Friday, November 9, 2007

Friday Brief

Took a small holding of a new company to the portfolio, Micheal Hill International(MHI) the New Zealand Jewelry chain, with stores in NZ, Australia and Canada.

Having been watching this one for a while and it wasn't getting any cheaper so I thought I would take the plunge before a 10 for 1 share split on Nov19.

The company has aspirations to be a global player and it is very well run and has a great attitude to capital management and prudent expansion.

I would group it with my recent additional purchases of Pumpkin Patch(PPL) as giving exposure to a global market for the long term portfolio for good long term returns.

Just an update on Burger Fuel(BFW)

An indicator of how crowded the gourmet burger market is in Sydney where BFW has two stores. A link to a critique of the food served at Burger Fuel and five other competitors

Shares are still languishing and they finished the day at 65c today. I missed this one but they opened a new store in Napier, a small town on New Zealand's North Island East Coast.


Here's the story:

BurgerFuel Opens Napier Store

BurgerFuel Worldwide Press Release – For immediate release

30 October 2007

BurgerFuel Opens Napier Store


Only a few weeks after opening its second Australian store in King’s Cross, BurgerFuel has opened another new store in Napier. BurgerFuel on Carlyle Street marks the 24th store for the company, with 22 across the North Island and 2 in Sydney, Australia.

Since listing on the NZAX in August, the company has opened a mix of both company owned and franchised stores.

The local franchisee for Napier is Andrew Coombe. Andrew is formerly a fire chief, who is going from fighting fires to fuelling the flames at BurgerFuel. The Napier store is in the new complex on Carlyle Street, on the site of the old Shell station. Andrew and his wife Anne are providing a new fuel stop for the people of Hawke’s Bay with the gourmet burger experience they both became addicted to, whilst working in Auckland.

The opening of the Napier store is seen as strategically important to BurgerFuel says Chris Mason CEO “We want people to enjoy a visit to BurgerFuel – wherever they may be. Our commitment to the provinces is just as important as city locations. As BurgerFuel increases store numbers, so too does our customer base grow. Eventually everyone should have access to New Zealand’s best gourmet burger”.


No Friday Free for all column this week but it will be back next week.


C Share Investor 2007

Thursday, November 8, 2007

Fear and Greed are Lovely things

ARRRRRRRRGGGGHHH!!!!!

http://www.iaconoresearch.com/BlogImages/07-02-27_djia_sp_naz.png
The DOW doing its thing today



I don't know about you but I'm buying.

The current sell offs of some of my favourite stocks that I already hold I have added to and picked up some new ones.

I added to my Pumpkin Patch(PPL) Portfolio again yesterday and included additions to my portfolio of Kiwi Income Property(KIP) and Postie Plus Group(PPG)

I'm not going to the New Years day sales but I'm going to participate in this one.

If you are a long term investor you would be almost mad if you didn't...well on second thoughts each to his own but.

It just goes to show that the fear and greed labels apply the most when the markets are most volatile and that those that don't follow the herd are more likely to do better in the market long term.

Who knows if we are going to see a substantial sell off of stocks as the New Zealand economy tanks and the US is having a few flutters over high oil prices, all I know is that I like to buy when stock prices are going down.

C Share Investor 2007

Wednesday, November 7, 2007

Pumpkin Patch VS Burger Fuel

Sitting in the Takapuna KFC today eating my 3 piece quarter pack I got to thinking about brands again.

Putting the Colonel's badly run brands in this country aside I would like to discuss two up and coming brands that have their genesis in New Zealand and both with ambitions on a global scale.


Image result for pumpkin patch clothing

Pumpkin Patch(PPL) the trendy kids wear manufacturer and retailer and Burger Fuel (BFW) the trendy Gourmet Burger maker share few traits with the well established KFC brand as operated in NZ.

Both PPL and BFW are in the infant stage as far as size and brand awareness go, although Pumpkin Patch seems to have a very high brand recognition even in areas where they don't have stores and one could assume on that fact alone it could become a true global brand.

BFW are well established in New Zealand, with two stores in Australia and the brand is seen as the place to buy quality fast food.

PPL are similarly ensconced in NZ and Australia and have a small presence in the US and UK. They are represented in other international markets via department stores and mail order.

PPL have a total of just over 200 stores and BFW just over 20 and both had their beginnings in the early 1990s.

Both companies have had their images carefully nurtured over the last 15 years or so and that attention to the brand has paid off and will continue to sustain growth as they look to go global.


http://www.franchise.co.nz/listing/logo_path/23/BurgerFuelLogoweb.jpg


While BFW only listed this year PPL got the jump in 2004 and has grown substantially since then, entering the US West Coast and now in Texas and New York.

The biggest risk for PPL is the cost factor, as they expand from a small base, likewise ,BFW will struggle as they enter new markets. This is likely to be ameliorated as economies of scale kick in and the brand gets additional awareness.

Strong branded companies like Starbucks have expanded this way. From their local area of Seattle they quickly spread their well managed brand across the US States and then globally.

Burger Fuel and Pumpkin Patch will attempt something similar in reverse. Probably harder to achieve than Starbucks but with their strong brands both these companies have a great shot.

The US market is arguably the most important market for both companies and the scale and exposure that will be available to them will either make or break them.

The cost of expansion will be high and must be done carefully and with much thought and planning. Getting it wrong in the US could well mean the death of either company. It is a very competitive market and there are giants there ready to match your product.

Thankfully, as management of Burger Fuel and Pumpkin Patch have been careful to keep their brands as strong as they are, as they have grown, this has given them an edge as they expand overseas and any company with an edge on the competition through strong brands and therefore brand recognition will have a better chance of surviving in a though market like the USA.

The possibilities for growth of these companies is truly mind boggling.

With around 100 Pumpkin Patch stores in Australia and a population of 20 million, it doesn't take much to extrapolate the figures in the US alone, with a population of 300 million.

The possibilities in India and China, while probably many years down the track, is enough to make ones eyes water.

Burger Fuel's future growth story isn't as easy to gauge as they have just started their foreign expansion although it will probably be tougher for them to expand than PPL as the fast food sector in which they operate in has a lot more competition. Their strong brand and differentiation to the competition will make this task easier however.

While not guaranteed global success and the associated riches that would surely follow, Pumpkin Patch and Burger Fuel have put their global expansion plans squarely in the hands of two very strong brands in the markets in which they currently operate.

Their success will hang largely on how new consumers respond to their carefully crafted brands and the backup management give them.


Disclosure I own PPL Shares



Burger Fuel Worldwide @ Share Investor


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Discuss BFW @ Share Investor Forum - Register free
 





c Share Investor 2007






Monday, November 5, 2007

A Rare Breed

The bullshit that passes for accountability amongst our leaders; politicians and business leaders alike, makes a farce of the meaning of the word "leader".

What does a leader do Darren?

Well, it is quite simple really, even though some individuals in the positions that they find themselves in and in rarer and rarer cases those than actually achieve those positions, would like others to think that being a leader is a complex issue only understood by the likes of those with over sized craniums.

Being a leader as such is as straightforward as setting examples for those that you lead, for it is clear, even to a two year old, for those that observe a good leader doing good things are likely to model themselves on good behavior. Psych 101 really.

Conversely, bad behaviour by a leader will almost guarantee a negative culture: at the workplace or anywhere else for that matter.

Bad leadership flows down to individuals in a company. It can cause resentment among workers, gossip and it saps productivity, morale and effects the long term viability of the organisation or business.

The worst and most public example of leadership failure in New Zealand would have to be Teresa Gattung, the recent retiring CEO of Telecom New Zealand [TEL.NZ]

Her culture of blame, resentment, lies and underhanded competition at leadership level managed to pervade the company culture to such a core extent that any customer getting in touch with a customer services representative at Telecom would have been well aware that there was something going horribly wrong at head office.

Gattung was the head at that head office and she was fully responsible for the disastrous mess that she managed her way into while in tenure behind the big desk.

After leaving of course she was rewarded for her mismanagement with a bundle of cash and plaudits from other mediocre managers of other businesses and arse kissing mainstream "business media" who patted her on the back for "a job well done".

Excuse me!!

On the other hand, the quiet achievers like Don Braid, the CEO and Bruce Plested from Mainfreight Ltd [MFT.NZ]:


"As we grow to become a world player we must maintain our culture and style of business by keeping a strong grip on our policy of being anti-bureaucratic; continuing to allow branch managers to make bold decisions; being energetic and entrepreneurial; and so continue to grow our business.

Don Braid, GM 2007.


Braid and Plested lead from the front and as a result an excellent company culture has evolved. The workers love working there and most of all customers enjoy their contact with Mainfreight.

Without this strong, leader led, focused running of this business Mainfreight would no doubt be floundering in the extremely competitive business environment that they operate in.

Plested and Braid would be sorely missed if they ever left the company so hopefully they can pick a good replacement when that happens.

Given that company culture is so good, the likelihood is that other good leaders will emerge, thanks to the example set by Mainfreight's leaders.

The lack of accountability by leaders when things go wrong in an organisation or business is probably the biggest barrier to business excellence for the medium and long term in this country.

Corporate history in NZ is littered with the corpses of businesses mismanaged to the point of surrender and over the last 8 years the level of managerial incompetence has continued.

The difference over the last 8 or so years though is that management and specifically leaders of that management haven't been accountable or been made accountable by fellow board members, shareholders and customers.

We have had a litany of cases of unaccountable leaders recently. Tim Saunders, former director at failed Feltex Carpets has recently been voted back in as a director of Contact Energy Ltd [CEN.NZ] after being found by an independent body as being partly culpable for Feltex's demise.

Is it any wonder why those working at the coal face at Contact are suffering from low morale. Its CEO or its board should have summarily dumped Saunders. Totally the wrong message sent to the troops and not good for the long term health of the company, global warming fuzzies or not.

Countless heads at the restaurant operator, Restaurant Brands Ltd [RBD.NZ] have failed miserably at the helm, none of them were held responsible in any way, other than they were forced to leave, long after the rot of their management had set in. RBD continue to suffer this vacuum of leadership all the way down to store level and it is obvious in almost every aspect of the business, from the non responsive middle managers all the way down to the surly staff serving customers.

There is a more successful culture in low fat yogurt than at RBD head office.

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZ] CEO Evan Davies made a series of mistakes that ended in his being pushed out the door earlier this year but not before he resided over dramatically falling fortunes in gaming profits, a couple of bad asset purchases and a conflict of interest case when his wife was promoted to a position of significant importance in the company.

Davies was allowed to stay at the helm despite his failures because his fellow board members and Sky City shareholders failed to make him responsible and he himself failed to realize that he wasn't managing the company the way it should have been and to fall on his own gilt edged sword.

Management under him at the time are still there at head office and continue to run around like headless chooks wondering what to do, while bargain hunters are hanging around, presumably with better management skills, waiting to pounce on the mismanaged beast that is Sky City.

When is it that leaders will take responsibility for company success and its failures?

It will happen when others make them responsible for those failures. In the case of company leaders; shareholders, employees and customers fail to make them accountable and need desperately to do so.

It shouldn't be up to others to make individual leaders responsible though. Being taught to be a leader from an early age is the antidote to the sickness that we as a society are suffering in terms of leadership.

The New Zealand Prime Minister, Helen Clark, should be a leader to look up to but her copybook is unfortunately blotted with so much irresponsibility and lack of accountability the ink is turning into a sickly red and spilling over the whole corpse.

With good role models in New Zealand being as rare as 15 year old virgins it looks like the problem is going to get worse before it gets better.

Our socialist education system where it is taught that it is OK to lose and that the word"failure" has been erased from the school vocab to be replaced by the phrase "did not achieve" is certainly only going to make the problem of future good leadership a goal that is "not achieved".


Disclosure: I own SKC & MFT shares in the Share Investor Portfolio

Share Investor Reading from 2010



From Fishpond.co.nz

Bird on a Wire: The Inside Story from a Straight Talking CEO

Buy Bird on a Wire: The Inside Story from a Straight Talking CEO & more @ Fishpond.co.nz

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c Share Investor 2007