I haven't revisited the Winston Peters payola saga, because quite frankly the amount of time and energy put into it has been wasted.
Monday, October 27, 2008
Winston Peters VS Kiwis
Posted by Share Investor at 9:12 AM 0 comments
Labels: Winston Peter's scandal
Sunday, October 26, 2008
Cullen has put NZ financial sytem in grave danger
Michael Cullen's belated move last week to guarantee deposits in the wake of a major world credit meltdown is his dumbest move ever as Finance Minister in 9 years and puts our banking and financial system at massive risk.
Posted by Share Investor at 7:04 PM 0 comments
Labels: deposit guarantees, John Key, michael cullen
POLL: TV One Colmar Brunton Poll, 26 October 2008
According to the latest TV ONE News Colmar Brunton poll for 26 October 2008, National have slipped two points.
A mini trend that has closed the gap from more than 20 points to 12 has happened over the last few polls.
The previous year-long plus trend was a large National lead:
The poll released on Sunday shows National without an absolute majority for the first time in a year.
The last poll a week ago showed National 14 points ahead of Labour, but this has now narrowed to 12 points.
The National Party has dropped back three points, down to 47%. Labour has also dropped back by one point, now on 35%. Labour's friends, the Green Party have bounced back, up to 8%. Meanwhile, New Zealand First is on 3%, edging closer to the magic 5% threshold.
The Maori Party is sitting on 2.8%, however, their focus is on the electorate seats, so they will not be too concerned with the low party vote. The Act Party is still just above 2%.
Under those numbers, National has 59 seats in parliament and would need the three Act seats to get a majority of 62. UnitedFuture has one seat and would line up with National.
In opposition, Labour has 44 seats, the Greens have 10 and the Progessives one seat.
The Maori Party has four seats, but will not yet say who they will side with, and with these numbers, New Zealand First is out of parliament.
Key is still the preferred choice for Prime Minister on 38% but the race has closed right up. Clark is now breathing down Key's neck on 37%, up by three points.
Polls were expected to close as the election drew nearer but National is still expected to win the majority of seats and votes on election night.
Posted by Share Investor at 6:48 PM 0 comments
Friday, October 24, 2008
POLL: Roy Morgan Poll, 24 October 2008
The Latest Roy Morgan Poll for October 24 2008 shows a comfortable lead for National and is in stark contrast to the October 10 Roy Morgan poll which showed Labour and National as close as 4.5%.
In mid October 2008 with the “World Financial Crisis” worsening the New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National Party support at 43% (up 2.5%), a healthy lead over the Labour Party 32% (down 5.5%). If the Election were held this weekend the National Party would form Government with the help of a minor party.
Support for the Greens 11.5% (up 2.5%) is at its highest level since the last election, while support for NZ First is 4.5% (up 0.5%), ACT NZ 3.5% (unchanged), the Maori Party 2.5% (up 0.5%), Progressive Party 0.5% (down 0.5%), United Future 0.5% (down 0.5%) and Others and Independents 2% (up 0.5%).
The Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating (97.0 points, down 5.3 points) has dropped sharply, falling back below 100 after only a few weeks in ‘positive territory’. Only 23% of New Zealanders expect New Zealand as a whole to have good times economically over the next 12 months. Full article.
There will be another couple of polls this weekend, from Fairfax Nielson and Colmar Brunton and one last round of polls from the 4 main pollsters next week before an embargo the week of the election.
c Political Animal 2008
Posted by Share Investor at 6:04 PM 0 comments