Friday, December 12, 2008

The Headliner: A suck up to my mysterious benefactor


To the mysterious benefactor who sent me a copy of The Headliner today a million thanks.

I have read your publication of biz stories on many occasions but at Albany Whitcoulls and Borders (one and the same nowadays) I cant find it.

The December 11 issue has several interesting articles:

Postie Plus [PPG.NZ]-A resurgence in the tiny retailers fortunes.

Ryman Healthcare [RYM.NZ]-Good prospects for long-term growth

Smaller pieces on Hanover Finance, Nuplex, Delegats, The Warehouse, Pike River and some very interesting stock picks.

The Headliner is frequently on the mark and a good read, albeit too brief.

Quality not quantity I guess.

Anyway to my mysterious benefactor, you know my address, please keep it coming.


Disclosure: I own Ryman, Postie Plus & The Warehouse shares
.


Related Links

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c Share Investor 2008

90 day employment probation period good for NZ Inc

The legislation currently under consideration in the New Zealand house of representatives, as I write this, to enable a 90 day probation period for employers and employees for businesses of 20 workers and under is being rushed under urgency, so it can be allowed to be put into place April 1 2009. It is a good law and has come at a time in history when it is needed more than ever.

For many years, especially the last 9 of the Labour Government, employers have been put under the thumb by unscrupulous employees and deleterious employment law and have suffered undue stress from malicious and frivolous employment claims brought by disgruntled employees simply because they have not fit the purpose of employment, have not fit in with the company culture or other employees or have attempted to get away with theft, fraud or unacceptable behaviour in the workplace.

This has put small businesses on the back foot, has cost them money and time training sub-par workers and as a result productivity, profit and business growth has fallen.

It has simply been too hard to expand your small business and employing extra workers for this expansion has been a burden many small businesses simply do not want to face because of the possibility of being slapped with an employment fine by a litigious employee.

With a probation period of 90 days it provides opportunity and choice for new employees rather than the deleterious effects that the Labour opposition say it will have and employers will have the ability to easily grow their businesses and therfore our economy.

The ability for employers and employees to negotiate the terms of the probation before employment then sit down and discuss outcomes after 90 days will enable a better fit for both employer and employee.

If either the employer or employee do not get on or their are any problems both parties can mutually agree to walk away with no repercussions for either. Easy, quick, cheap and ultimately good for small business because the hiring and firing process is the key to a good start in the employer/employee relationship.

Small business is at the heart of the New Zealand economy and it is going to suffer more than ever over the next year or two.

Making changes to employment law such as this, along with a National Government promised simplification of red tape, tax law and heavy handed government regulation will help cushion the blow of the 1999-2008 Labour Government engineered recession we are currently experiencing and the bigger downturn to come due to global financial effects.

Employees have to remember that it is employers that take on the risk when running a business. Money is borrowed, mortgages are taken over personal property and the risk of getting unsuitable employees weighs heaving on their minds. Without the business employees simply wouldn't be able to make a living.

Of course one hopes that this is a reciprocal arrangement with benefits on both sides but we mustn't forget who the boss is.

This 90 day probation law has been a long time coming. Most other western nations have such a law and it is no accident of statistics that New Zealand has one of the lowest productivity ratings(and falling) of any of those nations.

The economy needs this law to complement other companion legislation to be passed to make our industry and economy grow sustainably again and its urgency is necessary because we have to do everything we can quickly to ameliorate the current world financial crises and associated economic fallout.

If we don't act now future generations will be berating us for sleeping while our economy burned.

Lets embrace freedom of choice, the ability to be flexible in employment issues and therefore the opportunity to work towards the future in a more efficient and productive way.

To do otherwise is simply socialist dogma with as much promise and future as a rat with venereal disease.

New Zealand has suffered under that regime for 9 years and today's urgency in Parliament is but one counter to that to redress the balance in favour of commonsense and a brighter future for all.


Related Amazon reading


Agenda for Reform: The Future of Employment Relationships and the LawAgenda for Reform: The Future of Employment Relationships and the Law by William B. Gould, IV
Buy new: $27.00 / Used from: $1.95
Usually ships in 24 hours
International Human Resource ManagementInternational Human Resource Management by Peter J. Dowling
Buy used from: $12.75


c Political Animal & Share Investor 2008

Thursday, December 11, 2008

90 day employment probation period good for NZ Inc

The legislation currently under consideration in the New Zealand house of representatives, as I write this, to enable a 90 day probation period for employers and employees for businesses of 20 workers and under is being rushed under urgency, so it can be allowed to be put into place April 1 2009. It is a good law and has come at a time in history when it is needed more than ever.


For many years, especially the last 9 of the Labour Government, employers have been put under the thumb by unscrupulous employees and deleterious employment law and have suffered undue stress from malicious and frivolous employment claims brought by disgruntled employees simply because they have not fit the purpose of employment, have not fit in with the company culture or other employees or have attempted to get away with theft, fraud or unacceptable behaviour in the workplace.

This has put small businesses on the back foot, has cost them money and time training sub-par workers and as a result productivity, profit and business growth has fallen.

It has simply been too hard to expand your small business and employing extra workers for this expansion has been a burden many small businesses simply do not want to face because of the possibility of being slapped with an employment fine by a litigious employee.

With a probation period of 90 days it provides opportunity and choice for new employees rather than the deleterious effects that the Labour opposition say it will have and employers will have the ability to easily grow their businesses and therfore our economy.

The ability for employers and employees to negotiate the terms of the probation before employment then sit down and discuss outcomes after 90 days will enable a better fit for both employer and employee.

If either the employer or employee do not get on or their are any problems both parties can mutually agree to walk away with  no repercussions for either. Easy, quick, cheap and ultimately good for small business because the hiring and firing process is the key to a good start in the employer/employee relationship.

Small business is at the heart of the New Zealand economy and it is going to suffer more than ever over the next year or two.

Making changes to employment law such as this, along with a National Government promised simplification of red tape, tax law and heavy handed government regulation will help cushion the blow of the 1999-2008 Labour Government engineered recession we are currently experiencing and the bigger downturn to come due to global financial effects.

Employees have to remember that it is employers that take on the risk when running a business. Money is borrowed, mortgages are taken over personal property and the risk of getting unsuitable employees weighs heaving on their minds. Without the business employees simply wouldn't be able to make a living.

Of course one hopes that this is a reciprocal arrangement with benefits on both sides but we mustn't forget who the boss is.

This 90 day probation law has been a long time coming. Most other western nations have such a law and it is no accident of statistics that New Zealand has one of the lowest productivity ratings(and falling) of any of those nations.

The economy needs this law to complement other companion legislation to be passed to make our industry and economy grow sustainably again and its urgency is necessary because we have to do everything we can quickly to ameliorate the current world financial crises and associated economic fallout.

If we don't act now future generations will be berating us for sleeping while our economy burned.

Lets embrace freedom of choice, the ability to be flexible in employment issues and therefore the opportunity to work towards the future in a more efficient and productive way.

To do otherwise is simply socialist dogma with as much promise and future as a rat with venereal disease.

New Zealand has suffered under that regime for 9 years and today's urgency in Parliament is but one counter to that to redress the balance in favour of commonsense and a brighter future for all.


Related Amazon reading


Agenda for Reform: The Future of Employment Relationships and the LawAgenda for Reform: The Future of Employment Relationships and the Law by William B. Gould, IV 
Buy new: $27.00 / Used from: $1.95
Usually ships in 24 hours
International Human Resource ManagementInternational Human Resource Management by Peter J. Dowling 
Buy used from: $12.75


c Political Animal & Share Investor 2008


Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Long vs Short: Sky City Entertainment

http://chart.bigcharts.com/custom/fairfax-com-nz/chart.asp?rnd=0.3338466193181723&style=2242&symb=SKC&size=1&type=64&time=10yr&freq=1dy&comp=&compidx=NZ50G%7E1392984&ma=&maval=&lf=&lf2=&lf3=&uf=16384&arrowdates=&arrowlegend=&country=NZ&sid=162937


In this second of the Long vs Short series I am once again going to take look at the chart comparisons for a stock from the Share Investor Portfolio and compare the 10 year return (above) to the turmoil of the last year with a 1 year return chart (bottom of post).

In this series I want to show the merits of investing, using charts, for the long-term vs short term gains or losses. I will use the longest available data to me for the long-term view and will compare against the NZX50.

The second stock in the series will be Sky City Entertainment [SKC.NZ] which I have held for 6 years, the longest of any stock of the 17 that I currently own.



My Portfolio

Symbol
Price
Value
Earned
$2.94
$102900
$30800
You own 35000 [SKC.NZ] shares
purchased at $2.06 [$72100] *













As I said above I have held Sky City for 6 years and my current return (see small chart above)* is around 42%. Not good considering it is 6 years but when you look at the current market situation not bad.

If however you had held Sky City for the full ten years(see large chart at top) your return would have been a staggering 350%.

Taking a look at the short term outlook for the last year your loss would have been almost 35%.

As in the first Long vs Short installment the long-term portfolio wins again.



http://chart.bigcharts.com/custom/fairfax-com-nz/chart.asp?rnd=0.3338466193181723&style=2242&symb=SKC&size=1&type=64&time=1yr&freq=1dy&comp=&compidx=NZ50G~1392984&ma=&maval=&lf=&lf2=&lf3=&uf=16384&arrowdates=&arrowlegend=&country=NZ&sid=162937



Long vs Short series


Mainfreight Ltd
The Warehouse Group


Sky City @ Share Investor

2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit

Share Investor Forum-Discuss this topic


Related Links

Sky City Financial Data


Related Amazon reading

Using Technical Analysis: A Step-by-Step Guide to Understanding and Applying Stock Market Charting Techniques, Revised Edition

Using Technical Analysis: A Step-by-Step Guide to Understanding and Applying Stock Market Charting Techniques, Revised Edition by Clifford Pistolese
Buy new: $26.97 / Used from: $1.99
Usually ships in 24 hours



c Share Investor 2008