Showing posts with label Stephen Tindall. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stephen Tindall. Show all posts

Friday, January 25, 2008

Warehouse Court of Appeal case could be dismissed next week

http://www.smh.com.au/ffximage/2006/09/27/woolworths_wideweb__470x313,0.jpg
The Commerce Commission will need new evidence to
prove their claims of lessened competition in supermarkets
in the Court of Appeal.



Foodstuffs, the owner of the Pak 'n Save Supermarket chain, has just been given approval to open an outlet on Auckland's North Shore after 17 years of trying. Opposition to the company's plans were put up by Woolworths Australia [WOW.ASX] Foodstuffs opposition in New Zealand.

The battle by Foodstuffs to get this market up and running has been intense, sometimes underhanded and cruel. It has cost Foodstuffs and the North Shore millions of dollars in lost revenue and wages from the 300 hundred jobs that the supermarket will bring to the shore.

Woolworths as a foe has been a hard nut right to the end.

Foodstuffs and Woolworths are currently in a fight to win control of The Warehouse Group [WHS.NZ] and the High Court in November overturned a ruling by the Commerce Commission which prevented Woolworths and Foodstuffs bidding for The Warehouse.

The court will hold a hearing on Jan. 29 to decide whether the regulator is allowed to challenge the ruling in the Court of Appeal.

The obvious link to the two battles is clear.

None of these two retail chains are going to give up the fight for the Warehouse until all resources are exhausted.

The battle for control or to buy the Warehouse has been going for almost 2 years. There have been endless appeals by the two companies (as well as the Warehouse itself) and a denial by the Commerce Commission for a deal to go ahead. There will be more legal challenges if there is first a Court of Appeal case after the Jan 29 decision, and these will go as far as New Zealand's new Supreme Court, if the two appellants don't get their way and are not allowed to bid for The Warehouse.

In order for the Appeal Court to accept the Appeal by the Commerce Commission, they will have to furnish new information to the case to prove their point that if either of the two supermarket companies buy the Warehouse, competition or potential competition in the supermarket sector will be severely diminished.

This was the CC argument in the High Court and they lost on that point, so on that basis alone the Court of Appeal shouldn't hear the case.

If a case is to be heard with new evidence furnished, I cant figure out what that evidence could possibly be.

Given the preponderance of fact that seems to be on the side of the defendants, at this stage, I don't see the Court of Appeal giving approval for a hearing before their court on Jan 29.


Disclosure: I own WHS shares


The Warehouse Group @ Share Investor

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The Warehouse set to cut lose "extra" impediment
The Warehouse sale could hinge on "Extra" decision
The case for The Warehouse without a buyer
Foodstuffs take their foot off the gas
Woolworths seek leave to appeal to Supreme Court
Warehouse appeal decision imminent
Warehouse decision a loser for all
Warehouse Court of appeal decision in Commerce Commission's favour
MARKETWATCH: The Warehouse
The Warehouse takeover saga continues
Why did you buy that stock? [The Warehouse]
History of Warehouse takeover players suggest a long winding road
Court of Appeal delays Warehouse bid
The Warehouse set for turbulent 2008
The Warehouse Court of Appeal case lay in "Extras" hands
WHS Court of Appeal case could be dismissed next week
Commerce Commission impacts on the Warehouse bottom line
The Warehouse in play
Outcomes of Commerce Commission decision
The fight for control begins soon

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Related Links

The Warehouse Financial Data

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Friday, November 30, 2007

The Warehouse in play

The decision by the High Court to grant a positive decision to the appellant's Woolworths Australia [WOW.ASX] Foodstuffs and itself will make the coming months for the company very interesting.

The High Court decision to allow Foodstuffs and Woolworths to make bids for The Warehouse Group [WHS.NZX] means it is just the beginning of a long process of a bidding war, possible legal wrangles by the Commerce Commission should they wish to appeal the High Court decision in the Appeal Court and difficulties for either Foodstuffs or Woollies to get the required 90% stake for a takeover.

Both Foodstuffs and Woollies own 10% of shares each and they require at least 90% of shareholder approval to make a takeover successful so both companies could block their rival bids. Considering founder Stephen Tindall has a 51% majority, it is definitely up to him and his family interests to sell or not should bids be made.

It is possible that the difficulties of gaining a 90% approval could be got around by organising a complicated "takeover" structure in the guise of a "merger", as was done when Transpacific Waste effectively took over Waste Management in 2005. Only 75% shareholder approval is needed in this scenario.

At today's AGM shareholders were told that the company had strong cashflow and he dropped hints at a capital return to shareholders.

"In the absence of any major acquisition opportunity, the company will consider undertaking further capital management initiatives in the 2008 calendar year," Chairman Keith Smith

Little was said about a possible takeover and the main focus was on company performance for next year which was expected to be flat.

The bulk of sales for the company are made during the November /December Christmas lead up and look to be flat as well, due to high mortgage rates and petrol prices.

The positive news out yesterday led Warehouse shares up around 24% and by 5c to NZ$6.20 today.


Disc: I own WHS shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Warehouse Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Share Investor Q & A: Questions to The Warehouse' Ian Morrice
Long Term View: The Warehouse Group Ltd
Share Investor Short: Warehouse Group yield worth a look
The Warehouse Group: 2010 Interim Profit Review
The Warehouse: Big Brands, Big Opportunities
Warehouse strike opportunity to buy
Long Term Play: The Warehouse Group
Share Investor Short: Warehouse Group yield worth a second look
Woolworths supermarket consolidation an indicator of a move on the Warehouse?
Stock of the Week: The Warehouse Group
Warehouse 2009 interim profit a key economic indicator
When will The Warehouse bidders make their move?
Long vs Short: The Warehouse Group
Warehouse bidders ready to lay money down
The Warehouse set to cut lose "extra" impediment
The Warehouse sale could hinge on "Extra" decision
The case for The Warehouse without a buyer
Foodstuffs take their foot off the gas
Woolworths seek leave to appeal to Supreme Court
Warehouse appeal decision imminent
Warehouse decision a loser for all
Warehouse Court of appeal decision in Commerce Commission's favour
MARKETWATCH: The Warehouse
The Warehouse takeover saga continues
Why did you buy that stock? [The Warehouse]
History of Warehouse takeover players suggest a long winding road
Court of Appeal delays Warehouse bid
The Warehouse set for turbulent 2008
The Warehouse Court of Appeal case lay in "Extras" hands
WHS Court of Appeal case could be dismissed next week
Commerce Commission impacts on the Warehouse bottom line
The Warehouse in play
Outcomes of Commerce Commission decision
The fight for control begins soonLink

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Download WHS company reports

Shop online at The Warehouse


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Wednesday, October 24, 2007

The Warehouse: Outcomes of Commerce Commision Decision

The Warehouse Group [WHS.NZ]watchers will know that the appeal case of Supermarket operators Foodstuffs and Woolworth's being allowed to bid for the company started yesterday in front of the Commerce Commission in the High Court at Wellington, after a decision barring either from taking over discount chain The Warehouse was brought down in June.

You will also know that the possible outcome of a Commerce Commission decision is probably going to be far from clear cut and is unlikely to provide investors or speculators with a clear focus on which to base any further investment.

My intention here is to outline what decisions the Commerce Commission possibly going make because it just isn't clear which way the cash register will open. It could go either way, with or without conditions but with the added confusion of The Warehouse itself being involved in the appeal.

What I would like to point out are the possible permutations that any decision by the Commerce Commission might have for the parties involved and investors in The Warehouse.

If the decision goes the way of both Foodstuffs and Woolworths Australia [WOW.ASX] being allowed to bid for the Warehouse then clearly this will be the best outcome for investors as there will be a fierce bidding war in which Woolworth's is likely to be the winner because its pockets are deeper than Warren Buffett, Bill Gates and that Mexican Billionaire who just made the top of the B club, combined.

Also with a open yes decision by the Commission it may leave the possibility of either Foodstuffs or Woollies partnering with Stephen Tindall to buy the company.

A no decision for both would of course lead to another appeal and would also leave the aisle open for Stephen Tindall, the majority owner of the Warehouse, to reignite his bid to launch a buyback of the company in conjunction with a private equity player or perhaps a new grocery entrant.

Woolworth's could be allowed to buy The Warehouse simply because its market share is significantly smaller than Foodstuffs.

Issues involved over domination of retail market segments should any of these decisions become reality may also rear its head. Selling of conflicting parts of any merged business that may cause competition issues may also be part of a Commerce Commission decision.

Whatever the outcome, the decision by the Commerce Commission is going to be a difficult one for them to make and is going to take a long time.

Since the sitting began on Tuesday 23 October the market has given the share price a boost by 20c to $5.65 today.


Disclosure: I own WHS shares


The Warehouse Group @ Share Investor

Long Term View: The Warehouse Group Ltd
Share Investor Short: Warehouse Group yield worth a look
The Warehouse Group: 2010 Interim Profit Review
The Warehouse: Big Brands, Big Opportunities
Warehouse strike opportunity to buy
Long Term Play: The Warehouse Group
Share Investor Short: Warehouse Group yield worth a second look
Woolworths supermarket consolidation an indicator of a move on the Warehouse?
Stock of the Week: The Warehouse Group
Warehouse 2009 interim profit a key economic indicator
When will The Warehouse bidders make their move?
Long vs Short: The Warehouse Group
Warehouse bidders ready to lay money down
The Warehouse set to cut lose "extra" impediment
The Warehouse sale could hinge on "Extra" decision
The case for The Warehouse without a buyer
Foodstuffs take their foot off the gas
Woolworths seek leave to appeal to Supreme Court
Warehouse appeal decision imminent
Warehouse decision a loser for all
Warehouse Court of appeal decision in Commerce Commission's favour
MARKETWATCH: The Warehouse
The Warehouse takeover saga continues
Why did you buy that stock? [The Warehouse]
History of Warehouse takeover players suggest a long winding road
Court of Appeal delays Warehouse bid
The Warehouse set for turbulent 2008
The Warehouse Court of Appeal case lay in "Extras" hands
WHS Court of Appeal case could be dismissed next week
Commerce Commission impacts on the Warehouse bottom line
The Warehouse in play
Outcomes of Commerce Commission decision
The fight for control begins soon

Discuss WHS @ Share Investor Forum - Register free

Download WHS Company Reports

Shop online at The Warehouse


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Thursday, September 20, 2007

The Warehouse: The fight for control begins soon

The stoush between Foodstuffs and Woolworths Australia [WOW.ASX] over control for The Warehouse Group [WHS.NZ] is not over yet.

The Commerce Commission case to decide whether either suitor can make a bid comes up in October and both will be primed and ready to make their prospective arguments.

The recent failure of The Warehouse "extra" format, where 3 stores have been expanded to include groceries, has given more impetus for any takeover to be explored.

The main roadblock in the way of Commerce Commission approval for a takeover bid was the possibility of The Warehouse becoming a third player in the New Zealand grocery market and now that those plans have been put on hold by Warehouse management this roadblock has been somewhat lessened.

Management are going to see if they can tweak performance and costs in some way as to justify further expansion of their grocery offering but in my opinion it is only going to work once they have economy of scale and they can show customers that what they offer is the same or better than at Woolworths or Foodstuffs grocery outlets.

So it isn't crystal clear yet whether the grocery offering that The Warehouse has or will have will be a stumbling block for the Commerce Commisssion to give the green light to a takeover offer because not even The Warehouse knows exactly what the future will look like for the "extra" format stores.

The dark horse here of course is Stephen Tindall, the majority owner of the company, nobody knows what he is going to do. He made a bid last year at NZ$5.85 in conjunction with a private equity partner, for 100% of the company.

Since then we haven't heard anything from him and one could be forgiven for thinking that he has lost interest in a deal.

In my opinion though you cant discount the fact that The Warehouse is Tindall's baby and the company has been his life for almost 30 years.

A company that Tindall has nurtured and changed progressively over those decades, the move by him last year seemed to be him ready to shift The Warehouse in a new and exciting direction and I don't think he is going to give up control easily.

Retailing is in his blood.

WHS shares closed even today at $6.05 and are due a large dividend of 40.5c fully imputed due to the disposal of real estate and return of funds to shareholders.


Disclosure: I own WHS shares


The Warehouse Group @ Share Investor

Long vs Short: The Warehouse Group
Warehouse bidders ready to lay money down
The Warehouse set to cut lose "extra" impediment
The Warehouse sale could hinge on "Extra" decision
The case for The Warehouse without a buyer
Foodstuffs take their foot off the gas
Woolworths seek leave to appeal to Supreme Court
Warehouse appeal decision imminent
Warehouse decision a loser for all
Warehouse Court of appeal decision in Commerce Commission's favour
MARKETWATCH: The Warehouse
The Warehouse takeover saga continues
Why did you buy that stock? [The Warehouse]
History of Warehouse takeover players suggest a long winding road
Court of Appeal delays Warehouse bid
The Warehouse set for turbulent 2008
The Warehouse Court of Appeal case lay in "Extras" hands
WHS Court of Appeal case could be dismissed next week
Commerce Commission impacts on the Warehouse bottom line
The Warehouse in play
Outcomes of Commerce Commission decision
The fight for control begins soon

Share Investor Forum-Discuss this topic


Related Links

The Warehouse Financial Data


Related Amazon Reading


The Wal-Mart Effect: How the World's Most Powerful Company Really Works--and How It's Transforming the American Economy

The Wal-Mart Effect: How the World's Most Powerful Company Really Works--and How It's Transforming the American Economy by Charles Fishman
Buy new: $10.20 / Used from: $8.50
Usually ships in 24 hours



c Share Investor 2007 & 2009