Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Sky City: Time to Double Down



Sky City really hasn't been in the news much but for the wrong reasons. 

Let's see if we can redress that somewhat. 


I see it as a good - not great - long term investment - I've held it for 15 years.


In that time it has paid good dividends and will really pay off - or not - in the next 3 years. Once all that building in central Auckland and Adelaide is completed.


The other thing thing, is this makes the stock ripe for the plucking.


With that in mind last week I sunk money into 20,000 shares on top of the Share Investors Portfolio at $4.55 and considered I got it on a low compared with the chart a mere few months ago.


I'll keep followers  aware of any developments.





Sky City Entertainment Group @ Share Investor

Share Investor's 2016 Stock Picks

Sky City gets the 2nd deal
Sky City Expansion: Adelaide Spreads on the Riverbank
Sky City to pay for National Convention Centre
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
SKC Convention Centre power-point slide illustrations & SKC submission to Auckland City Council
Sky City Gaming: Morningstars look at Sky City's gaming
Share Investor's Total Returns: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Presentation to Macquarie Group
Morningstar Revalues Sky City Entertainment Group
Guest Post - Michele Hewitson Interview: Nigel Morrison
Failed Sky City bid for Christchurch Casino good news for Shareholders
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Christchurch Casino bid falls short of Investment Criteria
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Never mind the width feel the volume
Sky City Annual Meeting & 2011 - 2012 Profit Forecast
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City set to lose National Convention Centre bid
Sky City Entertainment Group: Australian Acquisition on the Cards?
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: 2010 Full Year Profit Analysis
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Full Year Profit Preview
Chart of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Share Investor discusses Convention Centre proposal with CEO Nigel Morrison
Share Investor Q & A: Sky City CEO, Nigel Morrison
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 HY
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money Loser: Part Two
Sky City Convention Centre Expansion a Money loser
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd: Download full Company analysis
Sky City 2010 full year profit looking good
Long Term View: Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
Sky City Entertainment: CEO Nigel Morrison discusses 2010 Half Year
Sky City Entertainment Group 2010 Interim Profit Review
Sky City to focus on Gaming
Sky City debts levels now more manageable
Insider Trading on Sky City shares
Sky City Profit Upgrade: Always on the Cards
Sky City's Current Cinema "Boom" a Horror Story in Disguise
Stock of the Week: Sky City Entertainment Group
Are Insiders selling Sky City Stock?
Sky City Entertainment 2009 Interim Result Preamble
2008 Sky City profit analysis
Sky City share offer confusing and unfair for smaller shareholders
Sky City Entertainment 2008 Full Year profit results , NZX release, 2008 full year presentation, result briefing webcast, financial statements
Sky City 2008 profit preamble
Sky City outlines a clear future plan
As recession bites Sky City bites back
Sky City Assets: Buy, sell and hold
Why did you buy that stock? [Sky City Entertainment]
Sky City Share Volumes set tongues wagging
Sky City half year exceptional on cost cutting
NZX Press release: Sky City profit to HY end Dec 2007
Sky City Cinemas no Blockbuster

Sky City Entertainment share price drop
New Broom set to sweep
Sky City Management: Blind, deaf and numb
Sky City sale could be off
Opposition to takeover
Premium for control
Sky City receives takeover bid
Sky City Casino Full Year Profit to June 30 2007
Setting the record straight
Sky City CEO resigns
Sky City Casino: Under performing
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit(analysis)
Sky City Casino 2007 HY Profit

Discuss SKC @ Share Investor Forum

Download SKC Company Reports


Share Investors Portfolio @ 30 Sept 2016






c Share Investor 2016

Tuesday, August 23, 2016

NZX Gross Index: Wheres it Going?

Chart forS&P/NZX 50 INDEX GROSS ( GROSS  (^NZ50)

I think I seem really uninspired to write much because of what I have been through, about the side effects from the drugs I am taking and the ongoing outfall of things around the family.

BUT, there seems to be one thing that is in my uppermost in my mind. The continued march forward in value of the NZX. It is as I write 7479.

Up over 30% in ONE YEAR!!

I do think - if the current reporting season holds up and so far it has - it is headed north of 8000.

You have got to be kidding yourself if you think this is going to go on forever.

It wont.

No matter if your cash is earning close to 3%  - and dropping sticking your money in stocks and shares is not the way out - unless you know when this bubble is about to burst.

And you know what I think about houses.

You should keep your money in the bank you will be ready there when it all turns around and we begin to face inflation and rampant central bank monetary increases.




Share Investors Portfolio @ 19 Aug 2016




The Warren Buffett Way
The Warren Buffett Way by Robert G. Hagstrom
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c Share Investor 2016




Friday, July 15, 2016

Why You Should Stay Away From Stocks Right Now



To answer my question in the title, because they're bloody expensive, way over priced and there's far better value, especially if your funds are substantial, in parking your funds in a "safe place" - in cash in New Zealand.

But that's the thing, apart from cash, and you saw my piece written about property last week , which by the way could relate to commercial property as well, there is no other place that funds are now going.

And one does not know how big this latest investment bubble will go until it bursts but you can expect them to continue for a few years yet, as the struggles in China intensify, Europe breaks up over Brexit, Japan starts to look like a giant helicopter, the rest of Asia struggles along and the rest of this world in Australia and New Zealand move along at a modest pace.

The DOW is at record levels and has gone up 5 days in a row now - stocks are at VERY high PE multiples and there is so much risk built in BUT the stock market continues to climb and is likely to until we get a significant number of interest rate hikes - Janet Yellen ought to just make a decision instead of wondering what she might do will have an effect in London or Anchorage Alaska.

As well debt levels are starting to get scary: 
"The United States is less than two decades away from exceeding its highest recorded level of federal debt, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
The CBO projects that U.S. federal debt will pass 106 percent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP) by 2035, in its second long-term budget outlook report of 2016. That level was recorded once before, in 1946, shortly after World War II.
The current federal debt is worth 75 percent of the country's GDP. It's expected to reach 86 percent by 2026, and 141 percent by 2046." The Hill
Debt is likely another story back here, with latest figures showing NZrs as a whole owing $255 billion overseas and the Govt roughly $247 billion. Trading Economics 

Surely we should get on top of this pile while we can.

Simply stop buying houses - because that is where it is going.

Until then, here in New Zealand we are likely to see stock markets climb to maybe 10000 by this time next year as people, and increasingly foreign money finds a place (saw a chap on Bloomberg yesterday mention New Zealand and Australia with the highest returns and a place where he would park money for the foreseeable future.) to put their moola.

I agree.

But watch out, eventually you will see the music stop and you might be left holding the parcel - and it might contain.

Nothing.



Share Investors Portfolio @ 15 July 2016




Security Analysis: Sixth Edition, Foreword by Warren Buffett (Security Analysis Prior Editions)Security Analysis: Sixth Edition, Foreword by Warren Buffett (Security Analysis Prior Editions) by Benjamin Graham
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Sunday, July 10, 2016

Share Price Alert: New Zealand Refining Ltd 4 (UPDATE)


Chart forNew Zealand Refining Co Ltd (NZR.NZ)

New Zealand Refining Ltd [NZR.NZX] we last looked at this stock back on July 5 2011, since then it has been higher than its current price of $2.47 certainly higher than its recent low of just about $1 and a half coming up around 16 months ago but this gem is set to rocket when things fall into place.

Get this if your going to buy it Monday, you will get it for just shy of its net tangibles which are, according to ASB Securities $250.01 per share.

There are so many variables as to when to buy this share; the price of oil, the US/NZ dollar cross, the refining margin, what the company is spending at present on capital expenditure and what the company pays you in divs.

You cant get it for less than its asset backing though, but in this case you can.

I myself am going to put a few shekels down on Monday, its the only share on the NZX I think is worth buying.


*currently my buy is in at $2.45, I won't go higher . Its up 8c on low volume. 


NZR @ Share Investor




c Share Investor 2016