Share Price Alert: Fisher and Paykel Appliances Ltd

This is a preemptive Share Price Alert for Fisher & Paykel Appliances [FPA.NZX] after a reasonable profit result for the 2011 full year. After sustaining years of losses, struggling for the last 5 years, and going into financial meltdown in 2009 where it had to be rescued by Haier, the company has just posted a profit north of $30 million.

A pretty good result in the current financial climate and after a year and a half on a share price in the penny dreadful status this result looks set to propel the share price well above the closing price of 55.5c yesterday and back above the 1 buck level.

Of course the company has had rollercoaster results like this before when they have showed improvements in financial operations then disappointed at the next result so a word of caution must be stated before climbing back into this one.

Some good money can be made here though for those willing to buy today and coming week and hold for a short to medium term then run for the hills with the spoils.

Anything under a buck should see some black ink in the wallet over the coming weeks.


Share Price Alert Series

Telecom New Zealand Ltd 4
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 3
Port of Tauranga Ltd
Freightways Ltd 3
Goodman Fielder Ltd 2
Freightways Ltd 2
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Charlies Group Ltd
Fletcher Building Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd
Steel & Tube Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd
New Zealand Stock Exchange Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd 2
The Warehouse Group Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Fletcher Building Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Tourism Holdings
Goodman Fielder Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
NZ Refining Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Xero Ltd


Fisher & Paykel Appliances @ Share Investor

Fisher & Paykel Appliances: Worth a second look?
Long Term View: Fisher & Paykel Appliances
Stock of the Week: Fisher & Paykel Appliances
Fisher & Paykel Appliances future looking bleak
Fisher & Paykel downgrade continues fine tradition
Fisher & Paykel Appliances looking fair value
Fisher & Paykel: A Tale of Two Companies
Fisher & Paykel Appliances: In a spin over nothing

Discuss FPA @ Share Investor Forum
Download FPA Company Reports

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c Share Investor 2011

Mainfreight Ltd: Full Year 2011 Profit Analysis

Mainfreight Ltd [MFT.NZ] has had a very good 2011 full year profit result considering the state of the world economy and the subsequent slow down in world trade. The result is a record one and is up 30% (before abnormals) on the 2010 full year announcement.


Key Points

1. Total revenue (sales) increased by 20% to $1.34 billion, from $1.13 billion last year

2. A net surplus after taxation and abnormals of $47.24 million for the twelve months of the 2011 financial year; an increase of 30% on the previous year’s result of $36.37 million.

3. A big focus on cutting operating costs over the period of downturn in the business/economy, with more than $32 million cut.

4. A massive increase North American revenues of 24.8% to $420.47 million and EBITDA improving 101.3% to $14.63 million.

5. Australian operations increased 20.4 % to $472.29 million from $392.33 million and EBITDA improved 14.1% to $25.63 million.

6. New Zealand operations increased 10.0% to $412.57 million from $374.97 million. EBITDA improved 8.6% to $47.86 million,

7. Asian business improving 29.8% to $36.17 million and EBITDA improving 68.7% to $3.47 million.

8. Net debt decreased to $47.55 million from $82.89 million

9. 11c dividend, increased by 10% on last year.

Management have done well to come in with a higher full year profit. They did this by cutting back fat in the business, reducing capital expenditure and improving revenue strongly across all geographical regions in which they operate.

Mainfreight have indicated to the market that they see this result as somewhat of a turning point for the company after a tough last 3 years of pressure from the fallout from the 2008 financial crises. They are especially excited about including for the first time revenue and profit from the purchase of Wim Bosman Group in March. This acquisition will clearly have a further positive impact for full year 2012.

As things have started looking up the company look to use more capital to expanbd through FY 2012.

I remain cautious but optimistic about the coming year, with global economic conditions still looking sluggish this latest result might be more of a one off rather than one the company can sustain through 2012. Having said that the additional revenue from their Wim Bosman Group purchase will have a good upside.

9.8 out of 10.

Disc I own MFT shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Mainfreight @ Share Investor

Read the MFT 2011 FY Presentation

Share Price Alert: Mainfreight Ltd 2
Mainfreight's European Acquisition a Good Move
Share Price Alert: Mainfreight Ltd
Investing in the Stockmarket: Timing your Purchase
Stock of the Week: Mainfreight Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd: 2011 1st quarter Profit Analysis
VIDEO: Don Braid with Paul Homes on the Economy
Mainfreight Ltd: Full Year 2010 Profit Analysis
Long Term View: Mainfreight Ltd
Share Investor Interview: Mainfreight's MD Don Braid
Stock of the Week: Mainfreight Ltd
Questions to Mainfreight's MD Don Braid
I'm Buying: Mainfreight Management delivers the goods
Mainfreight Annual Report Packs a Punch
Analysis - Mainfreight Ltd: FY Profit to 31/03/09
Mainfreight VS KiwiRail: The Sequel
Long VS Short: Mainfreight Ltd
Why did you buy that stock? [Mainfreight Ltd]
Mainfreight 2008 Annual report worth reading
KiwiRail will cost Mainfreight
Mainfreight keeps on truckin
A rare breed
Share Investor's 2008 stock picks

Discuss MFT @ Share Investor Forum
Download Mainfreight Company Reports



From Fishpond.co.nz - Every Bastard Says No: The 42 Below Story





c Share Investor 2011

Share Price Alert: Telecom New Zealand Ltd 4

Telecom NZ Ltd [TEL.NZX] shares have had an amazing run over the last month or so and yesterday closed up 16c or 6.8% to finish trading at $2.435 on news that they were to receive the bulk of the contract for the Governments high speed internet rollout. The share price has taken off from $1.95 in mid April, a rise of almost 27% on yesterdays close.

With a share price not reached since the end of 2010 the stock still looks like getting overcooked to me and investors wishing to take a punt on anything that may come out of the fibre network rollout may want to temper their excitement because any additional revenue coming from it is many years away.

For the majority of the last year shares have been trading below 2 bucks and this is on 4 pieces of news out a month ago ( 1, 2, 3, 4 ) mostly related to taxpayer funded broadband.

The market is excited by the prospects for Telecom that subsidised broadband might bring but the payback for investment by the taxpayer and by the company itself is uncertain especially given the low speeds the company indicate their new fibre might bring and the restrictions and frustrations that will bring for customers as they realise they will not be able to do even a fraction of the things their mates overseas have been able to do for a decade or more already and that future speeds for global internet speeds (sans NZ) will be hundreds of times faster than ours.

Telecom as a company will have to be split into 2 separate companies, each presumably with its own NZX listing. Investors clearly see more value in the company as two seperate entities and see windfall profits if the company splits.

Market watchers though are ignoring the bungles the company has mismanaged with the introduction of new services and technology in the past so I remain skeptical of share price increases based on the possibility that the fibre roll-out will bear some positive fruit.

Until then performance for the company is likely to be more along the lines of weakening revenue, smaller profits and cost cutting.

The share probably has some more northwards trajectory to go based on overseas investors taking the news in overnight and the speculation may well propel the share well above current levels, especially as the split of the company will see investors have shares in two rather than one listed company.

Nice for short to medium term investors but long termers may want to wait for actual results from business created by the "new" Telecom.

Share Price Alert Series

Telecom New Zealand Ltd 3
Port of Tauranga Ltd
Freightways Ltd 3
Goodman Fielder Ltd 2
Freightways Ltd 2
Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Ryman Healthcare Ltd
Charlies Group Ltd
Fletcher Building Ltd 2
Contact Energy Ltd
Steel & Tube Ltd
Telecom New Zealand Ltd
New Zealand Stock Exchange Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd 2
The Warehouse Group Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd 2
Fletcher Building Ltd
Restaurant Brands Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Tourism Holdings
Goodman Fielder Ltd
Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Ltd
NZ Refining Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Xero Ltd

Telecom NZ @ Share Investor

Share Price Alert: Telecom New Zealand Ltd 2
Share Price Alert: Telecom New Zealand Ltd
Telecom New Zealand 2011 first half profit review
Telecom New Zealand 2011 first quarter profit review
Telecom Chart: Lazarus Recovery on lower volume
Telecom maybe oversold
Telecom NZ Share Price has "Jumped the Shark"
I was Wrong... sort of
Telecom NZ: TV3 60 Minutes Segment more like Corporate PR
Telecom Share Price Limbos but has it jumped the Shark?
Telecom NZ: Saint Gattung gets her Ya Ya's out
Telecom NZ: Bye Bye Paul Reynolds
Long Term View: Telecom NZ Ltd
Stock of the Week: Telecom Ltd
Revisiting Telecom
Getting cute and fluffy with Teresa Gattung
Telecom NZ Hangs up
Business Gobbledygook puts up barriers to communication
A Rare Breed
Telecom NZ facing a watershed period
Biology a major key in "glass ceiling" for women
Telecom rewards Gattung for mediocrity

Download TEL Company Reports
Discuss TEL at Share Investor Forum - Register free


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c Share Investor 2011

Share Investor's Total Returns: Auckland International Airport Ltd

I have written about returns for stocks on a general basis in the Long Term View series of posts and the Long VS Short series but in this series, Share Investor's Total Returns, I will be giving my actual returns for stocks in the Share Investor Portfolio for as long as I have held them.

The return calculation will include dividends earned along with qualifying tax credits and of course any capital increase in the share price. It will be a total return over the length of holding of the share expressed in overall dollar figures with an individual value per share of what the stock currently is held at.

The seventh stock in this particular series is a star of the portfolio and one that I have held for nearly 4.5 years, Auckland International Ltd [AIA.NZX]

The current holding of 5312 was kicked off by an initial purchase of 1000 in November 2006 plus 312 bought as part of a 2009 capital raising and the latest, 2000 purchased in April 2009 and a further 2000 in July 2009.

The stock cost a total of $9084.80. It has returned net dividends of $1053.99 and total tax credits of $480.88, with $94.00 in brokerage.

I am eligible for the full tax credit so if the gross dividend (net dividend plus tax credits)is added and brokerage taken off my full return over the total holding period of 4.5 years is $1440.87

The current capital value of the company in the Share Investor Portfolio as at 20 May 2011 is $10729.30. The capital gain therefore is $1738.50. This gives a total return on this share of $3179.37. This is a 34.5% return over 4.5 years or a 7.6% gain per annum.

I hold AIA therefore at a total cost of $5999.43 or $1.12 per share.


Disc: I own AIA shares in the Share Investor Portfolio


Share Investor's Total Returns Series

Pumpkin Patch Ltd
Michael Hill International Ltd
Freightways Ltd
Mainfreight Ltd
Sky City Entertainment Group Ltd
The Warehouse Group Ltd




Queenstown Airport Buyout @ Share Investor

Auckland Airport CEO on Queenstown Airport Fracas
Queenstown Airport: Court Case looks set to Drag
Queenstown Airport: Loud Voices & Loyalty
Queenstown Airport: Air New Zealand's Crocodile Tears
Queenstown Airport: AIA purchase good Long-Term but will cost shareholders Short-Term

AIA @ Share Investor

Queenstown Airport: Queenstown Airport Update
Share Investor Q & A: Auckland Airport's Simon Moutter
Auckland Council look set for a Auckland Airport Takeover
Auckland City Council new AIA Policy Doc
Make me an offer I cant refuse: Auckland International Airport Ltd
Long Term View: Auckland International Airport
VIDEO - Simon Moutter on Australian Airport Purchase
Auckland Airport Capital Raising a fair call
Auckland International Airport lands Australian Ports
What Infratil sale of Auckland Airport stake means...
Is another Auckland Airport bid likely under a business friendly Government?
Latest Airport coverage
Cullen's move on Auckland Airport has far reaching effects
Cullen's move on AIA tax plan Anti-Business
AIA profit stays grounded
Softening opposition to CPPIB bid for AIA
Directors of AIA bribe brokers not to sell
What is Auckland Airport worth to you?
Second bite at AIA by CPPIB might just fly
AIA new directors must focus on shareholders
Auckland Airport merger deal nosedives
The Canadians have landed
AIA incentive scheme must fly out the window
Government market manipulation over AIA/DAE deal
DAE move on AIA: Will it fly?


Discuss this Stock @ Share Investor Forum - Register free
Download AIA Company Reports




c Share Investor 2011