Friday, February 12, 2010

Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?

With Sky City Entertainment Group [SKC.NZ] announcing a profit next Tuesday, the recent dramatic drop -SKC shares have fallen by almost 9% in 2 weeks - in share price for this company could mean a number of things.

The obvious reason is that investors are simply no longer interested in holding because of overall market sentiment and this has been shared with other stocks falling in a similar fashion - Telecom NZ [TEL.NZ] but one example.

The other reason could be insiders selling due to some sort of negative news coming in the profit announcement.

This stock has been prone to insider selling before profit announcements in the past and I wouldn't discount that insiders are doing the same again before Tuesday.

With a good result indicated by management last year it cant be the profit part of Tuesday's announcement but it could be a slightly worse number than telegraphed.

Perhaps a dividend cut, a poor future outlook or something unexpected is on the cards.

This is all idle speculation on my part but the big share price drop before another profit announcement is worth noting.

Of course if nothing material is going on the share price drop represents another opportunity to buy this stock, long or short term.



Sky City shares dropped 6c to NZ$3.10 in a down market on larger than average volume yesterday.

Disclosure: I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


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Share Investor Interview: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison


Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor



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Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Telecom New Zealand: How low can it go?




Telecom NZ [TEL.NZ] has become a bit of an obsession for me from the end of last week because of its spectacular drop in share price. I picked it as Stock of the Week this week because of its poor share price and opportunities that exist to buy as a result.

It is now testing a 52 week low of NZ$2.26 having finished at $2.28 at close of trading yesterday.

With market sentiment in the doldrums and a poor quarterly profit to report this Friday, if we get a combination of negative pressure Telecom's share price will probably test an all time low if it hasn't already. (see chart above)

I cant find the 1991 IPO price for the company but from the chart it looks like the current share price is close to its IPO price.

It is an ugly looking chart I must say, with a peak during the dot com boom and downhill all the way since then.

Just as an aside, I wonder if CEO Paul Reynolds is going to give back his huge incentive bonus for company performance (presumably he received it for positive performance) last year, considering poor company performance over 2008-2009 and the associated share price drop ?

It is rhetorical question of course but Paul should consider giving it back, his shareholders need to put some pressure on him to perform. The chart says he hasn't and so does the bottomline.

Telecom @ Share Investor

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