Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Most Outstanding Stock of 2010: Restaurant Brands Ltd



Long have I been a knocker of Restaurant Brands New Zealand [RBD.NZX] over the last 13 years but 2010 has been a standout year for the company. In terms of sales and profit performance it has managed to raise most key indicators of success in its business, especially with its KFC brand.

It 2010 full year profit was substantially up on full year 2009 and its 2011 half year out today was a full testosterone chicken ahead of half year 2010. In fact the company is achieving record profits and looks to earn between $24 - 26 million in full year 2011.

Dividends are also well up and at all time highs.

Likewise the share price started 2010 (see 2 year chart above) out at around a buck and as I write this is trading at around $2.60, close to its all time high last reached around 13 long years ago.

Just 2 years ago the share was trading just above 50c! (see 13 year chart below)



I have to hand it to CEO Russel Creedy for turning the company around. He has been exceptional in his management from a turkey of a company when he arrived a few years back to a full blown chicken with a punch like Mike Tyson in his prime.

Beware though that there could be a touch of salmonella in the tail. While I don't expect the exceptionally poor performance of past management, the company is achieving close to peak profit in the fast food sector and its share price levels reflect this.

Even though 2010 still has more than 2 months to plod on, I have no hesitation in giving RBD the golden chicken drumstick for the best company in 2010.

I am hoping to get an interview with Russel now we are on the same page.

Well done Russ.


Restaurant Brands @ Share Investor

RBD - 2011 Half Year Result
RBD - 2010 Quarter one sales
RBD - 2010 Quarter two sales


Restaurant Brands Ltd: KFC has finally cracked it

Restaurant Brands: KFC Sales Figures Explained - Part 2
Finger Lick'n Good Management
Chart of the Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Long Term View: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Stock of Week: Restaurant Brands Ltd
Restaurant Brands: Buy or Sell ?
Pizza Hut sell-off provide opportunities all-round
Danny Diab & Restaurant Brands
2008-2009 KFC sales figures mislead investors
KFC Finally Flying
Starbuck's New Zealand Cup doesn't runneth over
RBD gives KFC a push
McDonald's playing chicken with KFC
Restaurant Brand's Pizza Hut faces increasing competition
RBD sales analysis
RBD saga continues: CEO leaves
The secret recipe is out
2007 FY profit analysis
Delivering increased profit in October 2007
No reason for optimism in latest sales figures

Discuss RBD @ Share Investor Forum




c Share Investor 2010





Share Investor Q & A: Charlies Group CEO Stefan Lepionka on Australian Expansion

With news yesterday that Charlies Group Ltd [CHA.NZX] had expanded its presence into Australia by getting their product on 750 Coles supermarket shelves, Charlies PR representatives contacted me and asked if I wanted to put some questions to group CEO Stefan Lepionka to flesh out what is happening over the ditch and with the company in general, so I put some questions to him via email last night and got them back earlier on today.

Charlies has long been a straggler in terms of profit since its backdoor listing in 2005 but its most recent result finally showed a profit for the full year to June 2010. The Australian expansion was well planned and a major coup for the company and should help establish its presence there, where it currently lacks broad brand awareness and scale.




The CHA share price leaped by more than 45% yesterday on the news.

Enough about what I think, lets see what Stefan has to say.

The Q & A

Share Investor - How much revenue and profit do you expect to gain from the deal with Coles to move your brands into 750 of their Supermarkets in the 2011 year?

Stefan Lepionka We believe it has the potential to double the size of Charlie’s Group Australia in sales. Last year we achieved $7m however we do not go live till 1st Nov which is 5 months into our new financial year. This ranging has now opened the brand to the second largest retailer of a $1 billion dollar juice category.


SI - How hard was it to get your product on Coles shelves considering the competitive nature for space in Supermarkets there?

SL – Nothing’s easy in business however as a business we strive for having a leading edge in our offer vs. our competitors and this was picked up by the buyers in Coles. They set out to do a diligent trial – 37 stores - and yesterday’s announcement is proof of the success the trial has achieved.

SI - Are you expecting deals of s similar size with Coles competitors now that you have your foot in the door of this giant retailer?

SL – We are very focused in trying to build further distribution deals not only in Australia but internationally. We recently announced a significant distribution win in South Korea for our Phoenix Organic brand with a chain called Caffe Bene which has 300 cafĂ© outlets and we have a number of irons in fires as we continue our strategy of taking our brands to the world.

SI - Did you have to drop your profit margins by much to secure such a deal?

SL - We don’t reveal commercial information that could be useful to competitors but what I can say is the value of the deal or otherwise will be revealed at our half year announcement late Jan 2011.

SI - How much brand awareness is there for the Charlies name and its products in Australia?

SL - We have been in the Australian market specializing in the HoReCa channel - Hotels, Restaurants and Cafes. In the food and beverage world building brands first in this channel is imperative to building brand awareness and future success. To date we have been very successful in HoReCa and our brands can be bought by some of the leading and trendiest HoReCa outlets. This was also a big factor in helping us win Coles.

SI - Is there much competition in the premium end of the market in Australia where you operate?

SL - There is no shortage of competition in any food and beverage category. The key is to have a significant point of difference vs. your competitors which the Charlie’s and Phoenix Organics brands have.

SI - What kind of advertising are you using for brand awareness in Australia?

SL - Below the ground tactics will be used which include a business to consumer approach through social media and sampling in the cheeky Charlie’s way.

SI - On Charlies Group in general. When will the company start paying a dividend?

SL - This was a consideration after last year’s financial year however the directors see a lot more growth to be had so our profits at this stage are being committed to investing in growth and building an even larger business in the short to medium term.

SI - Are you looking at increased profits for the 2011 full year?

SL - Of course we’d love to announce increased profits but let’s just wait and see. As I say, at this stage we are investing for sustainable growth as per our strategy.

SI - Has the recession been tough on the company over the last 2 years, how have you managed costs and debt etc?

SL - Recession has been challenging for all and last year’s result is the outcome of taking action to manage the business in a different environment. We have survived and even prospered through this period.

SI - Will we see Charlies expand into other countries?

SL - Yes and we are currently in 14 countries.

SI - What is the 5 year outlook for your company in terms of sales and profit?

SL – To keep growing sustainably.

End.

About Charlie’s
- From Charlies PR

Charlie’s Group Limited is a New Zealand owned company listed on the New Zealand Stock Exchange and operating principally in the Australasian market. The company manufactures and markets a range of ‘not from concentrate’ fruit juices as well as smoothies and organic beverages. Principal brands are Charlie’s and Phoenix Organics. The business was established by friends Stefan Lepionka (CEO), Marc Ellis (director) and Simon Neal (distribution manager) in 1999 and floated on the New Zealand Stock Exchange in July 2005. Charlie’s operates in New Zealand and Australia and exports to territories in Asia, the Pacific, the Middle East and the Indian sub-continent.

Charlies Group @ Share Investor

Chart of the Day: Charlies Group Ltd
Charlies Group: A Triumph of Style over Substance
Charlies juicing through Shareholder cash

Discuss CHA @ Share Investor Forum
Download CHA Company Reports


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c Share Investor 2010

Allan Hubbard Saga: NBR VS the SFO

Good lord !

It just keeps getting worse for Allan Hubbard and his collapsed empire and the NBR is now being forced by the Serious Fraud Office to disclose documents and evidence over an investigation by one of their journos into the Hyatt Regency and Hubbards part in it. The NBR have until 9.00am this morning to disclose or the editor could face a $15,000 fine and the publisher a $40,000 slap or up to 12 months in the pokie.

If you were not aware of the shenanigans over the development of the Hyatt Regency and South Canterbury Finance part in it you might want to read the Matt Nippert NBR investigation into it published a few weeks back. Here is an excerpt just to put you in the picture:

"A South Canterbury Finance director muddied related-party links to the company’s single biggest debtor by making his freezing worker brother-in-law the sole owner of Auckland’s five star Hyatt Regency hotel.

South Canterbury loans to redevelop the hotel ballooned to $42.3m and government receivers are likely to book multi-million dollar losses when they finally sell it.

According to documents filed with the Companies Office 66-year-old retired Christchurch meatworker Peter Symes was a director and the 100% owner of the company controlling the Hyatt between February 2009 and August 2010.

The company had formerly been owned by South Canterbury or its parent company Southbury Group.

Mr Symes – who suffers bowel and lung cancer – told NBR he is the brother-in-law of former South Canterbury director Edward Sullivan.

He confirmed Mr Sullivan approached him to become a director and shareholder in numerous Hyatt-related companies in December 2008.

“My understanding is I was brought in because there were too many people from one company [South Canterbury] involved,” Mr Symes said.

Mr Symes said he acted on Mr Sullivan’s instructions."

Dodgy as a whole shop full of 2 bob watches huh?

The SFO clearly must have any incriminating evidence that the NBR has but any sources must be protected by anonymity if this was the rationale for them giving evidence to the NBR from the get go.

Without that anonymity we don't get people willing to dob in the criminals and yobs that try and rip us good folk off.


Related Share Investor Reading

Full SFO Statement on SCF Fraud Investigation

Download Grant Thornton Report 1
Download Grant Thornton Report 2
Download Grant Thornton Report 3

Allan Hubbard Saga: South Canterbury Finance to be investigated by the SFO
Allan Hubbard Saga: Third Grant Thornton Report
Allan Hubbard Saga: Will He Walk?
Allan Hubbard Saga: No Longer Bothered by Botherway
Allan Hubbard Saga: 60 Minutes Interview, Sept 23 2010
Allan Hubbard Saga: Supporters head to the exit door
Allan Hubbard Saga: Threats & the Mysterious PWC Report
Allan Hubbard Supporters: Conflict of Interest
VW Veneer reveals BMW heart
VIDEO: Jenni McManus Explains Allan Hubbard Collapse
Allan Hubbard Statement on SCF Receivership
VIDEO: Sandy Maier - full news conference on SCF Receivership
Market Alert: South Canterbury Finance to be placed in Receivership
Allan Hubbard: Ignorant Supporters Blissfully Unaware
Thornton Report 2: Allan Hubbard Guilty as Charged
Allan Hubbard: Full TV3 Interview - July 16 2010
Thornton Report: Allan Hubbard's Aorangi Securities
Bothered by Simon Botherway


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Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Chart of the Day: Charlies Group Ltd



One has got to say that if you were a shareholder in Charlies Group Ltd [CHA.NZX] today and sold you would have been practically dancing in the aisles. Its share price lept over 45% on news (see 10 day chart above) that its products were to be positioned on 750 Coles stores across Australia.

The share price hasn't done much for years (see 5 year chart below) but this little bit of positive news has given impetus to the share price and it will be interesting to see what happens tomorrow if the trend continues on higher volume. I suspect others will get carried away tomorrow and bid up the price.

Well done to those who made a quick buck. I am a little jealous.

I should have Stefan Lepionka on the mat answering questions on Charlies OZ expansion tomorrow.




Charlies Group @ Share Investor


Share Investor Q & A: Charlies Group CEO Stefan Lepionka on Australian Expansion
Charlies Group: A Triumph of Style over Substance
Charlies juicing through Shareholder cash

Discuss CHA @ Share Investor Forum
Download CHA Company Reports


Chart of the Day @ Share Investor


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c Share Investor 2010