Hallensteins Glassons : A 10 dollar share?

 

Hallensteins Glasson is about to spike, in my opinion or should I say deserves to ascend.

It is a company I know well. A company I have been in and out of as the fortunes of it seem to have always followed the economy. Up and down.

The brilliant thing as of late - the last 10 years and especially the last 2 have been really quite good for this retailer. Increasing profits and sales $34.5 m and $435m respectively.

It has a 10% + increase in sales to date.

It has no debt - that's important because it allows them to be nimble and change fast should they need to. AND they have.

It has expanded into Australia to the point it is now bigger than its home base. Importantly it has kept an eye on the margin and safe to say what has been the harbinger of doom for many Ozzy retailer has not hampered the growth of Glasson's in Australia - most of the growth comes from this area.

It has been around since the late 1870's and is not about to go away.

I have had the current crop of shares since 2015 and they have done me well. At current prices it gives about a 7% return.

This is based on yesterdays share price of $7.49c.

Obviously it is up to you to do some research BUT there's growth to come and I see the share price start to reflect that.

It is thinly traded - meaning there are significant rises and falls of this stock based on a lot of things.

Now go to it!!

Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor


Hallenstein Glasson: What Do I Do?
Hallenstein Glasson: Sold By Days End?
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Group 


c Share Investor 2024

Hallenstein Glasson: To buy or not to buy that is the question?

Images from Hallenstein Glasson.

I'm not going to tell you to buy or sell Hallensteins Glasson (HLG) shares cause that's not what I'm about. I'm merely going to tell you why the market has got it wrong yesterday - it sold HLG shares down 28c on VOL of $788,000. Quite significant for this share because it usually only trades about $100,000 shares on a good day. What I'm going to do in the light of results coming out yesterday is give you a case for and against. Remember I have been following this share for 20 years and I have traded in and out of this puppy quite successfully and currently hold 30000 which currently "owe me" about $NZ 7000. The next reporting date on March 25 they will owe me nothing. I will in effect own them for nix.

Anyway back to results out yesterday. Even without HLG being mucked around with by both the New Zealand and the Australian Govts last year and this year trading under extreme circumstances we have seen sales only impacted by 6.2% down. That’s pretty special and put that down to the fast increasing online sales which comprise a third of companies sales. This is special because HLG has only really been a significant sales driver in the last 2 or 3 years where online sales have increased from 10% to the 33% it is today.

This is only impacted more by increased operating costs - logistics and the like - due to the current refusal of the govts - on other side of the Tasman - to recognize the science of this “sniffle” that we have been going thru.

But this to shall pass - if you are a trucker you have my support. Literally.

Let me go back to my and Hallensteins history a bit. I have been following this stock for 20 years and have researched it well.

It has always been a cyclical stock. I have picked it up anywhere between $2 bucks and $5.80c. Heaps of people have owned it. Australians got in a few years ago and bought up large and then exited - they lost money on it. 

A few years ago the company got the Glasson's part of the relationship right and since then - apart from March 2020 - it has been trading over 6 bucks and $7.00 at one stage. The company looks like they continue to get Glasson's right and they have grown sales substantially - almost double what it was. Previously it had been traded between $2 and about $4

You have got to understand this company and it’s shares and how they trade perhaps more than any other listed share on the NZX. Because they are tightly held. AND usually thinly traded. One person owns about 20% of this stock and many others who have been shareholders in this company have held stock “forever” because they realize and value for during its many ups and downs.

I will dip my toes back in when/if the share has a 5 in front of it. That is possible. The market doesn't know how to value this stock and that's fine by me!! Its much more interested in the "larger cap" stocks. Obviously this stock can be bought in a large range of prices depending on the day and the frequency of trades. Especially right now where there's "uncertainty" whipped up by misunderstood "journalists".

It doesn’t carry any debt. Never has and has been a good payer of Divs since it listed back in 1947. It has operated over 3 centuries and has negotiated many many changes. I think it has the change right so to speak.

Better on the down low - where Hallensteins comes from - it is conservative with a capital C. Conservative in its management of the company, conservative in what it has to say to the market. In every aspect of the business. Conservative. I LOVE that.  

May you come to your own conclusion on this company.

Happy trading/investing

DYOR.

c Share Investor 2022

Why Hallensteins has the Advantage over Everyone Else

Hallensteins Glassons - HLG.

You know it's a well run company - I'd say the best company of its type anywhere in Australasia.

It does not have any debt and has cash in the bank. Whatever challenge it faced up to in its over 140 years of existence it has overcome that. Covid 19 will be no different.

In the area it operates in one thing is clear. The weaker competition is falling - including the recent influx of overseas brands.

Once a couple of these have got the tail between their legs and scuppered, from this part of the world or entirely - they all hold far too much debt. Hallensteins will be there to mop up the peices AND have far less competition!!

So Hallensteins will be planning right now to change, just how much change is up to conjecture but they will probably change anyway. Their online store is just one feature. The only change down at Hallensteins HQ will the fact that Covid 19 is just another one of those changes of a long list they been through before. 

One thing I constantly am appalled about and that is the comparions made between the economic fallout  from Covid 19 and the Great Depression.  It is by no means as serious as the Great Depression and is not likely to be unless something goes horribly wrong - that whole Great Depression/Recession thing annoys me. We have got a long way to go before we stoop to the depths of depravity those poor souls had to suffer - So Hallensteins passed the Great Depression.

Hallensteins will come out of this - Covid19 - in the same way. The way they have come out of the rest of the calamities than have befallen them. With a new approach to doing business.

For without that new approach combined with the old fashioned attitude towards debt Hallensteins Glassons Group would be yesterdays toast.

Now im no expert at share prices. I just know a great company when i see one. This little puppy plumbed the depths of about $1.80c just a couple of weeks ago. Right now its up on hope - its doubled in price to about $3.60c - hope that things will get started again - soon.

You could buy today or take your chances and buy on the bad news. Because there is more bad news - none moreso than any other stock on the nzx.com - to come with this stock.

DYOR.

  

Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor


Hallenstein Glasson: Buy
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Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
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Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Group 


c Share Investor 2020

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings: Winter Surprise?

Hallenstein Glasson last recommended here in Jan has taken the 20 net div off and retreated somewhat in its share price.

I cant work out what this share is going to do in terms of share price except to say ill give you some of my feelings on the matter if you were going to buy this company right now.

The all important US/kiwi cross is about the same, inventory is crisp and buying is on key.

What is not apparent, yet, is what the consumer is going to do, and how that will develop along with winter temps.

Hallensteins has been hurt before by mild winters, so what is needed by the group to get the ultimate shot is a good winter all over the country AND it has happened before.

So as far as the winter is going, well it is starting to look good. It is getting cooler than usual for this time of year - in Albany.

Where does that leave the share prince for an opening?

Well I am picking weakness - not unusual for this time of year - so a pull back to the early $4.20's wouldn't be a surprise and if there's anything unusual going on, HLG management will bluntly let us know, they always do.

Either way don't forget that this is the number 1 payer of divs on the NZX. Currently paying over 9 % pa net.

AND its showing a lot more buying interest over the last year - a lot.

Trade/Invest wisely.



Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor


Hallenstein Glasson: Buy
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Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Group 



c Share Investor 2019

Hallenstein Glasson: Buy

Well I've come from my holidays with an overwhelming sense of wanting to spend some money on something.

Primarily because its been a rather good Christmas and things are looking up for the New Year.

What am I looking at?  

Hallenstein Glasson.

Its currently trading at $4.20c but was trading at $6.30c in Sept of last year.

Currently its is trading on a healthy 10% + yield and is currently got a P.E. Ratio of 9.15%.

The company also has no debt and millions in the bank.

As far as the market is concerned nothing has changed... the market thinks it has changed though.

What has changed? 

Well the market has gotten nervous over Trump.

Nothing to see here.

The US/NZ $ has changed? 

Not really, they have fixed their currencies for some time. That will probably happen towards the end of the year.

The only change have been indications that sales could be down.

Nothing from the heads of Hallenstein Glasson until latter on this month or next (nobody knows).

So if you've got a spare few shekels left after Christmas you could be in for a bright spot latter on this month or next if you plunk them down now.

You could get this one for under 4 bucks.

DYOR.



Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor

Hallenstein Glasson: What Do I Do?
Hallenstein Glasson: Sold By Days End?
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Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Group 



c Share Investor 2019

Hallenstein Glasson: What Do I Do?

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd is a stock I haven't looked at here since Jan 23 2017.

In case your wondering I now operate from here.

I have owned this particular stock this time for 7 years.

I write this particular column this time because of the recent rise in share price from just under 4 bucks at the beginning of the year to finish yesterday at $6.03.

People like me have loved this stock for years. It is well run by a bunch of penny pincers and has no debt.

As of writing its still paying a net 6.23 % div, which is the MOST on the New Zealand market.

It looks like it is finally making head way and they have got all their ducks in a row.

Online they are doing exceptionally well and Glassons and Hallensteins, their two brands have not really done any better.

They have in fact got a mate who is buying up Hallensteins shares 1a for the past 3 weeks and he now owns - buy my calculations - around 10% of outstanding shares. 

Which makes him the 2nd largest shareholder after Tim Glasson.

I own this stock because it pays me well over a 20% pa return and I have no problem keeping it.

You would have to give me somewhere north of $7 bucks to get rid of it.

You would own it first for its still good return and for the fact that some other chap about 2000 miles from here is interested too.

DYOR. 



Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor


Hallenstein Glasson: Sold By Days End?
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Group 




c Share Investor 2018

Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 4

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd [HLG.NZX] Is a stock we clapped eyes on on March 23rd 2016.

It was selling for more or less the same price as it is going for today.

Much has been said in the media as in this story yesterday about listed retailers in general.

I have it that Hallensteins will get a strong number in comparison to other years but its not going to be their best year by far.

All signs point to an upwards trajectory in profit for the coming 12 months.

After that all bets are off.

We are missing out one factor when we talk about stocks - that is, The Trump Factor. 

When we talk about stocks we must always start our sentence with those 3 words and go from there.

What will he say, what will he do.

Should be an interesting year for Hallensteins.



Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor

Share Investors Portfolio @ 19th Oct 2017

Hallenstein Glasson: Sold By Days End?
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Forum

Download HLG Company Reports
Download HLG Company History




c Share Investor 2017

Hallenstein Glasson 2015 Profit

Just back from a self imposed exile.

Wonderful.

Top of my agenda is Hallenstein Glasson Ltd [HLG.NZ].

It is top of my agenda because it has its full year 2015 profit out on Wednesday and there is much talk of oh its had its best days behind it, it wont be long before its doing its best impression of a Pumpkin Patch (a stock I once owned)or Postie Plus (again a stock I used to own). There is a difference.

The difference here is that it isn't the same. It knows that there is competition out there from the Top Shop (albeit - a bastardised version) and H & M and a whole host of others and they will be going in the shops daily to see what they are up to - trust me,they do.

The shtick is that there is competition and we are going to take it seriously.

Amongst our leading selling bits and bobs we are going to do anything to appeal.

We DO realise that things have changed and that we have to be on our toes to meet those changes as they happen.

We have been here for 135 years and we along with our cash - no debt you understand - are going to be here for another 135 (60 years of that will be with me, 12 years so far)developing in whatever way the public deems necessary.

We will change and change again.

I have had my doubts about this company but it responds in cycles. At the moment it should be going through a recovery cycle but it isn't, people have lost faith in it, that's good that it isn't because it just leaves more room for people like me to buy more - which I'm doing.

I managed to scape enough together for an additional 4000 shares, bringing my total to 14000.

I noticed they got to about- not about, exactly $3.10 before trading up recently at $3.50.

I got mine at about $3.20.

I haven't heard a thing about this Wednesdays announcement.

I haven't even heard if its good because when management usually inform the market they were unusually quiet.

Well see on Wednesday.


Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor

Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Forum

Download HLG Company Reports
Download HLG Company History


Recommended Amazon Reading


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 c Share Investor 2015

Global Market Sell-Off Stocks: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd

Quite frankly, and as I pointed out on Friday, the whole NZX is on sale and while people are losing money people like me are contemplating buying rather than selling. On fundamentals alone there are many NZX stocks that are looking way more attractive than they had been just 3 trading days ago.

Lets look at some specific stocks though and in the third of a new series to coincide with the current stockmarket sell-off, we will look at one of the brightest retail stocks of the Share Investor Portfolio -apart from Briscoe Group Ltd [BGR.NZX] - Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd [HLG.NZX]

The company has not indicated a forecast for the 2012 full year, instead focusing on possible lower margins for the coming reporting period in a May trading update , instead indicating 2011-12 will be a "challenging year". The 2011 half year result was down 16% on the 2010 HY and retail is not likely to improve significantly overall anytime soon. HLG has fared better than most retailers over the last 3 years of the economic slowdown.

During the big sell-off over the last 3 trading days the fundamentals for this stock are of course looking much better.

Lets have a look:

P/E	10.540
EPS	$0.305
NTA	$0.978
Gross Div Yield	13.796%

Over the last week the share price has dropped from $3.55c to finish trading yesterday at $3.21, which has exacerbated the drop from late May from around $4.20c a share. Drops of 10% & 24% respectively. This is back down to levels not seen since early of 2010 and well off the November 2010 high of $4.60.

Check out the nearly 14% gross yield!

Given that the big global market sell-off probably has more legs in it -even though there has been a dead cat bounce this morning on the DOW - investors would be wise to be a little patient before they jump in. HLG has been all over the place for a number of reasons over the last few years. Global market jitters, soft retail conditions and out of season weather have all had impacts on the company and its share price. The company is well managed though and they have traded through the depression of the 1930s and every other recession since and live to tell the tale.

Keep a close watch for the desperate sellers, the unpredictability of this market means some good opportunities for the patient.

If you were considering buying this stock before last weeks implosion, this week the GGMSO means you will be getting it on sale*.

*If you don't like some risk, stay at home and make yourself some milo and go to bed at 6.00pm.


Disc I own HLG in the Share Investor Portfolio


Global Market Sell-Off Stocks Series

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd


Share Price Alert Series

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 4
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 3
Port of Tauranga Ltd
Freightways Ltd 3
Goodman Fielder Ltd 2
Freightways Ltd 2
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Charlies Group Ltd
Fletcher Building Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd
Steel & Tube Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd
New Zealand Stock Exchange Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd 2
The Warehouse Group Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Fletcher Building Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Tourism Holdings
Goodman Fielder Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
NZ Refining Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Xero Ltd


Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Forum

Download HLG Company Reports
Download HLG Company History


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c Share Investor 2011

Share Investor's Total Returns: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd

I have written about returns for stocks on a general basis in the Long Term View series of posts and the Long VS Short series but in this series, Share Investor's Total Returns, I will be giving my actual returns for stocks in the Share Investor Portfolio for as long as I have held them.

The return calculation will include dividends earned along with qualifying tax credits and of course any capital increase in the share price. It will be a total return over the length of holding of the share expressed in overall dollar figures with an individual value per share of what the stock currently is held at.

The eleventh stock in this particular series is a long term star of the portfolio and one that I have held for 3 years, Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd [HLG.NZX]

The current holding of 1000 was kicked off by an initial purchase in July 2008.

The stock cost a total of $2530.00. It has returned net dividends of $743.72 and total tax credits of $366.30, with $30.00 in brokerage.

I am eligible for the full tax credit so if the gross dividend (net dividend plus tax credits)is added and brokerage taken off my full return from dividends and tax credits over the total holding period of 3 years is $1080.32

The current capital value of the company in the Share Investor Portfolio as at 3 June 2011 is $3720. The capital gain therefore is $1160.00. This gives a total return on this share of $2240.32 when dividends and tax credits are included. This is a 89% return over 3 years or a 29.66% gain per annum.

I hold HLG therefore at a total cost of $289.68 or 28c per share.


Disc: I own HLG shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Share Investor's Total Returns Series

Briscoe Group Ltd
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Ltd
Auckland International Airport Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Michael Hill International Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
The Warehouse Group Ltd


Hallenstein Glasson @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Glassons Ltd: Should I stay or should I Go?
Mixed Retail Outlook
Long Term View: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
The History Of: Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
Hallenstein Guidance not indicative of wider retail recovery
Stock of the Week: Hallenstein Glasson
Hallenstein Glasson Australian expansion needs expert execution
Why did you buy that stock? [Hallenstein Glasson]

Discuss HLG @ Share Investor Forum

Download HLG Company Reports
Download HLG Company History


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Buy The Intelligent Investor & more @ Fishpond.co.nz




c Share Investor 2011