Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Goodman Fielder a hedge against an economic slump

Chart for Goodman Fielder Limited Ordinar (GFF.NZ)

Consumers still eat, even during economic downturns. Goodman Fielder is well
placed to weather the storm.




A stock likely to do well over an economic slump, a slump looking more likely than not, is the Australasian food giant Goodman Fielder (GFF).

With operations in Australia, New Zealand and throughout the Pacific Islands, Goodman has a business with food staples such as bread, milk, butter, flour, and highly branded packaged and processed foods for breakfast, lunch and dinner, and the snacks in between.


http://hsc.csu.edu.au/food_technology/industry/research/wondwite.jpg
Wonder White, a strong
Australian brand.



Consumers are loyal to their brands and tend to stay true even when prices rise. Having said that there have been some large price increases of their products on the retail floor because of higher commodity prices, like wheat and sugar and increased labour, packaging and energy costs.

Unlike other companies, in less consumer essential businesses, Goodman Fielder has been able to pass on much of their increased business costs, so margins havent been affected on the downside too much.

Margins have been under pressure though and prospective buyers must be aware of this caveat.

Goodman does have competition, although Goodman does tend to dominate allot of food staples and brands: Vogels bread, Tararua, Kiwi, Edmonds, Meadowlea, Quality bakers, Irvines, anchor and a whole host of other recognised brands.

Goodman's share price has suffered of late, down to a low of NZ$ 1.78 last week from a high of $3.20 at the end of last year and finishing up 3c at $1.93 today.


Related Share Investor reading

Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Goodman Fielder 2007 full year profit

Disclosure: I own GFF shares


C Share Investor 2008

Monday, January 28, 2008

Sign the anti smacking petition

The "anti smacking bill", or repeal of section 59 last year has lead to a petition for a referendum.
The referendum has 280,000 signatures and needs 20000 more for a referendum to be held at this years election at the end of 2008.

Give Sue Bradford, Helen Clark and her mates a slap in the face!!

Download and sign the petition here

C Political Animal 2008

Victim of Electoral Finance Act forced to shut down website

The first publicized internet victim of the Electoral Finance Act has finally come to light.

21 one year old Andrew Moore has had to take his website down at Don't Vote Labour because the Electoral Commission threatened him with legal action should he not do so.

Now those doubters who didn't believe this would happen and those that voted for the Act , should hang their heads in shame because an individual's freedom of speech has clearly been denied here.

Andrew is right. You shouldn't vote for Labour, The Greens, NZ First, Jim Anderton and the others who supported this piece of Stalinist filth and Andrew and people like myself should be allowed to freely say so.

Please support Andrew and others in the fight for freedom of speech. Go to his website here:

Andrew's Site

The message below replaces the previous content on Andrews site but he has a forum there.




Related Political Animal reading


Electoral Finance Bill Vote
NZ losses democratic freedom
Mike Moore turns the knife
List of MPs who voted for Act
Cartoon and comment
Auckland Protest against EFB
The purpose of the Bill is clear


C Political Animal 2008

Second stab at Burger Fuel denied

Chart for Burger Fuel Worldwide Limited O (BFW.NZ)

Trading in Burger Fuel shares has been spasmodic at best, since listing on the NZAX
on July 17 2007. They hit a low of 29c earlier this year.



The Burger Fuel(BFW) chart tells a horrible story.

Down 18% today to NZ 42 cents and testing its all time low of 29c.

No operating news yet but sales and profit figures will be coming up in the next month or so.

Some news just at the end of last year though that a Wellington Burger Fuel store was extensively damaged. That would take out a fair amount of revenue.

My efforts to get BF shares have again come to a greasy end.

I tried to put a bid in today at 25 c but was refused by ASB Securities because "it was too low"

The "5% rule" applies, where you cant bid below 5% of what the last sell price was.

That is, even though a bid of 29c was on a buy order a few weeks back and the last sell was above 60c the buy order was allowed to be placed.

The ASB broker told me "someone at the NZX put it through".

I still cant figure out how I'm supposed to get my bid in, for what I think the company is worth, in such an illiquid stock if I'm not allowed to put my bid in how I see fit.

Time may take care of the share price though.


Related reading on the Share Investor Blog

NZX share trades with strings attached
Don't buy Burger Fuel, yet
Burger Fuel: Inside info?
Burger Fool IPO: Burger Fool?
Exclusive Interview with Burger Fuel's Josef Roberts
Burger Fuel's Daytime drama
Burger Fuel share price out of gas
Beefing up store numbers
Director explains share price drop
Burger Fuel slims down in value
Burger Fuel and Coke
Marketing Burger Fuel's future
Pumpkin Patch VS Burger Fuel
Burger Fuel results and commentary


C Share Investor 2008