Monday, February 25, 2008

Money Managers Saga- 3 story wrap

Since I have been following this evil genius for years now and reporting on him, I see it only prudent to re-post here 3 stories out over the same weekend.

Incidentally the 2nd story from the Sunday Star Times is about Dougie selling up the company.

A smooth transition of clients money to his back pocket then out the door huh Doug?

You should be in the slammer mate.

c Share Investor 2008



Out of step?

The Dominion Post | Saturday, 23 February 2008


Investors in First Step are getting worried about their money, says Jon Hoyle.


After a year with their savings locked up, investors in Money Managers' former flagship - the Australian unit trusts scheme First Step - are becoming increasingly worried they won't get all their money back.

Some argue Money Managers owner and founder Doug Somers-Edgar should cover any investor losses in the scheme.

The company admits the global credit crunch has affected the cashing-up of First Step's assets.

First Step's trusts were closed in November 2006 with $457 million of 7000 investors' money on the books. Of this amount, $330 million was investor capital and $127 million was in effect accrued interest. By December 2007, $186.5 million had been returned to investors in dribs and drabs, based on how much money, how long and in which trusts they had invested.

Another payment was made last week, but The Dominion Post understands it was $8 million less than the expected $25 million. A Money Managers spokesman said he did not know the latest payout's amount but "could" find out. Follow-up calls were unanswered by press-time.

First Step was launched in 2000, taking advantage of a loophole in Australian and New Zealand tax law. Investors began withdrawing in increasing numbers after Finance Minister Michael Cullen changed tax legislation in 2004.

The Dominion Post has spoken to nine mainly elderly First Step investors either considering or planning to take court action against those involved in the scheme to recover claimed losses. One says he had $15,000 written off in December and predicts he is at risk of losing a further $65,000, the way the funds' liquidation is going.

He said he had tried to get his money out before the funds closed, but after three months of delays, the money was locked in till liquidation could be completed.

David Peach, owner of a public relations company representing Mr Somers-Edgar, said when originally asked about investor losses: "What's been lost? No one knows if there will be losses or not." Long-time First Step critic Chris Lee, a Kapiti Coast financial adviser, was unconvinced. "Read the last accounts. You can't argue that nobody has lost money - that's just horse manure," he said.

In December, the funds' trustee Calibre Asset Services warned that $38 million was unlikely to be returned to investors and a further $109 million was classified as being under "fundamental uncertainty".

In the fundamental uncertainty basket was $79 million owed by Geotherm Group (now in receivership) for the development of a geothermal power plant near Taupo.

Mr Peach said stress on credit markets had had a negative impact on cashing up the trusts' assets as it was more difficult for potential buyers to get capital.

The lawyer for one group of investors, James MacFarlane, said the global credit squeeze or any other "adjusted macroeconomic events are not an effective defence". The money invested in First Step passed through several entities owned or controlled by Mr Somers-Edgar and Aucklanders Russell Tills and Gerald Sidall. Mr Tills and Mr Sidall resigned from companies related to the funds in the months after their closure.

Both Mr Lee and Mr MacFarlane said the profit made on these transactions should be used to cover any investor losses.

One investor noted the NBR Rich List had estimated Mr Somers-Edgar's personal wealth had doubled to $120 million between 2006 and 2007.

All investors spoken to asked that their names not be published, citing fears over possible litigation.

Money Managers has been quick to hit back at critics. In 2005, it and Mr Somers-Edgar sought $500,000 in damages from Mr Lee for articles on his website. The claim was discontinued.

The same year, the Consumers Institute published a report critical of Money Managers and First Step. The institute's then chief executive, David Russell, said Mr Somers-Edgar called for his resignation and then wrote to the institute's board demanding he be sacked.

Lawyers for Money Managers and First Step's (Mauritius-registered) trustee Calibre Asset Services have said they are considering a complaint to the Press Council over a Dominion Post report published this month.

Money Managers has described Mr MacFarlane's talking to the paper about his plans to sue the Money Managers and other parties on behalf of investors in First Step as having a "sinister implication".

Mr Somers-Edgar would not comment when contacted earlier this month. But a statement from Mr Peach attacked Mr MacFarlane for not revealing the identities of those he is acting for, what the claims of action are and when papers will be filed with the court.

Mr Peach said: "If his implication here is some impropriety over management of the funds, then he should employ a lawyer capable of sifting fact from fiction and speculation." He compared Mr MacFarlane's approach to an "American-style touting strategy".

Mr MacFarlane said he would not provide details on causes of action as it would help Money Managers' lawyers prepare their defence, but his clients' cases had been fully analysed and the causes of action clearly identified.

He alleges that Money Managers had run "an elaborate funding, marketing and fiduciary and sales structure to raise funds from non-low-risk investments", which included lending money to companies associated with Mr Somers-Edgar and other principals in First Step. "This operated outside the continuous disclosure and insider trading regimes imposed by the Securities Markets Act," he claims.

He has also suggested Australian regulators have an interest in First Step, though Money Managers has dismissed this.

Mr Peach said all practices relating to First Step had been in accordance with the law and that the majority of investors had made "very good" returns.

A key concern of First Step investors was the degree of related-party lending.

First Step accounts for the 2007 financial year showed significant losses attributed to related-party lending, whereby loans are made between groups and companies that are closely linked. During 2007, the trusts wrote off advances and loans worth $400,000 to Quadrent Finance and $394,000 to CTT Finance Holdings (in receivership).

In 2006, $1.375 million of Quadrent loans were written off.

More than $60 million of loans were made to Club Finance, a used-car loan company. It is half owned by Mr Somers-Edgar.

Last year, Club Finance settled out of court with the Commerce Commission, agreeing to refund $788,000 of redundancy insurance premiums it charged 1500 unemployed borrowers.

Jonathan Glass, an adviser for Gareth Morgan Investments, said related-party lending was considered a high-risk game. It should generally be a red flag for investors looking at investing with any company.


Change afoot at Money Managers

By ROB STOCK - Sunday Star Times | Sunday, 24 February 2008

Money Managers founder Doug Somers-Edgar is selling up, releasing the iron grip he has held over the firm since it was launched in 1986.

The Star-Times understands Somers-Edgar is selling stakes in the financial planning business to Money Managers' chief executive Alasdair Scott, franchisees, and NZ Funds Management owned by long-time Somers-Edgar business associates Gerald Siddall and Russell Tills.

Money Managers' franchisees are telling clients the Money Managers model, involving the marketing of products from related parties, will be watered down, with the firm recommending more products from unrelated companies.

Related parties currently providing products and services to Money Managers include Orange Insurance, Orange Finance, Heritage Trustee Company, Dominion Funds and Matrix Funding Group, all ultimately 100% owned by Somers-Edgar.

Some of these products involved multiple layers of related party connections, such as the First Step products which are now being wound up with some Money Managers' clients facing losses. Money in the trusts was lent to various businesses, including Club Finance (now in receivership), a used-car dealer in South Auckland which Somers-Edgar half-owns.

Because Money Managers is such an effective sales channel, the unrated Orange Finance can offer investors a two-year rate of 8.55%, just 0.1 percentage point higher than a similar investment at the safest New Zealand bank, and 1.45 points less than South Canterbury Finance.

Scott would not confirm details of the deal, which is due to be signed in early March, or whether Somers- Edgar would retain a stake in the business. He said an announcement would be made when it was concluded.

Scott told the Star-Times in August 2006 that he was championing change in the business, although sources within the company say franchisees frustrated by stalled growth at Money Managers have been agitating for change.

On its website, Money Managers claims to have 35,000 clients and $2 billion under advice. They are the same figures Money Managers was giving in mid-2004.

Currently four of the 100 shares in Money Managers are owned by Somers-Edgar in his own name. The other 96 are owned by Edgar Holdings, a company with 30,000 shares, all owned by Somers-Edgar and his wife Anne.

In recent years Somers-Edgar has taken a low-profile role at Money Managers.

He is a polarising figure who grew to fame through tirelessly fronting seminars around the country and self-promotion on radio.

Discussions around the future of the firm include operating a flat-fee model where all commissions on products are rebated entirely to clients.



National Business Review

First Step: Where did the money go?

by Helen Malmgren

NBR Doug Somers-Edgar
NBR
Doug Somers-Edgar
NBR
Late last year, a strange thing happened at Money Managers, the financial advisory company owned by Doug Somers-Edgar. One of the company’s franchisees – someone whose entire business consisted of selling Money Manager’s investment products – suddenly went on a campaign against them.

This franchisee was particularly critical about what he called “Money Manager’s latest failure,” the First Step trusts, which have been closed and winding down since December 2006.

He began his campaign by texting at least one reporter at a major newspaper, anonymously. Then he sent letters to media and finance outlets, again anonymously. Then he sent out copies of First Step’s financial statements for 2007 – and that’s when he got a reaction.

A number of news outlets, including NBR , ran stories about how First Step expected to lose about $38 million of investors’ money because of bad debts. About a third of its investors’ original capital, $108 million, was in loans and advances that couldn’t be evaluated because of a “fundamental uncertainty.” About $63 million of investors’ money was in a used-car loan company that was being investigated for possible illegal activities.

The articles all ran in the same week in mid-December, just after investors received a letter from First Step’s trustee confirming the expected loss of the $38 million and the questions about the car loan company.

According to First Step, the franchisee who sent the information to the media has since sold his Money Managers business and moved on. But the revelations about the trusts’ accounts continue to infuriate investors.

“I told them to get stuffed,” said 79-year-old Lindsay Taylor, who together with his wife invested about $270,000 in First Step. Mr Taylor said he’d always thought their money was being invested in property mortgages.

“And they put our money into a finance company lending to unemployed people to buy second-hand cars?” he said. “How many other companies associated with this scheme are screwball?”

Write your own rules

Go to Money Manager’s website and you’ll find a dreamy-looking picture featuring what appears to be the company’s motto: “write your own rules.”

And that’s just about what Mr Somers-Edgar did when he started the First Step trusts.

Unlike most financial investments which advertise their independence and objectivity, First Step was built on a series of inter-related companies and related-party deals which the trusts’ promoters not only disclosed, but used as a selling point to investors.

According to First Step, related-party deals are a means by which the trusts can control projects they’ve lent money to.

The man who would appear to have the most control over First Step’s projects is Mr Somers-Edgar. He’s the sole director and shareholder of Money Managers, the exclusive promoter of the First Step trusts. He’s the sole director and shareholder of Financial Trust Ltd, which administers the trusts and makes decisions about what loans to make with investors’ money. He’s the sole director and shareholder of Matrix Funding Group, which manages the First Step loans.

And, through a series of related-party transactions, he’s a director and shareholder at several businesses that have gotten some of First Step’s biggest loans.

It was a surprise, then, when NBR asked for an interview with Mr Somers-Edgar and was told that “he’s simply not involved in the winding down of the First Step trusts.”

With all of those directorships, shouldn’t Mr Somers-Edgar be involved in the winding down of the First Step trusts? Shouldn’t he be involved in his own companies that owe money to the First Step trusts?

Yes he should be, according to Rob Rendle, senior solicitor at the Companies Office.

Under section 128 of the companies act , Mr Rendle said, “you can’t just walk away and say you don’t know anything about [your company.]” A director “can’t delegate the overarching management function” to someone else.

But it’s easy to see how Mr Somers-Edgar might be tempted to delegate some of his many directors’ roles to someone else. Because at this point, some of the related-party deals he made during First Step’s early days have become sore points for investors during its wind-down.

Take CTT Finance Holdings, the parent company of CTT Financial Services, CTT One, Paragon Factors and Dental Finance. Mr Somers-Edgar is a shareholder in all five of these companies and until 2002 he was also a director of all of them.

In 2004 they all failed, owing about $21 million to the First Step trusts.

By last December, CTT had only paid back about $9.5 million of those loans and appeared to be nearly out of assets.“There will be insufficient funds realized from the receivership to repay the secured debt in full,” wrote CTT’s receiver Murray Allot .

In a written comment, Phil Epps, CEO of the Edgar Family Trust and a key player at First Step, said that First Step investors didn’t lose any money when CTT failed to pay the remaining $11.5 million of its debt to the trusts. Instead, he said, that loss was mostly covered by “retained earnings” that First Step directors might otherwise have taken as dividends.

But that’s not the case with Club Finance, a company which First Step admits will probably cost investors millions.

It wouldn’t be the first scandal for Club Finance, a used-car loan company located in Mt Wellington, Auckland.

In September 2006, the company was the subject of a newspaper article entitled “Solo mum owes $35,260 on $9,000 car .” The article told the story of a young woman with a sick child who’d allegedly been tricked into signing an unfair contract with Club Finance.

In May 2007, the company got more unwanted attention when the Commerce Commission made it repay $788,000 worth of redundancy insurance which it had sold to unemployed car buyers.

One article about the repayments noted that more than half of Club Finance’s customers were unemployed.

Mr Somers-Edgar has been a director and 50 per cent shareholder of Club Finance since it started business in 2003. But when the story about the Commerce Commission broke, representatives of Money Managers told TV reporters he “had nothing to do with the running of the business .”

And today, when it looks like Club Finance won’t be able to repay the $63 million it owes First Step, Mr Somers-Edgar has all the more reason to distance himself from his car finance company.

In a written statement, Mr Somers-Edgar’s spokesman Phil Epps told NBR the accounting firm KordaMentha is now overseeing Club Finance.

He added that “we are in the process of providing further information to the appropriate [regulatory] bodies.”

He also pointed out, somewhat cryptically, that “following the appointment of KordaMentha, [Club Finance’s] managing director and CEO, Philip Markwick, relinquished stewardship” of the company.

Meanwhile, Mr Markwick says he can see which way the wind is blowing.

“They’re looking for someone to blame,” he told NBR, “but there was full disclosure at board meetings, governance meetings and regular meetings with Doug Somers-Edgar.

“I also met informally with Doug on a regular basis, and with Phil Epps.”

Mr Markwick blamed Club Finance’s problems on Mr Somers-Edgar’s decision to cut off its sole source of funding, the First Step trusts.

He also said he made Mr Somers-Edgar “fully aware of the ramifications” of that decision – namely, that it could potentially ruin Club Finance.

Sour deals

Mr Markwick isn’t the only one who’s accused Mr Somers-Edgar’s team of mismanagement.

“I’ve got to get these guys out of our business!” Alistair McLachlan shouted into the phone, when NBR called him about his company Geotherm.

In December 2006, Mr Somers-Edgar’s managing company, Matrix, put Geotherm into receivership after it defaulted on a First Step loan repayment. Two years later, the company still owes First Step investors about $76 million.

When it went into receivership, the company was working on a geothermal energy project near Taupo.

Last June, the receivers reported that while “the only asset realized to date is a motor vehicle sold,” they were “actively pursuing a recapitalization or sale of the company.”

But Mr McLachlan, who was the founder and driving force behind Geotherm, insisted the project had only been “held back” by Matrix.

“Once I can get them out of here, then it’ll go ahead,” he said.

Levels of Risk

According to Mr Epps, the problems with Geotherm and Club Finance are what forced First Step to set aside $38 million for expected losses.

But the question many investors say they want answered is how their money ever got into those deals in the first place.

The First Step trusts were designed and marketed on a graduated-risk model. According to First Step’s investment statement, the highest level of the four trusts would invest in mezzanine finance and subordinated debt projects, “suitable for investors who accept a high degree of credit risk to enhance returns.”

But the statement describes the lowest level trust – the Secured Mortgage Trust – simply as an investment that “include[s] property development loans supported by a first or second mortgage over the development site.”

So why did all four levels of trusts invest in Club Finance’s car loans, Geotherm’s energy project and CTT’s financial services?

According to a public relations representative for First Step, the trusts’ managers invested in those projects to diversify the trusts. He pointed out that, until First Step closed, no investor ever lost money in the trusts.

As for Club Finance, he said, back in 2003 car loans were considered an excellent investment.

Which raises another, more difficult, issue for investors.

As First Step winds down the market is turning sour – and that makes it harder to recover their money.

Just take a look at the property development at 19 Birdwood Crescent in Parnell, which currently owes the First Step trusts about $19 million. The building is complete, the units in it are sold, and the project is simply awaiting paperwork from the council.

Nevertheless, First Step’s administrator has taken the developer to court . Why?

According to the trustee for the project, “the court case is hot wind…They’re taking action to be seen to be doing the right thing for investors.”

When it’s time to repay the loan, it will have to be renegotiated.

“Everyone’s going to get hurt a bit,” he said. “The whole market’s in the same position. It’s a mess.”


Related Share Investor Reading

The "New" Money Manager's Investment Vehicle still tainted by its past
Don't forget Money Managers
Orange Finance collapse should turn investors red, with rage



Related Amazon Reading

<span class=
Madoff: Corruption, Deceit, and the Making of the World's Most Notorious Ponzi Scheme by Peter Sander
Buy new: $10.17


Links c Share Investor 2007-2009

State backed sub prime mortgages in New Zealand a recipe for disaster

http://media.komotv.com/images/070816_countrywide.jpg

If large banking institutions like Countrywide, Citibank &
Bank of America are affected by todays sub prime mess why
is the New Zealand Labour Government about to embark on
our own sub prime fallout in the future by lending taxpayer
money to individuals to buy houses who wont be able to pay
back the loans?


"government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem".

Ronald Reagan, Inaugural Address
West Front of the
U.S. Capitol
January 20, 1981.


The fuss made last Tuesday over Helen Clark's "state of the nation" address by politicians on the left and their supporters has left me dazed and confused.

There was much talk of the "problems" that must be solved post a 2008 election and also that the Labour Government had worked hard for the last 8 and a half years to solve many of the problems that faced the nation over that time.

Surely if the hard work had been truly fruitful we really wouldn’t be facing any major problems now?

That’s where I got confused, the dazed part came after Helen Clark’s address but more about that below.

Ronnie was and is right, Governments, of all colours, make problems and then politicise these problems in the media when they offer to “fix” them.

Labour though has been the biggest problem maker in this small countries political history.

The most public example of that lately has been the anti graffiti legislation. Something made worse by Labour’s casual attitude to law enforcement and socialist family centered legislation like family group conferences instead of jail time or appropriate punishment are the problem.

The legislation is actually there already, but it is election year and Labour are merely grandstanding for votes.

You can pick through any of the huge problems that this Motley Crewe have either engineered or been responsible for and it is quite clear that Labour cannot “fix” what it has fucked up.

From the crippled health “service”, crumbling education standards, record high crime figures to record numbers of New Zealanders on welfare.

I would like to dig deeper on a future “fix” that Labour seem stuck on.

In Clark’s verbose and unsustainable “address to the nation”, she mentioned the word “sustainable” more than a dozen times, she made a feature of her governments efforts to fix the “housing unaffordability crisis”, whatever the hell that means.

The fact is, houses have always been “unaffordable” but in this day and age it seems unacceptable to those on the left for people to start at the bottom, earn their own money, save for a house and then buy one themselves. Logical isn’t it but it worked for us in a previous less politically correct life.

"The nine most terrifying words in the English language are, 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help".

Ronald Reagan, 1984


Don't worry citizens, Labour is going to help you buy a house, providing taxpayer funded loans or “shared equity” subsidized hand outs to those on “low wages”, in most cases up to 100% of the value of the house!

To fix the “housing unaffordability crises” Labour also propose to build more cheap taxpayer funded homes in increased densities, you know, like the ones they built in the 1930s onwards, the ones that still breed poverty, crime, dependence and hopelessness. Most sensible individuals call those housing developments slums.

http://www.focusjapan.com/upload/a124_p1.jpg

Little boxes made of "ticky tacky" should remain as
part of a song or on the monopoly board, not causing
repeated social decay generation infinitum as State

housing always turns out to be.


They will go further than that though. They will force local government to get involved and local housing commissions set up, ones that in the United Kingdom in the past were filled with corruption and favouritism and led to the current social mess they are having. Tower blocks of hell filled with poor dependant UK nationals and disaffected immigrants, some with Koranic scythes to grind.

It’s a fact that slums don’t and never have worked. Labour propose to follow this well worn path of failure, evidenced here and in every other nation. If they did work we wouldn't still have them decades after they were introduced.

You want to know the really funny thing about Labour’s ultimate “solution” to this thing they call a “home unaffordability crisis”?

They helped cause it!

Record high taxes have burdened lower paid workers with low take home wages, while those same record high taxes have funded a government that have spent the proceeds recklessly on social interference and handouts to those undeserved of taxpayer largesse.

Even a third form economics student at the bottom of a class full of deaf and dumb mutes could tell Michael Cullen that his spending was inflationary.

That reckless spending has led to record high mortgage rates, the highest in the “developed world” and increases in local rates, petrol and food prices and all the essentials of life.

Not much left over for mortgage repayments huh Helen and Mike?

I haven even got to the main thrust of this piece though(I’m sure many of you lefties wish you hadn’t read this far-I hope you can grasp what it is I am saying)

By attempting to “fix” this self made “problem” Labour will set up the economy for a fall, one such fall that is having repercussions on us at this present moment.

I’m talking about the sub-prime mess in the United States.

The sub prime fallout was basically caused by defaults in fringe private institutions and Freddie Mac and Fannie May, two state run lenders, lending money to those borrowers in the USA that wouldn’t normally be able to get funding to buy a house.

Surprise, surprise, they eventually couldn’t pay back the loans. Labour propose to State back these same sorts of loans because they are being politically and philosophically motivated to get another 3 years at plundering the treasury benches.

If we in New Zealand are unlucky to get this vermin voted back in again will the same government propose to “fix” our own sub prime fallout when it inevitably happens here and will we forget that they caused the problem in the first place?

I question the veracity and honesty of Labour’s position on this and urge them to seriously rethink a socialist backed dream of all of us owning a state funded house. I question a New Zealand mainstream media, especially the business and finance sector, that would let this lunatic idea go unscrutinised and unaddressed.

Here at Political Animal and Share Investor, we see our job as that of informing readers of things that are not ordinarily looked at or maybe looked at in a deeper or alternative way. A commonsense approach if you like.

Labour’s intention to foist this future “sub prime” housing fallout on Kiwis should be a major concern to all sectors of the economy, from business, to the higher and lower wage earners. It will impact on all of us if their plan gets snowballing.

http://www.insurancebroadcasting.com/080207-p2.jpg

The push into the Sub Prime lending market in New
Zealand will affect more than house prices, the economy
will be seriously affected when the fallout comes, and it will.


Look around now. The US sub prime fallout is already negatively affecting your share portfolio, your mortgage rates and is having a serious impact on business lending and therefore business and economic growth.

Imagine if you will the direct impact it will have on a small fragile economy like New Zealand.

The word serious would be understatement.


“The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them away”.

“Don't be afraid to see what you see”.

Ronald Reagan


Related Political Animal and Share Investor reading

Political Animal Blog

Labour's Socialist Peril
Labour's State control out of control
Pointing fingers in the playground

Share Investor Blog

Current credit crunch a blessing in disguise
What happened to risk?

Share Investor Friday free for all: Edition 12 -
2nd story "I'll be baacck"


c Political Animal & Share Investor 2008

State backed sub prime mortgages in New Zealand a recipe for disaster

http://media.komotv.com/images/070816_countrywide.jpg

If large banking institutions like Countrywide, Citibank &
Bank of America are affected by todays sub prime mess why
is the New Zealand Labour Government about to embark on
our own sub prime fallout in the future by lending taxpayer
money to individuals to buy houses who wont be able to pay
back the loans?


"government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem".

Ronald Reagan, Inaugural Address
West Front of the
U.S. Capitol
January 20, 1981.


The fuss made last Tuesday over Helen Clark's "state of the nation" address by politicians on the left and their supporters has left me dazed and confused.

There was much talk of the "problems" that must be solved post a 2008 election and also that the Labour Government had worked hard for the last 8 and a half years to solve many of the problems that faced the nation over that time.

Surely if the hard work had been truly fruitful we really wouldn’t be facing any major problems now?

That’s where I got confused, the dazed part came after Helen Clark’s address but more about that below.

Ronnie was and is right, Governments, of all colours, make problems and then politicise these problems in the media when they offer to “fix” them.

Labour though has been the biggest problem maker in this small countries political history.

The most public example of that lately has been the anti graffiti legislation. Something made worse by Labour’s casual attitude to law enforcement and socialist family centered legislation like family group conferences instead of jail time or appropriate punishment are the problem.

The legislation is actually there already, but it is election year and Labour are merely grandstanding for votes.

You can pick through any of the huge problems that this Motley Crewe have either engineered or been responsible for and it is quite clear that Labour cannot “fix” what it has fucked up.

From the crippled health “service”, crumbling education standards, record high crime figures to record numbers of New Zealanders on welfare.

I would like to dig deeper on a future “fix” that Labour seem stuck on.

In Clark’s verbose and unsustainable “address to the nation”, she mentioned the word “sustainable” more than a dozen times, she made a feature of her governments efforts to fix the “housing unaffordability crisis”, whatever the hell that means.

The fact is, houses have always been “unaffordable” but in this day and age it seems unacceptable to those on the left for people to start at the bottom, earn their own money, save for a house and then buy one themselves. Logical isn’t it but it worked for us in a previous less politically correct life.

"The nine most terrifying words in the English language are, 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help".

Ronald Reagan, 1984


Don't worry citizens, Labour is going to help you buy a house, providing taxpayer funded loans or “shared equity” subsidized hand outs to those on “low wages”, in most cases up to 100% of the value of the house!

To fix the “housing unaffordability crises” Labour also propose to build more cheap taxpayer funded homes in increased densities, you know, like the ones they built in the 1930s onwards, the ones that still breed poverty, crime, dependence and hopelessness. Most sensible individuals call those housing developments slums.

http://www.focusjapan.com/upload/a124_p1.jpg

Little boxes made of "ticky tacky" should remain as
part of a song or on the monopoly board, not causing
repeated social decay generation infinitum as State

housing always turns out to be.


They will go further than that though. They will force local government to get involved and local housing commissions set up, ones that in the United Kingdom in the past were filled with corruption and favouritism and led to the current social mess they are having. Tower blocks of hell filled with poor dependant UK nationals and disaffected immigrants, some with Koranic scythes to grind.

It’s a fact that slums don’t and never have worked. Labour propose to follow this well worn path of failure, evidenced here and in every other nation. If they did work we wouldn't still have them decades after they were introduced.

You want to know the really funny thing about Labour’s ultimate “solution” to this thing they call a “home unaffordability crisis”?

They helped cause it!

Record high taxes have burdened lower paid workers with low take home wages, while those same record high taxes have funded a government that have spent the proceeds recklessly on social interference and handouts to those undeserved of taxpayer largesse.

Even a third form economics student at the bottom of a class full of deaf and dumb mutes could tell Michael Cullen that his spending was inflationary.

That reckless spending has led to record high mortgage rates, the highest in the “developed world” and increases in local rates, petrol and food prices and all the essentials of life.

Not much left over for mortgage repayments huh Helen and Mike?

I haven even got to the main thrust of this piece though(I’m sure many of you lefties wish you hadn’t read this far-I hope you can grasp what it is I am saying)

By attempting to “fix” this self made “problem” Labour will set up the economy for a fall, one such fall that is having repercussions on us at this present moment.

I’m talking about the sub-prime mess in the United States.

The sub prime fallout was basically caused by defaults in fringe private institutions and Freddie Mac and Fannie May, two state run lenders, lending money to those borrowers in the USA that wouldn’t normally be able to get funding to buy a house.

Surprise, surprise, they eventually couldn’t pay back the loans. Labour propose to State back these same sorts of loans because they are being politically and philosophically motivated to get another 3 years at plundering the treasury benches.

If we in New Zealand are unlucky to get this vermin voted back in again will the same government propose to “fix” our own sub prime fallout when it inevitably happens here and will we forget that they caused the problem in the first place?

I question the veracity and honesty of Labour’s position on this and urge them to seriously rethink a socialist backed dream of all of us owning a state funded house. I question a New Zealand mainstream media, especially the business and finance sector, that would let this lunatic idea go unscrutinised and unaddressed.

Here at Share Investor and Political Animal , we see our job as that of informing readers of things that are not ordinarily looked at or maybe looked at in a deeper or alternative way. A commonsense approach if you like.

Labour’s intention to foist this future “sub prime” housing fallout on Kiwis should be a major concern to all sectors of the economy, from business, to the higher and lower wage earners. It will impact on all of us if their plan gets snowballing.

http://www.insurancebroadcasting.com/080207-p2.jpg

The push into the Sub Prime lending market in New
Zealand will affect more than house prices, the economy
will be seriously affected when the fallout comes, and it will.


Look around now. The US sub prime fallout is already negatively affecting your share portfolio, your mortgage rates and is having a serious impact on business lending and therefore business and economic growth.

Imagine if you will the direct impact it will have on a small fragile economy like New Zealand.

The word serious would be understatement.


“The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them away”.

“Don't be afraid to see what you see”.

Ronald Reagan


Related Political Animal and Share Investor reading


Share Investor Blog

Current credit crunch a blessing in disguise
What happened to risk?

Share Investor Friday free for all: Edition 12 -
2nd story "I'll be baacck"

Political Animal Blog

Labour's Socialist Peril
Labour's State control out of control
Pointing fingers in the playground


c Political Animal & Share Investor 2008

Sunday, February 24, 2008

John Key gives good Facebook?

Photo c John Key, Facebook, 2008

According to Madonna, Bette Davis gave good face, will John
Key on Facebook?




Johnny Key has joined Facebook, to get some facetime with the voting age yoof who would normally vote for a leftie government. 10 people joined up while I was!

A good move by John, should have been made ages ago but never mind.

Contributers, watch what you say OK? the Electoral Finance Act is peeking over your shoulder.

Labour party hacks, please stay off it unless you have something sensible and erudite to say.


Related Political Animal reading

Electoral Finance Bill: The purpose is clear
Victim of Electoral Finance act forced to shut down website
John Key's Facebook page


c Political Animal 2008

Cindy Kiro gets violent

http://www.dontvotelabourcartoons.com/gallery/cartoon5.jpg
c Blanch 2008



Cindy Kiro, the Children's Commissar, has gone feral over the weekend and it looks like a violent reaction to the truth about child rearing has smacked her in the face and waken her from her slumber in her deep welfare dependent taxpayer funded black leather chair.

In the wake of the anti anti-smacking petition getting the required amount of signatures, Kiro's mouth continues to cash cheques that she cant back up with any real currency.

She calls those who voted for the petition"extreme" and I guess by definition and inclusion the majority of New Zealanders, who would like to be able to use a small smack on the hand or a safe part of the body, as a part of good and loving parenting, without going to prison or being told on by their children, other parents or teachers.

She calls the petition organisers "misleading" regarding how they got so much support for their petition. The mirror would be a good place to start when little Cindy utters this kind of clap trap.

I have been told a story about 2 young boys who discussed among themselves about whether they should tell their teacher about one of them being smacked lightly for being a horrible little child. The children didn't tell because the one who wasn't smacked told his father and both families got together and discussed it. The boys came to the conclusion that it would have been wrong to tell on the parent, and rightly so.

Kiro and the lefty lot who push their poisonous legislation on us want to undermine parents authority, that is clear in the example I explained above and it would have led to that parent being interrogated by the police, just for being a Father.

The fact is the majority of good parents in this country disagree with Kiro and would also share the view, that it is she with the problem and not those of us who know that a little smack is not child abuse and is good for the child when done with love.


Related reading

Commissioner Insults Generations of Parents
Kids Commissioner out of touch with reality


Related Political Animal reading

Anti Anti-smacking petition a slap in the face for out of touch Politicians
Sign the Anti Anti smacking petition

c Political Animal 2008

Poll and Comment: Labour's teflon in tatters

The latest Nielson Fairfax political poll shows that Aunty Helen and her mates continue to slip further behind. It reflects an earlier Colmar Brunton poll that came out on Monday and continues an ongoing slide for the Godmother of the nation.

The downwards trend for the Labour Party and supporting political players rolls on. It seems since the last poll 3 months ago their stance on the Electoral Finance Act. An act that stifles free speech against the government and stamps on political funding to opposition, and their hypocritical stance over secret loans made to the party during the recent Owen Glenn scandal, that run contrary to their moralistic masturbation over the EFA, have really taken their toll.


Mike Moreu cartoon
c Moreu 2008, from Stuff , " The Loan Arranger"

The possible inclusion of a referendum to coincide with the 2008 election, will be a further reminder to voters about the other restraints of New Zealander's freedoms that these mad socialists have foisted on us over the past 9 long years.


Related Political Animal reading

Colmar Brunton Poll and comment
Labour Party election funding murky at best
Electoral Finance Bill: The purpose is clear
Owen Glenn given the cold shoulder
Snouts in the trough bent out of shape
The Owen Glenn story: Singing the same tune but hitting a bum note

c Political Animal 2008




National opens up 23 point lead - poll

9:05AM Saturday February 23, 2008, NZPA

National has opened up its biggest lead over Labour, the latest poll showing it 23 points ahead with 55 per cent support.

The Fairfax Media-Nielsen poll of 1088 voters showed National gaining 10 points on the same poll last November, while Labour lost 8 points.

Labour's problems don't stop there; support for Prime Minister Helen Clark has dropped to 29 per cent, down 9 points in three months, while National leader John Key is 15 points ahead on 44 per cent, up 8 points.

The Greens 6 per cent support meant it was the only minor party to hit the 5 per cent needed under MMP to qualify for seats without an electorate.

New Zealand First had 3 per cent, the Maori Party 2 per cent and ACT 1 per cent. United Future and the Progressives both failed to rate.

If the poll was reflected in an election-night result, National would govern alone with 69 seats.

The poll, taken between February 13 and 19, had a margin of error of 3 per cent

- NZPA

Mainfreight drives excellent results through prudent management

The performance of Mainfreight (MFT) the New Zealand niche global logistics player, over the last 9 months to the end of December 2007 has been excellent in the light of slowing global economic conditions.

Key results:

*after tax profit of $NZ29.37 million, a 17.5% increase on last year.
*revenue up 8.83% on 2007, to $645.37 million.
*strong revenue increases from New Zealand, Australia, Asia and the USA.
*new acquisitions either performing to plan or exceeding expectations.

Full MFT, NZX profit announcement


Like Michael Hill International(MHI) and divisions of other New Zealand business operators who have a global reach, Mainfreight's New Zealand growth pales by comparison to their foreign business.

Freightways(FRE) the New Zealand courier company, has found the domestic conditions tough going in their latest profit announcement. Mainfreight has done better than many to manage the economic downturn here though, their opening of a large logistics "supersite" in the South Auckland area, NZ's largest market, has helped focus costs and given them better economy of scale in that important industrial area.


The Labour backed, Government owned, rail service seems to be having an impact on the company though:

"A shortage of rail equipment during the period hampered opportunities to move increased volumes on rail, and is of ongoing concern".

Clearly a state run rail service is going to be an ongoing source of pain for the company.

Management are positive with their long term outlook for the company as far as foreign markets are concerned though:

"Our market share remains small relative to the size of each offshore market, providing significant opportunities for further development in excess of GDP growth in each country. For example, the declining US dollar has seen the start of significant export growth from the United States which will assist export volumes for our American operations. "

It is encouraging to see a positive view of their business, in the light of uncertain global economic conditions, and their management seems prudent in the face of tougher economic conditions, domestically and internationally.

In the first 2 months of this year, indicators are that growth has continued along the lines of the last 9 months and exceeded previous years in respect of revenue growth.

Shareholders have excellent management to thank for driving the results of the company over the last 9 months.


Disclosure: I own MFT shares


Related Share Investor reading

Mainfreight keeps on truckin
Business Gobbledygook puts up barriers to communication
A rare breed
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks


c Share Investor 2008

Michael Hill's profit shines

Results for Michael Hill International(MHI) were expected by the market as they were telegraphed a few weeks back but it is pleasing to see the breakdown.


http://media.apn.co.nz/webcontent/image/jpg/Michael-Hill.jpg
Under Michael Hills careful
management his company looks
set for a good long term future.



I have been a long term follower of this company and have only admired it from a distance, having bought a very small holding late last year I am very pleased that I did.

Key figures:

* Operating revenue of $209.191m up 4.8%
* EBIT of $30.799m up 27.8%
* Net profit after tax of $19.480m up 27.1%
* 19 new stores opened during the six months
* Total of 210 stores open at 31 December 2007

Full profit rundown from NZX


Australia and Canada performed well over the last 6 months but New Zealand stores were flat, reflecting the poor economic conditions that we are currently facing. Business is likely to be tough in New Zealand for the lead up to the General Election at the end of the year and tax cuts offered by National are likely to stimulate the retail sector at the start of 2009.

Australia clearly has much more store growth to come, their current 136 stores vs the New Zealand store count of 52 would equate to roughly 250 stores when you figure OZ has five times the population that NZ has. Even store growth in Auckland is likely to be added to as its citizens need approx 30,000 ft of new retail space very year just to accommodate population growth.

Canada has the most fascination with me though. It has grown stongly in revenue over the last 6 months and doubled their operating profit on a base of 22 stores.

Their apparent success here, after just a few years, makes this market one to watch closely for the future direction of the company as a whole. Not just for profits that should come from the Canadians though.

I'm highly interested in their eventual push further south, into the clutches of the US consumer.

This market will be MHI's toughest one yet and if successful will clearly make the company a true global player, something the man, Michael Hill, has had designs on for many years.

The route the company is taking into the USA differs from that of another prospective Kiwi global player, Pumpkin Patch Ltd(PPL), Pumpkin opened in the US first, while MHI's strategy of entering a smaller, similar market seems to be a wiser move in my mind, less short term risk but a bigger long-term payoff.

It will be interesting to see where Michael Hill International will be in 10 years, last weeks profit announcement and associated figures make the possibility of global success in the long term an attainable goal.


Disclosure: I own MHI shares


Essential Links:

Investor Information

Related articles from Share Investor

MHI has defined growth strategy
MHI profit sparkles
Pumpkin's expansion comes at a cost


c Share Investor 2008

Friday, February 22, 2008

Clarks rudeness to donor Owen Glenn plumbs new depths

Friday, February 22, 2008 By Rod Emmerson


"Helen's idea of Fidelity"


Ignoring the biggest donor to your 2005 election bid, Owen Glenn, at a function that you are supposed to be the figurehead of, at a school of business that bears the name of that donor and using the Maori race card excuse not to rub noses with him is pushing the envelope even for this sheila.

It is rude and disrespectful and certainly not something a balanced Prime Minister would do.

Its childish stuff and her modus operandi, but something that brain dead Labour party voters seem to ignore year after year when they vote this trollop back in.

The video of the opening of the school is a classic and if body language tells you anything here its that Helen Clark would rather at a National Party Election victory party(OK thats going too far) or perhaps at the main meeting house at Waitangi on a wet day.

Video from NZ Herald


There is much more dirt to dig up over this scandal and I think I can hear Fran O' Sullivan from the NZ Herald working on her word processor now.

Stay tuned!

c Political Animal 2008




Anti Anti-Smacking Petition slap in the face for out of touch Parliament

The anti, anti-smackers group have succeeded in their quest to get 300,000 kiwis to vote for their petition.

Congrats from Political Animal and congrats to those who cast their vote.

A real smack in the face for Bradford and the lemon suckers from Labour and other supporting players; Greens, Maori Party and the dopey National Party.

If there is a referendum this election, any elected party will be even dopier to ignore it.


c Political Animal 2008


Petition aiming to revoke smacking bill passes 300,000

NZPA | Friday, 22 February 2008

A group aiming to overturn the so-called anti-smacking legislation say they have enough signatures to force a referendum.

One of the organisers, Kiwi Party leader Larry Baldock, told a news conference today the petition had gone past the 300,000 target.

"The actual target to force a referendum is 285,019, which is 10 per cent of the electoral roll, but we aimed at 300,000 to be safe," Mr Baldock said.

"As of today we have 322,252 signatures."

The petition asks: "Should a smack as part of good parental correction be a criminal offence in New Zealand?"

Mr Baldock said nearly as many people had signed a second petition question, "Should the Government give urgent priority to understanding and addressing the wider causes of family breakdown, family violence and child abuse in New Zealand".

The petition follows the passing into law of Sue Bradford's bill last year outlawing the defence of reasonable parental correction in assault cases.

It was passed 113-8 after a last-minute amendment put forward by National stating police did not have to pursue inconsequential smacking.

Mr Baldock said the petition would be handed into Parliament at the end of next week, where parliamentary clerks would check on the number of duplicate signatures.

"We think some it impossible some people won't have signed twice - 12 months is a long time - but we are hoping it will be no more than 10 to 15 per cent."

If the petition reaches the official target Mr Baldock said there was a good chance a referendum would be put to voters on election day.

The referendum would not be binding.

Mr Baldock said politicians should not ignore the referendum if it was passed.

"It's not just about pro-smacking or anti-smacking, it's about our democracy. The most recent poll said 74 per cent of New Zealanders were opposed to the bill," he said.

Co-organiser Christine Rankin said Ms Bradford's bill would do nothing to stop child abuse.

Owen Glenn given the cold shoulder


c Stuff 2008

A picture tells at least a $600,000.00 story.

Billionaire Owen Glenn is protected by bully boy Trevor Mallard from the clutches of her former friend and secret donor to the Labour Party.

Trevor was hear to say from someone just out of frame of this picture-possibly Winston Peters, " Helen my dear, should I do to Glenn what I did to Tau Henare?"

Related Political Animal reading

Snouts in the trough bent out of shape
The Owen Glenn story: Singing the same tune but hitting a bum note
Labour Party Election funding murky at best

Mallards new anti violence advert
Trevor mallard must go

c Political Animal 2008

Thursday, February 21, 2008

Owen Glenn: Snouts in the trough bent out of shape




If you haven seem Emerson's take on the Owen Glenn scandal I thought I would share it with you here.


NZ Herald's coverage of Owen Glenn Scandal

Labour president offers to quit over Owen Glenn saga
Glenn offered Howard Morrison $1m to stand as MP
Honour not for loans, says Clark
Peters fury over handling of millionaire donation story
Donor now says Labour offered Monaco post
Business school 'crucial' to NZ success
Clark must explain quote, says National
Big heart, deep pockets
Labour should squirm over links to billionaire
Clark denies offering post to supporter
This building means business



The little Labour piggy though clearly got kicked out of Owen Glenn's "rich prick" billionaire sty because the chief sow wouldn't go anywhere near him today.

Trevor Mallard occupies Owen Glenn (right) and keeps him away from Helen Clark. Photo / Paul Estcourt
Photo Glenn Estcourt, NZ Herald

Glenn is spirited away from Clark by
Trevor "the bash" Mallard. Clark kept her
distance the whole evening of the opening
of the business school that bears Owen Glenn's
name, and the reason he got a Government
Honour in the New Years list.


For the life of me I cant understand why a political party like Labour would first of all take a donation for the 2005 election from the likes of an individual who they would call a "rich prick" and pays no tax, which they also despise, then take a secret "loan" from him after the election and then try to avoid him at all costs.

At the time of the concealed secret $100,000.00 loan made by Owen Glenn to Labour, Helen Clark and her minions were railing against "big money" and "secret donations" that the National Party had apparently benefited from, when they debated the anti democratic , anti freedom of speech Electoral Finance Bill.

So its only big money and secret donations when your opposition gets the benefit. It seems that is it.

There is more to go on this scandal and it has all the participants running for cover, covering up, lying to protect themselves, political friends and their careers.

In a saga and acting job worthy of an Oscar for best fictional adaption of a screenplay, Clark asked her Labour Party President to render his resignation to her today and then refused it.

This is typical Helen Clark stuff, deflect the rightful responsibility for her or party's errors or corruption by attacking her rightful accusers, then blame either a public official, junior minister or in this case Mike Williams, the Labour Party Prez.

Even Clark's lapdog Winston Peters has got in on the act. Rumours abound as to where the money came from to pay off the $158,000.00 of taxpayer money he stole to fund his 2005 election bid last year.

A secret donation of around $100,000.00 was made into party coffers at the end of 2007. Was it from Glenn? Nobody from NZ First is denying the accusation.


Related Political Animal reading

The Owen Glenn story: Singing the same tune but hitting a bum note

Labour Party Election funding murky at best

C Political Animal 2008


Auckland Airport profit stays grounded




Full NZX profit announcement for AIA
Update on CPPIB Bid
CPPIB response to payment of Interim DIV
NZ Herald report



I haven't got much to add to today's profit announcement by Auckland International Airport
(AIA) except to point out that the total revenue for the first half up 7.9 per cent to $NZ172.325 million, even though after tax profit was down by approximately 4% to $47.5 million for the half year and all other important figures for future performance and profitability are good.

Other important key performance factors from the half:


* Total passenger movements increased 4.9 per cent to 6,449,543.

*
Retail income was up 10.4 per cent.

* Car parking income, up 15.5 per cent.

* Rental income was 15.7 per cent higher.

One can also see from the stats below that AIA makes for a good long term investment.



Revenues (m)
EBITDA (m)
Operating margin(%)
Depreciation (m)
Amortisation (m)
EBIT (m)
Net profit before abnormals (m)
Net profit (m)
Income tax rate(%)
Net profit margin(%)
Employees (thousands)
Long term debt (m)
Shareholders equity (m)
Net Gearing (%)
Net Interest Cover (x)
Return on capital(%)
Return on equity(%)
Payout ratio(%)




Although profit has stalled recently, due mainly to increased capital expenditure on expansion of terminals, retail space and other airport upkeep, revenue and passenger numbers have increased well year by year.

When shareholders vote to accept or reject the Canadian Pension Plan Investment board offer they must look at todays and past profits and look at where the airport and therefore their investment might be in 10 years time.

The Airport is paying an increased dividend of 5.75c per share to use up imputation credits should the Canadian bid take off, so the offer by the CPPIB has been reduced by the dividend payout.

Further to the merger proposal, as of yesterday, CPPIB has advised that acceptances have been lodged for 81,422,529 shares, representing 6.66 per cent of the total shares in the company.

89,267,833 shareholder votes, representing 7.30 per cent of the total shares in the company, have also been received. Of the votes received to date, 57.62 per cent are against CPPIB acquiring a 40 per cent stake and 42.38 per cent are in favour of the offer.

Slowish going so far for the CPPIB but New Zealanders are notoriously mogadonish when making decisions and tend to leave these things to the last possible moment but shareholders still have until March 13 2008 to make up their minds.


https://ost.asbbank.co.nz/581DDC9B56D4715202EDE783905236E3/Research/GetChart.ashx?url=http://asbc.iguana2.com/asb/hist/NZSE/AIA/10y/1/line/30/60/linear/vol
c ASB Securities 2008

One can see from the 10 year chart that long term shareholders have been handsomely
rewarded. Generous dividends amounting to 55.1c over 10 years plus tax credits have been
paid.


Long term AIA management seem bullish about company prospects but short term drags related to "the global economy" and "global credit tightening" appear to be excuses used to defuse shareholders expectations should profit be stagnant in the coming year.


Related Share Investor reading

Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


Disclosure: I own AIA shares


c Share Investor 2008