Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Blood Brother unwilling to give in Glenn donation saga

D day has come for Winston Peters and the details over his donation from Owen Glenn, made to him or his party or his lawyer-the story is different whoever you talk to and what time of day it is.


The Privileges Committee sits this afternoon where Owen Glenn will give his version of events, which haven't differed in all his accounts.

Glenn has said he is there to "clear his name" whatever the consequences for the players and I don't blame him for his bluntness. He is a busy man.

The missing link in all of this though appears to be Peter's lawyer Brian Henry, Peter's "blood brother".

Henry is "overseas" and it is unclear as to whether he will be giving evidence in Peters defence tomorrow when the Privileges Committee sits again with Winnie giving his newest version of events, again.

I cant understand why a person that is supposedly at the centre of this whole scandal-Peters and Henry contend it was Henry that was the bag man, while Glenn has given affidavits that it was Peters-and a self confessed "blood brother" of Peters wouldn't be there in Winnies hour of need.

I'm guessing he isn't because his testimony would be deleterious to Peters than it already has been.

c Political Animal 2008


US TREASURY PRESS RELEASE: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

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The following information is a press release from the US treasury less than 30 minutes ago.


It defines effectively that the US Government(taxpayer) is taking control of Fannie and Freddie.

It means that half of all US mortgages are now State managed and backed.

It also means that the private housing market in the US has collapsed-the taxpayer bailing out the company doesn't mean it hasn't, whatever US Government officials are telling Americans, and the rest of the world for that matter.

It is important that investors re-assess their investments at this juncture and structure them according to the risk and current economic climate in view of this latest news.

WASHINGTON (Sun Sep 7, 2008 12:57pm EDT) The following is the full text of a statement released on Sunday by Treasury Henry Paulson on mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Good morning. I'm joined here by Jim Lockhart, Director of the new independent regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency,

FHFA. In July, Congress granted the Treasury, the Federal Reserve and FHFA new authorities with respect to the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Since that time, we have closely monitored financial market and business conditions and have analyzed in great detail the current financial condition of the GSEs including the ability of the GSEs to weather a variety of market conditions going forward. As a result of this work, we have determined that it is necessary to take action.

Since this difficult period for the GSEs began, I have clearly stated three critical objectives: providing stability to financial markets, supporting the availability of mortgage finance, and protecting taxpayers both by minimizing the near term costs to the taxpayer and by setting policymakers on a course to resolve the systemic risk created by the inherent conflict in the GSE structure. Based on what we have learned about these institutions over the last four weeks including what we learned about their capital requirements and given the condition of financial markets today, I concluded that it would not have been in the best interest of the taxpayers for Treasury to simply make an equity investment in these enterprises in their current form.

The four steps we are announcing today are the result of detailed and thorough collaboration between FHFA, the U.S. Treasury, and the Federal Reserve. We examined all options available, and determined that this comprehensive and complementary set of actions best meets our three objectives of market stability, mortgage availability and taxpayer protection. Throughout this process we have been in close communication with the GSEs themselves. I have also consulted with Members of Congress from both parties and I appreciate their support as FHFA, the Federal Reserve and the Treasury have moved to address this difficult issue.

Before I turn to Jim to discuss the action he is taking today, let me make clear that these two institutions are unique. They operate solely in the mortgage market and are therefore more exposed than other financial institutions to the housing correction. Their statutory capital requirements are thin and poorly defined as compared to other institutions. Nothing about our actions today in any way reflects a changed view of the housing correction or of the strength of other U.S. financial institutions. I support the Director's decision as necessary and appropriate and had advised him that conservatorship was the only form in which I would commit taxpayer money to the GSEs. I appreciate the productive cooperation we have received from the boards and the management of both GSEs. I attribute the need for today's action primarily to the inherent conflict and flawed business model embedded in the GSE structure, and to the ongoing housing correction.

GSE managements and their Boards are responsible for neither. New CEOs supported by new non-executive Chairmen have taken over management of the enterprises, and we hope and expect that the vast majority of key professionals will remain in their jobs. I am particularly pleased that the departing CEOs, Dan Mudd and Dick Syron, have agreed to stay on for a period to help with the transition. I have long said that the housing correction poses the biggest risk to our economy. It is a drag on our economic growth, and at the heart of the turmoil and stress for our financial markets and financial institutions. Our economy and our markets will not recover until the bulk of this housing correction is behind us. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are critical to turning the corner on housing.

Therefore, the primary mission of these enterprises now will be to proactively work to increase the availability of mortgage finance, including by examining the guaranty fee structure with an eye toward mortgage affordability. To promote stability in the secondary mortgage market and lower the cost of funding, the GSEs will modestly increase their MBS portfolios through the end of 2009. Then, to address systemic risk, in 2010 their portfolios will begin to be gradually reduced at the rate of 10 percent per year, largely through natural run off, eventually stabilizing at a lower, less risky size. Treasury has taken three additional steps to complement FHFA's decision to place both enterprises in conservatorship. First, Treasury and FHFA have established Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements, contractual agreements between the Treasury and the conserved entities.

Under these agreements, Treasury will ensure that each company maintains a positive net worth. These agreements support market stability by providing additional security and clarity to GSE debt holders senior and subordinated and support mortgage availability by providing additional confidence to investors in GSE mortgage backed securities. This commitment will eliminate any mandatory triggering of receivership and will ensure that the conserved entities have the ability to fulfill their financial obligations. It is more efficient than a one-time equity injection, because it will be used only as needed and on terms that Treasury has set. With this agreement, Treasury receives senior preferred equity shares and warrants that protect taxpayers. Additionally, under the terms of the agreement, common and preferred shareholders bear losses ahead of the new government senior preferred shares.


Related Share Investor Reading

Not so sweet Fannie Mae
Global credit squeeze: There is no free lunch
Lenders must come clean over losses to restore faith in credit markets

Global Market meltdown: What is Warren Buffett doing?
Credit crunch a blessing in disguise
Market meltdown: I can smell the fear from here

Mr Market gets his groove on
What happened to risk?
State backed Sub Prime mortgages in New Zealand
The global economy looks bad now, but wait theres more
NZ Sharemarket set for a Winter and Summer of discontent


c Share Investor 2008


Lack of interest over donation scandal?

According to Helen Clark today, nobody in New Zealand is the least bit interested in the Winston Peter's donation scandal, a donation scandal that directly involves Clark and therefore her fascist socialist Labour Government.


It is the same line taken by the Labour Party Blog The Standard, who like to deny the seriousness of the Glenn/Peters/Clark Payola scandal and "move on" so they can perhaps discuss the finer points of saving transgender gay whales who wear scandals and who vote Labour. 

The public are supposed to move on?

This in the light of the most exciting week in the scandal, in this banana republic we call New Zealand.

Today the police were added to the mix and they will investigate Peters and donations made to him or his NZ First Party in 2007 and undeclared.

This is in addition of course to the Serious Fraud Office Case into yet more dodgy behaviour and the big daddy of them all the Privileges Committee hearing into a $100,000 secret donation to Peters from Owen Glenn.

Owen Glenn arrived in New Zealand today to give evidence at tomorrows privileges hearing.

I and millions of other kiwis are finding this very interesting and will not move on, and neither should we.

It is a very serious matter, of a constitutional nature and our Prime Minister has omitted to admit her central part in it and what she knows about the Glenn donation.

Tomorrow we are likely to see some direct evidence from Glenn and if there is any new information to be revealed that further implicates Peters watch for more public displays of derision by Labour ministers at Owen Glenn-their biggest donor.

I will be riveted.

Monday, September 8, 2008

Lets drink to Delegats

The good result from Delegats Group Ltd [DGL.NZ] last week got me thinking about a new future star of the NZX.

I'm not sure if it will be Delegats, they are but one major Kiwi wine maker, but the New Zealand wine industry is going to play a much bigger part in our economy as time goes on and industry players will want to get their hands on funds with which to expand their businesses.

Consolidation of a number of smaller Kiwi players to get economies of scale to compete with much larger international wine labels will also need to occur.

Some of the funds needed to expand these businesses will be obtained from borrowing money from banks and some could raise funds by listing on the NZX.

If we look at Delegats they seem to have approached their model of business in a most appropriate way.

While reasonably large in terms of cases sold, at $165.3 million or 1.4 million cases, by New Zealand standards, that figure pales into a rose' compared to international wine makers outputs.

Delegats have been clever though. They realise wine volume on an international scale will never be achievable from New Zealand, so they have gone for the "upper end" and have their own niche in the branded market, with their Oyster Bay label.

Apparently a good quality wine-maker(I cant tell the diff between a Carafe of house red Lafoot from a Château Lafite) Delegat's Oyster Bay holds the number one New Zealand wine category position in the large export markets of Britain, Australia and Canada.

In a world where good wine makers are a dime a dozen Delegat's brands will do them well as they grow and allow them to sell their product at a premium price.

In 2008 the New Zealand wine industry had record export sales of $800m, a 14 per cent increase over 2007 and the industry as a whole expects to grow to $1 billion within the next few years.

Delegats were able to increase their exports by 20%, with the premium end of their sales probably responsible for that increase.

While there are obvious threats to agricultural businesses like wine growers-bad weather equals a bad year-the good management at Delagats, headed by Managing Director Jim Delegat seem to have planned well for inclement weather.

The mad hatters who are pushing the "climate change" industry and its associated taxes are also a growing threat to our Kiwi wine makers.

Delegats have a wide geographical spread of wineries, in North Islands Hawkes Bay, where a massive push into premium wines is in play, and where this writer is from, and Marlborough, a longer established wine region.

The Hawkes Bay and Marlborough regions hold the most promise, in my uneducated opinion, for a good future winery business to need more capital for expansion, buying more vineyards and establishing a brand for export and indeed local consumption.

There are however a number of wine regions in New Zealand, from mainland Auckland, through Gisbourne, down through Nelson and Marlborough, Canterbury and Central Otago and even Waiheke Island, with 26 vineyards on a very small Island in Auckland's Hauraki Gulf, is fast establishing their own unique viticulture community in a micro climate a few degrees warmer than Auckland itself.

The long established family winemakers, Nobilo, Delegats, Villa Maria and Vidals have tended to expand their businesses through profits and some vineyards and winemakers have been gobbled up by multinational drinks conglomerates looking for a brand or business in this new world of wine making down here in the South Pacific.

Stockmarket investors should keep a look out for the opportunities to invest in this sector of our economy, through future IPOs and capital raising's.

A part share in a good start up winery, in a good area, with a good vintner that you know well would be a good long term investment.

Even Delegats might be worth a punt.


Related Links

Full 2008 profit report 336 kb PDF (requires registration to download)
Delegats Group
Nobilo Wines
Vidal Wines

Discuss Delegats @ Share Investor Forum


Related Amazon Reading

The Complete Idiot's Guide to Starting and Running a Winery
The Complete Idiot's Guide to Starting and Running a Winery by Thomas Pellechia
Buy new: $12.89 / Used from: $7.91
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c Share Investor 2008