Friday, February 20, 2009

Time to ditch the dividends

I wrote a couple of days ago about Goodman Fielder Ltd [GFF.NZ] using a dividend re-investment plan to help with company cash-flow in these hard times.


Let me add another string to that cashflow bow.

Shareholders in NZX listed companies should expect dividends to be cut even if profits are not correspondingly lower.

Far be it from me to suggest this because many of the companies in the Share Investor Portfolio have good dividend returns but I think it would be a prudent move for companies to lower or cancel dividend payouts until this recession comes to an end.

New Zealand companies pay handsome dividends at the best of times but as we know this aint the best of times.

The scary thought is that some companies even use borrowed money to pay dividends and that isn't wise even when the economy is ticking along nicely and will certainly be more difficult to do during this credit drought.

Unfortunately Kiwis live in some sort of dividend fools paradise where investors often gauge the investing potential of the company by that criteria alone. Company hierarchy don't often help that scenario either by pandering to that market expectation of more company moola for stockholders = a good company.

I have been guilty of this peculiar investor trait! but have learned to relax when a dividend cut is used for a more business efficient purpose-like investing moola back into the company.

Cash-flow is all important for businesses at the moment and it is normally used to pay all sorts of short term liabilities, so clearly having a bigger free cashflow will help a business function better on a day to day basis.

Just remind yourself a dividend cut will not be forever and ultimately it will be good for your investment in the long run-Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has never paid a dividend and its shares are currently traded at around US$84,000.00 each. (Its high was near double that!)

You might even like to to give your CFO a friendly phone call and gently suggest he take my advice.

Recent Share Investor Reading

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c Share Investor 2009


Wednesday, February 18, 2009

TV3 News Political Poll: 18 Feb 2009

The bad news for the hapless and hopeless Phil Goff continues.

In the latest TV3 news poll National trumps Labour by a country mile and the former Prime Minister, Helen Clark is Labour's preferred leader!!

The poll provides clear evidence that National voters backed a winner in November and that Labour voters are moving their allegiances to National-as they started to do on election night.

At 60 percent in tonight's poll, National's rating is the highest ever recorded by 3News.

So we asked voters what they thought of Key and National's performance over the first three months in Government.

64 percent say it has been strong or very strong.

Just 4 percent say has been weak.

In the crucial leadership traits, 85 percent consider Key a capable leader - that has rocketed up.

75 percent say he would be good in a crisis, up significantly.

And 77 percent back his judgement. TV3.co.nz


The only question that still remains is just how long Goff can remain as the Labour leader?

Not long judging by his non-performance thus far.

The Labour knives are being sharpened as we speak.


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c Political Animal 2009

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Repeal of Electoral Finance Act rekindles democracy

The repeal of the filthy little Electoral Finance Act that stopped free speech was passed yesterday in parliament and now we can all talk freely again in an election year without the threat of some Government stooge breathing down our necks.

Those of you who protested against it, well done, and those of you that voted for it or still support it (like the Greens) should go and live in Zimbabwe.

No surprise that Labour voted to repeal the Act because it helps the incumbent Government, now National , to stay in power.

A new law will be passed closer to election 2011 and this time it will have citizen input and contributions and agreement from all parties in Parliament.

c Political Animal 2009


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Goodman Fielder turning on the DRIP

Dividend Re-investment Plans or DRIPs are a way for a company to distribute profits to shareholders by allowing them to get shares in lieu of cash.


In the normal state of affairs when the economy is in a healthy state it is a good way to keep cash flow in the company to help run the day to day machinations of your company.

Many listed NZX companies have DRIP plans.

Goodman Fielder Ltd [GFF.NZ] has taken that opportunity today by issuing a DRIP offer to its shareholders.

One other company in the Share Investor Portfolio has a DRIP plan and that is Sky City Entertainment. [SKC.NZ] Its DRIP has been running for several years and was instituted at a time when the company found itself with a little cash flow problem due to poor management leading to a couple of awful profit results.

With Goodman Fielder issuing their DRIP intentions I wonder out loud as to whether a cash flow problem might be influencing their decision to make a DRIP available.

Several NZX companies are currently making plans to improve cash flow.

Fletcher Building Ltd [FBU.NZ] signalled the sale and leaseback of their Penrose head office this week and issued millions of dollars of capital notes while Fisher & Paykel Appliances[FPA.NZ] indicated yesterday that they are looking at a capital raising.

Many other companies have issued debt and others are now planning to to get themselves through the current economic crises through prudent and some imprudent means.

Freightways Ltd [FRE.NZ] cut their dividend for example even though their 2009 half-year profit rose slightly.

Goodman's DRIP is a good move to help during these hard times but nevertheless it does leave me with a slightly uneasy feeling.

* Disclosure: I own GFF, SKC, FRE, FBU shares.


Goodman Fielder @ Share Investor

Goodman Fielder to improve bottom line in 2009
Why did you buy that stock? Goodman Fielder
Goodman Fielder hit by high commodity prices
Goodman Fielder a Hedge against an economic slump
Goodman Fielder pie gets bigger


Goodman Fielder Financials

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c Share Investor 2009