Share Investor: TTK

Showing posts with label TTK. Show all posts

Friday, January 30, 2015

Share Investors Portfolio Picks Updated

Well, its been a busy couple of months.

NZX up around 200 points and the portfolio up in all cases except for 3x.

I'll start with those 3 first.

That's Trademe, The Warehouse and Team Talk.

Trademe down about 25c, the Warehouse around the same and Team Talk down 60 cents due to a downgrade.

Auckland International Airport is up over 50 cents, Air NZ up over 40 cents, Contact Energy up over $1, Fisher & Paykel Health up 90 cents, Hallensteins Glassons up 20 cents, Mainfreight up just over $1, NZ Refining up over 60 cents , Heartland Bank up nearly 30 cents Sky City even and Xero just 20 cents below what it was Nov 20.

They range from Heartland up 30 per cent, to Sky City even stevens and everything else in between.

Easy to pick good ones in a market that is rising but hopefully you can see what I mean about brief profits.

Real money is to be made long term.

An Alternative to that biased, joke that is Sharetrader.

www.shareinvestorforum.com

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c Share Investor 2014, 2015

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Share Investor's 2015 Stock Picks

Author at beginning of year.

I think I will pick stocks this year and give readers a chance to fill in the blanks yourselves.

Apart from the fact that the NZX 50 is up around 900 points to finish at 5530 today, you would have to say the index shows our market has been way overbought and is due for a correction, how much and when is a little harder to define.

That may also not happen, if America keeps on with its wacky ways.

With this in mind here we go.

Fisher and Paykel Healthcare

Quite high at the moment but long term readers will know I've picked this every year since I started this.

Give it a miss at these prices if you want to invest - it will get cheaper. But if your one of those short termers its worth grabbing. Will go north of $6.00.

Sky City Entertainment

This is the year I'm picking for this wonderful stock, it has almost paid for itself in 13 short/long years, divs.

I'm picking it to finally deliver in the last part of 2015. Momentum will see this stock in the high 5s.

The Warehouse Group

I'm picking this stock, because I have a hunch its dec statement to us, the public, will be a good one and its sales figures out in Jan will be more of the same. It is likely that a turn around has come.

Cross fingers.

Mainfreight Ltd

I picked this stock because of its ability to stick to its knitting, get the job done, and bring in the results.

Time after time.

2015 will be an outstanding year for the company.

Contact Energy

2015 will be a good year for Contact.

Although 2015 - 17 will be restrained in terms of demand, their supply will rewarded with historical lows in terms of cost of production.

Management have signalled either buy back, special div or higher divs for now and into the future.

Ryman Healthcare Ltd

This stock amazes me.

While it was languishing in the high 20s that's $1.20 during the financial crises of 2008 - 2011 it hardly rated a mention, I was buying it then (first disclosure).

It was making record profits then.

Now it and its sisters are making headlines once a week, how hot is the property market right now.

This will take off once the most recent profit result is known - this Friday 21 Nov.

Get it while you can.

Auckland Airport

This company is well on the road to earning the big bucks.

It wasn't long ago, 4 years ago, that it was making 100m, now it will do close to twice that.

Ain't going to have any competition, not while I'm or my daughters alive.

I see nothing but growth for this one, get on and fly.

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings

A brief one which I've traded 4x before that goes in cycles the way that it always has.

Management are aware things change - they have been in the clothing biz for over 100 years and know where it at, that is why I don't mind holding. They are a good company.

They are near the bottom once again and by most they appear to be making there way to the top again.

Heartland New Zealand

This one I picked last year @ 80 something cents.

I pick It again next year as it looks set to expand and grow revenue and profit.

Something tells me that this is a dark horse.

A Xero, in the making if you like, except this company makes a profit and has got a clear purpose.

Get it now for big future gains.

NZ Refining

NZ Refining is a cyclical stock and at present its in the low part of the cycle.

1.97 per share is cheap when one considers your buying 2.05 of NTA.

Get in while you can on good long term - 2 plus years - gain.

Trademe Group

If you can get this around $4.00 you could earn almost a buck a share next year.

It looks set to consolidate next reporting season, perhaps a we bit up and grow slightly during 2015.

Not a share I would own for a long time, has no future, but good to get in and out of on its way down to zero.

Team Talk

This one has been on my watchlist for years.

Its on the small-cap index.

Principally because of its dividend, which has been 2x 10c for long as I can remember but has recently come down to 7.5c x 2. The company say it will stay that way all of next year.

The share price has come down by more than the cost of the div making this a good long term bet to take off once it sees an improvement in bus.

Any improvement in the biz would see the div raised.

Air NZ

Just one last one to tempt the weak and perhaps make the very same strong if they hold onto this one to long.

If you can get this at 2.15 per share you should be good for the rest of 2015.

The running costs are going down and patronage is up.

Beautiful!

It will not last forever.

Warning

What not to buy!

At the time of writing this addition 19.12.14 11.30am the stock that I've got to mention is XRO. It is at $15.70 at time of writing and is set to make further slippages in 2015. It reached a high of over $45 and some and is many years away from making a profit - if at all. It has been 6.5 years on the NZX.

Stay away.

Conclusion

As I said in the brief intro I think the index looks a little shaky.

I see a brief upswing in the new year then a tapering off throughout the year.

But we are talking a new reality, markets aren't going down like they should do.

America is doing things with its dollar that we haven't seen before and suffering the consequences - the market is going up not down.

The economy is lulling itself into a false sense of security, its not letting out the bung, it just continues to stuff it with continued monetary expansion.

O.k, I'll leave it there.

Except to say, they - America - cannot let the bung out, to do so would jeopardize world markets.

* As an addendum, the stocks from Fisher and Paykel to Hallensteins are stocks in the share investors portfolio and are included because they are the bomb.

The rest are very worthy additions.

An Alternative to that biased, joke that is Sharetrader.

www.shareinvestorforum.com

Share Investor's Annual Stock Picks

Share Investor's 2014 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2013 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2012 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2010 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Share Investor's 2008 Stock picks

Broker Picks

Brokers 2014 Stock Picks
Brokers 2013 Stock Picks
Brokers 2012 Stock Picks
Brokers 2011 Stock Picks

c Share Investor 2014, 2015

Friday, August 27, 2010

Hidden Gems: Teamtalk Ltd

I own a 17 shares in the Share Investor Portfolio and they are mostly larger companies which are well known to investors and to the public in general.

While doing a Long Term View series post yesterday I had come down to doing some of the smaller companies listed on the NZX . Largely most of these are penny dreadful losers or companies that have very patchy results and pasts but when I came down to calculating the long-term returns for Teamtalk Ltd [TTK.NZX] I found to my surprise that this tiny little Telecom sector company with less than a $50 million market capitalisation is one of the better investments listed on the NZX.

With an annual net return of 17.61% (including dividends and tax credits)for the last 6 or so years since listing and a nearly 7% annual gross return, Teamtalk outperforms most other listed NZX companies by a large margin.

The company began in 1994 as Managing Director David Ware, annoyed by the poor service and lack of professionalism from telecommunications companies, set out to start his own.

They struggled through the deregulation of the Telecoms sector in the 1990s and the bankruptcy of their owner in 1999 and ended up buying the company themselves and listed it in 2004.

The company has performed well since then and by management's reckoning see a positive future for thew company ahead.

The company is not for me because I don't fully understand what they do but it might be well worth looking at if you are well versed in this sector.

You could well do alot worse.

Teamtalk Ltd @ Share Investor

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c Share Investor 2010