Showing posts with label Sky City Entertainment Group. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sky City Entertainment Group. Show all posts

Friday, February 3, 2012

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Convention Centre may mean significant gaming expansion

Artists impression of the Sky City National Convention Centre

News out during the last few weeks that Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX] may have negotiated a large increase in the number of gaming machines, tables and other concessions in return for building and funding a National Convention Centre for New Zealand and allowing it to significantly expand its revenues at the Auckland casino is clearly great news for investors. New Zealanders are also set to gain a valuable new addition to the landscape in terms of returns for surrounding businesses and opportunities for the country as a whole.

Lets have a look at how great things might get for us long suffering shareholders.

First of all a couple of negatives. $350 million in shareholder funding will be needed to build the convention centre and ongoing costs will be significant. Convention centres, as a rule, do not make money on their own, they are generally used to bring in foot traffic to other parts of a business or town to push spending in those areas.

This is where the positives for the casino may bear some fruit.

At present the company is restricted by law as to expansion of its gaming business in Auckland and indeed the rest of New Zealand so it has thus far been lowering business costs, debt levels and building attractions like a dozen more eateries and other peripheral gaming stuff to grow revenue and profit and that has been very successful under CEO Nigel Morrison.

Businesses all need to continue to grow though and with the company asking the National Government to allow them to increase the number of gaming machines by up to 1000 and increase the number of table games even agreement for a 25% increase in gaming will clearly be significant for the Auckland site and for shareholders as the vast bulk of group revenue comes from this one site.

Any increase in gaming machines is not going to be politically acceptable to the left, so SKC management are going to find any increase politically tough to push through but I am confident there will be some increase in the levels of gaming at Sky City Auckland.

While building and funding a massive new building at a time of global financial uncertainty is a huge risk. The risk for shareholders is worth taking though given the stagnant nature of revenues at Auckland. Extra foot traffic would boost gaming revenues at the site regardless of a boost in machine numbers so lets hope management have got their modelling right when they factor in the cost of the capital expense, ongoing running costs and the level of extra gaming there has to be to get an acceptable return for shareholders.


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

VIDEO - Sky City Entertainment Group : Parliamentary Question related to Convention Centre
Sky City to pay for National Convention Centre
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Share Investor's Total Returns: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Group
Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports



Steve Jobs
Steve Jobs Biography - By Walter Isaacson

c Share Investor 2012

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd



Quite frankly, and as I pointed out on Friday, the whole NZX is on sale and while people are losing money people like me are contemplating buying rather than selling. On fundamentals alone there are many NZX stocks that are looking way more attractive than they had been just 3 trading days ago.

Lets look at some specific stocks though and in the first of a new series to coincide with the current stockmarket sales we will look at the biggest part of the Share Investor Portfolio, Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX]

The company has a consensus forecast of slightly below $128 million for full year 2011 which is out to the market on Tuesday 16 August. This is around the same as full year 2010. The 2012 full year is likely to be a record year though. This is primarily due to the Rugby World Cup, which will make its impact felt in the first half of 2012 and the capital expenditure on the Auckland Casino, which has seen more than a dozen new eateries bars and new gaming areas opened or about to open in time for RWC punters. There is of course no guarantee that these new capital expenditures will keep paying for themselves after RWC customers dwindle but there will be a big positive impact on the bottomline at the very least in the first half of 2012.

During the big sell-off over the last 3 trading days the fundamentals for this stock are of course looking much better.

Lets have a look:

P/E 19.880
EPS $0.169
NTA $0.630
Gross Div Yield 7.334%

Over the last week the share price has dropped from $3.70c to finish trading today at $3.23, a drop of just under 13%. This is back down to levels not seen since March this year but well off the 52 week low of $2.83.

Given that the big global market sell-off probably has more legs in it, investors would be wise to be a little patient before they jump in.

If you were considering buying this stock before last weeks implosion, this week the Great Global Market Sell-Off (GGMSO) means you will be getting it on sale*.

*If you don't like some risk, stay at home and darn your socks instead.

Disc
: I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

VIDEO - Sky City Entertainment Group : Parliamentary Question related to Convention Centre
Sky City to pay for National Convention Centre
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Share Investor's Total Returns: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Group
Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A    Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)
The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition) by Benjamin Graham
Buy new: $14.95 / Used from: $6.99
Usually ships in 24 hours

Fishpond


c Share Investor 2011





Thursday, May 19, 2011

Larger Incentives for Sky City CEO Make Sense

There is nothing like a good and appropriate incentive to get an individual to do a better job and in the case of Sky City Entertainment Group [SKC.NZX] CEO Nigel Morrison , to retain his services for a longer period.

The Sky City board announced yesterday that Morrison's incentive package will be sweetened to potentially triple his current incentive package which currently sits at interest free loans to purchase $1.2 million shares based on hitting a number of financial targets.

The new deal allows Morrison to receive SKC shares worth up to $3.6 million immediately rather than wait for 2-3 years as per the old plan. This incentive is based on the company’s financials for the six month period to 31 December 2010, which were announced to the market on 16 February 2011. Incentives based under a long-term incentive plan are in addition to his salary, which was stated in last year's annual report as $2,556,408.

Now it is not often that I champion increased pay packages for CEO's and boards (you can bet other executives will be getting bigger pay packages in the near future) but under Morrison's tenure profit for the company has risen from $102 million before his appointment to a record $129 million to June 30 2011 (see 2010 Annual Report) so his bonus for results and retaining him for the medium term is a very good move by the board and one that other boards should look to to incentivise CEOs.

My only gripes are that given his track record of raising profit by 30% in 3 years the potential tripling of his pay appears mostly for retaining him rather than his past results and that the board sought a waivier from the NZX rather than consulting owners like myself who would have gladly voted some sort of increase in incentive.

Nigel Morrison therefore will be under intense pressure to deliver big increases in profit over the next 3 years and I can only see one more big result coming in 2012 full year to 3o June due to the 2011 Rugby World Cup before he will have to spend some big money either buying another casino somewhere in Australasia or spending much larger sums that he already is to increase foot traffic through his casinos.

Of course this sort of incentive does have the risk that the CEO will take bigger risks to get his bonus but he does have a track record of good results wherever he has been in charge and as he is an accountant by trade they tend to be completely focsed on the bottomline before anything else and that cannot be a bad thing at all where shareholders moola is concerned.


Disc: I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Share Investor's Total Returns: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Group
Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A    Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)
The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition) by Benjamin Graham
Buy new: $14.95 / Used from: $6.99
Usually ships in 24 hours

Fishpond


c Share Investor 2011

Friday, May 6, 2011

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Australia Conference

Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX] shareholders and prospective investors might want to check out the presentation done by management to the Macquarie Australia Conference on 6 May 2011.

There has been alot of broker interest and spruiking of the company over the last week with a new broker report out this week and a number of stories about the Christchurch Casino and the possible full sale of that to SKC.


The report presented today is just one of those things companies do to drum up more interest in institutional circles to get investors, via brokers and others to invest in their business.

This report is very optimistic about the long term future for the company although it does contain plans to spend alot of money on redevelopment of at least three of its properties in order to drive revenue and hopefully more profit.

Have a look but take it in which the spirit is intended, that is, a positive spin for investors to plunk more money down on the table.


Disc  I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster

Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum




c Share Investor 2011





Monday, May 2, 2011

Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group

The latest research report out by MorningStar on Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX] has put a valuation of $3.80 on the stock. I am not sure how they came to pick that figure - it seems quite arbitrary - but it has been known to the market in general that 2012 will be a record year for the company in terms of revenue and profit from the 2011 Rugby World Cup that kicks off in October and has its impact on results in the February 2012 reporting.
announcement.

Disc I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


The Morningstar report on SKC

Valuation: $3.80
Appropriately priced, neither buy nor sell
Last updated:
02/05/11

Investment rating

SKC offers gaming services at its casinos in NZ and Australia. The entertainment complex in Auckland is the major driver of earnings accounting for 60% of its operating profit. SKC faces little competition due to NZ government's blanket ban on new casino licenses. This has allowed the company to operate at very healthy profit margins and generate abundant cash flows. An unfavorable economic environment in NZ will constrain growth but earnings will pick up next year following the Rugby World Cup in 2011. Judicious investments are being considered to lift growth in the longer term.

Event

  • SKC is currently spending NZ$40m on improving the gaming floor layout ahead of the Rugby World Cup (RWC).

  • The motive behind this spending is to capitalize on the likely rise in tourist traffic during and in the wake of the RWC.

  • In the long term, management sees huge growth opportunities for its International VIP business from Asian visitors coming to Auckland. The total size of the market in Australasia is estimated to be around A$50bn

  • The company is currently in discussions with the South Australian government to expand the property to create a much larger gaming-based integrated entertainment complex.

Impact

  • There will be a one-off spike in earnings next year on the back of the RWC. Management expects EBITDA to grow by 20-25% in the first half of next financial year, driven by 30% growth in non-gaming businesses like food & beverages and hotels.

  • Our FY12 NPAT of NZ$155m represents a growth of 20% compared to FY10.

  • Capital expenditure is likely to be around NZ$125m this year, consisting of growth capital expenditure of NZ$65m. We estimate next year’s capex to be between NZ$125-145m. We don’t see any refinancing risk.

Recommendation impact (last updated: 02/05/2011)

Our fair value of NZ$3.80 is based on 15x normalized earnings of NZ25cps.

Event analysis

Auckland: Capitalising on the RWC opportunity

SKC is currently spending NZ$40m on improving the gaming floor layout ahead of the Rugby World Cup (RWC). This investment also includes redoing the federal street precinct by adding more restaurants and bars. The motive behind this spending is to capitalize on the likely rise in tourist traffic during and in the wake of the RWC.

The refurbishment involves extending the Pacific Room, renovating the Platinum Room and creating a Diamond Room by relocating the Fortuna Restaurant on level 2. The Platinum Room will have 270 machines and the Diamond facility will house 250 machines. The new and improved facilities are expected to grow revenues for the Platinum as well as Diamond tiers.

In the long term, management sees huge growth opportunities for its International VIP business from Asian visitors coming to Auckland. There is only one VIP salon at the moment. SKC wants to grow this to four salons over the next few months. Management is confident that with the right product, higher gaming capacity and improved service it will be able to gain market share from some of its competitors across the Tasman. The total size of the market in Australasia is estimated to be around A$50bn. In the first half of the current fiscal year, International VIP turnover nearly doubled over the prior period. We expect revenues to reach NZ$2.8bn this year, which compares to NZ$1.8bn in FY10. Management’s goal is to lift turnover to NZ$4bn over the next 12-18 months.

National Convention Centre: Will SKC end up funding it?

The government wants to build a National Convention Centre in Auckland and SKC is keen to participate in the venture. The idea is to have the convention centre next to the hotel and casino, connected by an over bridge. SKC envisages a significant increase in foot traffic to its casino and hotel properties. However, the funding model is still up in the air. The government could fund the project but given its fragile balance sheet, especially after the Christchurch earthquake, it might choose to tap private capital instead. The total cost of the project is estimated to be around NZ$300m. SKC sees a great opportunity but it is unclear whether it can make adequate returns under the current regulatory regime. Time will tell whether SKC and the government can thrash out a deal. We will keep a close eye on developments.

Adelaide: Good potential but constrained by regulatory framework

Adelaide is hamstrung by a very restrictive regulatory regime, high tax rates and a lack of parking and entertainment facilities in and around the casino. Consequently, the casino has largely underperformed its other Australasian peers in terms of visitors, revenues and EBITDA margin. The casino currently generates around A$30bn in EBITDA every year, but has the potential to generate A$80bn in EBITDA with a more friendly regulatory framework that its peers enjoy.

The company is currently in discussions with the South Australian government to expand the property to create a much larger gaming-based integrated entertainment complex. It wants to do this alongside the government’s proposed Riverbank Masterplan development. The plan envisages a significant increase in car parks, a material increase in machines and tables, construction of a hotel, and a range of restaurants and bars. The cost of the project is estimated to be approximately A$250m. SKC says it will commit to the project only if it is able to reach an agreement with the government and is able to earn an adequate return on capital.

Rugby World Cup: a one-off bonanza

There will be a one-off spike in earnings next year on the back of the RWC. Management expects EBITDA to grow by 20-25% in the first half of next financial year, driven by 30% growth in non-gaming businesses like food & beverages and hotels. Hotel occupancy is likely to be at a record high. The gaming business is expected to increase by 13% during the same period. Our FY12 NPAT forecast of NZ$155m is predicated on these assumptions. Auckland constitutes around 60-65% of group EBITDA. Other NZ properties at Hamilton and Queenstown are also expected to be up significantly. Capital expenditure is likely to be around NZ$125m this year, consisting of growth capital expenditure of NZ$65m. We estimate next year’s capex to be between NZ$125-145m. Our fair value of NZ$3.80 is based on 15x normalised earnings of NZ25cps.


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A    Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)
The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition) by Benjamin Graham
Buy new: $14.95 / Used from: $6.99
Usually ships in 24 hours

Fishpond


c Share Investor 2011

Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Auckland Council in conflict of interest furore over Casino Development

If I may be slightly political for a moment for this post - I hardly ever am (yeah right!)

So Mike Lee and his lefty cronies on the Auckland Council want to put the kibosh on a convention centre and development by Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd [SKC.NZX] where they will spend more than $10 million of shareholder money improving streets around their complex.

You would have to ask yourself why Mike and his mates would want to stall the development of a business that provides millions in rates and employs thousands and would employ more with an approved development.

The obvious one that sticks out like a hammer and sickle on a red flag is that the Auckland Council is inherently left and aligned to the Labour Party and they hate development, especially that of a casino.

We wont look at that here though.

The most relevant reason for Mike Lee and his council denying Sky City the right to develop their land and business is that Auckland City Council have a proposal of their own to develop a Council owned, operated and funded convention centre that competes directly with the Sky City development. This is of course public knowledge but wasn't brought up by councilors at planning meetings for the Sky City development or reported in the media over the last few days.

This means that the Auckland ratepayer would fund the bulk of the convention centres development and ongoing running costs.

The cost is in the multi 10s of millions of dollars and the ratepayer will be saddled with debt for generations as convention centres do not make money. Councilors will tell you otherwise but there is no evidence for this at all:

From my peice last year on the Sky City Convention Centre:

"The center was promised to bring out-of-towners who stayed in hotels and spent money," said Heywood Sanders of the University of Texas at San Antonio, who studies the performance of convention centers and is a longtime critic of such publicly financed projects. "They routinely overpromise, and they never do what they're supposed to do. The question is how badly they perform. Putting in a hotel is no guarantee that it will improve the center's performance."

Washington Post: Heywood Sanders of the University of Texas at San Antonio - Researcher of Convention Centre performance.

Ongoing costs will be clearly crippling to Auckland city ratepayers.

Councilors at least need to declare their conflict of interest over this one and decisions being made over the Sky City Convention Centre proposal must be and must also been seen to be seperate from decisions being made over the councils own proposal.

It is not clear at all as to whether individuals on council are making decisions over both proposals and this is obviously an unacceptable practice if it is happening.


Disc I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit


Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

Recommended Amazon Reading

The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A    Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition)
The Intelligent Investor: The Definitive Book on Value Investing. A Book of Practical Counsel (Revised Edition) by Benjamin Graham
Buy new: $14.95 / Used from: $6.99
Usually ships in 24 hours

Fishpond


c Share Investor 2011