Tuesday, February 26, 2008

NZ Herald: Airport deal not so sweet after tax break blocked


Canadians bidding for 40 per cent of Auckland Airport had offered a type of share that would yield tax breaks. Photo / Dean Purcell

Canadians bidding for 40 per cent of Auckland Airport had offered a type of share that would yield tax breaks.

Additional media coverage of this story - Direct links to story

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NBR
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Opinion piece from Share Investor at end of the day.


By Grant Bradley , 26.02.08, NZ Herald

A multi-million-dollar tax break that would have sweetened a Canadian pension fund's bid for control of Auckland International Airport(AIA) was blocked in a surprise move by the Government last night.

The urgent measure relates to what are known as stapled securities, which allow companies to pay tax-deductible interest to shareholders instead of dividends.

Changes will be retrospective and the announcement was made without prior consultation with interested parties "because it is a matter of urgency since some companies may be contemplating the issue of the type of stapled stock in question", Finance Minister Michael Cullen and Revenue Minister Peter Dunne said.

The Canada Pension Plan and Investment Board (CPPIB) planned to issue stapled securities as a "tax-efficient" device as part of its offer to airport shareholders.

The Inland Revenue Department says hundreds of millions of dollars could have been caught up in the deals if the securities had become popular.

Policy manager Emma Grigg said the Canadian proposal had not been specifically targeted but plans outlined in the company's prospectus would be covered by the changes.

The CPPIB had early yesterday been talking up the chances of its bid succeeding after a change of tack by the airport board. Last night, it said it would not respond to the tax change announcement until today.

The ministers said the change would be included in the next available taxation bill and, once enacted, would apply to stapled stock issued or stapled on or after yesterday.

"If those instruments were to become common in New Zealand the amount of debt deductions against our tax base could increase significantly. The issue becomes particularly acute if the instruments are issued to foreign investors in New Zealand companies."

The change will also deal a blow to potential earnings for Auckland councils. Auckland City Council has a 13 per cent stake in the airport and Manukau City has just over 10 per cent. Although neither is selling its shares, both were hoping to gain tens of millions of dollars a year.

A market source said "anyone who thought they were voting for this to get a tax advantage should think again".

Paul Ridley-Smith of investment company Infratil, which opposed the Canadian bid, said it looked like it was back to the drawing board for CPPIB. It has undertaken to restructure the company by way of an amalgamation process - to unlock capital and make it more tax-efficient for shareholders.

"If the Canadian deal had been done as a single transaction - which is to bring in a new shareholder, new management and change the capital structure - we had absolutely no problem," he said.

"But with the Canadian deal the restructure happens after they've got to 40 per cent. So the question has got to be asked what is the overriding commercial purpose of the amalgamation. If it is predominantly to get a tax benefit, then we would think it wasn't going to get approval from Inland Revenue."

The CPPIB had not sought an IRD ruling on the amalgamation plan before making its offer.

Prior to the ministers' announcement yesterday, the airport's board recommended shareholders sell their shares. That was a reversal of its position in December, when it advised shareholders against accepting the partial takeover bid but by a majority of 4-2 maintained its recommendation to vote against the offer.

Board chairman Tony Frankham said directors wanted to ensure nobody missed out on any premium if shareholders voted yes to the offer.

CPPIB vice-president Graeme Bevans said the change of recommendation was "fairly predictable". "They're ... a relatively new board and this is a very difficult decision."

In August last year, Trade Negotiations Minister Phil Goff dealt a fatal blow to a Dubai Aerospace Enterprise takeover bid when he said the Government did not want to see key public utilities sold off.

Shares in Auckland Airport closed up 3c to $2.83 yesterday, off its year high of $3.50 struck in July last year.


Related Share Investor reading

NZX Press Release: AIA directors recommend shareholders sell

AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


Disclosure: I own AIA shares


Links c Share Investor 2008

Monday, February 25, 2008

Helen Clarks slipping teflon makeup leaves her naked

Cartoon of the Day
c Moreu 2008, from Stuff The crystal ball


Watch Video: Helen Clark on poll result (Newstalk ZB)


Helen Clarks spectacular outburst today, blaming the media for her and her party's bad showing in the latest political polls out last week, on a rampant media with the sole purpose of having her removed from parliament seems more than a little laughable considering the huge left-wing bias in the majority of the mainstream stuff written.

Clark has had them in her clutches, and mostly on her side for the last 9 years and her conspiracy theory that the media are out there to get her have shades of Robert Muldoon(yes I'm that old) as he crumbled drunk from office, and the worlds greatest conspiracy theorist when it comes to the media, Winston"Baubles" Peters.

I guess it is true what they say huh, you lie down with lapdogs...

The thin veneer of humanity left in Clark has slipped, like last weeks chardonnay and fish and chips, into the compost bin.

You can almost see her true personality soaking through the gritted stained teeth, and the unhinging looks more lovely everyday.

She has attacked the media in the past, when they don't say what she thinks is acceptable and a usually politically savvy Clark(probably the best political animal NZ has ever seen) has attacked a media, rightly or wrongly, in election year as being too stupid to make up their own minds about the PMs popularity.

Does she now expect them to go easier on her after that?!

Audrey Young and Fran O'Sullivan are no doubt sharpening their pens for another bite at the bitch again tomorrow, pass the dynamite.

Still there is always the ever present Electoral Finance Act for her to fall back on. Its eyes over ones shoulder are ever present.

I'm picking a landslide win to National come election 2008.


Related links

Labour has 'work to do' - Clark



c Political Animal 2008

Sky City 2008 half year exceptional on cost cutting

The initial reaction by Mr Market this morning to the Sky City Entertainment [SKC.NZX] announcement was to market down the share price to new lows. At current time of writing this, 5.00pm (NZ time) the share price was up 9c to 4 bucks NZ, although it had been up to $4.10 earlier today.


Key figures at a glance

- Revenue up 1.0% to $424.2m (+$4.2m)
- EBITDA up 9.1% to $161.4m (+$13.4m)
- EBIT up 13.1% to $125.6m (+$14.5m)
- Net Profit (before Cinemas write-down) up 36.2% to $61.3m (+$16.3m)
- Net Profit after Cinemas write-down $1.3m.
- Focus on managing operating margins
- Strong results in Darwin and international VIP play
- Auckland steady through refurbishment
- Improving Adelaide performance
- Weak Cinemas result.
-Adelaide Casino no longer for sale
-Profit guidance for full year, $108m to $110m (excluding Cinemas write-down)
-New CEO Nigel Morrison starts on March 3

Full NZX SKC profit announcement


Related Media reports

SKY City Profit Plunges
Cinemas drag Sky City down
Sky City first half plunges - Bloomberg



I think shareholders who hadn't been aware of the abnormal write-off figure of NZ$60 million for the SKC cinema division and saw the 1.2m profit, down 97% from last year got spooked. It pays to do research. Media also wrote headlines like SKY City Profit Plunges. Punters don't seem to want to read further than the headline.

Although profit was impacted in the same comparable period in 2007, so comes off a low base, the NPAT at 37% higher is clearly an excellent outcome. Off a very small revenue increase that result looks even better.

The most encouraging result is a small increase in revenue at the Auckland Casino, the company's main driver of profit. Considering the gaming floor has been interrupted by renovations this is a good sign things are being managed better. Clearly costs have been cut and hopefully that means there will not be any long term impacts from that cost cutting.

The VIP gaming sector looks to have fallen the casinos way this year, last year players cleaned the casino out.

Hamilton has a small increase in revenue and a larger increase in EBIT, so costs have been lowered at this outlet as well.

One of the stars of the show, is my favourite casino in the whole bunch, Darwin.

A Casino unencumbered with too much regulation, that still allows smoking, is situated in a boomtown, and is close to the Asian market. A great recipe for future success.

Revenue has increased strongly over the half by over 10%, but EBIT has soared by almost 30%, indicating a good handle on running costs.

The future looks rosiest at this outlet and wouldn't be surprised if it became the star of the show in the distant future, overtaking the Auckland Casino for group contribution.

Adelaide Casino, looks awful. Revenue and all other profit indicators have slipped. An added factor is that smoking has been totally banned from the premises. As longer term SKC shareholders know, that has a huge impact on profit for New Zealand operations when introduced in 2005.

Quite frankly, I'm not sure if management can turn this casino around, its a drag on company profits and only seems to be there to accumulate tax losses in my mind.

The tiny Queenstown casino achieved a stellar turnaround but is largely immaterial to the group result.

Sky City Cinemas have been written off, so the less said about that white elephant the better. It needs to be sold to some other poor sap. It hasn't done well and contrary to popular belief Hoyts, Sky City Cinemas competition, isn't having the same problem indicated by SKC management that revenue was down because of "bad weather and poor product". Its bad management pure and simple.

Overall the last half year was very pleasing to this shareholder, although parts of the group clearly need working on.

My main worry is that alot of the profit increase has been brought about by cost cutting and I'm not sure whether that is a short sighted thing. Hopefully it is prudent cost cutting. It also will be worth noting whether the costs cuts are one-offs or to be attributed annually.

It is something Elmar Toime, the acting CEO, successfully did at NZ Post and it appears his appointment had the desired effect at Sky City.

It will be up to the New CEO, Nigel Morrison, to drive the revenue and therefore the profit of the company going forward.

Management are "positive" for the coming half year.


Disc
: I own SKC shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Sky City Convention Centre @ Share Investor

Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council

Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor


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Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
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Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum
Download SKC Company Reports

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c Share Investor 2008


NZX press release: Sky City Entertainment HY profit to end of Dec 2007

HALFYR: SKC: Summary half year to 31/12/07 $1.3m ($45.0m) -97.1%, 11.0 cps

SUMMARY OF PRELIMINARY HALF YEAR ANNOUNCEMENT

Name of Listed Issuer: SKYCITY Entertainment Group Limited

For half year ended: 31 December 2007

CONSOLIDATED OPERATING STATEMENT
Current Half Year NZ$'000; Up/Down %; Previous Corresponding Half Year NZ$'000

Total Revenue:
$424,189; up 1.0%; $419,973

OPERATING SURPLUS BEFORE UNUSUAL ITEMS AND TAX:
$82,616; up 28.8%; $64,123

Unusual items for separate disclosure:
$60,000 Cinemas write-down; $0

OPERATING SURPLUS BEFORE TAX:
$22,616; down 64.7%; $64,123

Less tax on operating profit:
$21,992; up 15.6%; $19,030

OPERATING SURPLUS AFTER TAX ATTRIBUTABLE TO MEMBERS OF LISTED ISSUER:
$1,287; down 97.1%; $45,045

Extraordinary items after tax attributable to Members of the Listed Issuer:
$0; nil%; $0

OPERATING SURPLUS AND EXTRAORDINARY ITEMS AFTER TAX ATTRIBUTABLE TO MEMBERS OF THE LISTED ISSUER:
$1,287; down 97.1%; $45,045

Earnings per share:
0.3 cps; 10.3 cps

Interim distribution:
11.0 cps

Record Date: 12 March 2008. Date Payable: 11 April 2008

Attachments: Appendix 1, 7 and related documents

--------------------------------------


SKYCITY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED

Executive Director's Review
Half Year Ended 31 December 2007


1H08 Group Result
- Revenue up 1.0% to $424.2m (+$4.2m)
- EBITDA up 9.1% to $161.4m (+$13.4m)
- EBIT up 13.1% to $125.6m (+$14.5m)
- Net Profit (before Cinemas write-down) up 36.2% to $61.3m (+$16.3m)
- Net Profit after Cinemas write-down $1.3m.

Key Elements of 1H08 Result
- Focus on managing operating margins
- Strong results in Darwin and international VIP play
- Auckland steady through refurbishment
- Improving Adelaide performance
- Weak Cinemas result.

Distribution to Shareholders
- Interim 1H08 11 cents per share (9cps 1H07)
- Entitlement/record date 12 March, payment date 11 April
- Distribution continues at 90% x Net Profit after adding back Adelaide casino licence amortisation and excluding Cinemas write-down
- Distribution by way of non-taxable bonus shares with fully-imputed cash buyback alternative continued for 1H08
- Strike price for the bonus share issue for the 1H08 distribution will be the weighted average SKC price on the NZSX during the 5 day period 13-19 March
- Advice of the number of bonus shares to be issued in respect of the 1H08 distribution to shareholders on 26 March
- Shareholder elections (to elect the cash/buyback option) are due to the share registry (Computershare) by 9 April.

Underlying Net Profit
- Reported results include several elements that need to be separately identified to enable a like with like comparison of 1H08 core asset performance against 1H07
- Key elements adjusted for are:
- International VIP play above theoretical win rate
- Cinemas and Cinemas write-down
- Indirect expenses to cover one-off restructuring costs, due diligence costs involved in the takeover activity which has now ceased, and the Cinemas sale process
- Tax at the company's normalised rate of 28.5%
- Excluding these items show underlying operating earnings (EBITDA) growth at 3%, up from $148.2m to $152.7m and NPAT growth at 15%, up from $48.0m to $55.2m.

Cinemas Write-Down and Sale
- During 1H08 SKYCITY invited bids from parties interested in acquiring the Group's cinema assets
- Based on disappointing operating figures for 1H08 and negotiations with potential buyers, a $60m write-down in the carrying value of the Cinemas assets (market announcement 12/2/08) has been made in the FY08 interim financial statements
- The write-down includes all goodwill relating to Cinemas and a provision against non-performing cinema assets and potential sale or restructuring costs
- Negotiation with potential buyers continues. If a satisfactory price and sale structure is not able to be achieved the company will evaluate restructuring and revenue regeneration options
- Further information will be provided once negotiations are concluded and the final position determined.

Funding and Capital Management
- Control of capital expenditure and earnings retained under the profit distribution plan have reduced debt and lowered funding costs, down $4m (9%)
- SKYCITY's funding is not affected by the worldwide 'credit crunch' with long-term debt in place and no current refinancing requirements
- 1H08 average interest-bearing debt and average interest rate are $1.09 billion and 7.7% respectively.

Other Announcements/Updates
Adelaide
- The Company advises that the Adelaide casino will be retained as a core gaming asset
- performance in the half year has been encouraging
- cost control improved operating margins
- key focus remains on increasing market share in the competitive gaming machine market

Takeover Activity
- All discussions with interested parties have now ceased
- Directors and management remain focused on generating value for shareholders through improved performance
- due diligence costs (advisors, other) are provided for in the half year results

CEO Appointment
- New SKYCITY CEO Nigel Morrison commences on 3 March.

Profit Guidance FY08
- SKYCITY reaffirms its FY08 NPAT guidance as previously provided, namely in the range of $108m to $110m (excluding Cinemas write-down)
- Based on the half year result the company expects to be at the upper end of this range
- Factors to consider in the guidance include:
- international business performance for 2H08 budgeted at theoretical win levels
- customer reaction to the full opening of the Auckland main gaming floor
- ongoing effect of no smoking on Adelaide performance
- continued management focus on operating margins
- excludes Cinemas write-down.



Business Unit Results: 1H08
Auckland
- Total Revenue up 0.8% to $205.3m (+$1.6m)
- EBITDA up 0.4% to $107.7m (+$0.4m)
- EBIT up 1.6% to $91.2m (+$1.4m)
- Gaming revenues flat with a 4% decline in gaming machines, as a result of the main gaming floor refurbishment, offset by table games growth of 7%
- All non-gaming activities achieved modest revenue gains on 1H07
- Cost management held direct/indirect expenses to 1% increase, effectively absorbing inflationary wage and cost increases
- The new baccarat area, one of the early stages of the main gaming floor refurbishment, contributed to the improved local table games performance
- The main gaming floor refurbishment includes the redesigned Aces Bar and Deli, each achieving revenue growth of more than 60% over 1H07 and the new Baccarat Bar has also performed well
- SKYCITY Grand Hotel occupancy up from 44% to 50% for the half year
- Conventions revenue up 4.6% with number of events and delegates up 4% and 3% respectively over 1H07.

Adelaide
- Total Revenue down 2.2% to A$62.5m (-$1.4m)
- EBITDA up 7.1% to A$12.0m (+$0.8m)
- EBIT up 19.4% to A$7.4m (+$1.2m)
- SKYCITY board has confirmed retention of the Adelaide casino as a core gaming asset
- Smoke-free regulations introduced in South Australia from 1 November 2007. November/December 2007 revenues were down 8% on November/December 2006. Table games revenues were favourable by 1% but gaming machine revenues were unfavourable by 13%
- Smoke-free impact reduced in January 2008 with gaming machine revenue down 8% compared to January 2007
- Table games not significantly impacted as smoking restrictions within one metre of gaming tables have applied since December 2004
- Effective cost management with direct/indirect costs down 4%
- EBITDA/EBIT contribution and margins moving in the right direction with work still to be done.

Darwin
- Total Revenue up 10.9% to A$54.9m (+$5.4m)
- EBITDA up 25.7% to A$23.5m (+$4.8m)
- EBIT up 29.9% to A$20.0m (+$4.6m)
- Strong growth momentum continues with significant EBITDA/EBIT growth and improved margins
- Good overall performance with growth from gaming machines, food and beverage and hotel
- Gaming machines up 14% on 1H07 and 24% up on 2H07 due to increased visitation from lower to mid-range players
- Food and beverage revenue up 11% and convention revenue up 5%
- Strong hotel performance with occupancy of 88% (1H07 85%) and average room rate up 10% to A$189. Hotel was joint winner of 2007 AHA National Awards for Excellence "Best Superior Accommodation"
- Increased revenue and cost management lifted EBITDA margin from 38% to 43%
- A$30m stage 1 expansion of the Darwin property commenced October 2007. Includes an indoor/outdoor restaurant, destination bar and balconies with sea views, improvement of back of house support facilities and additional car parking. Completion estimated December 2008
- 2H08 growth not anticipated to continue at same rate with some disruption expected from the gaming floor expansion through peak season.

Hamilton
- Total Revenue up 2.6% to $20.0m (+$0.5m)
- EBITDA up 2.0% to $10.0m (+$0.2m)
- EBIT up 4.1% to $7.7m (+$0.3m)
- Gaming revenues up 3.1% with growth flowing through to EBIT
- New gaming machine product, plus the opening of the new Vue Bar in December 2007, has improved gaming floor visitation and average spend.

Group International Business (IB)
- Group total win net of commissions, comps and taxes $15.6m (1H07 $2.7m), theoretical $4.1m (1H07 $12.1m), above/(below) theoretical +$11.5m (1H07 -$9.4m), Group total EBIT contribution $12.6m (1H07 -$1.2m)
- Auckland win net of commissions, comps and taxes $5.4m (1H07 -$2.9m), theoretical $2.1m (1H07 $10.0m), above/(below) theoretical +$3.3m (1H07 -$12.9m), EBIT contribution $3.9m (1H07 -$5.0m). Auckland 1H07 saw significant commission programme play turnover, resulting in higher commission costs.
- Adelaide win net of commissions, comps and taxes A$4.1m (1H07 A$4.4m), theoretical A$1.2m (1H07 A$1.5m), above/(below) theoretical +A$2.9m (1H07 A$2.9m), EBIT contribution A$3.2m (1H07 A$3.2m)
- Darwin win net of commissions, comps and taxes A$4.6m (1H07 -A$0.3m), theoretical A$0.2m (1H07 A$0.2m), above/(below) theoretical +A$4.2m (1H07 -A$0.5m), EBIT contribution A$4.2m (1H07 -A$0.5m)
- IB EBIT comprises gross revenue $21.9m (1H07: $18.0m) less commissions, complimentaries and taxes $6.3m (1H07: $15.3m) equals net win after commissions complimentaries and taxes $15.6m (1H07: $2.7m) less IB expenses $3.0m (1H07: $3.9m) equals IB EBIT $12.6m (1H07: -$1.2m)
- The International Business model has been reviewed with improved/increased marketing bringing in a greater range of players across all programmes
- Significant individual and group play can produce volatility in International Business performance. The intent of marketing initiatives is to diversify and spread this risk across a broader customer base
- 1H08 experienced growth in visitation from key Asian markets, which has continued into 2H08 with group visits into Auckland and Darwin over Chinese New Year
- Win was $11.5m above theoretical compared to $9.4m below theoretical in 1H07.

SKYCITY Queenstown Casino (60% shareholding)
- Revenue growth of 20% over 1H07 with gains from gaming machines (+12%), table games (+22%) and food and beverage (+18%)
- Additional marketing activity has driven visitation and revenue with positive improvement to EBITDA and EBIT
- Strong January/February Queenstown tourist activity has seen a positive start to 2H08.

Christchurch Casino (41% shareholding)
- 1H08 contribution up $0.2m to $2.7m.

SKYCITY Cinemas
- Total Revenue $32.5m (1H07 $35.0m)
- EBITDA $2.0m (1H07 $4.6m)
- EBIT -$1.3m (1H07 $1.7m)
- Cinemas 1H07 includes revenue of $2.0m from SKYCITY Metro which was sold in June 2007. Adjusted, Cinemas revenue is down 1.5% on 1H07. Cinemas EBITDA is down 28.6% on 1H07 after excluding SKYCITY Metro 1H07 contribution
- Cinemas revenues continued to disappoint being flat against 1H07 with no uplift being achieved from a full six months operation from Chartwell, Hamilton (opened May 2007)
- Flat revenue compounded by increased costs and depreciation has led to a decline in profit and margin
- Poor performance during 1H08 has affected value which has led to the decision to write-down the Cinema assets by $60m.

Group/Unallocated
- Revenue of $2.7m relates mainly to interest received
- Indirect expenses of $17.3m include $3.1m of costs relating to takeover activity and the process to sell Cinemas, and $1.7m of restructuring costs
- After allowing for non-recurring costs, indirect expenses are down $2.9m, 19%.

Capital Expenditure
- 1H08 capital expenditure was at reduced levels as business plans and major projects underwent further review
- Material projects during 1H08 have been the Auckland main gaming floor refurbishment, Hamilton entertainment bar, commencement of Darwin Stage 1 expansion and new cinema developments
- Guidance provided with the FY07 result included the SKYCITY Adelaide redevelopment and car park project which is on hold pending a review of the Adelaide business plan
- Plans for the proposed SKYCITY resort and the associated Little Mindil site reclamation are yet to be finalised
- Main items of capital expenditure expected during 2H08 are completion of the Auckland main gaming floor refurbishment, Darwin Stage 1 expansion and purchase of the Little Mindil land
- Group (excluding Cinemas) maintenance capex for FY08 expected to be below or at the lower end of previous guidance of $37m-$45m
- FY08 depreciation and amortisation guidance (excluding Cinemas) is reduced from $72m to $68m.

Conclusion
- Looking past the disappointing Cinemas outcome, 1H08 has delivered more acceptable results given:
- the disruptions of management change, takeover approaches, and asset sale reviews
- work on the Auckland main gaming floor.
- Looking forward, the company anticipates continuing positive trends in performance, based on:
- appointment of Nigel Morrison
- completion of the Auckland renovation
- Adelaide opportunity and expansion in Darwin
- ongoing focus on the core gaming business.

Disclosure: I own SKC shares


Related Share Investor reading

Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster
Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns

Sky City Casino: Underperforming
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit