Thursday, June 11, 2009

Banks not participating in Recession


Bill English wants customers to "take banks to task" a nice attention grabbing headline and politically expedient but as I have found, my bank just isn't listening.

I mused a few months back as to why banks were not participating in the current recession, coming to the party and giving New Zealanders a break, considering taxpayers are now guaranteeing their own banks.

Lets face it, gone are the days when your bank manager knew your name and cared about the service they gave you and it seems even when it counts the most, in dire economic circumstances not seen for 70 years, they simply bury their heads in your money.

My bank's approach to the recession and what effect it might be having on me is to sack its staff, to make we wait longer in a line of other disgruntled sheep, falsely ask me at the counter what will I be doing in the weekend, ask if I want to buy insurance and then continue to punish me 25 bucks a time if I forget to have sufficient funds in my account when an auto payment is due. Its kinda like Robin Hood with a smile, except the taxpayer is paying for the arrows.

Short of forcing banks to play their part, and we don't want that, it seems the only pressure that might work is pressure from every bank customer on their bank manager.

The likelihood of that happening from the average passive Kiwi consumer is less than Lynda Carter coming back and playing the lead role in the new Wonder Woman movie.

It is worth a try though.

*Cartoon from Emmerson


Banking @ Share Investor

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c Share Investor 2009


Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Air New Zealand wants another taxpayer bailout

Rob Fyfe has decided that having more than NZ $1 billion of taxpayer money in the Air NZ bank isn't enough.

Proving once again that he is the evil socialist I initially pegged him as he now wants more taxpayer money to subsidise his failing airline, Air New Zealand [AIR.NZ] for "marginal routes."

Jeez Rob, I thought in the real world if something is marginal you simply either cut your costs to regain profitability or if you cant make a decent return simply stop operating.

How bad are things at the national, taxpayer owned carrier then?

Well, the pressure is coming from a number of sides.

Yet another tourist downturn, and these happen frequently for a number of reasons and is why I would rather burn my money than "invest" in an airline, means that bums on seats are down.

This doesn't look like it is going to get better anytime soon. In fact it could get allot worse.

More competition from the likes of Virgin Pacific/Blue and Jetstar mean those margins that Fyfe talks about are getting thinner than the air in a depressurised 747 before a crash landing.

The cost of jet fuel is rising quicker than you can say the Arabs have got me by the family jewels. Every buck of extra cost on aviation fuel means millions off Air New Zealand's bottomline.

To be fair, everyone is being affected by this global pandemic ("swine flu" included) of economic circumstances and every airline is getting it up the tailpipe but having said that, why, with little money left in the taxpayer pocket, should we now be stumping up more borrowed money from China to keep a failing business in the air?

If you are a Air NZ shareholder (apart from the taxpayer) you should be very worried.


Disc I own AIA shares in the Share Investor Portfolio



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c Share Investor 2010

Monday, June 8, 2009

Michael Hill TV3 60 Minutes Interview




I just watched the Michael Hill interview on TV3's 60 Minutes.

I know little about the man but the usual stuff: he bought his first Jewelry shop in the late 1970s when his house burned down. He was 43.

Along the way he wrote down his goals that he would have x number of Michael Hill International [MHI.NZX] stores by a particular date. He has achieved every goal he set in that respect and now has well over 200 stores in New Zealand, Australia, Canada and from late last year the USA.

His future goal is to have 1000 stores by 2020, with the bulk of them being in the United States.

His recipe to get there is to brand himself and his company as "desirable" brand that everyone would want -a tough proposition in these tough times considering that other luxury brands are floundering with sales drops of up to 50%.

The image change has started in Australasia, with flash new stores that sell cut price jewelry as they traditionally have but alongside that higher end bling and Michael Hill branded watches and his own perfume line.

He seems very excited about current economic conditions, seeing it a an opportunity rather than a curse. The opportunity is, as he sees it, is that these dire conditions will allow him to reach his goal of 1000 stores just that much sooner, and cheaper.

I think he is going to get there.




Michael Hill International @ Share Investor

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c Share Investor 2009







Cadbury's chip off the old family block & lose customers

It has been 5 minutes since my last confession, I am chocoholic. I don't however need help with that.

The following is only serious if you love chocolate.

What I do need help with is Cadbury's decision to change package size design and formula for their range of family sized block chocolate range.

Previously 250g, these family blocks now range from 190 grams for the "chrunchie bar" block to 235 grams, all at the same price.

The dairy milk block is 200g and Carramellow 220g for example. 

Looking at a old 250g Carramellow next to a new one today I noticed that the were the same size. 

Why is that you ask?

Well the new blocks are packaged in thick cardboard instead of paper and aluminum - how sneaky of Cadbury.

I noticed shoppers looking at the new blocks with confusion and then going down to the Whittakers display to buy different flavours, all in the same size pack don't you know!

Also their chocolate is now made with vegetable fat rather than animal fat - that ain't chocolate anymore folks its a cocoa drink with water.

After calling 0800 Cadbury to complain, the chick there told me their family block had been different sizes for 20 years ( PR bollocks!) and that I was mistaken -hey I told you I was a chocoholic, I know my chocolate baby.

Whittaker's is who I will be buying my chocolate from now on -less confusing and they are made in New Zealand instead of Cadbury's blocks that are made in OZ.

A glass and a half of milk per block?

Not anymore.


c Political Animal 2009



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