have free pass.

That should worry us all.


Banks @ Share Investor