Wednesday, September 4, 2019

It's all about the Return


Image result for investment returns in a inflation cartoons

It's all about the return.

After real estate, for better or for worse, the NO 2 investment is the stockmarket.

But what we have here is diff - I changed what I was going to talk about after a well earned nap.

We have interest rates at an ALL TIME LOW.

When you change something so fundamental - forget the reason why they "had" to change - to the structure of the economy you are going to get distortions.

In this case your going to get assets - and having a share is an asset - priced way ahead of where they actually should be.

But that's normal now.

So what I'm saying is.

Until this all comes crashing down - who knows it could be right now - then rightly or wrongly. And I would say wrongly. Your just going to get the housing market - sorry to Kirsty Merriman for this one - and the sharemarket will follow. Until the last 10th of a percentage point I fear is going to be wrung out of those.

So your Meridian Energy your Contact Energy everything with a return will get hammered up and up.

When do I get out? If your me I wouldn't be too concerned.

But what goes up eventually settles down to somewhere more manageable.

I leave the rest for up to you to decide.







c Share Investor 2019




Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Never Mind the width feel the Quality

 Technical Analysis Chart | MarketScreener


There's no doubt about it the market always tells us where we are headed. At the moment that direction is up and it will continue to go up as long as 2 things remain the same. One is Central Bank interference in the interest rates as we plumb the depths of rates or what will be known the great Central Bank boom followed by ? 

The second is what the earnings of each company are.

As a whole these earnings remain high and do so to in New Zealand with the first company which is Sky City due to kick it all off in the second week of August.

With SKC paying slightly better than 5% pa its a must that these earnings stay above the proceeding year, least companies disappoint and are caned at the final arbiter - the market.

Its looking good - up up up - for the electricity retailers like CEN MEL MCY et al and for every stock on the Share Investor Portfolio.

I cant see a black cloud on the horizon anywhere - besides out the window - and i see the following 3-4 month's of results to be up on last year - save AIR and a few others.

Very few will disappoint.

You just have to wait for the ?




c Share Investor 2019

Friday, June 7, 2019

Contact Energy: Time to Sell



Contact Energy is a stock that we visited here around about 4 weeks ago.

It was under $7 and that has changed and done what I said it has gone and packed on about 8% to close at $7.50.

This has passed my comfort levels and I would rate it a sell.

It could go UP from these levels.

BUT I am keeping my shareholding as I said Im a long termer and I can think of no better place to park my money.

It's paying around 4.5 %.



CEN @ Share Investor


Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 13
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 12

Share Investor's 2019 Stock Picks

 2018 Share Investor Stock Picks
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 
11
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 10
Contact Energy: Buy Now!
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 8
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 7
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 6
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 5 
Contact Energy look set to gain customers
I'm Buying: Contact Energy Ltd
Share Investor Portfolio 2: Value @ 7 July 2011
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 4
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 5: Contact Energy Ltd
Origin Energy asset stripping Contact Energy
Stock of the Week - Reprise 4: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 3: Contact Energy Ltd
Long Term View: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week: Reprise 2 - Contact Energy
Stock of the Week: Reprise - Contact Energy 
Not so fast Davy Boy
Still Watching Contact Energy
Beam me up Davy
Stock of the Week: Contact Energy
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - June 2009
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - Jan 2009
Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Follow the Monopoly Board

Discuss this stock at Share Investor  






c Share Investor 2019


















Wednesday, May 8, 2019

Contact Energy: Buy Now!!!





No upgrade to the price merely a reiteration to get in and buy this, now.

Because if you have heard New Zealand is perched on the precipice of 1.5%pa OCR and CEN is set to benefit from that rate cut and others to come.

Pensioners if your reading this, get out of that term deposit and into some CEN shares. 

Get out and DYOR BUT you can go past this one.

Its earns 5% don't you know.

There's at least a 20'c dividend due in August.




CEN @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 13
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 12

Share Investor's 2019 Stock Picks

 2018 Share Investor Stock Picks
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 
11
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy 10
Contact Energy: Buy Now!
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 8
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 7
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 6
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 5 
Contact Energy look set to gain customers
I'm Buying: Contact Energy Ltd
Share Investor Portfolio 2: Value @ 7 July 2011
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 4
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 3
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 5: Contact Energy Ltd
Origin Energy asset stripping Contact Energy
Stock of the Week - Reprise 4: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week - Reprise 3: Contact Energy Ltd
Long Term View: Contact Energy Ltd
Stock of the Week: Reprise 2 - Contact Energy
Stock of the Week: Reprise - Contact Energy 
Not so fast Davy Boy
Still Watching Contact Energy
Beam me up Davy
Stock of the Week: Contact Energy
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - June 2009
MarketWatch: Contact Energy - Jan 2009
Contact Energy looks bright during dark times
Share Investor's 2009 Stock Picks
Follow the Monopoly Board

Discuss this stock at Share Investor
  






c Share Investor 2019