Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Thursday, February 1, 2018

What do you Really Mean by buy now?

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It just came to me that since I have been offering up buys and sells for a 5th of my life on this ere blog that I explain what I mean when I say you should really think about purchasing/investing this share soon.

Basically I see a share as a unit of storage. That is a storage of income to either add back to your portfolio or add to your pocket.

The cheaper you can get that storage for the better.

I have 7 stocks in my basic portfolio some of them were bought with the purpose of income - SKC, CEN & HLG - and some were bought for increasing DIVs and capital gain AIA,FPH,MFT & RYM. Currently they are all doing what they should, the 3 former are all reasonably low in share price and the 4 latter are all relatively expensive.

Once again I will not sell no matter what happens - I will only sell when something material happens with each specific company.

So the indicator there for today's market is that you tred very carefully before you purchase a share/company.

Likewise when I give an indication of what to buy in a down market, I think i tends to be a little less cautious about price - because your simply getting the storage for a lot less than you get it in an up market so its silly to quibble over a few cents.

Why not give an indication to buy only during a stock market downturn?

Well I do as a general rule I have bought anything substantial since 2012. I do however see value in specific shares during the ups and the downs. I buy these. I have bought a number of shares since 2012 but I have never held them with the intention of holding them long term.

Having said that there are 2 shares that I have bought - CEN and HLG - that I did buy between 2012 and 2014 that I have held and I didn't intend to keep them at all, except perhaps CEN a little bit - always liked this share since I first bought it in 1998 for $3.10.

What i'm saying is you need to be flexible especially now a days things are changing so fast. 

AND you can do this all yourself.

All it takes is half an hour each day to do some reading - my blog esp - and your set.

Go for it.


www.shareinvestorforum.com




c Share Investor 2018










Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 12


I would add on 10c to my estimate of what I think Contact Energy Ltd [CEN.NZX]is worth right now. That gives a figure of $6.50. Lower than the November yield of just over 6% pa but considered a bit of a steal when you add in the dry, dry weather we have been having lately (great for Contact) and considering that you would also have to factor in on top of this a 23% rise in Div payment this calendar year. Then you have set yourself up for similar payments in subsequent years.

At current prices of $5.51 you get the share relatively cheap and you get the income of over 6%.

You might want to plunck down a buy order today because come reporting this Feb 12. I think you will see quite a surprise to the upside with a promise by management that we will see increasing profits.



CEN @ Share Investor

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Discuss this stock at Share Investor Forum - Register free




c Share Investor 2018





Thursday, January 18, 2018

Share Price Alert: Port of Tauranga Ltd 4




Port of Tauranga Ltd [POT.NZX] was at an all-time high of $5.10 yesterday.

When we last visited this stock back in April 4 2017 it was trading at $4.15 and I said to buy it.

Now I'm saying sell it. Maybe if you bought already for the long term, you have that locked in, good for you. If your a short term trader your run could be perhaps coming to an end. Its at a PE of over 40 and its returning just over 3%.

You would have made just over 25% in 9 months if you include Divs.

Not withstanding its long-term growth over the coming ten years - it is going to become NZ's number one port within those 10 years, I think we are going to head for a wee bit of a lull in trading over the next few years.

It could go to perhaps $5.50 - 5.60 but I would lock in those benefits after the coming half year, when I think the company will do reasonably well.

Good luck.




POT @ Share Investor


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Discuss POT @ Share Investor Forum





Share Investor 2018