Showing posts with label AIA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AIA. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Share Investor's 2017 Stock Picks

Halle Berry in Underwear | Les 30 plus belles actrices du monde:
She helped out last year and was kind enough to help out this year as well.

Well, this year has been a good one for stocks on the NZX. 

6324.26 vs 6824.00 as of today's date. The returns have been around 8%, to the overall investor, if you look at the overall index - that is without accounting for dividends.


I personally have got around a 30% return and that just keeps increasing as time marches on (and they will continue to increase) and I havent really bought much this year - because I don't have any cash - my lawyer currently gets that!


There have been many ups, the market in New Zealand was up to over 7400 in September and many downs, the index was down to 6174 in February.


Likewise the Dow Jones Index was up from 17,148.94 on 4th Jan 2016 to 19,216.24 on the 6th December.


Brexit and a whole host of other "its" have foisted their ugly head at us but regardless the world stays intact, we still make money and we always will. 


I will.


With that in mind I will make a start.


Let me start where I always start with my biggest holding, Sky City Entertainment SKC.

At the moment, it is a steaming buy. Especially at below four bucks. Any lower, and it could go lower, it is a steal. 


Big things are happening at Auckland Casino, Adelaide and these are all wrapped up for a long time yet - till 2048 in Auckland Casino's case.


There is talk surrounding a take over or merger with Sydney's Star City Casino but that is a rumour and I don't care, I don't want to sell.


Fisher & Paykel Healthcare 
FPH is a perennial pick, picked again last year, it improved substantially this year and took a dive from $10.93 to end up $8.20 at time of writing. 2017 will be its year and you may be able to grab it sub 8 bucks. You just don't know. 


The German injunctions granted against FPH's German subsidiary have been lifted and this will transfer to the injunctions in the US Courts. 

 
Plenty of money being spent, new things being created and sold at less and less cost.

All this means good things if YOU are already a shareholder.


Mainfreight Ltd MFT is well on track to deliver the goods in 2017. 


This has been Mainfreights year, $15.36 on Jan 1 and $20.45 as I write this and a recently announced and increased record profit and a forward looking year looking positive in numbers - the only black spot is the US division. Time will take care of that.


That is why I have been a holder of this company for well over 10 years. I receive a 10% plus net return on this one.


Auckland Airport AIA, it delivered in 2016, it will again in 2017.  It started the year at the high levels of $5.75 and trades this morning, 6th December, at $6.30 and traded as high as $7.75 as recently as September 1.

It could bust through 6 bucks in which case you should be in.

In fact and I will go off topic for a bit, the lower the stock you are interested in buying, have been following, done the research on etc, etc the more you should buy. 


I did this during the GFC and it has paid off handsomely - anyway.


Back to Auckland Airport. 


Its in transition right now - that is it is undergoing transformation - once this transformation is complete the port will be a stunner. Flash and new.


And it will begin again.


With all this building will the port become less profitable? No increasing profits are the rule and they have been for some time.


All those assets that they have, the land, the buildings are all central to the core that this will have lift off. 


Ryman Healthcare RYM is of course a definite push for the entry doors as this keeps getting bigger and bigger. Ignore all broker conflabs about when to buy etc. Do your own research and find the time to get yourself involved.


This company is set to almost double in size within the next 5 years and their Melbourne sites are set to quintuple before 2020 and eventually get far bigger than little old New Zealand. 


Contact Energy CEN, get it while its under or close to 5 bucks. Its got a clear 4-5 years ahead as far as capital returns go.


You just don't know when this stock is going to surprise you. With special div's and share buybacks this share has been a good one in the Share Investor Portfolio.


It will continue.


The Warehouse WHS is included this year as opposed to last year where I dropped it.


I still have long term doubts but with recent buying by one James Pascoe taking him up to about 20% I have to re - consider.


I would rather have a piece of this rather than not, so I am only picking this for some M and A action next year.


Do not pick this for the long term - its a loser. 


Lastly my pick is Hallensteins Glassons HLG, You have to be PATIENT but you can pick it up and all day long its paying 10% plus.

And the best thing about it is that its NOT covered by analysts and brokers (surely two of the most painful words in the market-mans (see what I did there and I will do from now on) So you can make your way without the bluff and bluster.


Its due for a market upgrade in about a weeks time, when they have their AGM in CHCH. 


Everything is looking good for a LARGE upgrade in profit.

Its a good stock.


Told ya Id be biased. Well if I cant get behind my stocks and sell them who else is going to. 

Pick these stocks on dips in their share prices - they ALL have dips.


AND - do your own research - lots of it. 


If your picks line up with mine good and if they don't that's also good because that is what makes a market. 


It makes things interesting as well.


Next year could be another one like we have already had  - some dips but mostly up - or it could - drop but be mostly down. Whatever it is it will provide opportunities for all of us to make money 


See you next year.


Darren


P.S. If you have your own picks put them down at the bottom and tell us WHY you picked them.



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Sunday, May 22, 2016

2016 Portfolio Picks Update

This is for the Anons out there and the rest of you.

Kia Kaha.

It's been a messy wee year, unfortunately like 2015 going way too fast and speeding up as I get older.

But on the financial front going just about right.

By the way sold down my WHS holding by 5000 shares (for a tiny loss, yes have had them for that long and they have paid a decent div.) and bought my full complement of SKC which is 3800.

This week also sold my Summerset Holdings  shares for a tidy $750 profit or just under 8%.

In my update to anon of my Portfolio Picks for 2016 I noted the following movements in stock prices and divs paid.

Tell me what you think.


Lets see how they are going as of 20 May 2016


Sky City Entertainment SKC 11 % plus a 10.5 cent div.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare FPH 18.5 % plus a 9c div.

Mainfreight Ltd MFT 5.3% plus a 19c div.

Auckland Airport AIA 20.5% plus a 12c div.

Ryman Healthcare RYM  24% plus a 7c div.

Contact Energy CEN 9% plus a 13c div.

Hallensteins Glassons HLG, (18%) plus a 23 and 19c div.

Ebos Group EBO 9% plus a 28c div.

Infratil Ltd IFT 8% plus a 7c div.

Trustpower Ltd TPW 5.5% plus a 27c div.



Figs are rounded to the nearest full dollar.


To tell you the truth anyone could have made money in this market. Anybody, even real live brokers!!!!


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Thursday, January 7, 2016

AIA: To Buy Now Or Not To?

Airport_Low

Would you buy Auckland Airport shares right now?

That is a very good question considering the first half profit will be announced next month you would have to say leave it to the other side of this announcement.

You would also have to say what about China whats it doing?

Well as far as the announcement is concerned that is going to be a good one for share holders - north of $80 mill for the half and that is more than likely going to boost the share price to past $6.

So the second question is worth looking at because it is a good one.

Is it worth waiting until the shite hits China then buy up or risk the share going up in price.

I bought my shares at 1.70, 1.50 and - 1.90, I think. I bought the during the depths of the great recession and they have turned out to be by best investment.

They have returned over 600% and my only regret is that I didn't buy 40,000.

SO, what are they going to do?

Well I can give you two pieces of advice because you are the one putting money on the line.

You can buy now with the inevitability that you are going to see similar returns (over 600%) or be patient (or if you think the China thing is another bubble you wont have to wait long) and wait it out till the stock-market has a correction (its not overvalued if you compare the income your getting from stocks to interest from the bank/having an investment house but long term it is overvalued on P.E ratios and a number of other financial ratios. )  

I going to stay shtuck (my google dictionary says that is not a word)on this for now and let you decide.


Whatever your decision it will be interesting.



AIA @ Share Investor

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Make me an offer I cant refuse: Auckland International Airport Ltd
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Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
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Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
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Queenstown Airport Buyout @ Share Investor

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Monday, November 23, 2015

Share Investor's 2016 Stock Picks


I want to thank Halle Berry because without her this years picks would
have been more difficult. She helped be with a few stragglers.























Well I'm going to do something different for next years stock picks. I'm just going to pick what I have in my portfolio - minus the weedy ones - and add what I think will be some goers for next year.

So this list is going to be a lot shorter than usual.

Ill start my begging at Sky City Entertainment SKC

This will finally be the start of many a fine year for this company. Many of the rules to relax gaming will apply and they all do so BEFORE the casino is ready to go.

Watch this start to climb from this year.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare FPH is another pick, picked again last year, it improved substantially this year and will do again in 2016. Plenty of money being spent, new things being created and sold at less and less cost.

All this means good things if YOU are a shareholder.

Mainfreight Ltd MFT is well on track to deliver the goods in 2016.

Money has been spent on warehouses in Auckland, Hamilton, Christchurch, Brisbane, Melbourne, Los Angeles's and one other place I cant remember right now but trust me, they have shelled out the noodles, now they just have to bring them in.

Auckland Airport AIA, it delivered in 2015, it will again in 2016.

Ryman Healthcare RYM is of course a definite push for the entry doors as this keeps getting bigger and bigger. Ignore all broker conflabs about when to buy etc. Do your own research and find the time to get yourself involved.

Contact Energy CEN, get it while its under or close to 5 bucks. Its got a clear 3-4 years ahead as far as capital returns go and there maybe something up CEO Dennis Barnes sleeves.

Lastly pick Hallensteins Glassons HLG, You have to be PATIENT but you can pick it up and all day long its paying 10% plus.

And the best thing about it is that its NOT covered by analysts and brokers (surely two of the most painful words in the market-mans (see what I did there and I will do from now on) dictionary) So you can make your way without the bluff and bluster.

Its a good stock.

Now for two of the ones I don't hold.

Ebos Group EBO, value in this stock AT MUCH LOWER levels. Like in the 7-8 dollars. Good management.

Infratil Ltd IFT, I've been meaning to chuck a few shekels at you but you cant go wrong with their assets and the way the company is run.

Finally, something I see as a contender for M & A activity next year. Trustpower Ltd TPW. That's the one Dennis has his eyes on.

Told ya Id be biased. Well if I cant get behind my stocks and sell them who else is going to.

Pick these stocks on dips in their share prices-they ALL have dips.

The Warehouse WHS excluded because its just about dead the rest of my stocks are headed for the hills in the next couple of years...they will have paid for themselves and start paying me pure profit.

See you next year.

Darren

P.S. If you have your own picks put them down at the bottom.


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Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Cream Always Rises




If your me, lets begin this diatribe with a warning. Your going to get busted around the head about what to do, what not to do and how to do it.

This is coming from a place that can very few can come from, essentially death.

I almost bought the big one in February 6 2012 and the first 6 months after that has got to be the hardest I have ever spent on this planet.

The point is I am still not working and together with my allotment of stocks and some state help I am managing.

It will not be until next year when my dear ex-wife will try to pry my daughter from cold wet dead hands that my portfolio really gets a rinsing.

That is surely when it gets to test its mettle.

When its down.

Well so far the portfolio has provided 3 years of income and Ive even managed to BUY one thing - 1000 Contact Energy Ltd for $4.85 and once again it is related to my ex-wife - she works there.

(Watch the CEO Dennis Barnes he's a great guy, I believe he's going to make this company great-the people that are surrounding him, he's got Transpower on his sights.)

Well, when you buy at the correct time - the correct time is not now - you buy value.

When I bought Fisher &Paykel Healthcare in January 2012 it was the right time to buy. It actually got cheaper, $1.86, but at $2.15 I got it. I sort of wanted it to get cheaper than $1.86 but it wasn't going to be.

I watched this stock like a hawk for YEARS, I had aready bought 5000 because I was aware of the quality of the company, but I literally spent years waiting for this stock to become a bargain.

And It did, and it has become one of the rising stars of my portfolio, and looks set to become a superstar in the many years to come.

I wouldn't buy it now. I would wait. It will happen again, the stockmarket WILL tank and there you will be, buying when everyone else is selling. Just remember it will perhaps take years but as long as you have bought a good solid company (Fisher & Paykel didn't even come to the market for cash like a whole host of others did in the Great Financial Crash) it wont matter much.

Cream always rise to the surface.

The last time the stockmarket started to tank was the end of 2008 and it really didn't start getting better until sort of 2011-2012 and it has been blue skys ever since.

I'm not with your Forbes.com though I don't believe we are headed for another head turner, not just now.

The only thing you really need to concentrate on during your seach for that Apple or Google is the possible duds you might collect along the way.

My office romance has been The Warehouse.

It just hasn't made the transition to"just in time" delivery yet. Its STILL trying the thing out. While the competition has entered its earlier mode, the Warehouse really doesn't know where its at RIGHT NOW it doesn't know whether its selling online or to us.

They just haven't got it right during bad times and if you take a look down the aisles of smiles there's not many smiles anymore.

Bye bye The Warehouse Ltd.

You've just gotta keep the original basis of a few stocks FOR LIFE and change them if you really have to - like the WHS.

Stuff like the aforementioned Fisher & Paykel your Auckland Airport, Ryman Healthcare and Mainfreight is stuff I will NEVER SELL. It just continues to add value to itself.

Like others I was more interested in adding value elsewhere - Fisher & Paykel - so I didn't buy more shares in Auck Air, Ryman and Mainfreight but you as an individual identify that one company, tap into it, and ride it for all its worth.

I've got four companies I can truly be proud of, they make a positive difference in the lives of those that work for them and those that encounter them on a day to day basis.

And you're gotta be happy with that.

After all, you only get one chance.



Toughen Up: What I've Learned About Surviving Tough TimesToughen Up: What I've Learned About Surviving Tough Times byMichael Hill 
Think Bigger: How to Raise Your Expectations and Achieve EverythingThink Bigger: How to Raise Your Expectations and Achieve Everythingby Michael Hill 




c Share Investor 2015