Colmar Brunton Poll:17 August 2008

Aug 17, 2008

National on track for gold (2:53) video

National is on track to win gold in this year's election despite recent unwelcome headlines.
Prime Minister Helen Clark has picked up support but is still trailing in National leader John Key's wake.

New Zealand First leader Winston Peters was caught up in the saga over receiving secret donations from wealthy businessmen.

And secret tapes hinted at leadership divisions and a secret agenda in the National Party.
But despite the drama, it doesn't seem to have hurt the party. National still has the support of more than half of all voters.

Labour has closed the gap a little, now on 37%. But Labour's gain is the Greens' loss. They are polling just 3.5%. The Maori Party sits just above 3%, New Zealand First is in deep trouble on 2.6% and United Future and the Act Party barely registered.

Continued


Colmar Brunton Poll: 20 July 2008
Colmar Brunton Poll: 22 June 2008

c Political Animal 2008

National Party list out

The National Party list out this evening comprises yet more new MPs. This is in stark contrast to Labour's current motley crewe, which is comprised mainly of MPs from the 1980s.

The National Party's 2008 list is out and is as follows:

Name
Electorate

John Key
Helensville

Hon Bill English
Clutha-Southland

Gerry Brownlee
Ilam

Simon Power
Rangitikei

Hon Dr Nick Smith
Nelson

Hon Tony Ryall
Bay of Plenty

Judith Collins
Papakura

Hon Maurice Williamson
Pakuranga

David Carter
List

Anne Tolley
East Coast

Hon Murray McCully
East Coast Bays

Dr Hon Lockwood Smith
Rodney

Dr Wayne Mapp
North Shore

Chris Finlayson
Rongotai

Tim Groser
New Lynn

Steven Joyce
List

Hon Georgina Te Heuheu
List

Nathan Guy
Otaki

Lindsay Tisch
Waikato

Pansy Wong
Botany

John Carter
Northland

Phil Heatley
Whangarei

Dr Paul Hutchison
Hunua

Shane Ardern
Taranaki - King Country

Dr Richard Worth
Epsom

Hon Tau Henare
Te Atatu

Sandra Goudie
Coromandel

Eric Roy
Invercargill

Dr Jonathan Coleman
Northcote

Kate Wilkinson
Waimakariri

Chris Tremain
Napier

Chester Burrows
Whanganui

Craig Foss
Tukituki

Allan Peachey
Tamaki

Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga
Maungakiekie

Hekia Parata
Mana

Melissa Lee
List

Kanwal Bakshi
Manukau East

Jo Goodhew
Rangitata

Jacqui Dean
Waitaki

Paula Bennett
Waitakere

Chris Auchinvole
West Coast Tasman

Nicky Wagner
Christchurch Central

David Bennett
Hamilton East

Dr Jackie Blue
Mt Roskill

Katrina Shanks
Ohariu

Colin King
Kaikoura

Paul Quinn
Hutt South

Michael Woodhouse
Dunedin North

John Hayes
Wairarapa

Simon Bridges
Tauranga

Amy Adams
Selwyn

Louise Upston
Taupo

Todd McClay
Rotorua

Tim Macindoe
Hamilton West

Aaron Gilmore
Christchurch East

Nikki Kaye
Auckland Central

Dr Cam Calder
Manurewa

Dr Conway Powell
Dunedin South

Stephen Franks
Wellington Central

Marc Alexander
Wigram

Malcolm Plimmer
Palmerston North

Mita Harris
Mangere

Terry Heffernan
Port Hills

Ravi Musuku
Mt Albert

Jonathan Young
New Plymouth

Richard Whiteside
Rimutaka

Paul O'Brien
List

Youngshin Watkins
List

Hamuera Mitchell
List

Viv Gurrey
List

Dugald McLean
List

Simon O'Connor
List

Related Links

National Party full press release

c National Party & Political Animal 2008

2008 Election outcome

Going by the latest political polls and the trend of others over the last year, it looks like National will get the bulk of the vote by far at the coming election. The poll trend of National being way ahead of Labour has continued in the two latest polls this weekend and is likely to be reinforced by a TV One Colmar Brunton Poll out tonight.

All the fear mongering and finger pointing over a "return to the 1990s and selling taxpayer assets" by Clark and her socialist misfits just hasn't helped them. Most of us can see past that as the lie that it is and a large bulk of voters are too young to remember the when New Zealand had to sell its assets to say afloat.

Don't count your chickens though if you are a National voter and hoping they will deservedly govern alone. Remember we have a bizarre voting system called MMP.

At current polls, if Labour was to get around 35% of the vote and National was down to about 50% the smaller parties that currently support Labour could get another Labour Minority government by a whisker and given what Ms Clark would have to bribe Winston, the Greens and the Maori Party with to get their support, New Zealand would be in for some even dodgier legislation passed than we have already seen over the last 9 years.

Labour are going to pull out the mother of all bribes shortly before the election so I think a close race is on the cards, with National having a slight edge.


Fairfax Nielson Poll: 16 August 2008
Roy Morgan Poll: 15 August 2008

c Political Animal 2008

Winnie the Blogger

Apparently Winston Peters has been blogging. Now I don't know if it is him that personally writes his blog but it certainly contains some of Winnie's hallmark victim mentality, invective and characteristic silliness and chips on both shoulders over his media coverage.

An excerpt from Winnie the Blogger as opposed to Winnie from Wonderland:

Winston Says...

…people ask “what’s up with New Zealand media?”…

It’s a good question.

In recent weeks, we have witnessed one of the most systematic and dirtiest smear campaigns in the history of New Zealand politics. And many media outlets and their journalists have been either wittingly or unwittingly complicit. The near hysteria with which some journalists and right-wing blog sites have written about these allegations and back-slapped each other is almost laughable. The fact remains that nothing outside the laws has occurred involving New Zealand First.

Many journalists have lost their perspective on these matters. At a time when the economy is very likely in recession, when we’ve had winter storm after winter storm, when petrol prices have soared, finance companies have collapsed, many families are struggling , the headlines have been full of slurs and downright lies about New Zealand First. Journalists need to get back in touch with what is truly important in this country.


Peters goes on to support his railing against mainstream media and "right wing blogs" by using tired old political hack Tom Frewen and the creator of Dilbert as support for his views against "foreign ownership" and media bias.

Same old shite, just a different day.

What we really need to know old wise one, who is funding your blog?


Related Political Animal reading

POLITICAL POLL: Peters gone in Tauranga
Don't let the bastard go
Winston Peters lost in Wonderland
Winston's big Baubles

Related Links

Winston's Blog

c Political Animal 2008