Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Share Price Alert: Reminder


Chart forContact Energy Ltd (CEN.NZ)

Ever since Nov 11 2016 when I picked this stock again (look below at links for more evidence) this little puppy [CEN.NZX] has packed on roughly 50c.

All things point to a healthy return in August 2017 because of the dry season we are experiencing of late.

Some of that may have caught the early risers BUT...

I still think there's some left in the tank yet an with a possible increased dividend to be announced Feb 13 2017,

I would buy up to any under 5 bucks and you should do well out of this little stunner if you were thinking of buying this anyway.

Early risers would have gotten in on this stock back in Nov.

Its been alright for me.


CEN @ Share Investor

Contact Energy: Buy Now!
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MarketWatch: Contact Energy - Jan 2009
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Follow the Monopoly Board

Discuss this stock at Share Investor Forum - Register free
Download CEN Company Reports



Share Investors Portfolio @ 6 Jan 2017




The Warren Buffett Way
The Warren Buffett Way by Robert G. Hagstrom
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Share Investor 2017

Sunday, January 8, 2017

Westpac: Credit Where Credit is Due

Related image

Previously I have had many bad banking experiences.

Now I must avail you to a positive message,

One that has almost left me speechless,

The bank concerned was Westpac Banking Group Ltd [WBC.NZX] .

I didn't previously have a very good opinion of them. I probably still don't.

This happened after many months of tooing and frooing over interest charges and fees on my credit card.

This card was my first credit card and i got it back in 1995 when I graduated from Auckland Uni and it had a picture of the University on it and $1000 in credit.

Fast forward 21 years and I just happen to take up the offer of having my limit extended to $10,000 and for the interest free period extended to 1 year.

What do you know last month a got my bill and attached to it was 2 forms of interest charged.

When i queried it (after going through about 5 people)i got a friendly chap Ike Harris on the line and he told me that Westpac came to their credit card accounts in a different way to other banks - I've had these before, they were for way more money and they didn't cost a cent)

Anyway Ike told me that if you purchased something during the month you would accrue interest, i knew this from before but because of my stroke i forgot about it at the time i made the purchase.

That was OK, I was prepared for this.

What i didn't know is that it wasn't only for THAT month, the interest would continue to accrue for the entire period of the $10,000 loan.

I told Ike that i had free credit cards before and i wasn't charged in this way.

Well Ike said we are different.

Much discussion in my broken English followed as to the seriousness or otherwise of the way they charged their credit cards.

Anyway.

This is what Ike did:

Thanks for getting in touch with us.

Please find attached the information requested when we spoke today.

-a balance transfer of $10,000.00 was completed on 07/03/2016 at 0.00% pa for 12 months

-from that date transactions occurred on the account and were subject to interest charges

-as at today, there is still $1,115.42 of charges subject to interest. We have added these charges onto the balance transfer of $10,000.00 which will also be at the rate of 0.00% pa until the balance transfer expires in March 2017

-interest will begin to accrue on these amounts after 07/03/2017 if they are not paid in full

-you may see a small amount of interest on your next statement as we are part way through this month. I will reverse these charges as they appear


True to his word the interest was reversed and all associated charges dropped.

Ike was a brilliant young man who should be working to help out people because he was patient.

Have you had similar stories with ''free'' credit cards?








           Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A     Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)

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                  c Share Investor 2017



Friday, December 30, 2016

Is Mainfreight Worth 20 Bucks Plus a Share?


Image result for 20 4 note nz



The last time we visited Mainfreight Ltd [MFT.NZ] it was worth just over 10 bucks, just 6.5 years latter it is worth $20.71.


We should look at a few facts first to dispel any myths surrounding the company.



2016


*Net Reported Profit   88 mil

*Price Earnings Ratio (P/E) 22.65
*Earnings per Share (EPS) 96.24
*Net Tangible Assets per share 329.21c
*Total Net Div Paid (last full financial year) 40c
*Div Yield 1.79%
*Market Cap 2,079,000,000


2011


*Net Reported Profit  26 mil

*Price Earnings Ratio (P/E) 13.92 
*Earnings per Share (EPS) 47.88
*Net Tangible Assets per share 1.86
*Total Net Div Paid (last full financial year) 19c
*Div Yield 2.24%
*Market Cap 880,000,000


Source - Morningstar



The figures obviously speak for themselves.


The 2 sets of figures make the 2016 figures look good by comparison. 


I'm not going into the many other sets of figs like net/debt equity or the net margin as a % but they are generally within the range of a good corporate citizen.


Mainfreight would not operate any other way.


If you want to delve into these find another blog - I'm no longer capable of doing such things. 


Except to say if they ever break with tradition and find another way of reporting profit, I'm outta here.


I don't think that's going to happened any time soon because it seems ingrained deep within the Mainfreight culture that flim flam and politically correct nonsense does not exist.  


Good.


The company are looking set to tap that 3 billion sales mark within the next 5 years and there are all sorts of lofty figures that they have as a company as aspirations to set.


Now they just have to achieve these.


Not easy.


But logistics isnt easy and its not supposed to be.


Every client that they have is picked apart and put back together again to see if there is a more efficient way of doing things.


They seem to (and I say seem because I've only seen them operate at a distance not actually operate) really genuinely care about every client, like they are all on the same team.


I genuinely think this company could be a big player within the global logistics community within the next 10 years.


It really is up to them if there share price goes up from here - they are not going to split the shares.


Is it worth 20 plus bucks a share?


Sure, if you believe the company is on an every increasing arc of successfulness.


But if your like me you'll wait for that nervous investor who sells out, that big overseas institution who decides to leave NZ. 


The price then drops then your in like a robbers dog if this company has been on your radar for some time.


Your welcome.



Mainfreight @ Shareinvestor



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A rare breed
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Discuss MFT @ Shareinvestor






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Monday, December 26, 2016

Broker's 2017 Stock Picks

This year among the brokers Fisher & Paykel seems to be the winner. 

Where were they in the early part of this decade when they were trading @ 1.80?

Just wondering.

The rest can be put in the same category.

And keep this in mind:


Pick these stocks on dips in their share prices - they ALL have dips.

AND - do your own research - lots of it. 

It makes things interesting as well.

Next year could be another one like we have already had  - some dips but mostly up - or it could - drop but be mostly down. Whatever it is it will provide opportunities for all of us to make money.


Share Investor's 2017 Stock Picks


Blue chip and small cap stocks lead the list of expected market performers for the coming year
F&P Healthcare is expecting 17pc increase in growth in the coming year. Photo / Greg Bowker
F&P Healthcare is expecting 17pc increase in growth in the coming year. Photo / Greg Bowker
Some undervalued "blue chip" companies and a selection of small cap stocks dominate our broker picks for the year ahead.
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare gets the tick from four firms -- Forsyth Barr; Hamilton Hindin Greene; First NZ Capital; JBWere -- making it the most popular choice in an unusually diverse field.
Despite being perennial favourite the stock underperformed in 2015, but there appears to be a strong view that it now represents good value.
"[F&P] has come back significantly from all time share price highs, having reached a mid-year high of $10.90," says Hamilton Hindin Greene's James Smalley.
"We believe this has been on the back of concerns regarding litigation with competitors and a potential negative impact on their sales into the US. We see some headwinds due to production facilities being based in Mexico, and the incoming Trump administration signalling an increase in protectionist policies."
But, he says, the sell-off is an opportunity, given the short-term nature of the issues, to buy in to a quality business.
Rickey Ward, of JBwere agrees.
"F&P Healthcare is a genuine growth company with a track of record delivering strong earnings improvement from offshore avenues.
"We do not see this changing, with earnings growth approaching 17 per cent this coming calendar year," he says.
"Potential taxation concerns around Mexican manufacturing following President-elect Trump's success have been exaggerated."
Another mature company, seen as undervalued given it retains strong growth potential, is transport and logistics group Mainfreight.
It is picked by three brokers: Craigs Investment Partners; Hobson Wealth Management and JBWere.
"It's is a well-managed business with global growth options. Leveraged to robust economic growth," says Craigs Investment Partners head of research Mark Lister.
"Mainfreight should be well-insulated from increasing interest rates and has a very strong market position in New Zealand, which should continue to benefit from strong local growth, but it also offers some international exposure given is growing operation in Europe, the US and Asia."
JBWere's Ward notes: "Trading on 20 times earnings means they might appear expensive, but good companies tend to, and MFT is a good company."
From there several stocks feature twice in the 2017 picks.
Contact Energy also merits three picks, from JBWere, Craigs and First NZ.
"Contact has lagged its peers in recent years, so it looks like the value play in the sector," says Lister. "It has the potential to increase its dividend payout, and the retail strategy could bear fruit in 2017.
We also like the idea of hedging our bets a little, by including one yield stock. 
Mark Lister, Craigs Investment Partners
"While rising interest rates could be a headwind for companies in the utilities sector generally, we see a number of company-specific reasons why Contact could still deliver reasonable returns.
"We also like the idea of hedging our bets a little, by including one yield stock."
Craigs and Hobson both pick Restaurant Brands, very much with an eye on its growth potential following a major investment in Hawaii.
Restaurant Brands has offered US$105 million ($151m) to buy Pacific Island Restaurants, the largest fast-food operator in Hawaii and the sole Taco Bell and Pizza Hut franchisee in Hawaii, Guam, and Saipan.
"Restaurant Brands has a solid track record, capable management and offers stable earnings," says Lister. "The core New Zealand KFC franchise will see free cash flow steadily increase in the coming years, enabling the company to invest in growth areas like KFC Australia and Carl's Jr."
Another other stock picked by two brokers was dairy company Synlait; picked by MSL very much in growth mode and more indicative of the smaller cap stocks in the game this year.
The company has a market cap of $100m and won best growth strategy at the Deloitte Top 200 awards. It has invested heavily in the past and is well positioned to cash in on China's demand for infant formula.
The Fonterra Shareholders fund is a favourite of Craigs and JBWere.
"We continue to see underlying operational improvement in FSF. A change in compositional mix, with a management team committed to addressing inefficiency, has seen tighter controls on costs and capital expenditure, leading to margin expansion," says Ward.
Lister notes that rising dairy prices represent a headwind in some respects "however, the business transformation is well underway and recent operating results have been impressive, the company is reducing its cost base and improving efficiency, while the period of heavy investment has come to an end.
"We believe these factors are yet to be reflected in the share price, which offers attractive value," he says.
Beyond these four the brokers have cast the net wide.
Other stocks that fit the mould of "blue chips on sale" might include Auckland International Airport , picked by MSL Capital Management; Tourism Holdings and Infratil picked by Forsyth Barr; Contact Energy picked by Craigs and JBWere.
Hamilton Hindin Green has a number of similarly high quality NZ companies that look like good value at the moment, says Smalley.
It also included Chorus, Genesis Energy and Ryman Healthcare with Opus international as its wild card.
"It's about buying quality businesses when they are on sale," Smalley says.
Education group Evolve rounds out the stocks to receive multiple picks.
Ward says his team see Evolve as well placed to benefit from further government moves to support mothers in the workforce and notes the trend has similarities to the retirement sector several years ago.
"Acquisitions, developments and cost-out initiatives will see strong near-term earnings growth from a roll up growth opportunity," he says.
Beyond these companies there are plenty of small cap stocks and less familiar names in the mix this year.
MSL picks Green Cross Health, a small player it has chosen for a second year in a row, in what managing director Andrew McDouall describes as "a hot sector benefiting from an aging population, regulation and industry structure changes."
Vulcan Capital is picking natural healthcare products company Promisia Integrative as well as cancer diagnostics company Pacific Edge and NZ Salmon.