Wednesday, May 11, 2011

KFC Doubles up on Double Down record one day sales


Punters waiting to "Double Down" at KFC Quay Street Yesterday


The introduction of the KFC Double Down Sandwich yesterday in New Zealand just has to be the marketing and business coup of the last 10 years for the company that holds the franchise for KFC in this country, Restaurant Brands Ltd [RBD.NZX].


Health nazis across the land yelled from the rooftops to any left leaning publisher or media harlot in the country that would listen and as a result of the free publicity you couldn't go anywhere over the last few days without anyone mentioning it in a conversation, hearing in on talkback or seeing it posted on facebook or twitter.


Restaurant Brands didn't have to lift a finger or spend a cent on publicity, it was all done by the old fashioned word of mouth but done at the speed of the internet rather than as quick as you could tell or phone your neighbour.



There has been little paid advertising of this sandwich at all!

This has led though to record one day sales for KFC and long lines of people waiting in drive thrus and at the counters of every KFC across the nation. Not only did they sell the sandwiches, customers also bought other items on the menu to boot and the increased sales are set to continue as the company has carefully created a scarcity factor into the sale of this product - it will only be available for 5 weeks, so get in fast!! Of course it will be re-introduced on a semi regular basis because who wouldn't want to as every time it comes back on the menu the fingers will wag and the media will go back into overdrive.


Long term, these promotions and hub bub around such "controversial" subjects as so-called junk food will help sales of other products more than the actual promotional item itself.


The next 5 weeks of sales for the company will be interesting to watch. They will not continue in the same volume as today's huge rush to buy the Double Down but they are likely to be significantly higher than comparable sales last year. At $7.90 per unit compared to their burgers with buns the margin for this product is significantly higher and high margins in this business are hard to come by.


This has been a big win for KFC and its marketing program and a great way to create excitement for a new product with big spin offs for other parts of their business.


RBD investors should be lick'n their lips in anticipation of the higher sales.


KFC 1 , Food police 0.



Restaurant Brands @ Share Investor


RBD - 2011 Half Year Result

RBD - 2010 Quarter one sales
RBD - 2010 Quarter two sales


Share Price Alert: Restaurant Brands Ltd

Restaurant Brands share price looking overcooked
Most Outstanding Stock of 2010: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd: KFC has finally cracked it
Restaurant Brands: KFC Sales Figures Explained - Part 2
Finger Lick'n Good Management
Chart of the Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Long Term View: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Stock of Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Restaurant Brands: Buy or Sell ?
Pizza Hut sell-off provide opportunities all-round
Danny Diab & Restaurant Brands
2008-2009 KFC sales figures mislead investors
KFC Finally Flying
Starbuck's New Zealand Cup doesn't runneth over
RBD gives KFC a push
McDonald's playing chicken with KFC
Restaurant Brand's Pizza Hut faces increasing competition
RBD sales analysis
RBD saga continues: CEO leaves
The secret recipe is out
2007 FY profit analysis
Delivering increased profit in October 2007
No reason for optimism in latest sales figures

Discuss RBD @ Share Investor Forum





c Share Investor 2011





Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Share Price Alert: New Zealand Refining Ltd 2

Chart forNew Zealand Refining Co Ltd (NZR.NZ)

When we last looked at New Zealand Refining Ltd [NZR.NZX] back in January 2011 its shares were trading at $4.66 and its prospects at that time were starting to look better as oil prices continued to climb and refining margins increased.

In June 2010
I picked the stock at $3.10 for the same reasons as stated above.

Yesterday the NZR finished trading at $4.50 for the day after reaching a 52 week high of $5.20 in late February.

The shares have traded upwards in the preceding months because of increased refining margins and an increased capacity to refine raw product after the plant upgrade in 2009 - 2010.

Profit has also been tipped to rise because of these favorable trading conditions.

The pullback from the February high seems analogous to the January/ February 2011 processing data which reveals that the processing fee for NZD 39.6 million was generated by a throughput of 6.7 million barrels for the first two months of the year. Refining margins have remained healthy with the average Gross Refinery Margin (GRM) generated for the two month period at USD 6.50 per barrel and the average exchange rate at USD/NZD 0.76.

Take an opportunity here to watch closely for your entry. Oil prices and margins should remain relatively high but recent oil price highs may not continue because of lower oil demand an speculation in oil markets that oil prices will ease.

Buy around current prices.

This stock was in the 2011 Share Investor Stock Picks at $3.95.

Share Price Alert Series

Port of Tauranga Ltd
Freightways Ltd 3
Goodman Fielder Ltd 2
Freightways Ltd 2
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Charlies Group Ltd
Fletcher Building Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd
Steel & Tube Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd
New Zealand Stock Exchange Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd 2
The Warehouse Group Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Fletcher Building Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Tourism Holdings
Goodman Fielder Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
NZ Refining Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Xero Ltd


NZR @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: NZ Refining Ltd
Share Investor's 2011 Stock Picks
Stock of the Week - Reprise: NZ Refining Ltd
Chart of the Week: New Zealand Refining Ltd
Stock of the Week: NZ Refining Ltd

Discuss NZR @ Share Investor Forum
Download NZR Company Reports

Think Bigger


c Share Investor 2011

Monday, May 9, 2011

Share Investor's Total Returns: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd

I have written about returns for stocks on a general basis in the Long Term View series of posts and the Long VS Short series but in this series, Share Investor's Total Returns, I will giving my actual returns for stocks in the Share Investor Portfolio for as long as I have held them.

The return calculation will include dividends earned along with qualifying tax credits and of course any capital increase in the share price. It will be a total return over the length of holding of the share expressed in overall dollar figures with an individual value per share of what the stock currently is held at.

The first stock in this particular series is the foundation stock of the portfolio and one that I have held for nearly 9 years, Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX].

The current holding of 36915 shares was kicked off by an initial purchase of 2500 (adjusted for 2: 1 share split) in October 2010 and a whole series of purchases up to November 2003, plus 1915 bought as part of a 2009 capital raising.

The stock cost a total of $148620.18, it has returned net dividends of $59445.55 and total tax credits of $33491.24, with $260.00 in brokerage.

I am eligible for the full tax credit so if the gross dividend (net dividend plus tax credits)is added and brokerage taken off my full return over the total holding period of 8.5 years is $92936.79

There has only been a capital gain on the 1915 shares bought in the 2009 capital raising which was acquired at $2.61 per share and the current capital value of the company in the Share Investor Portfolio as at 6 May 2011 is $135846.50. The capital loss therefore is $12773.68. This gives a total return on this share of $80163.11. This is a 53.90% return over 8.5 years or 6.34% net per annum.

I hold SKC therefore at a total cost of $68457.07 or $1.85 per share.


Disc: I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Group
Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A    Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)
The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition) by Benjamin Graham
Buy new: $14.95 / Used from: $6.99
Usually ships in 24 hours

Fishpond


c Share Investor 2011

Share Price Alert: Port of Tauranga Ltd



Ports of Tauranga Ltd [POT.NZX] have had a truely spectacular run share price wise in 2011.

From a September 2010 share price of $6.75 POT shares have piled on almost two bucks or nearly 30% to finish trading at $8.70 on Friday 6 May. 2011 alone has seen its share price rise by just over 1 dollar, the bulk of that rise being in the last 6-7 weeks alone.

This has come as a result of a good performance for the 2011 half year result, up a stunning 23% on the 2009 result.

This is a result of massively increased cargo volumes through the port, especially imports. These volumes seem mostly be related to increases in the imports and exports from the farming sector and look set to continue if record commodity prices hold and especially if the US dollar strengthens.

You would have to say that the market has factored in reasonably well where the company is going in the medium term so the company may well be fairly priced given that everything seems to be going well for the company at present.

Having said that, ports are highly cyclical businesses and if you are looking for a price pullback and have wanted this great company for your portfolio you might want to be patient and wait for an inevitable weakness in cargo volumes.

Timing here is everything.


Share Price Alert Series

Port of Tauranga Ltd
Freightways Ltd 3
Goodman Fielder Ltd 2
Freightways Ltd 2
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Charlies Group Ltd
Fletcher Building Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd
Steel & Tube Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd
New Zealand Stock Exchange Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd 2
The Warehouse Group Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Fletcher Building Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Tourism Holdings
Goodman Fielder Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
NZ Refining Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Xero Ltd


POT @ Share Investor


Long Term View: Port Of Tauranga Ltd
Port in a storm
Ports of Auckland put a shot over competitor's bow

Discuss POT @ Share Investor Forum




c Share Investor 2011