Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Market Watch: Sky City Entertainment/Freightways Ltd

Interesting that both Sky City Entertainment Group [SKC.NZ] and Freightways Ltd [FRE.NZ] respective share prices are both approaching the price at which their recent capital raisings were issued at.

Lets have a wee look at Sky City first.

Today the stock closed at NZ$2.62 (see 2 month SKC chart below) just 1c above the $2.61 Share Purchase Plan (SPP) price, a purchase plan that I participated in just a month ago.



At the time I moaned and bitched that my current Sky City shareholding was going to be diluted, only getting just shy of 2000 shares in the offer. I had a feeling that the share price was going to take a dip because of economic circumstances (gee I am a genius), so I am going to take the opportunity to grab a few more thousand shares to top up my holding to 40000 or more .

Naturally I am very pleased about this turn of events in the market.

Likewise Freightways. I got gypped there too, and will be looking for at least another 1000 more shares to top up my holding to 10000. The current share price is $2.84 as of market close today so there is still another 40c to go before it will trigger a buy at the SPP of $2.44 but if you look at the Freightway's 2 month chart below you will see, like Sky City, the share price trajectory is in a downwards direction, so is possible that my buy price will be reached.

http://chart.bigcharts.com/custom/fairfax-com-nz/chart.asp?rnd=0.656059311833684&style=2242&symb=FRE&size=1&type=64&time=2mo&freq=1dy&comp=&compidx=aaaaa~0&ma=0&maval=&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&uf=16384&arrowdates=&arrowlegend=&country=NZ&sid=162979

Time to put some cashflow to good use.


Freightways @ Share Investor

Freightway's Capital Raising more of the same crap for small shareholders
Long VS Short: Freightways Ltd
Freightway's keeps delivering

Why did you but that stock: Freightways Ltd
Freightway's delivers
Freightway's packages up a good result


Discuss this company @ Share Investor Forum


Sky City @ Share Investor

Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for small shareholders
Sky City CEO doubles down
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Profit Review
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit

Discuss this company @ Share Investor Forum


Related Amazon Reading

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Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements: The Search for the Company with a Durable Competitive Advantage by Mary Buffett
Buy new: $16.47 / Used from: $13.38
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c Share Investor 2009

Monday, June 22, 2009

Stock of the Week: Burger Fuel Worldwide

stock chart

This Stock of the Week will be a surprise to many because I have been very critical of this company since its IPO listing in July 2007. Burger Fuel Worldwide [BFW.NZ], the "gourmet" burger franchisor company that collects royalties off franchisees as a means of revenue -but currently derives more than half its revenue from food and beverage sales at two company owned stores-and has limped from a failed, over-priced IPO and incurred big but dwindling losses along the way.

Its cash reserves are almost exhausted and its stated reason for their IPO, attracting more franchisees to gain revenue growth for the franchisor, has come to a grinding halt because of "capital restraints".

All negative so far, but wait there's more! Some positive stuff!

There is a chance that Burger Fuel, management could pull things off sometime in the future and make a good sustained profit.

One of the reasons I picked this stock was its share price. It is getting close but not yet at, its true value. At 32c it is roughly a third of its $1 IPO price. There is little interest in and few buyers lined up as at market close on Friday 19, with the first cab off the rank offering 10c a share and the lowest 1c - the lowest ever bids for this stock, so a clear opportunity exists.

Burger Fuel isn't one of those solid stocks you would buy and not expect to lose money, it is purely speculative and high risk but if you have, like me , been watching the trials and tribulations of this company over the last 2 years, and thinking about buying some, now would be the opportune time to start thinking about it.

Anything less than 15c would be a good starting point.

Good luck!


Stock of the Week Series

Michael Hill International
Contact Energy Ltd
The Warehouse Group
Fisher & Paykel Appliances


Burger Fuel Worldwide @ Share Investor


Burgerfuel: Dubai Marketing Hype

Burger Fuel 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Burger Fuel 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Burger Fuel Worldwide: 2009 Half Year profit analysis
Stock of the Week: Burger Fuel Worldwide
Download full company analysis from Thomson First-Call
Burger Fuel doesn't rule out capital raising
Burger Fuel Worldwide: Closer look at Company Accounts

Analysis - Burger Fuel Worldwide: FY profit to 31/03/09
Burger Fuel: Running on Empty
Burger Fuel leaves investors hungry

Burger Fuel management cagey over company progress
Burger Fuel cooks up Dubai deal
NZX share trades with strings attached
Don't buy Burger Fuel, yet
Burger Fuel: Inside info?
Burger Fool IPO: Burger Fool?
Exclusive Interview with Burger Fuel's Josef Roberts
Burger Fuel's Daytime drama
Burger Fuel share price out of gas
Beefing up store numbers
Director explains share price drop
Burger Fuel slims down in value
Burger Fuel and Coke
Marketing Burger Fuel's future
Pumpkin Patch VS Burger Fuel
Burger Fuel results and commentary

Discuss BFW @ Share Investor Forum - Register free





c Share Investor 2009





Saturday, June 20, 2009

Sir Robert Jones in his Autumn of Content

I am a contrarian investor of sorts. I say this because while I am buying stocks right now and looking at buying more, I also bought them while the market was at a higher level.

I have written about a couple over the last week, Michael hill and Doris Mousdale, and there are a couple of other New Zealand notables, Jan Cameron and Bricoe Group's [BGR.NZ], Rod Duke who are contrarians by nature.

Perhaps one of the worlds most famous contrarian investors is the world's richest man, Warren Buffett - he loves the current market turmoil, proclaiming such gems that he feels like a "Kid in a candy store" or a "Teenager in a whorehouse", when it comes to the prices he is paying for beaten down assets.

New Zealand has its own Waren Buffett in Sir Robert Jones.

He is as happy as a tar baby in a sandpit because the property tycoon has been buying property when everyone else is selling - NZ$100 million of deals done so far this year.

Some prescient quotes to a recent audience of property professionals show just how excited Sir Bob is:

"From a self- interest point of view, we look forward to a recession."

"We are not going broke. We buy buildings and those buildings are cheaper."

"Land developers go broke, building developers go broke, and for very good reasons, but they're too dumb to work it out for themselves."

"Why do banks keep financing them? Because the bankers get younger every year."

"I've survived more property cycles than most of you, so where's property going? Nowhere - property doesn't move."

You cannot get a more experienced commercial property man in Australasia than Sir Bob, as he points out he has seen this all before and no doubt capitalised on the troughs.

I recall him selling a large office block during one the boom times only to buy the same block back years latter for a much lower price - from memory it was a building in the 1980's Chase development, the full city block the "Finance Centre" in Auckland.

Sir Bob likens the economic cycles to the four seasons, with Winter the low point and Summer the high. He reckons we are in the Autumn of this cycle.

I think he is right and there is worse to come before it gets better but he certainly is making his autumn/early winter one of content rather than the alternative.

You should too if you have the cash.


Related Links

Listener Sir Bob Interview


Recent Share Investor Reading

Discuss this Topic @ Share Investor Forum


Related Fishpond Reading

Property Investment: A Strategy for Success

NZ $28.64 @ Fishpond.co.nz

c Share Investor 2009




Burger Fuel Worldwide: Download full company analysis from Thomson First-Call

If you want to see how the Burger Fuel Worldwide [BFW.NZ] financial's stack up I have included a full collection of data out June 19, 2009 courtesy of Thomson Financial First Call Global/ASB Securities.

You will find balance sheets, ratios, charts, shareholder returns and all the Burger Fuel info you could poke a hot chip at. (see teaser below but download the full package at Share Investor Forum - you must join to download. It is free and takes less than a minute. I might do this for other companies if there is sufficient interest.

I only mention this because the company is getting close to my purchase price. Last sold at 32c and the next bid in at 10c (a low for the company) with one optimistic fellow offering 1c per share for 100,000 shares!



Key Measures for Burger Fuel Worldwide


Value N/R
Risk 2
Lower risk
Growth N/R
Income 5
Lowest

VALUECompanyMarketSector
Aspect Earnings Model
P/E ratio
P/B ratio
P/E Growth Ratio
P/S Ratio

INCOMECompanyMarketSector
Dividend Yield
Franking
Tax adj Dividend Yield
Dividend Stability

RISKCompanyMarketSector
Beta
Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Earnings Stability
Debt/Equity ratio
Interest coverage (x)

GROWTH RATES10yr5yr1yr2yr Fcst
Sales
Cash Flow
Earnings
Dividends
Book Value

Previous Close52 week high52 week low
$0.32$0.64$0.20
P/E Ratio
--
Sector
Food & Staples Retailing
Market Cap
$17.0 Million

Key Dates
Listed
Balance Date
AGM

Total Shareholder Return
(avg annual rate)
1yr3yr5yr10yr

Earnings and Dividends
Forecast (cents per share)
Curr----
EPS
PE(x)
DPS
Yield(%)
Source: Thomson First Call Global Estimates




Burger Fuel Worldwide @ Share Investor


Burger Fuel doesn't rule out capital raising
Burger Fuel Worldwide: Closer look at Company Accounts

Analysis - Burger Fuel Worldwide: FY profit to 31/03/09
Burger Fuel: Running on Empty
Burger Fuel leaves investors hungry

Burger Fuel management cagey over company progress
Burger Fuel cooks up Dubai deal
NZX share trades with strings attached
Don't buy Burger Fuel, yet
Burger Fuel: Inside info?
Burger Fool IPO: Burger Fool?
Exclusive Interview with Burger Fuel's Josef Roberts
Burger Fuel's Daytime drama
Burger Fuel share price out of gas
Beefing up store numbers
Director explains share price drop
Burger Fuel slims down in value
Burger Fuel and Coke
Marketing Burger Fuel's future
Pumpkin Patch VS Burger Fuel
Burger Fuel results and commentary

Discuss this Topic @ Share Investor Forum




c Share Investor 2009