Political Polls: Multi - Poll Wrap

In a wrap up of political polls over the last few days the trend of a big lead for National over the last 3 years. continues with a drop below 30% for Labour in one poll:

"In two polls published on Thursday, the National Party maintains a large lead over the Labour Party.

In the ONE News Colmar Brunton poll released on Thursday night the National Party has 56% support - the same as its poll in October.

The Labour and Green parties also remain about the same - at 30% and 9%, respectively.

The Greens are the only smaller party registering above the 5% threshold needed to get into Parliament.

New Zealand First has 2.2% support, while the Maori Party is on 1.3%.

ACT, the Mana Party and United Future all have less than 1% support.

The poll was taken between Saturday and Wednesday this week and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1%.

A New Zealand Herald DigiPoll paints a similar picture. In that poll Labour dips below 30% to 29.1%, with National well in front on 54.2% support.

Again, only the Greens are above 5%, with 10.1% support.

The DigiPoll survey of 750 voters was conducted between Friday and Wednesday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6%". Radio NZ

Buy Every Bastard Says No - The 42 Below Story, by Geoff Ross & Justine Troy & more @ Fishpond.co.nz

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Labour Party Blog's convenient lies

The left is screaming foul at the latest polls that show the National Party maintaining a trend of leading Labour by a large margin for more than a year. 

What is clear from the large range of political polls taken is that Kiwis want a change and they want it in large numbers. 

According to the taxpayer funded Labour Party Blog, The Standard though, you could be forgiven for thinking the writers at the blog might be from a different planet or at the very least they are on p.

They blame Labours routing in the polls on everything but the untruthfulness and lies of their leader , the meddling social policy and poor economic management by Michael Cullen:

"But even this is not the full story. The methodology of this and every other phone poll has problems apart from the short survey period. It relies on land lines.."

The Standard Blog

The Standard Blog blames the lag in positive Labour polling on the fact that polls apparently use land lines.

The bit that they don't empathize, and they clearly should, is the fact that this poll has the same methodology for every party so it favours no one party over another.

They also blame a "short survey period" for polls, as if that in itself is significant at all. It simply isn't.

The left are rabid, desperate, dirty, on the run from the truth and will do and say anything to retain the purse strings to your pocket.

Polls are not necessarily deadly accurate in themselves or in isolation but what is significant is the trend in polling. The fact is that the trend for National has been a large lead over Labour for more than a year and that is what is causing the vitriol from the likes of the Labour Party blog The Standard and other leftists money grabbers.

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Polls Apart

That Billy Joel sure was a sensitive character, Honesty and A Matter of Trust two big hits pleading for, well, trust.

After Helen Clark's long winded election date speech on Friday, she emphasised that the election, for her, will be "about trust" and which leader has the New Zealand citizens trust.

There have been a couple of large polls taken by the two large newspaper groups in the country, APN and Fairfax and both show a massive swing to the National Party.

Here are the two polls, taken since the Prime Ministers speech on Friday.

From Stuff.co.nz:

Announcing the election date, Prime Minister Helen Clark said the campaign would be about trust. Who do you trust more?

Helen Clark (4748 votes, 24.0%) 

John Key (15061 votes, 76.0%)

Stuff polls are not scientific and reflect the opinions of only those internet users who have chosen to participate

See current polling on Stuff.co.nz here .

From the New Zealand Herald.co.nz:

Who will you vote for in the election?

Out of 9128 votes so far the National Party vote is at 60% while Labour is at 20%

Go here to see full poll

The Stuff poll is from the left side of the journalistic realm and the NZ Herald poll is from a more centrist perspective-Granny used to be right wing-so it is interesting to see both media outlets showing similar swings to National.

Not scientific but a good indication.

You can vote in the Political Animal Poll as well: 

Which Party will get your Constituency vote?  View Results & Vote

Which Party will get your Party vote? View Results & Vote

There will be a Colmar Brunton TV One poll out latter this evening.

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The Glamorous Life

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2008 Election outcome

Going by the latest political polls and the trend of others over the last year, it looks like National will get the bulk of the vote by far at the coming election. The poll trend of National being way ahead of Labour has continued in the two latest polls this weekend and is likely to be reinforced by a TV One Colmar Brunton Poll out tonight.

All the fear mongering and finger pointing over a "return to the 1990s and selling taxpayer assets" by Clark and her socialist misfits just hasn't helped them. Most of us can see past that as the lie that it is and a large bulk of voters are too young to remember the when New Zealand had to sell its assets to say afloat.

Don't count your chickens though if you are a National voter and hoping they will deservedly govern alone. Remember we have a bizarre voting system called MMP.

At current polls, if Labour was to get around 35% of the vote and National was down to about 50% the smaller parties that currently support Labour could get another Labour Minority government by a whisker and given what Ms Clark would have to bribe Winston, the Greens and the Maori Party with to get their support, New Zealand would be in for some even dodgier legislation passed than we have already seen over the last 9 years.

Labour are going to pull out the mother of all bribes shortly before the election so I think a close race is on the cards, with National having a slight edge.


Fairfax Nielson Poll: 16 August 2008
Roy Morgan Poll: 15 August 2008

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Labour pollaxed by public opinion

Just a commentary about polls and what they might mean.

Now Labour have been trailing National in the polls since around October/November 2007. A perfect storm of sorts hit the lefties then, when their moralistic finger pointing over the Electoral Finance Act and anti smacking law backfired and coincided to piss off even their own deluded voters.

The first big swing to National showed an almost 20 point lead over Labour with a lower polling for John Key as most preferred leader and several polls since then have showed more or less the same results, except John Key is now the most preferred Prime Minister.

There has been one poll that had pegged the National lead back to around 10 points but it is the trend in the polls that needs to be taken into account. The trend is clearly in favour of a National Government, by a country mile.

In the months since, Labour have accepted secret donations, denied their part in rising costs to families and had major parts of state run departments like Education, Health and policing limp from crises to crises.

In addition, last month the private property rights of New Zealand and foreign shareholders in Auckland International Airport were trampled on when retrospective law, which this administration is fond of passing when it suits their socialist agenda, blocked them from selling their shares.

Just yesterday, Labour sunk more than NZ$ 600 million taxpayer dollars, with billions more to come, into an inefficient,loss making railroad company because they think it will buy them votes in November.

Who said our economy was struggling?

These additions to Labour's poor track record are going to will no doubt swing polls even wider. In National's favour.

Even though Labour are going to try and buy the 2008 election, as they did during the 2005 spend-fest, and with stolen taxpayer money no less, it is looking like a right royal massacre for Labour come polling day.

Related Political Animal reading

Labour first to break own Electoral law
Sign the anti smacking petition

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